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GuyWhoLikesSport

Ranking AFL Premiership Contenders by List Talent (Part 1)

Ranking AFL Premiership Contenders by List Talent (Part 1)

• GuyWhoLikesSport
As we get closer to the season, it’s useful to remind myself who the good players are and where they play. This exercise does that. It’s like watching one of those 15-minute Severance recaps before season two, only to realise you didn’t need it because the show spent most of the season sniffing its own farts instead of advancing the plot.  So, what is the exercise?   I’ve gone through every list and picked out just the high-end talent. I have identified the superstars, stars, and the potential stars and given each tier of player a certain number of points.   From there, I’ve stacked teams by total points to tier premiership…
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The Coaching Super Bowl

The Coaching Super Bowl

• GuyWhoLikesSport
Some of the news over these last couple of days practically forced me to rewatch Eyes Wide Shut.   Aside from the obvious things, what’s striking is how average Tom Cruise is in it.    Above it all, he’s just not a star like he usually is in movies especially from that time period.   He seems stilted and pulled back. He’s tightly managed.   He’s a cog in the machine rather than being the whole machine.  Nicole Kidman is the same way, though it’s harder to focus on her performance, given she is so good looking it’s almost alien.   They’re not like Gal Gadot in literally anything where they are so bad that they…
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One Job, Too Many Pies

One Job, Too Many Pies

• GuyWhoLikesSport
My Collingwood preview heading into 2025 was centred around Craig McRae and his band of Pies doing one last job before falling down the ladder as is meant to happen in the AFL.  They went full Le Chiffre last year, going all in on their aging list without much of a backup plan and hoping to get saved by the river, parting with three picks including their 2025 first a year for Dan Houston after parting with their 2024 first and a second rounder for Lachie Schultz.   The way they played seemed last year to be a tacit acknowledgement of that ageing process.   In their premiership…
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Which NFL Team Can Make the Super Bowl After Firing Their Coach?

Which NFL Team Can Make the Super Bowl After Firing Their Coach?

• GuyWhoLikesSport
We have a Super Bowl set in name. It’s a rematch of one of the greatest games of all time: Patriots v Seahawks.   However, in substance, after having watched the two Championship Games, I feel like I saw the true Super Bowl being contested by the Rams and the Seahawks.   In that game, one team’s coach made the same mistake twice and his team lost.   Sean McVay is the best coach in the league, but his Achilles heel has historically been game management. It reared its head again against the Seahawks.   In the third quarter, the Rams were down to Seattle by 11…
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Why Carlton is Less Broken Than You Think

Why Carlton is Less Broken Than You Think

• GuyWhoLikesSport
Tactically, Michael Voss is not a brilliant coach. He might not even be a good one. He’s stuck in an era of footy that doesn’t exist anymore.  He has pure ruckmen, pure key defenders, pure key forwards. He likes round pegs to fit into round holes and he’s not interested in fashioning different shaped holes for different kinds of players to fit into.  I assume that his whiteboard looks exactly like your school footy coach’s whiteboard and there is no acknowledgement of the new roles that have come to define the game.  Role flexibility is like BDSM to him. It’s just something people on the internet do.  His success as a coach to this point, however modest,…
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Why the Patriots Have to Make the Super Bowl

Why the Patriots Have to Make the Super Bowl

• GuyWhoLikesSport
I hate to sound like a centrist, but two things can be true:  This is an average Patriots team, and   It would be a major disappointment if they don’t make the Super Bowl.   Let’s start with the first thing, this Pats team isn’t very good.   For the regular season they were first in offensive EPA/play and 11th in defensive EPA/play.   That first in offensive EPA/play number is a Drake Maye and schedule stat, because he has deeply mediocre help elsewhere.   The Pats were 16th in EPA/rush with their leading rusher, Treyveon Henderson, running for 911 yards at the 29th best success rate in the league. Their leading receiver this year was 32-year-old Stefon…
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The Broken Promise of Charlie Curnow

The Broken Promise of Charlie Curnow

• GuyWhoLikesSport
The Sydney Swans are big game hunters.   They kind of embody the city in that way.   They want stars, glitz and glamour. Often, they want to import it.   They’re like the Lakers.   Sure, they home grow talent, but when they’re looking for a cherry on top, since the mid 90s they’ve gone with Demott Brereton, Tony Lockett, Barry Hall, Buddy Franklin, and now Charlie Curnow.  While they’ve not always turned into premiership glory, each of Lockett, Hall, and Franklin were stars for the Swans and made the Swans a name brand in the AFL.  But with Curnow, my fear is that they’re barking up the wrong tree. This player is not Lockett or Franklin. He’s far closer to the broken…
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Is This the Rams' Last Best Chance to Win the Super Bowl?

Is This the Rams' Last Best Chance to Win the Super Bowl?

• GuyWhoLikesSport
Heading into the playoffs, I picked the Rams to win the Super Bowl.   To me, they have the right balance of an efficient running game, an explosive passing game, a young and dangerous defensive line, as well as a super hero at quarterback and play-callers on both sides of the ball that have built mansions on the cutting edge of the NFL scheme world.  This is, to my eye, the best McVay team ever including the one that won the Super Bowl.   Even after a relatively average last month of the season, and a life and death win against the 8-9 Panthers, I…
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Why History Suggests the Suns Could Win the 2026 AFL Premiership

Why History Suggests the Suns Could Win the 2026 AFL Premiership

• GuyWhoLikesSport
You can chart the course of how football has been played over the last decade or so through the last three great runs in the AFL over the last decade: Hawthorn’s threepeat from 2013 to 2015, Richmond’s three in four years from 2017 to 2020, and Brisbane’s back-to-back in 2024 and 2025.  If you look in broad strokes at the way those teams played, you can understand how footy has moved and where it might be going.   The Hawks were doing surgery when they had the ball.   With their collection of raking, pinpoint left foot kicks and Matt Suckling, the Hawks picked the eyes out…
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Credit to Jake Paul 

Credit to Jake Paul 

• GuyWhoLikesSport
I have given Jake Paul – the combat sport identity – credit numerous times.   To me, he deserves credit from three angles.  Firstly, for his promotion of Amanda Serrano and women’s boxing generally. The combination of Paul and Eddie Hearn working with genuine stars like Katie Taylor and Serrano made them both million-dollar athletes.   The greatest female fighter of all time stands tall!Last time Katie Taylor & Amanda Serrano foughtThey sold out MSG, 1.5 million tuned in Worldwide, and it was the fight of the Year in 2022Tonight, they shall shatter EVERY RECORD and set the new BENCHMARK, inspiring even… pic.twitter.com/6Ouh201zFF— Boxing Tickets NI…
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