We have Run To The Rose tips and predictions for the Group 2 1200m 3YO feature at Rosehill on Saturday.
Run To The Rose odds have many Chris Waller-trained runners in the market, and he could have a stranglehold on the race.
There is a lot of market confidence with CENTRAL EUROPE (2), and he’s a runner who keeps hitting the line strongly but keeps finding one or two better.
We’re hoping that he doesn’t find one better on Saturday, and the $5.50 odds are being included in our Run To The Rose tips. He’s paying a good price to notch his first win after three placings, and everything points towards a good run.
He’ll get a nice drag behind the speed from barrier 2, and Zac Lloyd has made a good start to the season. We often see well-regarded 3YOs win their first race at Group 2 level, and Central Europe could be the next.
He will win a big race soon, and he’s a top chance this Saturday at Rosehill.
| 11. Central Europe (2) J: Zac Lloyd 55kg 23×3T: Chris Waller | |||
| Dual acceptor. Second-up. First-up after five months 3rd of 13 in a LR The Rosebud at this track on August 15 over 1100m, slow going 2 len behind Chilly Girl with 57.5kg at $5.50. Previously second-up 3rd of 9 in the G3 Pago Pago Stakes at this track on March 14 over 1200m, 1.0 len behind Warwoven with 56.5kg at $2.20. J Mac hops off and looking for further now, each way. | |||
UNDER FOCUS (5) has not been looked past in betting markets, which is a good sign.
He didn’t have much go his way in The Rosebud when finishing sixth, and it could pay to look past that run. He showed much better form last season as a 2YO, and the betting moves are the most telling in this race.
After opening at $11, he quickly firmed to $6. That’s a big move in a 3YO race with plenty of quality types in action, so it could have been stable money from Kris Lees. They like to target their runners, so that’s a good sign.
He will need to be good to beat this field, but he’s being included in our Run To he Rose predictions based on the betting move.
| 12. Under Focus (5) J: Dylan Gibbons 55kg 213×6T: Kris Lees | |||
| Second run back. First-up after four months 6th of 13 in a LR The Rosebud at this track on August 15 over 1100m, slow going 3 len behind Chilly Girl carrying 57kg at $9. Previously second-up won by 1.5 len in a 2yo C&G Osc at Randwick Kensington on March 25 over 1100m in soft going defeating Drumfire with 57.5kg at $4.40. Gets a better set up for this and worth thought. | |||
Punters shouldn’t forget about CORMIER (6), who has a win and two placings, with his most recent placing coming behind Tron Bolt over 1600m in the J.J. Atkins.
Dropping back to 1200m shouldn’t worry him as he’s a pacy type, and barrier 6 should see him land behind the speed before peeling out around the home turn. That’s an ideal set-up in what should be a quick race.
We liked his strength during his first preparation. He’s a physical thoroughbred, and that could be enough to win this race against horses who have only just turned three.
| 9. Cormier (6) J: Chad Schofield 55kg 122xT: Paul Messara & Leah Gavranich | |||
| Dual acceptor. Resuming. Finished off last preparation second of 12 at Eagle Farm in the G1 J J Atkins June 13 over 1600m, on heavy track; 0.9 len behind Tron Bolt with 57kg at $11. At his first start won by 1.75 len Scone 2&3yo Mdn May 15 over 1100m defeating Dr Hook carrying 57.5kg at $3.90. Primed with the two good trials and will find this short of his | |||
Punters get value odds with our Run To The Rose SRM, which includes our three selected runners.
- Top 2 – No. 11 Central Europe
- Top 4 – No. 12 Under Focus
- Top 5 – No. 9 Cormier
We have Central Europe Top 2, Under Focus Top 4, and Cormier Top 5, which pays $15 for our three-runner SRM.
It should be a battle between the favourites, and we have Central Europe and Under Focus running in the first two and four respectively. Cormier is a good Top 5 hope to boost SRM payouts.
| 9. Cormier (6) J: Chad Schofield 55kg 122xT: Paul Messara & Leah Gavranich | |||
| Dual acceptor. Resuming. Finished off last preparation second of 12 at Eagle Farm in the G1 J J Atkins June 13 over 1600m, on heavy track; 0.9 len behind Tron Bolt with 57kg at $11. At his first start won by 1.75 len Scone 2&3yo Mdn May 15 over 1100m defeating Dr Hook carrying 57.5kg at $3.90. Primed with the two good trials and will find this short of his | |||
| 11. Central Europe (2) J: Zac Lloyd 55kg 23×3T: Chris Waller | |||
| Dual acceptor. Second-up. First-up after five months 3rd of 13 in a LR The Rosebud at this track on August 15 over 1100m, slow going 2 len behind Chilly Girl with 57.5kg at $5.50. Previously second-up 3rd of 9 in the G3 Pago Pago Stakes at this track on March 14 over 1200m, 1.0 len behind Warwoven with 56.5kg at $2.20. J Mac hops off and looking for further now, each way. | |||
| 12. Under Focus (5) J: Dylan Gibbons 55kg 213×6T: Kris Lees | |||
| Second run back. First-up after four months 6th of 13 in a LR The Rosebud at this track on August 15 over 1100m, slow going 3 len behind Chilly Girl carrying 57kg at $9. Previously second-up won by 1.5 len in a 2yo C&G Osc at Randwick Kensington on March 25 over 1100m in soft going defeating Drumfire with 57.5kg at $4.40. Gets a better set up for this and worth thought. | |||
Latest Run To The Rose 2026 Odds
| 1. Fireball (9) J: Tim Clark 58.5kg 6731xT: Chris Waller | |||
| Resuming. Finished off last preparation by neck Randwick G1 Champagne April 18 over 1600m defeating Campione D’italia carrying 56.5kg at $6.50. Previous preparation first-up won by 0.6 len Randwick LR Millennium February 7 over 1100m defeating Ghana’s Akan with 56.5kg at $4.60. Champagne winner likely to need this first up. | |||
| 2. Tron Bolt (10) J: Tyler Schiller 58.5kg 3111xT: Chris Waller | |||
| Resuming after a three months break. Finished off last preparation winning won by 0.9 len Eagle Farm G1 J J Atkins June 13 over 1600m in the wet defeating Cormier with 57kg at $1.80. On debut third of 10 at Kembla Grange 2yo Mdn-Sw April 29 over 1300m, 2 len behind Katoto carrying 57kg at $21. Good colt who will find some of these too sharp first up. | |||
| 3. Berzelius (8) J: Nash Rawiller 57.5kg 415×6T: Michael Freedman | |||
| Second run back. First-up after three months 6th of 8 in the G3 San Domenico Stakes at this track on August 29 over 1100m, 3 len behind Guest House with 57.5kg at $51. Previously second-up 4th of 8 in the G3 Ken Russell Memorial Classic at Gold Coast on May 9 over 1200m, 5 len behind St Gotthard with 57kg at $3.70. Caught the eye first up and stays in the mix. | |||
| 5. Warwoven (7) J: Rachel King 57kg 416×5T: Bjorn Baker | |||
| Second run back. First-up after five months from last on the turn 5th of 8 in the G3 San Domenico Stakes at this track on August 29 over 1100m, 3 len behind Guest House carrying 57kg at $7.50. Previously second-up ran on from midfield and won by 3.5 len in a 2yo Qlty Hcp at Eagle Farm on January 3 over 1200m in soft going defeating Lumbini with 59kg at $1.60. Will be closer in the run today, leading player. | |||
| 6. Revengeance (1) J: Adam Hyeronimus 57kg 31×7T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott | |||
| Second run back. First-up after 10 months sat behind the speed prior to fading ran second last of 8 in the G3 San Domenico Stakes at this track on August 29 over 1100m, 5 len behind Guest House with 57kg at $13. Previously second-up won by 0.9 len in the G3 Golden Gift at this track on November 8 over 1100m defeating Spicy Miss with 56.5kg at $2.60. Sharp improvement required. | |||
| 7. St Gotthard (4) J: James McDonald 57kg 11xT: Chris Waller | |||
| Resuming after a four-and-a-half months break. Not seen since winning to post a big 4 len win. Gold Coast G3 Ken Russell May 9 over 1200m defeating Silken Salute carrying 57kg at $2.40. On debut favourite; won by head Warwick Farm 2yo C&G Mdn April 15 over 1200m defeating Peyton carrying 58kg at $1.75. Undefeated colt with a devastating turn of foot, can go on with it this prep. | |||
| 8. Plagiarism (3) J: Regan Bayliss 57kg 57×31T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott | |||
| Third-up today. First-up tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 3rd of 7 in a 3yo Bm72 at this track on August 15 over 1300m, 1.0 len behind Steel Will carrying 60kg at $5.50. Second-up won by 0.7 len in the G3 Up and Coming Stakes at this track on August 29 over 1300m defeating Genesis Runner carrying 55kg at $8. Hard fit now but this is much tougher, place preferred. | |||
| 9. Cormier (6) J: Chad Schofield 55kg 122xT: Paul Messara & Leah Gavranich | |||
| Dual acceptor. Resuming. Finished off last preparation second of 12 at Eagle Farm in the G1 J J Atkins June 13 over 1600m, on heavy track; 0.9 len behind Tron Bolt with 57kg at $11. At his first start won by 1.75 len Scone 2&3yo Mdn May 15 over 1100m defeating Dr Hook carrying 57.5kg at $3.90. Primed with the two good trials and will find this short of his | |||
| 11. Central Europe (2) J: Zac Lloyd 55kg 23×3T: Chris Waller | |||
| Dual acceptor. Second-up. First-up after five months 3rd of 13 in a LR The Rosebud at this track on August 15 over 1100m, slow going 2 len behind Chilly Girl with 57.5kg at $5.50. Previously second-up 3rd of 9 in the G3 Pago Pago Stakes at this track on March 14 over 1200m, 1.0 len behind Warwoven with 56.5kg at $2.20. J Mac hops off and looking for further now, each way. | |||
| 12. Under Focus (5) J: Dylan Gibbons 55kg 213×6T: Kris Lees | |||
| Second run back. First-up after four months 6th of 13 in a LR The Rosebud at this track on August 15 over 1100m, slow going 3 len behind Chilly Girl carrying 57kg at $9. Previously second-up won by 1.5 len in a 2yo C&G Osc at Randwick Kensington on March 25 over 1100m in soft going defeating Drumfire with 57.5kg at $4.40. Gets a better set up for this and worth thought. | |||
| 13. Castillo King (11) J: Tommy Berry 55kg 14T: Michael Freedman | |||
| Had two starts to date. When well in the market at debut, ran on from midfield and won by 3 len in a 2yo C&G Mdn-Sw at Warwick Farm on July 15 over 1100m on a rain affected track defeating Eviction Notice carrying 56kg at $2. Last start 4th of 13 in a LR The Rosebud at this track on August 15 over 1100m, slow going 2.5 len behind Chilly Girl carrying 54.5kg at $5. Sneaky run first up but drawn out again. | |||
| 4. Music Time (13) Scratched: | |||
| 10. Stormy Marco (11) Scratched: | |||