It’s Sunderland vs Leeds at the Stadium of Light on Monday 26 October. Get our prediction and the best odds at Neds before kick-off at 3:30am AEDT.
Sunderland vs Leeds match prediction
Sunderland have made five errors leading directly to goals already this season, and Kevin Danso’s red card against Bournemouth leaves their defence even more worth monitoring.
Leeds have been hard to beat and Dominic Calvert-Lewin scored in the draw with United.
Score Prediction: Sunderland 1-2 Leeds United
Potential Goal Scorer: Dominic Calvert-Lewin
- Correct score Leeds 2-1 @ $10.00: Sunderland have conceded 10 goals in their last five games. Leeds have scored in four of their last five but conceded in four too, so a one-goal away win with a Sunderland goal fits.
- Leeds to win and both teams to score @ $4.80: Both teams scored in four of Leeds’ last five games and in three of the last four meetings.
- Leeds draw no bet @ $1.67: Leeds are 7th on 10 points and Sunderland are bottom on four. Leeds have lost one of seven league games.
Odds correct at 3:42pm AEDT, Thursday 22 October 2026. See the latest odds for every market below.
Head to head and what it means for our prediction
Of the last 4 meetings, Sunderland have won 1, Leeds have won 1 and 2 finished level. Sunderland scored 5 goals in that run and Leeds scored 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Mar 2026 | Leeds | 0-1 | Sunderland |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Sunderland | 1-1 | Leeds |
| 18 Feb 2025 | Leeds | 2-1 | Sunderland |
| 5 Oct 2024 | Sunderland | 2-2 | Leeds |
The last four meetings are split one win each and two draws, with five goals for each side. Sunderland won the most recent game 1-0 at Leeds in March, but Leeds’ league form this season points to an away win.
Form and stats behind our tips
Sunderland are 20th on four points after league losses to Brighton (2-0) and Bournemouth (2-0). Leeds are 7th on 10 points and drew 1-1 with Man United last time out.
Sunderland: last 5 games
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Result | Score | Comp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep 2026 | AZ Alkmaar | H | W | 1-0 | UEL |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Man City | A | L | 3-5 | EPL |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Brighton | H | L | 0-2 | EPL |
| 16 Oct 2026 | Torreense | A | W | 2-1 | UEL |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Bournemouth | A | L | 0-2 | EPL |
Leeds: last 5 games
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Result | Score | Comp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | Chelsea | A | L | 3-6 | League Cup |
| 15 Sep 2026 | Newcastle | H | W | 4-1 | EPL |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Crystal Palace | H | D | 0-0 | EPL |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Arsenal | A | L | 1-2 | EPL |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Man United | H | D | 1-1 | EPL |
- Both teams scored in 2 of Sunderland’s last 5 games and 4 of Leeds’.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of Sunderland’s last 5 and 3 of Leeds’.
- Sunderland kept 1 clean sheet in their last 5. Leeds kept 1.
- Sunderland sit 20th on 4 points (1 win, 1 draw, 5 losses). Leeds sit 7th on 10 points (2 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss).
Sunderland have scored six goals in their last five games and kept one clean sheet. Leeds have conceded 10 in their last five, which is why we have Sunderland scoring once, but Leeds’ nine goals in that run should be enough for the win.
Sunderland: Sunderland are without Kevin Danso (suspended), Daniel Ballard (hamstring) and Romaine Mundle (knee). Thomas Meunier and Wilson Isidor are doubts, while top scorer Brian Brobbey is expected to be fit after a hamstring injury. Habib Diarra is back. With Danso and Ballard out, Sunderland’s defence is weakened, which backs two Leeds goals.
Leeds: Leeds are without Joe Rodon (hamstring) and Mateo Joseph (knee). Daniel James is a doubt with a back injury. Leeds have most of their squad fit, and Dominic Calvert-Lewin is available to lead the line.
- Dominic Calvert-Lewin anytime goalscorer @ $2.88: Calvert-Lewin is Leeds’ top league scorer with three goals and scored in the 1-1 draw with Man United.
- Enzo Le Fee anytime goalscorer @ $5.25: Le Fee has a league goal and an assist and is fit, while Isidor is a doubt and Brobbey is short of match time.
Brian Brobbey is Sunderland’s top league scorer with three goals, all in the 5-3 loss at Man City. Le Bris says he should be ready for Leeds, but he has not played since that game because of a hamstring injury, so we have left him out.
Here’s a quick look at the current odds and popular betting markets for the Sunderland vs Leeds matchup.
*odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | 2.80 |
| Noah Okafor | 4.00 |
| Brian Brobbey | 3.20 |
| Malick Fofana | 4.60 |
| Timur Tutierov | 3.70 |
| Nilson Angulo | 5.25 |
| Anton Stach | 5.75 |
| Chris Rigg | 5.75 |
| Enzo Le Fee | 5.25 |
| Trai Hume | 8.00 |
| Ao Tanaka | 7.50 |
| Jules Ahoka | 9.00 |
| Granit Xhaka | 10.00 |
| Jayden Bogle | 9.50 |
| Nordi Mukiele | 10.00 |
Premier League odds correct as of 22/10/2026 and subject to change. Event scheduled to start at 26/10/2026 2:30am AEST.
| Team | Odds | |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland AFC/Sunderland AFC | 4.60 | Bet Now |
| Leeds United/Leeds United | 3.60 | Bet Now |
| Draw/Draw | 4.80 | Bet Now |
| Draw/Leeds United | 5.50 | Bet Now |
| Draw/Sunderland AFC | 6.50 | Bet Now |
| Leeds United/Draw | 11.00 | Bet Now |
| Sunderland AFC/Draw | 12.00 | Bet Now |
| Sunderland AFC/Leeds United | 21.00 | Bet Now |
| Leeds United/Sunderland AFC | 23.00 | Bet Now |
Premier League odds correct as of 22/10/2026 and subject to change. Event scheduled to start at 26/10/2026 2:30am AEST.