Before you lock in your bets, check our Aston Villa vs Man City prediction. Kick-off at Villa Park is 10:30pm AEDT on Saturday 24 October.
Aston Villa vs Man City match prediction
Villa have found a groove after their messy start, with Johan Manzambi becoming a proper nuisance between the lines.
Unfortunately for them, City have seven wins from seven and Erling Haaland has eight league goals already.
Villa Park will make it awkward, but City should find a way.
Score Prediction: Aston Villa 1-2 Manchester City
Potential Goal Scorer: Erling Haaland
- Correct score Man City 2-1 @ $9.75: City have scored in all of their last five games but conceded in four. Villa have scored in all five of theirs, so a one-goal City win with a Villa goal fits.
- Man City to win and both teams to score @ $2.88: City have won all seven league games, and both teams scored in four of City’s last five games.
- Both teams to score @ $1.53: Villa have scored 15 goals in their last five games. City have kept one clean sheet in that run.
Odds correct at 3:48pm AEDT, Thursday 22 October 2026. See the latest odds for every market below.
Head to head and what it means for our prediction
Of the last 5 meetings, Aston Villa have won 3, Man City have won 2 and none finished level. Aston Villa scored 7 goals in that run and Man City scored 8.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May 2026 | Man City | 1-2 | Aston Villa |
| 27 Oct 2025 | Aston Villa | 1-0 | Man City |
| 23 Apr 2025 | Man City | 2-1 | Aston Villa |
| 21 Dec 2024 | Aston Villa | 2-1 | Man City |
| 4 Apr 2024 | Man City | 4-1 | Aston Villa |
Villa have won the last two meetings, 1-0 at Villa Park and 2-1 at the Etihad in May. Four of the last five meetings had goals at both ends, which is why we back both teams to score.
Form and stats behind our tips
City are top on 21 points with seven wins from seven. Villa are 12th on eight points but have won four of their last five games in all competitions, including 1-0 at Newcastle.
Aston Villa: last 5 games
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Result | Score | Comp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Spurs | A | W | 3-2 | EPL |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Brentford | H | D | 2-2 | EPL |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Fenerbahce | H | W | 6-0 | UCL |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Newcastle | A | W | 1-0 | EPL |
| 22 Oct 2026 | Viking FK | H | W | 3-1 | UCL |
Man City: last 5 games
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Result | Score | Comp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Sunderland | H | W | 5-3 | EPL |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Liverpool | A | W | 3-0 | EPL |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Paris Saint-Germain | H | L | 2-4 | UCL |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Ipswich | H | W | 3-2 | EPL |
| 21 Oct 2026 | AEK Athens | H | W | 5-1 | UCL |
- Both teams scored in 3 of Aston Villa’s last 5 games and 4 of Man City’s.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of Aston Villa’s last 5 and 5 of Man City’s.
- Aston Villa kept 2 clean sheets in their last 5. Man City kept 1.
- Aston Villa sit 12th on 8 points (2 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses). Man City sit 1st on 21 points (7 wins).
City’s last five games all went over 2.5 goals, and they scored 18 times. Villa have kept two clean sheets in their last five, but City’s attack should find two goals at Villa Park.
Aston Villa: Villa are without Amadou Onana (knee), Matteo Ruggeri and Aaron Wan-Bissaka (both hamstring). Johan Manzambi (calf) and Modou Keba Cisse are doubts, and Ian Maatsen is back from an ankle injury. With Ruggeri and Wan-Bissaka both out, Villa are short at full-back, which gives City space out wide.
Man City: City are without Antoine Semenyo (knee). Nico O’Reilly, Mateo Kovacic and Matheus Nunes are doubts. Erling Haaland and Josko Gvardiol are fit. Haaland’s fitness is the main reason we back City to score twice.
- Erling Haaland anytime goalscorer @ $1.87: Haaland has eight league goals in seven games and is fit after a foot knock.
- Nicolas Jackson anytime goalscorer @ $3.20: Jackson has two league goals for Villa and is fit, and we have Villa scoring once.
Johan Manzambi is Villa’s joint top scorer with two goals, but he is a doubt with a calf injury, so we have picked Jackson.
Here’s a quick look at the current odds and popular betting markets for the Aston Villa vs Man City matchup.
*odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Erling Haaland | 1.85 |
| Mathis Rayan Cherki | 3.25 |
| Nicolas Jackson | 3.30 |
| Phil Foden | 3.60 |
| Iliman Ndiaye | 3.75 |
| Jeremy Doku | 3.75 |
| Emiliano Buendia | 4.80 |
| Ibrahim Mbaye | 4.75 |
| Enzo Fernandez | 4.40 |
| Alysson Edward | 6.00 |
| Ross Barkley | 6.50 |
| Elliot Anderson | 7.00 |
| John McGinn | 6.50 |
| Nico O'Reilly | 6.50 |
| Leon Goretzka | 8.50 |
Premier League odds correct as of 23/10/2026 and subject to change. Event scheduled to start at 24/10/2026 9:30pm AEST.
| Team | Odds | |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester City/Manchester City | 2.40 | Bet Now |
| Draw/Manchester City | 5.00 | Bet Now |
| Aston Villa/Aston Villa | 7.00 | Bet Now |
| Draw/Draw | 7.00 | Bet Now |
| Draw/Aston Villa | 10.00 | Bet Now |
| Manchester City/Draw | 12.00 | Bet Now |
| Aston Villa/Draw | 13.00 | Bet Now |
| Aston Villa/Manchester City | 19.00 | Bet Now |
| Manchester City/Aston Villa | 29.00 | Bet Now |
Premier League odds correct as of 23/10/2026 and subject to change. Event scheduled to start at 24/10/2026 9:30pm AEST.