Brighton host Crystal Palace at the American Express Stadium on Sunday night (Monday 19 October), kicking off at midnight AEDT. Our Brighton vs Crystal Palace prediction and betting tips are below.
Brighton vs Crystal Palace match prediction
Brighton are flying.
Three straight wins, 10 goals scored across those games and only two conceded, Fabian Hürzeler has them moving nicely, and they look like a nightmare to play when the press starts working.
Palace were much better in their 3-1 win over Forest, but this is a different sort of test.
They are still expected to be without Axel Disasi through suspension, while Brighton have enough control in midfield to make life miserable for any side that cannot play through their pressure.
Pascal Groß is the sort of bloke who will quietly run the whole game, then pop up with a goal just to make it worse.
Score Prediction: Brighton & Hove Albion 2-0 Crystal Palace
Potential Goal Scorer: Pascal Groß
- Correct score Brighton 2-0 @ $10.00: Brighton won 2-0 at Sunderland last time out and have kept three clean sheets in their last five games.
- Brighton to win to nil @ $2.88: Brighton conceded three goals in their last five games. Their clean sheets came against Coventry, Arsenal and Sunderland.
- Both teams to score: no @ $2.15: Both teams scored in only two of Brighton’s last five games and two of Palace’s last five.
- Under 2.5 goals @ $2.35: The last two meetings produced one goal between them, a 0-0 in November 2025 and a 1-0 Palace win at Brighton in February.
Odds correct at 9:06pm AEDT, Wednesday 14 October 2026. See the latest odds for every market below.
Head to head and what it means for our prediction
Of the last 5 meetings, Brighton have won 1, Crystal Palace have won 3 and 1 finished level. Brighton scored 6 goals in that run and Crystal Palace scored 7.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Feb 2026 | Brighton | 0-1 | Crystal Palace |
| 10 Nov 2025 | Crystal Palace | 0-0 | Brighton |
| 6 Apr 2025 | Crystal Palace | 2-1 | Brighton |
| 16 Dec 2024 | Brighton | 1-3 | Crystal Palace |
| 4 Feb 2024 | Brighton | 4-1 | Crystal Palace |
Palace won three of the last five meetings, including 1-0 at Brighton in February. Brighton’s only win in that run was 4-1 at home in February 2024. The last two meetings were low-scoring, which backs our under 2.5 goals bet, and Brighton’s current form is the reason we still tip them.
Form and stats behind our tips
Brighton are third on 13 points and unbeaten in five games in all competitions. Palace are 12th on seven points after beating Nottingham Forest 3-1 last time out.
Brighton: last 5 games
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Result | Score | Comp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Sep 2026 | Leeds | H | D | 1-1 | EPL |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Coventry | A | W | 5-0 | EPL |
| 17 Sep 2026 | Man United | A | W | 3-2 | League Cup |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Arsenal | H | W | 3-0 | EPL |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Sunderland | A | W | 2-0 | EPL |
Crystal Palace: last 5 games
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Result | Score | Comp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Sep 2026 | Middlesbrough | H | W | 3-0 | League Cup |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Ipswich | H | L | 2-3 | EPL |
| 18 Sep 2026 | Lech Poznan | H | W | 4-0 | UEL |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Leeds | A | D | 0-0 | EPL |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Nottingham Forest | H | W | 3-1 | EPL |
- Both teams scored in 2 of Brighton’s last 5 games and 2 of Crystal Palace’s.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of Brighton’s last 5 and 4 of Crystal Palace’s.
- Brighton kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5. Crystal Palace kept 3.
- Brighton sit 3rd on 13 points (4 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Crystal Palace sit 12th on 7 points (2 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses).
Brighton scored 14 goals and conceded three in their last five games. Palace kept three clean sheets in the same run, but lost 3-2 at home to Ipswich in September. Brighton’s defensive numbers support a win without conceding.
Brighton: Evan Ferguson and Stefanos Tzimas are out. Kaoru Mitoma, Yankuba Minteh and Mats Wieffer are doubts. Lewis Dunk is back from a neck injury, and Pascal Struijk’s red card against Sunderland was rescinded, so Brighton’s first-choice defence is available for the clean sheet.
Crystal Palace: Axel Disasi serves the last game of his three-match ban and Chadi Riad is out with a knee injury. Jean-Philippe Mateta, Dean Henderson and Takehiro Tomiyasu are doubts. If Mateta is not fit, Palace lose their main striker, which supports the both teams to score no bet.
- Pascal Gross anytime goalscorer @ $5.00: Groß has three league goals and four assists, the most of any Brighton player this season.
- Charalampos Kostoulas anytime goalscorer @ $2.20: Kostoulas has two league goals and is the favourite at Neds to score in this match.
Here’s a quick look at the current odds and popular betting markets for the Brighton vs Crystal Palace matchup.
*odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Charalampos Kostoulas | 2.25 |
| Ismaila Sarr | 4.33 |
| Yasin Ayari | 4.00 |
| Malick Junior Yalcouye | 3.75 |
| Jorgen Strand Larsen | 3.70 |
| Diego Gomez | 3.40 |
| Pascal Gross | 5.00 |
| Maxim De Cuyper | 4.33 |
| Yeremi Pino | 6.00 |
| Chema Andres | 6.00 |
| Jaouen Hadjam | 5.75 |
| Luka Vuskovic | 7.00 |
| Daichi Kamada | 7.50 |
| Ferdi Kadioglu | 7.00 |
| Anan Khalaili | 8.50 |
Premier League odds correct as of 15/10/2026 and subject to change. Event scheduled to start at 18/10/2026 11:00pm AEST.
Premier League odds correct as of 15/10/2026 and subject to change. Event scheduled to start at 18/10/2026 11:00pm AEST.