Aston Villa head to St James’ Park to take on Newcastle on Sunday 18 October. Kick-off is 3:30am AEDT, and our Newcastle vs Aston Villa prediction is locked in.
Newcastle vs Aston Villa match prediction
Newcastle’s 4-1 loss at Coventry was one of those results where you check your phone twice just to make sure you read it properly.
They were badly off it, and St James’ Park will expect a serious response.
Villa are not exactly rolling into town full of confidence either.
They have five points from six games and remain short on midfield and defensive options, with Amadou Onana, Ian Maatsen and Leon Goretzka among the absentees.
This is a good spot for Newcastle to steady themselves.
Joseph Willock has been one of their more reliable threats this season, and Villa’s away defending has not exactly been a fortress.
Score Prediction: Newcastle United 2-2 Aston Villa
Potential Goal Scorer: Joseph Willock
- Correct score 2-2 @ $12.00: Newcastle drew 2-2 with Bournemouth at home this season, and Villa drew 2-2 with Brentford last time out.
- Both teams to score @ $1.53: Both teams scored in all of Villa’s last five games and in four of Newcastle’s last five.
- Score draw @ $4.00: Villa have not kept a clean sheet in their last five games, and Newcastle scored in all of their last five.
- Over 3.5 goals @ $2.40: Newcastle conceded 11 goals in their last five games, including 4-1 defeats at Leeds and Coventry. Villa’s last five games all had at least three goals.
Odds correct at 9:06pm AEDT, Wednesday 14 October 2026. See the latest odds for every market below.
Head to head and what it means for our prediction
Of the last 5 meetings, Newcastle have won 2, Aston Villa have won 2 and 1 finished level. Newcastle scored 7 goals in that run and Aston Villa scored 7.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2026 | Aston Villa | 1-3 | Newcastle |
| 26 Jan 2026 | Newcastle | 0-2 | Aston Villa |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Aston Villa | 0-0 | Newcastle |
| 20 Apr 2025 | Aston Villa | 4-1 | Newcastle |
| 27 Dec 2024 | Newcastle | 3-0 | Aston Villa |
The last five meetings are even, with two wins each and a draw, and both sides scored seven goals. Newcastle won 3-1 at Villa Park in February, and Villa won 2-0 at St James’ Park in January. Neither side has an edge, which supports our draw.
Form and stats behind our tips
Newcastle are 11th on eight points and lost 4-1 at Coventry last time out. Villa are 16th on five points but won three of their last five games in all competitions.
Newcastle: last 5 games
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Result | Score | Comp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | Bournemouth | H | D | 2-2 | EPL |
| 9 Sep 2026 | Millwall | A | W | 1-0 | League Cup |
| 15 Sep 2026 | Leeds | A | L | 1-4 | EPL |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Hull | H | W | 2-1 | EPL |
| 13 Oct 2026 | Coventry | A | L | 1-4 | EPL |
Aston Villa: last 5 games
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Result | Score | Comp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Sep 2026 | Club Brugge | A | W | 3-2 | UCL |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Nottingham Forest | H | L | 1-2 | EPL |
| 17 Sep 2026 | Coventry | A | W | 3-1 | League Cup |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Spurs | A | W | 3-2 | EPL |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Brentford | H | D | 2-2 | EPL |
- Both teams scored in 4 of Newcastle’s last 5 games and 5 of Aston Villa’s.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of Newcastle’s last 5 and 5 of Aston Villa’s.
- Newcastle kept 1 clean sheet in their last 5. Aston Villa kept 0.
- Newcastle sit 11th on 8 points (2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses). Aston Villa sit 16th on 5 points (1 win, 2 draws, 3 losses).
Villa scored 12 and conceded nine in their last five games. Newcastle scored seven and conceded 11. Both defences let in goals, which backs both teams to score and over 3.5 goals.
Newcastle: Tino Livramento and Ewen Jaouen are out. Anthony Elanga, Jacob Ramsey and Bazoumana Touré are doubts. Dan Burn, Joelinton, Amar Dedić and Will Osula all returned off the bench at Coventry. With Livramento out, Newcastle’s defence stays short, which supports the over 3.5 goals bet.
Aston Villa: Amadou Onana and Matteo Ruggeri are out. Ian Maatsen, Modou Keba Cissé, George Hemmings and Brian Madjo are doubts. With Ruggeri out and Maatsen doubtful, Villa are short at left-back, which makes a Newcastle goal more likely for both teams to score.
- Joe Willock anytime goalscorer @ $4.80: Willock has two league goals, level with Elanga for the most at Newcastle, and Elanga is a doubt.
- Nicolas Jackson anytime goalscorer @ $2.80: Jackson is Villa’s top league scorer with two goals and the favourite at Neds to score in this match.
Here’s a quick look at the current odds and popular betting markets for the Newcastle vs Aston Villa matchup.
*odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Nicolas Jackson | 2.75 |
| Johan Manzambi | 3.90 |
| Matias Fernandez Pardo | 3.30 |
| Emiliano Buendia | 3.60 |
| Yoane Wissa | 3.30 |
| Ibrahim Mbaye | 4.33 |
| Harvey Barnes | 3.50 |
| Jacob Murphy | 5.25 |
| Ross Barkley | 5.75 |
| Joe Willock | 5.00 |
| Joelinton | 5.75 |
| John McGinn | 5.25 |
| Nico Gonzalez | 10.00 |
| Joao Gomes | 10.00 |
| Boubacar Kamara | 11.00 |
Premier League odds correct as of 15/10/2026 and subject to change. Event scheduled to start at 18/10/2026 2:30am AEST.
| Team | Odds | |
|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United/Newcastle United | 3.30 | Bet Now |
| Aston Villa/Aston Villa | 4.50 | Bet Now |
| Draw/Newcastle United | 6.00 | Bet Now |
| Draw/Draw | 6.00 | Bet Now |
| Draw/Aston Villa | 7.50 | Bet Now |
| Newcastle United/Draw | 12.00 | Bet Now |
| Aston Villa/Draw | 12.00 | Bet Now |
| Aston Villa/Newcastle United | 19.00 | Bet Now |
| Newcastle United/Aston Villa | 23.00 | Bet Now |
Premier League odds correct as of 15/10/2026 and subject to change. Event scheduled to start at 18/10/2026 2:30am AEST.