Everton face Chelsea at the Hill Dickinson Stadium on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 10:30pm AEDT. Check our Everton vs Chelsea prediction and the best odds at Neds.
Everton vs Chelsea match prediction
Everton are still unbeaten after six games, which is not a sentence many of us expected to be typing in October.
David Moyes has them organised, difficult to break down and more than happy to turn this into a scrap at the Hill Dickinson Stadium.
Chelsea, meanwhile, put five past Bournemouth last weekend and finally looked like a side capable of putting a game away without needing everyone involved to have a minor heart attack.
João Pedro scored twice in that one and should again be central to their attack.
I can see Everton keeping this tight, but Chelsea have enough quality to find one.
Whether they can stop Everton finding one back is another question entirely.
Score Prediction: Everton 1-1 Chelsea
Potential Goal Scorer: João Pedro
- Correct score 1-1 @ $8.25: Everton are unbeaten after six league games, with four draws. Two of their last five games ended 2-2, and they have kept three clean sheets in that run.
- Both teams to score @ $1.57: Chelsea have conceded in all of their last five games. Everton scored in four of their last five.
- Everton or draw @ $1.73: Everton have not lost in five games in all competitions, while Chelsea lost two of their last five, at Arsenal and 3-0 at Brentford.
- Under 3.5 goals @ $1.48: Everton’s last five games produced 10 goals in total. Their tight defence should keep this under four goals.
Odds correct at 9:05pm AEDT, Wednesday 14 October 2026. See the latest odds for every market below.
Head to head and what it means for our prediction
Of the last 5 meetings, Everton have won 1, Chelsea have won 3 and 1 finished level. Everton scored 3 goals in that run and Chelsea scored 9.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2026 | Everton | 3-0 | Chelsea |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Chelsea | 2-0 | Everton |
| 26 Apr 2025 | Chelsea | 1-0 | Everton |
| 23 Dec 2024 | Everton | 0-0 | Chelsea |
| 16 Apr 2024 | Chelsea | 6-0 | Everton |
Chelsea won three of the last five meetings, but Everton won the most recent one 3-0 in March. The last two meetings at Everton were that 3-0 win and a 0-0 draw in December 2024, so Chelsea have not won there in this run. That fits our draw tip.
Form and stats behind our tips
Everton sit above Chelsea on goal difference, and they are the only one of the two still unbeaten in the league.
Everton: last 5 games
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Result | Score | Comp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Sep 2026 | Man United | H | D | 2-2 | EPL |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Spurs | A | D | 0-0 | EPL |
| 17 Sep 2026 | Wolves | H | W | 1-0 | League Cup |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Ipswich | H | W | 1-0 | EPL |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Hull | A | D | 2-2 | EPL |
Chelsea: last 5 games
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Result | Score | Comp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Sep 2026 | Arsenal | A | L | 1-2 | EPL |
| 10 Sep 2026 | Leeds | H | W | 6-3 | League Cup |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Hull | H | D | 2-2 | EPL |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Brentford | A | L | 0-3 | EPL |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Bournemouth | H | W | 5-1 | EPL |
- Both teams scored in 2 of Everton’s last 5 games and 4 of Chelsea’s.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of Everton’s last 5 and 5 of Chelsea’s.
- Everton kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5. Chelsea kept 0.
- Everton sit 5th on 10 points (2 wins, 4 draws). Chelsea sit 6th on 10 points (3 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses).
Chelsea scored 14 goals in their last five games but conceded 11, so they score and concede freely. Everton conceded only four in the same run. One goal each fits both sets of numbers.
Everton: Vitalii Mykolenko is a doubt with a muscle problem from international duty, so Jarrad Branthwaite may stay at left-back. Christian Nørgaard and Merlin Röhl are fit again. Everton have no long-term absentees, which supports the Everton or draw bet.
Chelsea: Jamie Gittens is out with an ankle injury and Reece James is a doubt with a knee problem. João Pedro, Cole Palmer and Moisés Caicedo all played in the 5-1 win over Bournemouth. Chelsea’s attack is close to full strength, which backs a Chelsea goal in the both teams to score bet.
- Joao Pedro anytime goalscorer @ $2.40: João Pedro scored twice against Bournemouth and leads Chelsea’s league scoring with five goals.
- Thierno Barry anytime goalscorer @ $3.00: Barry is Everton’s top league scorer with three goals and leads their line at home.
Here’s a quick look at the current odds and popular betting markets for the Everton vs Chelsea matchup.
*odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Joao Pedro | 2.40 |
| Cole Palmer | 3.10 |
| Thierno Barry | 3.10 |
| Morgan Rogers | 3.30 |
| Kiernan Dewsbury Hall | 4.33 |
| Brennan Johnson | 5.50 |
| Jack Grealish | 5.50 |
| Pedro Neto | 5.25 |
| Moises Caicedo | 8.50 |
| James Garner | 8.00 |
| Harrison Armstrong | 9.00 |
| Romeo Lavia | 9.50 |
| Jordan Henderson | 9.00 |
| James Tarkowski | 11.00 |
| Michael Keane | 11.00 |
Premier League odds correct as of 15/10/2026 and subject to change. Event scheduled to start at 17/10/2026 9:30pm AEST.
| Team | Odds | |
|---|---|---|
| Chelsea/Chelsea | 3.20 | Bet Now |
| Everton FC/Everton FC | 4.80 | Bet Now |
| Draw/Draw | 5.75 | Bet Now |
| Draw/Chelsea | 5.50 | Bet Now |
| Draw/Everton FC | 7.50 | Bet Now |
| Everton FC/Draw | 11.00 | Bet Now |
| Chelsea/Draw | 11.00 | Bet Now |
| Everton FC/Chelsea | 19.00 | Bet Now |
| Chelsea/Everton FC | 21.00 | Bet Now |
Premier League odds correct as of 15/10/2026 and subject to change. Event scheduled to start at 17/10/2026 9:30pm AEST.