Thursday, October 28.

PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS VS MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES
Grizzlies (+2.5) $1.87

The Grizzlies are out to continue their impressive start to the season when they travel to Portland.

Memphis are 2-1 to start the season and can count themselves unlucky not to be 3-0, after dominating the LAkers for large stretches of the game last time out.

The Grizzlies’ success can be largely attributed to the form of Ja Morant, the 2020/21 Rookie of the Year is currently the league’s leading scorer (35) averaging four more points than the next best in Curry.

Alternatively, the Trail Blazers are struggling to find their feet, with Dolla Dame throwing up nothing but bricks at the minute.

On current form, the Grizzlies are a real chance completing a snatch and grab in Portland here, they are currently 3-0 against the spread this season and I’ll be backing their perfect run to continue.

PHOENIX SUNS VS SACRAMENTO KINGS
Kings (+8) $1.90

Next up, the Suns are searching to rediscover their 2020/21 form when they welcome the Kings to the Footprint Center in Phoenix.

Despite both clubs sitting on a 1-2 record, it’s been Sacramento who has looked the better of the pair following losses to both Golden State and Utah.

Alternatively, the Suns have suffered heavy defeats against Denver and a shakey Portland unit, while their solitary win came against a disjointed Lakers outfit.

There are a lot of distractions swirling around the Phoenix organisation at the moment in regard to ownership and player contracts, and until they sort their business out off the court, I can see their game suffering on the court.

The Kings are 4-2 against the line across their last six games vs the Suns, while they have covered on nine of their last 10 road games!

 

Wednesday, October 27.

OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS
Warriors (-9) $1.90

Top of the West plays bottom of the West, as the Dubs head to Oklahoma to take on the Thunder.

After three games, OKC are ranked 29th in scoring (93.3 PPG), while they have the worst ave point differential in the league (-22).

Meanwhile, GSW are ranked fourth in scoring (118.3 PPG), with Steph Curry averaging 31 points across their opening three games.

This will be the Dubs’ third game on the road, they won their previous two while also covering the spread.

Curry and co have been able to drop points at will against the likes of the Lakers and Clippers, a step back in class against the Thunder could see the flood gates swing wide open.

I’m backing the Warriors to eclipse the current -9 line, with Curry stuffing the box score.

DALLAS MAVERICKS VS HOUSTON ROCKETS
Rockets (+11) $1.90

The Mavs are set to play their first game in front of a home ground when they welcome the Rockets to Dallas.

Houston has largely been tipped to have another horrible season, though early signs have shown that their young roster is ready to fight for results.

2021’s 2nd draft pick Jalen Green enjoyed his breakout performance against the Celtics last time out, dropping 30 points while hitting 8/10 from deep!

The Mavs have struggled to get their offense going to start the season, and though I can’t see them losing at home, covering the -11 point line is looking like a stretch for a side so heavily reliant on one man.

Tuesday, October 26.

DENVER NUGGETS VS CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
SGM: Nugs to Win & Jokic 25+ Points & 12+ Rebounds $2.05

The Nuggets are looking to continue their perfect start to the season when they welcome the Cavaliers to Denver this morning (AEST).

In the absence of Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic has continued his MVP form, leading his side in both Points (29.5) and Assists (14.5).

The Cavs finished last season with a 9-27 record on the road, and although they have shown early signs of improvement I can’t see their young roster causing Jokic and co any problems here.

LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS VS PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS
Paul George Over 28.5 Points $1.87

The Clippers are desperate to prove they can survive without the services of Kawhi Leonard when they welcome the Trail Blazers to the STAPLES Centre.

One man, in particular, has been out to silence his critics, with Paul George taking up the role of the alpha dog in Kawhi’s absence.

PG13 has dropped 29 & 41 points across the Clippers opening two fixtures, and the talented guard doesn’t look like relinquishing the ball to his less competent teammates.

These sides are fairly evenly matched here, I’m predicting this game to turn into a battle of the backcourts, with George once again shouldering the scoring onus for the Clips.

Monday, October 25.

Monday Multi
Nets + Knicks + Sixers

This is a pretty straightforward play to kick the week off.

Nets to Win:

The Nets will be looking to build some offensive continuity as they prepare for life without Kyrie.

A home fixture against the Hornets’ feeble defense will provide them the perfect opportunity to do just that.

Charlotte are in for a good year with their young core, though a win against KD, Harden, and co is still a little while off for the young squad.

Knicks to Win:

Knicks have been dealt a very favourable draw to build confidence at the front end of the season, with back-to-back games against the Magic.

Orlando are at the infancy stage of their rebuild, though funnily enough, it’s hard to recall a time when they weren’t looking towards the lottery.

The Knicks are a different beast in front of a packed MSG, I can’t see them dropping the ball here.

Sixers to Win:

Philadelphia are playing with a chip on their shoulder, as Embiid and co are out to prove they are just as good, if not better without the services of one Ben Simmons.

Joel is a one-man wrecking ball and was odds on favourite to take out the regular season MVP last year before hurting his knee.

Sam Presti has priced together a talented young squad at OKC, a squad that is deliberately designed to finish in the bottom 3 of the West.

Sunday, October 24.

NBA Sunday Multi
Bulls to Win + Timberwolves to Win

At first glance, Sunday’s slate looks like an absolute nightmare to navigate from a punting perspective.

Though there are two plays I like the look of, with both the Bulls and the Timberwolves dealt favourable fixtures at home.

Bulls to Win:

Chicago takes on the Pistons who they just defeated on the road three days back, with Lavine putting on a second-half masterclass.

Detroit are missing their #1 draft pick in Cade Cunningham and have no real threat on the offensive end.

No doubt the Pistons will throw everything they have at the Bulls here, there’s just not much to throw.

Timberwolves to Win:

This is not so much a bet on the Timberwolves, but rather a punt against the Pels.

Minnesota are locked in for the first time in a long time, the youthful enthusiasm and hunger of Antony Edwards is starting to rub off onto the rest of the squad, with the likes of KAT and DLo scrapping it out for every advantage.

Timberwolves are my smokies for a playoffs birth this season ($6.50), while the Pels look set for a miserable year.

Saturday, October 23.

CHICAGO BULLS VS NEW ORLEANS PELICANS
Over 224 Points $1.90

The Bulls look to go 2-0 when they welcome the Pelicans to the United Center on Saturday morning (AEST).

New Orleans are in dire straights at the minute, without Zion Williamson their squad seems to lack any sort of purpose.

This game has “OVERS” written all over it, the Bulls have stacked their team full of offensive weapons with no real thought toward protecting their own bucket.

Meanwhile, the Pels spent most of last season getting into trading buckets with their opponents, averaging 227.8 points per game.

224 seems about five points short of where the total points line should be sitting for this contest, I’m backing a high-scoring affair with Zac Lavine dropping another 30-dime.

 

NBA Multi
Celtics + Knicks + Nuggets $2.70

NBA Saturday Multi:

This weekend’s NBA multi looks pretty straight forward, with three franchises vying for playoffs coming up against three sides with an eye towards the 2022 lottery.

Celtics to Win:

Boston play host to the Raptors, with both sides looking for their first win.

Toronto put up a lacklustre performance against the Wizards last time out, with VanVleet top scoring with a lousy 12-points.

Ulternatively, Boston went down to the Knicks in a double overtime thriller, with Brown putting up 46, while Tatum struggled to get going.

The Raptors are clearly in a period of transition, a win on the road looks beyond their reach here.

Knicks to Win:

After holding on against the Celtics in 2OT, the Knicks have been rewarded with a trip to Orlando.

The Magic were absolutely trounced by the Spurs in their opening fixture and look about three years away from being competitive in the NBA.

THis one is a real no-brainer, I can’t see the Magic winning more than 20 games this season, while the Knicks will be hard pressed not to make playoffs again.

Denver to Win:

Finally I have the Nuggets to see off the Spurs in Denver.

The Spurs put on a show against the Magic last time out, running out 26-point winners, although I wouldn’t read too far into that result, with Orlando set to be this season’s whipping boys.

Denver also got off to a hot start, snatching a win against the more fancied Suns in Phoenix.

Once again it was the Jokic show, the reigning MVP lifted his side to a second half comeback, dropping 27 points and 13 rebounds.

Despite the Spurs success against the Magic, the Nuggets are a completely different beast, especially at their Denver fortress.

Friday, October 22.

ATLANTA HAWKS VS DALLAS MAVERICKS
Dallas Mavericks (+2.5) $1.90

Trae Young and Luka Doncic are set to go toe-to-toe in the battle of the 2018 Draft Class.

The NBA community is extremely high on the Atlanta Hawks following their deep run into the Eastern Conference Finals last season.

Trae Young was the catalyst for his side’s tremendous run of form in the second half of the season, drawing comparisons to a Curry/Nash hybrid.

One of the reasons Trae was so efficient was his ability to get to the charity stripe, drawing fouls via questionable tactics, a tactic which has now been outlawed by the NBA.

Meanwhile, the Mavs have had a change in head coach, with former guard Jason Kidd taking the reigns in a move that will likely see Luka excel on the offensive end of the court, not that he wasn’t already.

Speaking of the Serb, Luka enters this season in far better shape than last year, the young guard is currently odds on favourite to take out the regular season MVP ($5).

The Mavs swept the Hawks across the regular season last year, with Luka firing and Porzingis finally looking fit I’ll be backing Dallas to cover the spread here.

 

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS VS LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS
Over 226.5 $1.90

The Clippers will be the last team to play their opening game of the season when they travel to the Oracle Arena.

The Dubs have already claimed a W against an LA outfit this season, coming over the top of the Lakers late to claim a 7-point victory.

Curry struggled to find his shot against the Lakers, but the former MVP made sure he contributed in any way possible, posting his 8th career Triple-Double, while facilitating five of his teammates to double-figure scores.

The Clippers are set to be without their best perimeter defender for the entire regular season, with Kawhi sidelined through injury.

This opens the gates for the Warriors’ outside shooters, with Curry, Poole, Wiggins, and Lee set to cash in.

Four of the Clippers’ last five road games have gone over the total points line, with both teams likely to play small ball, I think the 226.5 point line should be eclipsed early in the fourth!

Thursday, October 21.

NEW ORLEANS PELICANS VS PHILADELPHIA 76ERS
Joel Embiid 30+ Points $1.87

Both sides head into this fixture without key players, Zion Williamson remains sidelined through injury for the Pels, while Ben Simmons has been suspended for one game after refusing to participate in a training drill.

For the Sixers, Simmons missing out won’t curtail their chances of picking up a win here, from all reports, the likes of Embiid, Curry, Harris, and Green have been gelling well throughout the preseason camp and will make life extremely easy for whoever steps in at PG.

Alternatively, Zion is head and shoulders above the rest of the Pelicans roster, with the likes of Brandon Ingram and Jonas Valanciunas set to take up the offensive slack.

Philly has won five of their last six meetings with New Orleans and with all the noise surrounding their franchise, I can easily see Embiid stepping out and making a huge statement on the court here.

PHOENIX SUNS VS DENVER NUGGETS
Suns (-6) $1.90

The Suns open their regular season against the side they swept in the Western Conference semi-finals last campaign.

Phoenix covered the line in all four playoff matches against Denver, completely overwhelming their understaffed opponents.

The Nugs are still without first-choice guard Jamal Murray, who will sit most of the regular season with an ACL tear.

Many pundits have tipped Michael Porter Jr to step up in his teammate’s absence, though we’re yet to see any sort of consistency from the small forward.

After falling at the final hurdle last season the Suns will be hungrier than ever, with a healthy and enthusiastic squad on hand I’m backing the home side to blow the Nuggets off the floor here.

Wednesday, October 20.

MILWAUKEE BUCKS VS BROOKLYN NETS
Under 237.5 $1.90

The NBA returns on Wednesday morning (AEST) as the current Champs welcome the 2021/22 bookies favourite to Milwaukee.

The Nets currently sit as slight favourites in the H2H market despite the vaccine circus surround key pillar, Kyrie Irving.

The crafty guard is set to be condemned to the sidelines until he adheres to the organisation’s vaccine policy, a storyline that threatens to overshadow on-court spectacle.

Patty Mills will likely take up the slack left by Kyrie, after 10 mostly successful years at the Spurs, the Aussie legend has taken his talents to the most stacked roster in the league and we love it!

Despite the Bucks (120.1) and the Nets (118.6) finishing as the top two offensive units last season, they went over the total points market just once across the pairs previous nine meetings.

These two sides are likely to be battling it out for top seed in the East this sesaon, with bragging rights on the line early I’m backing this to be a cagey contest with defense rather than offence being the deciding factor.

LOS ANGELES LAKERS VS GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS
Lakers (-3.5) $1.90

The second contest of the season is a battle of the peoples favourites in the West.

LeBron vs Curry will no doubt have eyes glues to screens and unsolicited opinions flying across the twitter-sphere.

The Lakers had the town talking over the offseason with the acquisition of Russell Westbrook, with many pundits left wondering if the Triple-Double merchant will enhance or reduce LeBron’s chances of a fifth ring.

The Warriors have been priced at $9 to take out the league this season, a price which reflects the publics affection for Curry and his teammates and not so much the actual talent across their entire roster.

With Klay Thompson still riding the pine for the next month or so, the lions share of scoring responsibility will fall on the trusty shoulders of Steph Curry, and although the 33yo PG took out the NBA scoring title last season, I can’t see him carrying the rest of his side to within 4-points of a healthy Lakers unit here.

NBA Finals Tips, Game 6

MILWAUKEE BUCKS VS PHOENIX SUNS
Bucks to Win & Giannis 35+ Points $3.00

The Bucks are in the box seat to win their second ever NBA title and first since 1971, when Oscar Robertson and Kareem Abdul-Jabbar both graced the court.

Milwaukee’s star trio of Giannis, Middleton and Holiday all delivered in a huge game 5, claiming the first away win of the series and tilting the 2021 NBA title odds heavily in their favour.

Giannis was at his stat stuffing best, dropping a team-high 32 points while contributing 9 boards and 6 assists.

Though for me, it was Jrue Holiday who was best on court, completely throwing Chris Paul off his game, while contributing 27 points, 13 assists and 3 steals of his own!

The Suns’ role players have already shown they can’t deliver on the road this series, with Booker the only man to post 20+ points in Milwaukee.

Despite Devin putting up back-to-back 40-point games, Phoenix just don’t have the pieces to match the Bucks on the defensive end.

I’m backing Giannis to secure his first NBA ring and Finals MVP trophy with another dominate display at the expense of the overachieving Suns.