NFL Week 5 2026 Tips and Preview

NFL Week 5 2026 Tips and Preview

We’ve had a month of NFL football, how bad up is your fantasy team? Mine’s horrendous thanks for asking.

Week 5 is here and so are bye weeks, there is still plenty of NFL to go round this week including a London game so let’s get stuck in hey.

Here is my preview of Week 5 of the 2026/27 NFL season.

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NFL

AT&T Stadium • Friday 9th Oct

Dallas Cowboys
$1.20
vs
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
$4.50
NFL odds correct as of 08/10/2026 and subject to change.
Dallas Cowboys
vs
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Friday 9th October 2026 10:15 AM
Over 48 Total Points @ $1.88 Dak Prescott 275+ Passing Yards @ $2.02 CeeDee Lamb Anytime Touchdown @ $1.95 CeeDee Lamb 100+ Receiving Yards @ $2.55

We are kicking off with what I reckon is one of the most one-sided Thursday night football games we will see all year. When they put the schedule out, I don’t think anyone was expecting the Bucs to be THIS bad.

The Cowboys are rolling after a big one last week, CeeDee had a million catches and Dallas has the second highest scoring offence in the league. The only thing stopping this being a blowout on the scoreboard is that the Dallas defence is still Swiss cheese, the over is 4-0 in their games this year. So I am not touching the big line, I just want the points and I want CeeDee to feast.

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NFL

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium • Monday 12th Oct

Jacksonville Jaguars
$1.26
vs
Philadelphia Eagles
$3.80
NFL odds correct as of 08/10/2026 and subject to change.
Jacksonville Jaguars
vs
Philadelphia Eagles
Sunday 11th October 2026 11:30 PM
Jaguars -7.5 @ $1.92 Trevor Lawrence 250+ Passing Yards @ $2.40 Brian Thomas Jr Anytime Touchdown @ $4.40

Off to London we go and the Eagles are an absolute are a shell of who they usually are. Not suiting up this week is Lane Johnson (retired), Dickerson, Jurgens (traded), DeVonta Smith, Goedert, Saquon, Bigsby, the list goes on. That is a brutal sheet to be carrying across the Atlantic.

The Jags are humming and Trevor Lawrence looks like a surgeon out there. I know a 7 and a half point line is the high end but I think Jacksonville win this and win it clear.

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NFL

Hard Rock Stadium • Monday 12th Oct

Miami Dolphins
$3.50
vs
Cincinnati Bengals
$1.30
NFL odds correct as of 08/10/2026 and subject to change.
Miami Dolphins`
vs
Cincinnati Bengals
Monday 12th October 2026 3:00 AM
Over 42.5 @ $1.90 Chase Brown Anytime Touchdown @ $1.67 Chase Brown 67.5+ Rushing Yards @ $1.88

The Bengals receiver room is held together with tape right now, Chase in concussion protocol and Tee Higgins has some sort of an adductor situation. With a bye coming in Week 6, I wonder if they play it a bit cautious.

The total has dropped from 48 and a half all the way to 42 and a half which tells you everything. I am not game to back the Bengals result given how banged up they are, so I just want the overs and I am loading up on Chase Brown, who should get fed on the ground against a Miami run defence that isn’t anything special.

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NFL

Caesars Superdome • Monday 12th Oct

New Orleans Saints
$2.05
vs
Minnesota Vikings
$1.77
NFL odds correct as of 08/10/2026 and subject to change.
New Orleans Saints
vs
Minnesota Vikings
Monday 12th October 2026 3:00 AM
Vikings -2 @ $1.90 Aaron Jones 72.5+ Rushing Yards @ $1.88 Aaron Jones Anytime Touchdown @ $1.73

The Vikings might be the worst 4-0 team we have ever seen. They are 28th in EPA per play and dead last in success rate. 4-0 and I still don’t trust them an inch.

But the Saints let in FIVE rushing touchdowns last week, so even this stuttering Vikings offence should be able to move it. If they win it’s by at least a field goal anyway so I am happy taking the short line and leaning on Aaron Jones.

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NFL

Gillette Stadium • Monday 12th Oct

New England Patriots
$1.50
vs
Las Vegas Raiders
$2.60
NFL odds correct as of 08/10/2026 and subject to change.
New England Patriots
vs
Las Vegas Raiders
Monday 12th October 2026 3:00 AM
Raiders H2H @ $2.60 Ashton Jeanty Anytime Touchdown @ $1.80 Brock Bowers 72.5+ Receiving Yards @ $1.88

I liked the Raiders here as value, then I saw that Christian Gonzalez (shoulder) didn’t practise. That is a big deal for a New England secondary that has been their strength.

I have been on the Raiders upset train since Week 3 and I am staying on it. Jeanty has the yards but no rushing touchdowns yet, 206 yards at 3.3 a carry isn’t fantastic in four weeks, HOWEVER I am backing the talent to correct that here.

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NFL

Northwest Stadium • Monday 12th Oct

Washington Commanders
$1.52
vs
New York Giants
$2.55
NFL odds correct as of 08/10/2026 and subject to change.
Washington Commanders
vs
New York Giants
Monday 12th October 2026 3:00 AM
Commanders H2H @ $1.53 Jacorey Croskey-Merritt Anytime Touchdown @ $2.25 Jacorey Croskey-Merritt & Cam Skattebo 120+ Combined Rushing Yards @ $2.10

Jayden Daniels is back from that dislocated elbow, albeit in a bulkier brace, and there is rain about for this NFC East clash. The Giants are 3-1 but I am telling you that is fool’s gold, I am not buying Famous Jameis for a second even though I love him as a human being.

Washington handle this at home.

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NFL

Lambeau Field • Monday 12th Oct

Green Bay Packers
$2.10
vs
Chicago Bears
$1.75
NFL odds correct as of 08/10/2026 and subject to change.
Green Bay Packers
vs
Chicago Bears
Monday 12th October 2026 3:00 AM
Bears H2H @ $1.75 Kyle Monangai Anytime Touchdown @ $2.35 Luther Burden 48.5+ Receiving Yards @ $1.88

No Caleb Williams and the Bears are STILL road favourites at Lambeau. That should tell you how much I rate what Ben Johnson is building. I trust Tyson Bagent to manage it and I am not getting off the Bears train now.

Kyle Monangai has been a revelation, 324 yards at 5.4 a carry with 3 touchdowns, so I am taking a swing on him finding paydirt again.

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NFL

Nissan Stadium • Monday 12th Oct

Tennessee Titans
$4.00
vs
Houston Texans
$1.25
NFL odds correct as of 08/10/2026 and subject to change.
Tennessee Titans
vs
Houston Texans
Monday 12th October 2026 3:00 AM
Texans 14+ @ $3.60

I do not care about this game and neither should you. This one is going to be shocking. One market, move on with your life.

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NFL

Acrisure Stadium • Monday 12th Oct

Pittsburgh Steelers
$1.68
vs
Indianapolis Colts
$2.20
NFL odds correct as of 08/10/2026 and subject to change.
Pittsburgh Steelers
vs
Indianapolis Colts
Monday 12th October 2026 3:00 AM
Colts H2H @ $2.20 Jonathan Taylor Anytime Touchdown @ $1.57 Jonathan Taylor 88.5+ Rushing Yards @ $1.91 Tyler Warren Anytime Touchdown @ $3.05 Tyler Warren 50.5+ Receiving Yards @ $1.92 Roman Wilson 33.5+ Receiving Yards @ $1.88 Roman Wilson Anytime Touchdown @ $4.40

Right, these are my biggest plays of the week. Jonathan Taylor is the best player on this field and I just know he’ll find a way to get it done.

I smell an upset here and I reckon it’s off the back of JT and Warren.

Roman Wilson is also slowly building some serious connection with Rodgers, I’d be jumping on him now before the bookies clue in.

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NFL

MetLife Stadium • Monday 12th Oct

New York Jets
$1.78
vs
Cleveland Browns
$2.05
NFL odds correct as of 08/10/2026 and subject to change.
New York Jets
vs
Cleveland Browns
Monday 12th October 2026 3:00 AM
Jets -2 @ $1.90 Braelon Allen Anytime Touchdown @ $2.00 Braelon Allen Over 71.5 Rushing Yards @ $1.88

Another one I don’t want to watch. The Jets are short favourites here on my screen and I am just taking them and backing Braelon Allen to do the heavy lifting on the ground while Breece Hall is banged up.

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NFL

SoFi Stadium • Monday 12th Oct

Los Angeles Chargers
$2.40
vs
Denver Broncos
$1.57
NFL odds correct as of 08/10/2026 and subject to change.
Los Angeles Chargers
vs
Denver Broncos
Monday 12th October 2026 6:05 AM
Under 42 @ $1.88 Jalen Waddle Anytime Touchdown @ $2.90

I am tired of pretending Bo Nix is a good quarterback. And honestly Herbert has been just as bad. Neither of these offences gives me a spark, so I am not backing a winner, I just want the unders and to get out of here.

I will have one little fantasy-bias dart on Waddle to find the end zone, don’t judge me.

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NFL

Lumen Field • Monday 12th Oct

Seattle Seahawks
$1.60
vs
San Francisco 49ers
$2.35
NFL odds correct as of 08/10/2026 and subject to change.
Seattle Seahawks
vs
San Francisco 49ers
Monday 12th October 2026 6:25 AM
Over 46 @ $1.91 George Kittle Anytime Touchdown @ $2.80 Christian McCaffrey 53.5+ Rushing Yards @ $1.92 Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Mike Evans 150+ Combined Receiving Yards @ $2.10

This is my game of the week and I just want the over so it doesn’t get spoiled. Sam Darnold is questionable with a soft-tissue thing but the hip is fine, I am betting he plays.

Two good teams, points on the board, give me all of it.

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NFL

State Farm Stadium • Monday 12th Oct

Arizona Cardinals
$2.95
vs
Detroit Lions
$1.40
NFL odds correct as of 08/10/2026 and subject to change.
Arizona Cardinals
vs
Detroit Lions
Monday 12th October 2026 6:25 AM
Cardinals +5 @ $1.92 Michael Wilson 75.5+ Receiving Yards @ $1.91 Amon-Ra St. Brown Anytime Touchdown @ $1.73

I don’t think the Lions are that good this year and their pass defence is the worst in the league, full stop. Every QB that has played them has gone for 300, Bryce and Tet carved them up last week for Carolina.

So I think Brissett and the Cardinals can do some damage. Do I think Arizona are good enough to actually win? No. But Michael Wilson should eat against this secondary.

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NFL

Mercedes-Benz Stadium • Monday 12th Oct

Atlanta Falcons
$1.57
vs
Baltimore Ravens
$2.45
NFL odds correct as of 08/10/2026 and subject to change.
Atlanta Falcons
vs
Baltimore Ravens
Monday 12th October 2026 10:20 AM
Falcons -3.5 @ $1.96 Bijan Robinson and Derrick Henry 3+ Combined Touchdowns @ $2.90 Bijan Robinson, Brian Robinson and Derrick Henry 200+ Combined Rushing Yards @ $1.65

The Lamar injury is massive here and the bookies know it, the line has swung nine points. Without Lamar this Ravens team stutters, and I am learning quick that the Falcons with Michael Penix can get it done, especially with Bijan doing what he’s doing.

I think this game is nothing but rushing. Give me both Henry and Bijan to have big days and the Falcons to cover.

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NFL

SoFi Stadium • Tuesday 13th Oct

Los Angeles Rams
$1.57
vs
Buffalo Bills
$2.40
NFL odds correct as of 08/10/2026 and subject to change.
Los Angeles Rams
vs
Buffalo Bills
Tuesday 13th October 2026 10:15 AM
Bills H2H @ $2.35 Dalton Kincaid Anytime Touchdown @ $3.25 Dalton Kincaid 50.5+ Receiving Yards @ $1.92 James Cook 75.5+ Rushing Yards @ $1.88

We finish on Monday night and I actually think Buffalo are the much better team here. The Rams are not living up to the hype and even though Buffalo have had some ugly games, that Chargers game was rough, they still get the job done.

I think Josh Allen and the boys really give it to the Rams. Kincaid broke my heart last week but I am backing the bounce-back, and how do you look past James Cook with Garrett off the Rams edge?