Aston Villa vs Brentford gets underway at Villa Park at 1:00am AEDT on Sunday 11 October. Read our prediction, then grab the best odds at Neds.
Aston Villa vs Brentford match prediction
Villa Park has not exactly been the happy place it usually is so far this season.
Unai Emery’s side have been patchy, injuries are not helping, and Brentford arrive looking like one of the early surprise packets.
The Bees have made a strong start and Igor Thiago is their main striker.
Villa are missing Amadou Onana and Ian Maatsen, and Leon Goretzka is a doubt, so they are not quite as balanced as Emery would like heading into a game where Brentford will happily make it physical and direct.
Villa should improve at home, but Brentford have already shown they are not here to play the plucky underdog role.
This has the feel of a game where both sides score and neither side gets exactly what it wants.
Score Prediction: Aston Villa 1-1 Brentford
Potential Goal Scorer: Igor Thiago
- Correct score 1-1 @ $7.75: our score prediction. Brentford have drawn 3 of their 5 league games.
- Score draw @ $4.00: pays on any level score with both sides scoring, which covers our 1-1 call.
- Brentford or draw @ $1.48: Brentford are yet to lose a league game this season.
- Under 3.5 goals @ $1.44: 4 of the last 5 meetings finished with 2 goals or fewer.
Odds correct at 5:26pm AEDT, Wednesday 7 October 2026. See the latest odds for every market below.
Head to head and what it means for our prediction
Of the last 5 meetings, Aston Villa have won 2, Brentford have won 2 and 1 finished level. Aston Villa scored 5 goals in that run and Brentford scored 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Feb 2026 | Aston Villa | 0-1 | Brentford |
| 17 Sep 2025 | Brentford | 1-1 | Aston Villa |
| 24 Aug 2025 | Brentford | 1-0 | Aston Villa |
| 9 Mar 2025 | Brentford | 0-1 | Aston Villa |
| 5 Dec 2024 | Aston Villa | 3-1 | Brentford |
Brentford won 1-0 on their last visit to Villa Park in February, so Villa’s home advantage counts for less in this fixture.
Form and stats behind our tips
Villa have won 3 of their last 5 in all competitions, but only 1 of their 5 league games. Brentford have scored in all of their last 5.
Aston Villa: last 5 games
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Result | Score | Comp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Sep 2026 | Hull | A | D | 0-0 | EPL |
| 9 Sep 2026 | Club Brugge | A | W | 3-2 | UCL |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Nottingham Forest | H | L | 1-2 | EPL |
| 17 Sep 2026 | Coventry | A | W | 3-1 | League Cup |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Spurs | A | W | 3-2 | EPL |
Brentford: last 5 games
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Result | Score | Comp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2026 | Leeds | A | D | 1-1 | EPL |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Sunderland | H | D | 1-1 | EPL |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Bournemouth | A | D | 2-2 | EPL |
| 16 Sep 2026 | Reading | A | W | 2-1 | League Cup |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Chelsea | H | W | 3-0 | EPL |
- Both teams scored in 4 of Aston Villa’s last 5 games and 4 of Brentford’s.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of Aston Villa’s last 5 and 3 of Brentford’s.
- Aston Villa kept 1 clean sheet in their last 5. Brentford kept 1.
- Aston Villa sit 16th on 4 points (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses). Brentford sit 4th on 9 points (2 wins, 3 draws).
Villa have conceded in 4 of their last 5, so we expect Brentford to score at Villa Park.
Aston Villa: Amadou Onana (knee) and Ian Maatsen (ankle) are out, and Matty Cash and Leon Goretzka (knee) are in doubt. Pau Torres, Brian Madjo, Alysson, Marco Bizot and Zion Suzuki are all expected to be available, and Torres’s return strengthens the Villa defence.
Brentford: Kaye Furo is out. Mikkel Damsgaard (ankle), Nathan Collins, Sepp van den Berg (groin), Mathias Jensen, Josh Dasilva (hamstring), Antoni Milambo (knee) and Dango Ouattara (illness) are in doubt. The doubts over Collins and van den Berg could open the door for a Villa goal.
- Igor Thiago anytime goalscorer @ $2.35: our goalscorer pick and the shortest-priced player in the match to score.
- Nicolas Jackson anytime goalscorer @ $2.80: Villa’s shortest-priced player to score, with 1 league goal this season.
Here’s a quick look at the current odds and popular betting markets for the Aston Villa vs Brentford matchup.
*odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Igor Thiago | 2.40 |
| Kevin Schade | 3.70 |
| Emiliano Buendia | 3.75 |
| Nicolas Jackson | 2.80 |
| Johan Manzambi | 4.75 |
| Jaidon Anthony | 4.60 |
| Dango Ouattara | 4.60 |
| Ross Barkley | 5.75 |
| John McGinn | 5.75 |
| Mikkel Damsgaard | 5.50 |
| George Hemmings | 6.00 |
| Keane Lewis-Potter | 8.50 |
| Mamadou Sangare | 8.50 |
| Yegor Yarmolyuk | 9.00 |
| Joao Gomes | 10.00 |
Premier League odds correct as of 08/10/2026 and subject to change. Event scheduled to start at 11/10/2026 12:00am AEST.
| Team | Odds | |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa/Aston Villa | 4.00 | Bet Now |
| Brentford/Brentford | 3.80 | Bet Now |
| Draw/Aston Villa | 6.00 | Bet Now |
| Draw/Draw | 5.50 | Bet Now |
| Draw/Brentford | 6.00 | Bet Now |
| Aston Villa/Draw | 11.00 | Bet Now |
| Brentford/Draw | 11.00 | Bet Now |
| Aston Villa/Brentford | 19.00 | Bet Now |
| Brentford/Aston Villa | 19.00 | Bet Now |
Premier League odds correct as of 08/10/2026 and subject to change. Event scheduled to start at 11/10/2026 12:00am AEST.