Japan vs Wallabies 1st Test 2026: Tips & Predictions

Japan vs Wallabies 1st Test 2026: Tips & Predictions

Japan
vs
Wallabies
Hanazono Rugby Stadium on Saturday, August 8, at 10:05 pm

We have our Japan vs Wallabies prediction for the opening test between Japan and Australia on Saturday, August 8 at 10:05 PM.

The Hanazono Rugby Stadium hosts the 1st test, where the Wallabies are expected to turn up and put pay to the hosts. However, with only 15.5 points between them in rugby betting markets, the team at Neds expects a close contest.

Our Japan vs Wallabies tips look at the best rugby betting options for rugby punters this week.

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Internationals

Saturday 8th Aug

Japan
$5.25
vs
Australia
$1.14
Internationals odds correct as of 07/08/2026 and subject to change.
Spread Pick
Pick: Wallabies -15.5 @ $1.90

The Wallabies look like the standout option in spread betting markets. Their Nations Championship campaign was a mixed bag, with tough losses against Ireland and France. However, Australia was far too good for Italy in their most recent game, winning 57-10 in fine style.

Defeating Italy isn’t the best form guide for international test rugby, but we liked the way the Wallabies put Italy to the sword early in the game, and it allowed Australia’s talented backline to pile on the pressure. If they are anywhere near that level, we have little doubt that the Wallabies will win and cover the -15.5 spread.

Japan’s Nations Championship results were also inconsistent. They started their season with an impressive 27-10 victory over Italy, but losses to Ireland and France set them back on the ladder. However, Japan has made inroads against the world’s best rugby teams, and Australia is an easier opponent than Ireland and France.

However, our Japan vs Wallabies prediction has the Wallabies being far too good for the hosts. Japan will put up a spirited effort, as always, but the class of the Wallabies should prove too much, especially in the second half.

Total Points
Pick: Over 60.5 Points @ $1.90

Neds have set a high line for the total at 60.5 points, but that’s with good reason. Despite playing in a tight and low-scoring affair in 2019, it’s often a high-scoring contest between Japan and Australia.

Conditions should be ideal on Saturday for running rugby, and with these teams growing in confidence after a solid Nations Championship campaign, we expect points to flow freely. They possess good attacking rosters, especially the Wallabies, and we expect to see between 8-10 tries.

That should be enough to see over 60.5 points come through for punters, so include it in rugby tips this week.

Wallabies to Win Both Halves
Pick: Yes @ $1.75

We are surprised by the odds for Australia to win both halves. We have them winning the first half easily, and although they could take their foot off the gas in the second half, they should be out there to send a message.

Our Japan vs Wallabies odds had this option at around $1.40, so the $1.75 at Neds is a good offering. The Wallabies should hit the ground running, as they did against Italy, and they didn’t stop scoring throughout that game.

If the Wallabies have a halftime lead, we can’t see Japan making a game of it in the second half. This is one of the best exotic bets for Japan vs Wallabies, so include it in all your rugby bets.

Same Game Multi
Pick: Wallabies -15.5, Over 60.5 Points, Wallabies to win Both Halves, First Half Highest Scoring

Our Japan vs Wallabies prediction features a same game multi, which pays $5.50 with Neds.

It encompasses all our picks, but we’re also including first-half highest scoring half. We expect Australia to come out humming, and it could result in a high-scoring first 40 minutes of footy.

Same game multis are a great way to boost payouts for this contest, so include all four options in one bet.