2021 AFL Grand Final Tips & Preview

She’s been quite the footy season but after all the highs, lows, and then some that 2021 has had to offer, it all comes down to Melbourne and the Western Bulldogs fighting it out at Perth’s Optus Stadium this Saturday.

There’s no doubting that we have this year’s two best sides playing in the decider.

But who will it be?

Will the Grand Old Flag finally fly high for the first time in 57-years?

Can the Sons of the West claim the club’s third premiership and their second in five years?

I’m not saying my preview is like a spoiler alert as to what will transpire on Saturday, but I’m fairly confident I can make that one day in September a profitable one.

MELBOURNE v WESTERN BULLDOGS
Melbourne to win by 1-39 @ $2.20

What a year it’s been for the Dees!

A dreamy 9-0 start to season 2021, had their fans and the general public suss that some more Melbourne heartbreak was on the cards, yet somehow, they just kept finding a way to convince us they were the real deal.

Since Maxy Gawn’s amazing goal after the siren in Round 23 against the Cats to seal the minor premiership, the Demons have looked unstoppable.

A convincing win over the Lions in Week 1 was followed up with a smashing of the Cats in the Prelim, and while much has been said about the lack of footy the Demons have played in recent weeks, I don’t think it’s going to matter come 5:15 pm WA time this Saturday.

And what about the Western Bulldogs?

Bevo’s boys have been one of the best teams all season, but a three-week form slump in the closing rounds saw them miss out of the top 4 in the most dramatic of fashion, but it didn’t matter.

Despite the border restrictions, these Dogs have racked up the frequent flyer points of recent traveling all over the country, taking care of business against the Bombers, Lions, and giving Port Adelaide a fair dinkum shellacking.

These two have met twice this season, sadly in front of nobody with the Demons getting it done in Round 11 by 28-points back in Round 11 and the Dogs by 20-points in Round 19.

There’s so much to consider here, especially the many of you considering a Same Game Multi.

How many goals for Bayley Fritsch?

Will the Bont, Christian Petracca, Clayton Oliver, and Jack Macrae suffer a case of leather poisoning?

Are the likes of big Maxy Gawn and Libba going to pull off something special?

Are we getting a feel-good Adam Treloar story?

There’s way too much to consider, and in a Grand Final, you gotta go with gut instinct.

That’s what’s makes them great.

As for the game itself, backing a winner is a bloody hard choice, but I’ve settled on Melbourne at the 1-39 point margin.

Melbourne hasn’t lost since the Bulldogs beat them by 20-points back in Round 19 and have played some outstanding footy since.

The Western Bulldogs have been outstanding this finals series, and most certainly have it in them to get the job done on Saturday, but I’m punting on that story.

We had all the feels for the Doggies in 2016, now it’s time for the Melbourne drought of 57-years to break.

I’m punting on mostly the feels and a bit of form, so my heart beats true for the red and the blue at the 1-39 point margin with the $2.20 price on offer.

FIRST GOAL KICKER
Kysaiah Pickett (Melbourne) @ $12

This market has been a bit of a curse in recent times.

Richmond’s Dion Prestia broke it last year, but prior to that, the past seven first goal kickers in the Grand Final had been from the losing team.

In fact, since 1990 more than half of the first goal kickers in the Grand Final have been from losing sides, so punter beware!

Having said that, I’m not expecting this trend to continue.

I’m picturing a tense arm-wrestle in the first 10-15 minutes of the game with Kosi Pickett to break free and kick a cracking goal on the run to break the ice and get things on a roll for the Dees.

NORM SMITH MEDAL
Max Gawn (Melbourne) @ $8

If there’s one thing I’ve noticed in recent years is that the judges of the Norm Smith love voting on the stories.

Be it Dusty for 3 Norms last year, JJ in 16 (when it should have been Tom Boyd), Cyrill in 15 or even Jimmy Hird way back in 2000.

Should big Maxy Gawn play another blinder like he did in the Prelim, the judges will swoon on the big, tall and loveable Demon larkin.

Heck, the Herald Sun is even printing out cut out Maxy Gawn beards in the paper.

And why wouldn’t you get around big Maxy Gawn for the Norm Smith?

In fact, right now I’m starting the campaign #GAWN4NORM

SAME GAME MULTI

Factoring in that the Norm Smtih Medal isn’t available for Same Game Multi’s I’ve still been able to come up with this juicy one for Saturday.

Get involved or have a crack at your own!