Melbourne take on Carlton at MCG this Saturday, 29th August at 7:35 PM AEST. Here’s everything you need to know before you bet.
Carlton is clearly a much different side to the one the Dees faced earlier in the season, and with a five-game unbeaten run still intact heading into the finals, the sky might be the limit for newly appointed coach, Josh Fraser.
Melbourne have been the big overachievers this season, but an exit on Saturday night would probably have Stephen King feeling like his side still fell short of their ceiling.
Further proving that a week in footy is a long time, last week’s defeat to the Bulldogs has many questioning the legitimacy of Melbourne’s finals chances, especially with Jacob van Rooyen still missing from the forward line for another two weeks.
Injuries around Jake Lever have also cast some doubt around Melbourne’s ability to defend, which they did exceptionally well when they last met the Blues, holding them to 13 fewer inside 50 entries.
The recent form of Patrick Cripps, Sam Walsh, and Jagga Smith help swing the odds in favour of the Blues, while the very best of Harry McKay would make Carlton hard to beat.
It’s been a fairytale-like season for Melbourne in many regards, but with a few hiccups against finals contenders over the last two and a half months, the Blues get the edge in this one.
Prediction: Carlton to Win @ $1.73
Value: Carlton 1-39 @ $2.30
Player Pick: Harry McKay 2+ Goals @ $1.70
Melbourne vs Carlton Odds & Top Betting Markets
Here’s a breakdown of the latest odds and most popular betting markets for Melbourne vs Carlton ahead of their Wildcard Round clash.
*odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change
AFL odds correct as of 28/08/2026 and subject to change. Event scheduled to start at 29/08/2026 7:35pm AEST.
| Team | Odds | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlton to win by 1-39 | 2.30 | Bet Now |
| Melbourne to win by 1-39 | 2.60 | Bet Now |
| Carlton to win by 40+ | 5.25 | Bet Now |
| Melbourne to win by 40+ | 7.75 | Bet Now |
AFL odds correct as of 28/08/2026 and subject to change. Event scheduled to start at 29/08/2026 7:35pm AEST.