The Heat are currently 5.5-point favourites here and I expect them to build on their 16-1 home record this season. They match up quite well with this Portland side, especially on the wing.
The Blazers have definitely been a disappointment thus far, going just 15-21 and sitting outside the playoff places. Their road record has been particularly abysmal, only 7-12 on the season.
They’re essentially injury free, with Justise Winslow a decent shot at returning here. Portland should be somewhat fatigued heading into this one, playing their 3rd game of this East Coast trip.
While Dame and CJ should still be able to get theirs in the backcourt, I can see the rest of the lineup struggling. Miami have one of the more efficient offences in the NBA, one which I’d expect to succeed against a lacklustre Portland defence.
5.5 points is a relatively small line, suggesting that the Blazers would be favoured if this was in Portland. I think the gulf between these two is a bit bigger than that and I’ll gladly take Miami here.
After starting out well this season, Phoenix have won just 3 of their last 10 to sit 14-21. I plan to fade them here, catching 6.5 points with the upstart Grizzlies.
This Phoenix side just isn’t particularly good and they were playing above their heads to start the year. I’d say these teams are relatively even in quality, with the Memphis youngsters improving all the time.
Phoenix has hardly been a fortress either, with the Suns only going 7-11 at home this season. It should be noted that Memphis aren’t that great on the road either, winning just 6 of 16 thus far.
The Grizzlies are also fully healthy for this one, with all of their key players expected to play. Kaminsky has been ruled out for Phoenix, while Rubio is questionable with a hip injury.
Realistically, this has all the makings of a game that is close late. Memphis should have no trouble scoring here, doing enough to keep this within 7 at the bare minimum.