Thursday, January 21

Adelaide Strikers vs Brisbane Heat
Heat to Win ($2)

An intriguing match awaits this evening as two sides that are still well and truly in the hunt for finals, but who are currently sitting outside of the top four clash, in what is likely to prove a crucial tie.

The Strikers have been winning one and losing one since Christmas, and that inconsistency has seen them drop out of the four and ultimately sit second last ahead of this clash.

They are clearly weakened without Rashid Khan, and simply need to win wherever possible if they are any chance of sneaking into the finals.

The Heat’s resurgence has slowed somewhat throughout the last week, but a win tonight would thrust them right back into the four. I think that it will happen.

Wednesday, January 20

Melbourne Renegades vs Melbourne Stars
SGM: Stars Win/Stoinis 25+ Runs ($2.63)

This is usually a good match regardless of form, but it’s almost impossible to make a case for the Renegades in any match this season, and that is well and truly echoed in the market – they are so far friendless and out to $2.40, the Stars are very firm $1.57 favourites.

Marcus Stoinis has been a standout for the Stars with the bat and is perhaps unsurprisingly the $3.50 favourite to top score for his side again tonight ahead of Glenn Maxwell ($3.75) – the value could prove to be Andre Fletcher ($4.50).

Aaron Finch hasn’t been able to get going recently but still maintains $3.30 favouritism in Renegades top runscorer betting, ahead of Shaun Marsh ($3.40), Sam Harper ($4.50) and Jake Fraser-McGurk ($6).

I’m very confident that the Stars will win, but there’s little value left in their quote, so I’m going to instead include the result as a let in a two-leg Same Game Multi.

Tuesday, January 19

Perth Scorchers vs Brisbane Heat
SGM: Scorchers Win/Richardson 2+ Wickets ($3.20)

An intriguing match looms at Marvel Stadium this evening as the league’s two resurgent sides square off, in what could have genuine top four implications.

The Scorchers recorded five impressive wins in succession after bombing their first three, but they do enter this match off the back of a loss to the ladder-leading Sixers.

Regardless of that result, they’ve been largely dominant since Christmas and deserve favouritism ahead of this clash.

The Heat have been similar, if a little less convincing than the Scorchers since Christmas.

They have won four of their last five, and bounce backed from a loss to the Sixers with a comfortable win over the Renegades.

The Scorchers still represent value at their $1.67 quote, but I’m going to add extra value with a two-leg Same Game Multi.

Monday, January 18

Sydney Thunder vs Hobart Hurricanes
Adam Milne 2+ Wickets ($2.70)

Both sides have fallen out of form and both will be eager to make the most of this opportunity when the Thunder and Hurricanes step out this evening.

The Thunder’s consistency early and through the Christmas period has meant that they are still sitting second on the ladder, despite having lost their last two matches to the Sixers and the Scorchers.

The Hurricanes meanwhile flew the blocks, but have completely fallen off the perch in 2021 and are now sitting seventh overall, having lost each of their last three matches quite convincingly.

I personally cannot split them ahead of this match, and I therefore believe that the Thunder are under the odds as $1.73 favourites – the value is definitely there for the Hobart fans at $2.10.

I’m going to stay away from match betting however and the best value certainly looks like lying deeper in the market.

Sunday, January 17

Melbourne Stars vs Melbourne Renegades
Stoinis Stars Top Runscorer ($3.50)

Bragging rights that are on the line often make the Melbourne Derby an even greater spectacle, but that increases tenfold today as BBL10’s second-worst side takes on their cellar-dwelling neighbours.

The Renegades are absolutely no chance of making the finals again this season, why another loss would almost certainly end the slim chances of the Stars making a late run, as well.

The Stars have been typically frustrating this season, and despite flying the blocks, have offered almost nothing since Christmas. Marcus Stoinis has been a shining light but beyond him, it has been pretty dire scenes.

The Renegades meanwhile are lucky to have won even the two matches so far, entering this contest with a 2-8 record.

The Stars are on track to start pretty clear favourites but given their record, I don’t want to risk them at the price, so I’m going to dig further into the market for value.

Saturday, January 16

Sydney Sixers vs Perth Scorchers
Scorchers to Win ($1.82)

Just three weeks ago this would have been a flogging, but tonight’s match between the table-topping Sixers and the resurgent Scorchers could very well now be the fixture of the season, and a preview of this year’s decider.

The Sixers are always there abouts, but there is no denying that this is one of their most consistent Big Bash campaigns to date, and they have stridden 6 points clear of the chasing pack following Wednesday night’s tight win over crosstown rivals the Thunder.

The Scorchers remain one of, if not the league’s most successful franchise, and after going 0-3 at the beginning of the season something clicked, and they simply haven’t looked back.

This market deserves to be a tight one but I am happy to continue backing the Scorchers until they give me a reason not to.

Friday, January 15

Melbourne Stars vs Adelaide Strikers
Strikers to Win ($2.10)

A potentially crucial clash will see the Stars take on the Strikers this evening, with the home side attempting to stay in touch with the Top 4 and the away side looking to consolidate their position.

The Stars flew the blocks but have been subsequently awful during BBL10, recording just three wins and five losses, to sit second-last overall. Finals are probably a dream, and they are almost no chance of winning their first ever title in season 10.

The Strikers have been something of an inconsistent performer throughout BBL10, but they’ve done enough to be better than half the league and subsequently hold a position in the top four.

A win here would go a long way towards the Strikers confirming their position after the regular season and given they are now without Rashid Khan, they’ll want to win wherever possible.

Thursday, January 14

Brisbane Heat vs Melbourne Renegades
Heat to Win ($1.80)

The Brisbane Heat’s return to form was halted by the table-topping Sixers on Sunday, but they are offered a perfect opportunity to bounce back when they face the last-placed Melbourne Renegades this evening.

The Heat were typically slow from the blocks this season, but enjoyed a resurgence over Christmas, culminating in three consecutive wins, and they were probably unlucky not to knock off the Sixers again at their last appearance.

They run into a Renegades side in winning form, but who have managed to salute just twice in nine matches this season.

These two sides are in completely different leagues in terms of class and winning ability, and I am more than happy to take the $1.80 that is on offer for the Heat at publish.

Wednesday, January 13

Sydney Thunder vs Sydney Sixers
Sixers to Win ($1.90)

We’ll be treated to a Sydney Derby this evening, bolstered by potentially crucial top four implications and that is well and truly echoed in betting; at publish the bookies cannot split them and we are faced with $1.90 a side.

The Sixers have been winning one and losing one consistently since Christmas, but their win over the resurgent Heat on Sunday evening was impressive, and has surely filled the squad with plenty of confidence.

The Thunder’s recent record has been strikingly similar to that of their crosstown rivals, but enter this match off the back of a comfortable loss to the Perth Scorchers.

All the usual suspects are prominent in Top Runscorer betting; Josh Phillipe leads the Sixers’ market at $3.25 ahead of James Vince, $4.25 and Jack Edwards, $4.50. For the Thunder, Alex Hales and Usman Khawaja tie the top line of betting at $3.50 each.

I’ve been more impressed with the performances mustered by the table-topping Sixers so far, and I am happy to take the price on offer in match betting.

Tuesday, January 12

Perth Scorchers vs Hobart Hurricanes
SGM: Scorchers Win/Malan 20+ Runs ($2.95)

The Perth Scorchers’ return to form appears to be on, and they have opened pretty clear favourites to beat the Hobart Hurricanes this evening at $1.67, value around the third-placed Hurricanes, $2.20.

It was an awfully slow start to BBL10 for one the league’s most successful franchises, but a win over the Strikers on New Year’s Eve has well and truly sparked a change in form, and they have now won four matches in succession to sit fifth on the ladder.

The Hurricanes’ season has been almost the polar opposite of this evening’s opponents; flying the blocks but losing three of their last five matches, including two in succession leading into this contest.

The Scorchers are of course spoiled for choice at the top of their batting order and it’s subsequently a logjam in top runscorer betting; Jason Roy occupies the top line at odds of $3.60, ahead of Liam Livingstone ($4), Colin Munro ($4.50) and Josh Inglis ($5.50). Mitch Marsh looks to be the value at $6.50.

No surprises to see D’arcy Short lead the same market for the Hurricanes at $3.75, but a case to be made for Ben McDermott and Dawid Malan, both $, and Peter Handscomb, $5.50.

It’s tough to tip against the Scorchers on their current form, but I am going to build out my bet today with another two-leg Same Game Multi.