Samoa line up against Australia at Allianz Stadium in Sydney on Sunday 8 November (8:05pm AEDT). Here’s our semi-final prediction and the betting tips we like.
There was a spot on Samoa’s left edge for Tonga to target last week and in a two-point result, it was arguably the difference.
Dallin Watene-Zelezniak should’ve had one early & Robert Toia was denied a few himself before eventually taking a Haumole Olakau’atu offload to the house.
If we can take anything from Tonga v Samoa last week, it’s that the Kangaroos will have some joy down that right touchline if they play it smart. Tom Dearden in the halves and Reece Walsh out the back will be key to this – Dearden straightening things up on the tramlines and Walsh sweeping into three-on-two’s on the edge.
Tom Trbojevic brings a ridiculous height advantage into this contest and the Kangaroos would be silly to not isolate him over the top of Sua Fa’alogo a few times here, but ‘Turbo’ is just as likely to dine out on the end of any Australian right edge backline movement.
There’ll be fireworks early but I like the Kangaroos to kick on here.
Prediction: Australia to Cover the Line (-7.5) Points @ $1.90
Anytime Tryscorer: Tom Trbojevic 2+ Tries @ $3.70
Australia vs Samoa Odds & Popular Betting Markets
Here’s a quick look at the current odds and popular betting markets for the Australia vs Samoa matchup.
*odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change
| Team | Odds | |
|---|---|---|
| Jack Bostock (Australia) | 8.00 | Bet Now |
| Tom Trbojevic (Australia) | 7.50 | Bet Now |
| Reece Walsh (Australia) | 10.50 | Bet Now |
| Sualauvi Fa'alogo (Samoa) | 11.50 | Bet Now |
| Brian To'o (Samoa) | 11.50 | Bet Now |
| Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow (Samoa) | 13.00 | Bet Now |
| Bradman Best (Australia) | 15.00 | Bet Now |
| Kotoni Staggs (Australia) | 15.00 | Bet Now |
| Ethan Strange (Australia) | 19.00 | Bet Now |
| Harry Grant (Australia) | 19.00 | Bet Now |
| Jacob Preston (Australia) | 19.00 | Bet Now |
| Stephen Crichton (Samoa) | 19.00 | Bet Now |
| Liam Martin (Australia) | 21.00 | Bet Now |
| Cameron Munster (Australia) | 23.00 | Bet Now |
| Tom Dearden (Australia) | 23.00 | Bet Now |
| Izack Tago (Samoa) | 23.00 | Bet Now |
| Tino Fa'asuamaleaui (Australia) | 26.00 | Bet Now |
| Ronald Volkman (Samoa) | 31.00 | Bet Now |
| Jermaine McEwen (Samoa) | 31.00 | Bet Now |
| Francis Manuleleua (Samoa) | 34.00 | Bet Now |
Men's World Cup odds correct as of 07/11/2026 and subject to change. Event scheduled to start at 08/11/2026 7:05pm AEST.