2026 NFL Week 10 Tips and Preview

2026 NFL Week 10 Tips and Preview

We’re into double digits baby. Week 10 is here and the season is officially starting to sort the contenders from the pretenders.

The trade deadline has come and gone, quarterbacks have been shuffled around like I’ve just played an evolving winds, searched my library for a basic land card, put it onto the battlefield tapped, then shuffled. We’ve got rookie QB debuts, a Kirk Cousins homecoming and the MVP race heating up all in the one week.

There’s a lot to get through, so let’s get stuck in.

Here is my preview of Week 10 of the 2026/27 NFL season.

New York Giants
vs
Washington Commanders
Friday 13th November 2026 11:15 AM
Giants H2H @ $1.72 Cam Skattebo Anytime Touchdown @ $2.20 Cam Skattebo 60+ Rushing Yards @ $2.35

TNF kicks off with an NFC East cracker. The Giants are sitting pretty at 5-2-1 on top of the division while the Commies are 2-5-1 and on life support. These two played out a 27-27 tie back in Week 5, so the winner here grabs the tiebreaker too.

JJ McCarthy and Cam Skattebo are both good to go and Big Blue look about as healthy as you’ll get at this point of the season. Jayden Daniels has been very good, but the Commies as a whole have really struggled and I just think the Giants get it done at home.

Washington have slid all the way to 12th against the run, giving up 102.2 yards a game and seven rushing TDs. That’s a Skattebo game if ever I’ve seen one.

Detroit Lions
vs
New England Patriots
Monday 16th November 2026 12:30 AM
Over 51.5 Total Points @ $1.92 Hunter Henry Anytime Touchdown @ $3.25 Drake Maye 275+ Passing Yards @ $2.10

We’re off to Munich… again! The Lions defence has been shocking all year. They are the worst team in the league for passing yards allowed, giving up 260.9 a game, and they’ve coughed up 18 passing touchdowns on the year.

The Pats are coming off a stinker against Green Bay but if there was ever a game for Drake Maye to bounce back, it’s against the worst pass defence in the league. He’s gone over 275 in three of his last five and I reckon he does it again here.

I’m not touching a result, I just want a shootout in Germany.

New Orleans Saints
vs
Carolina Panthers
Monday 16th November 2026 4:00 AM
Panthers H2H @ $2.15 Bryce Young 250+ Passing Yards @ $1.94 Bryce Young 2+ Passing Touchdowns @ $1.80 Chuba Hubbard 70+ Rushing Yards @ $1.52

You all knew this was coming. UPSET ALERT.

Both these sides are 3-5 and the winner takes outright first in the NFC South. The bookies have got this one wrong. The Saints give up 133.9 rush yards a game (29th) and 236.6 pass yards a game (28th). That is a buffet for my beautiful boy.

Yes, Bryce had a couple of down weeks, but in Week 9 he threw for 276 and three touchdowns against the Broncos in a loss. This is the perfect bounce back spot. And with the Saints that bad against the run, Chuba gets fed too.

Green Bay Packers
vs
Minnesota Vikings
Monday 16th November 2026 4:00 AM
Vikings H2H @ $2.35 Justin Jefferson Anytime Touchdown @ $2.55 Justin Jefferson 100+ Receiving Yards @ $2.75

The boys are back in town.

Kirk Cousins is a Viking again, under a week after being traded back from Vegas, and I could not be happier. I love what Kirko did in Minnesota the first time around and I love his connection with Justin Jefferson, who has been stuck with some very mediocre quarterback play for the last two years.

The Packers have won five of six but the Vikes already beat them 39-22 in Week 1. I’m tipping the upset and I’m tipping JJettas to go absolutely berserk.

Tennessee Titans
vs
Jacksonville Jaguars
Monday 16th November 2026 4:00 AM
Jaguars 14+ @ $2.15 Trevor Lawrence 250+ Passing Yards @ $2.20 Parker Washington Anytime Touchdown @ $2.05

The Jags are chips in. Jordan Davis, Jessie Bates and Davon Godchaux all landed in Duval at the deadline and this team is gunning for a deep playoff run.

They’ve outscored their last two opponents 75-17 and now get the 1-7 Titans, who are 31st against the pass (258.2 yards a game) and 22nd against the run (124.1). This is a divisional game too, so don’t expect anyone to take the foot off.

Indianapolis Colts
vs
Miami Dolphins
Monday 16th November 2026 4:00 AM
Under 38 Total Points @ $1.90

Absolute stinker. Back the unders and move on.

Cleveland Browns
vs
Houston Texans
Monday 16th November 2026 4:00 AM
Texans -5 @ $1.90 Nico Collins Anytime Touchdown @ $2.55 CJ Stroud 250+ Passing Yards @ $1.94

CJ Stroud is back and CJ Stroud is good again. Over his last five games he’s thrown for 347, 261, 312, 153 and 384. Last week he dropped five touchdowns on the Chargers.

The Browns are as hot and cold as they come and Deshaun Watson is back under centre. Houston are 3-1 on the road this year and I don’t see a world where they don’t win this comfortably.

Atlanta Falcons
vs
Kansas City Chiefs
Monday 16th November 2026 4:00 AM
Chiefs -3.5 @ $1.90 Rashee Rice Anytime Touchdown @ $2.80 Patrick Mahomes 250+ Passing Yards @ $2.00

Kansas City are back and rumbling. They just put 35 on the Jets, Mahomes was a full participant at practice despite the knee and elbow and they’ve added Josh Downs to the receiver room.

They sit one game behind the Broncos in the AFC West, and with Denver on the bye, a win here pulls them level. Meanwhile the Falcons have won one of their last five. I’m not interested.

Mahomes is a little banged up but that man is a freak of nature. He’ll be fine.

New York Jets
vs
Kansas City Chiefs
Monday 16th November 2026 4:00 AM
Bills -8 @ $1.91 Josh Allen Anytime Touchdown @ $1.50 Josh Allen 250+ Passing Yards @ $2.30

The Bills are 7-1, unbeaten on the road and scoring a league best 32 points a game. The Jets are 2-7 and not doing anything meaningful.

I’m very bullish on Josh Allen and this is a get right spot against a Jets pass defence that’s near the bottom of the league.

Bills win, Bills cover, Allen does Allen things.

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NFL

State Farm Stadium • Monday 16th Nov

Arizona Cardinals
$4.60
vs
Los Angeles Rams
$1.20
NFL odds correct as of 15/11/2026 and subject to change.
Arizona Cardinals
vs
Los Angeles Rams
Monday 16th November 2026 7:05 AM
Rams -9.5 @ $1.91 Blake Corum/ Kyren Williams to combine for 2+ Touchdowns @ $2.45

The Cards are down to their third string QB with rookie Carson Beck making his first start.

The Rams have their own receiver dramas with Puka and Davante both out, so I reckon they run Arizona to death. Arizona give up 121.9 rush yards a game (19th). This screams Blake Corum and Kyren Williams.

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NFL

Allegiant Stadium • Monday 16th Nov

Las Vegas Raiders
$3.25
vs
Seattle Seahawks
$1.35
NFL odds correct as of 15/11/2026 and subject to change.
Las Vegas Raiders
vs
Seattle Seahawks
Monday 16th November 2026 7:05 AM
Raiders +6.5 @ $1.91 Fernando Mendoza 200+ Passing Yards @ $2.30 Fernando Mendoza 2+ Passing Touchdowns @ $3.30

FERNANDO MENDOZA MAKES HIS FIRST NFL START.

It’s a tough way to start, against a Seahawks defence that gives up the fewest passing yards in the league, but we’re throwing him into the deep end to see if he swims. I want to be on the right side of history here.

Seattle have had QB injuries all year and Drew Lock is playing through an oblique. Sure, they keep finding a way as long as they throw it to JSN, but 6.5 points is a lot. I think Vegas cover.

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NFL

AT&T Stadium • Monday 16th Nov

Dallas Cowboys
$2.70
vs
San Francisco 49ers
$1.48
NFL odds correct as of 15/11/2026 and subject to change.
Dallas Cowboys
vs
San Francisco 49ers
Monday 16th November 2026 7:25 AM
49ers 14+ @ $4.40 George Kittle Anytime Touchdown @ $2.00 Christian McCaffrey Over 61.5 Rushing Yards @ $1.88

My honest to god read? The Cowboys cannot keep up with this Niners team.

San Fran are 7-1, Brock Purdy is playing at an MVP level and they’ve done it without their full offence for most of the year. Dallas meanwhile have one of the leakiest defences in the league and are missing Jake Ferguson.

I’m going big. Niners blowout, CMC grinds out the clock and Kittle finds paydirt. CMC’s line at 61.5 looks way too short.

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NFL

Paycor Stadium • Monday 16th Nov

Cincinnati Bengals
$1.53
vs
Pittsburgh Steelers
$2.50
NFL odds correct as of 15/11/2026 and subject to change.
Cincinnati Bengals
vs
Pittsburgh Steelers
Monday 9th November 2026 7:25 AM
Patriots -3.5 @ $1.94 Rhamondre Stevenson Anytime Touchdown @ $1.67 Rhamondre Stevenson Over 54.5 Rushing Yards @ $1.88

SNF and it’s for first place in the AFC North. Both these teams are 6-2 but the Steelers are an ugly 6-2 for mine.

Joe Burrow is the MVP favourite for a reason. He leads the league in yards per game, touchdowns and completion percentage, and he’s got Ja’Marr and Tee to throw to. I don’t think Pittsburgh keep up with Burrow and the boys.

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NFL

M&T Bank Stadium • Tuesday 17th Nov

Baltimore Ravens
$1.46
vs
Los Angeles Chargers
$2.75
NFL odds correct as of 15/11/2026 and subject to change.
Baltimore Ravens
vs
Los Angeles Chargers
Tuesday 17th November 2026 11:15 AM
Ravens -4 @ $1.88 Derrick Henry Anytime Touchdown @ $1.67 Derrick Henry Over 77.5 Rushing Yards @ $1.88

Let’s be so real, I probably won’t be watching this one.

The Chargers are 0-8 and I don’t think they come close here, even if Herbert plays. The Ravens have lost four straight with no Lamar, but Jacoby Brissett is still learning the playbook so they’ll lean on the run. LA give up 122 rush yards a game.

King Henry eats.