Man United travel to Stamford Bridge for Chelsea vs Man United on Saturday 31 October (11:30pm AEDT). Here’s our prediction and the betting tips we like.
Chelsea were flat against Spurs and now lose Cole Palmer to suspension, while United’s 3-0 home defeat to Bournemouth did not exactly scream “everything is under control”.
Stamford Bridge feels like the better place to bounce back, but it should be nervy.
Score Prediction: Chelsea 2-1 Manchester United
Potential Goal Scorer: Morgan Rogers
- Correct score 2-1 @ $9.50: This is the writer’s score. United have conceded in each of their last five games but scored in three of them, so a one-goal Chelsea win with United on the scoresheet fits. Chelsea 2-1 is $9.50.
- Chelsea to win and both teams to score @ $3.10: United have conceded 11 goals in their last five games and have not won any of them. Chelsea sit 5th, 11 places and six points above United. Chelsea to win with both teams scoring pays $3.10.
- Both teams to score @ $1.53: United have kept no clean sheets in their last five games, and Chelsea have conceded in four of their last five. Both teams to score is $1.53.
- Chelsea to win @ $1.80: Chelsea beat Bournemouth 5-1 at Stamford Bridge this month. United lost 3-0 at home to the same side on 26 Oct. Chelsea to win is $1.80.
Odds correct at 1:02pm AEDT, Thursday 29 October 2026. See the latest odds for every market below.
Head to head and what it means for our prediction
Of the last 5 meetings, Chelsea have won 2, Man United have won 2 and 1 finished level. Chelsea scored 7 goals in that run and Man United scored 7.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr 2026 | Chelsea | 0-1 | Man United |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Man United | 2-1 | Chelsea |
| 17 May 2025 | Chelsea | 1-0 | Man United |
| 4 Nov 2024 | Man United | 1-1 | Chelsea |
| 5 Apr 2024 | Chelsea | 4-3 | Man United |
The last five meetings are level: two wins each, one draw and seven goals apiece. United won the last two, including 1-0 at Stamford Bridge in April 2026. Their current form is much weaker than in those games, so we back Chelsea to win this time, with United still scoring.
Form and stats behind our tips
Chelsea are 5th on 13 points, but they lost 2-0 at home to Spurs in their last league game, then drew 1-1 at Liverpool in the League Cup and went out on penalties. United are 16th on seven points and have lost three of their last five, scoring only three goals.
Chelsea: last 5 games
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Result | Score | Comp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Brentford | A | L | 0-3 | EPL |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Bournemouth | H | W | 5-1 | EPL |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Everton | A | W | 2-0 | EPL |
| 25 Oct 2026 | Spurs | H | L | 0-2 | EPL |
| 29 Oct 2026 | Liverpool | A | D | 1-1 | League Cup |
Man United: last 5 games
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Result | Score | Comp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | Spurs | H | D | 1-1 | EPL |
| 14 Oct 2026 | Atlético Madrid | A | L | 0-2 | UCL |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Leeds | A | D | 1-1 | EPL |
| 22 Oct 2026 | Como | A | L | 1-4 | UCL |
| 26 Oct 2026 | Bournemouth | H | L | 0-3 | EPL |
- Both teams scored in 2 of Chelsea’s last 5 games and 3 of Man United’s.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of Chelsea’s last 5 and 2 of Man United’s.
- Chelsea kept 1 clean sheet in their last 5. Man United kept 0.
- Chelsea sit 5th on 13 points (4 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses). Man United sit 16th on 7 points (1 win, 4 draws, 3 losses).
Chelsea have scored eight goals in their last five games. United have conceded 11 in the same run and have no clean sheet. Those numbers support Chelsea to win, with United’s three goals in five games pointing to one United goal.
Chelsea: Chelsea are without Joao Pedro, their top league scorer, plus Reece James, Emiliano Martinez and Gittens. Lacroix, Chavarria, Estevao and Caicedo are doubts. Palmer served his ban in the League Cup and is eligible. With Joao Pedro out, more of Chelsea’s goal threat sits with Rogers and Palmer.
Man United: United have Ugarte, Sesko, Shaw and Dorgu out, and Rashford and Mainoo are doubts. Lisandro Martinez and Mazraoui are back. Missing Sesko and probably Rashford limits United’s attack, which fits one United goal rather than two.
- Morgan Rogers anytime goalscorer @ $3.20: The writer’s pick. Rogers has four league goals this season, and with Joao Pedro out he is Chelsea’s top available scorer. He is $3.20 to score anytime.
- Bryan Mbeumo anytime goalscorer @ $3.50: Mbeumo is United’s top league scorer with four goals and is $3.50. Chelsea have conceded in four of their last five games.
Danny Welbeck is the shortest-priced scorer, but we stick with the writer’s pick and United’s top scorer.
Here’s a quick look at the current odds and popular betting markets for the Chelsea vs Man United matchup.
*odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Cole Palmer | 2.90 |
| Emanuel Emegha | 2.50 |
| Bryan Mbeumo | 3.50 |
| Pedro Neto | 4.20 |
| Morgan Rogers | 3.30 |
| Matheus Cunha | 4.00 |
| Estevao Willian | 3.75 |
| Geovany Quenda | 4.00 |
| Bruno Fernandes | 4.40 |
| Mason Mount | 6.00 |
| Amad Diallo | 5.75 |
| Youri Tielemans | 7.00 |
| Romeo Lavia | 8.00 |
| Jordan Henderson | 8.00 |
| Valentin Barco | 7.50 |
Premier League odds correct as of 30/10/2026 and subject to change. Event scheduled to start at 31/10/2026 10:30pm AEST.
| Team | Odds | |
|---|---|---|
| Chelsea/Chelsea | 2.88 | Bet Now |
| Draw/Chelsea | 5.25 | Bet Now |
| Draw/Draw | 6.00 | Bet Now |
| Manchester United/Manchester United | 5.25 | Bet Now |
| Draw/Manchester United | 8.00 | Bet Now |
| Manchester United/Draw | 11.00 | Bet Now |
| Chelsea/Draw | 12.00 | Bet Now |
| Manchester United/Chelsea | 17.00 | Bet Now |
| Chelsea/Manchester United | 23.00 | Bet Now |
Premier League odds correct as of 30/10/2026 and subject to change. Event scheduled to start at 31/10/2026 10:30pm AEST.