With the title race tightening, Europe spots still up for grabs and the relegation battle getting properly ugly, Premier League Game Week 35 has no shortage of betting angles.
Two competition points in their last eight PL fixtures has secured a return to the Championship for Burnley, who have conceded more goals (68) than any other side in the competition.
Meanwhile, fellow newly promoted outfit, Leeds, are unbeaten in five league fixtures (2W,3D), and have lost just once since March 1st across all comps (4W,3D).
The Clarets have lost their last three road trips, conceding nine goals across the trip, while scoring just twice.
Let’s jump on Leeds to win, combined with the overs.
Five straight loses across all comps has left Newcastle with some serious questions to answer during the offseason.
Alternatively, six wins across their last eight PL fixtures (1D,1L), has given the Seagulls a sniff at UCL qualification, currently 8 points adrift of Villa and Liverpool.
On current form, I’d have Brighton knocking off most team in the league, against the Toon, they should really take home the maximum points.
The cue is in the rack for the Wolves, who have failed to score in each of their last three fixtures, and who handed Tottenham their first win of the calendar year last time out.
Meanwhile, the Black Cats have decided they’re done playing defense this season, conceding nine goals across their last two games!
Let’s back an end-to-end contest, with 4+ goals.
The Hammers travel to Brentford looking to climb further clear of the drop zone.
The Bees will have other ideas, as they attempt to leap into the top six and secure European football next season.
Brentford are winless at home in six games (4D,2L), only facing two sides above them on the ladder during that run.
Meanwhile, the Irons are unbeaten across their last three games (2W,1D), and have lost just twice across their last 10 league fixtures (4W,4D).
Momentum is on the Hammers side, and I’m happy to take a punt on them at the price.
If the Gunners are going to win their first title in 22 years, it’s going to be on the back of their defense.
No side has conceded fewer goals than Arsenal’s 26, only Man City (29) comes close, while 16 sides have allowed 40+ goals.
The Cottagers have endured a torrid time in front of goals lately, going scoreless in five of their last seven games in all comps.
I’m backing the Gunners to win to nil.
Bournemouth may never lose again.
The Cherries are on a massive 14-game unbeaten run in the league (6W,8D), while Crystal Palace has lost six times across the same trip.
The home fans have become accustomed to seeing draws played out at Vitality Stadium, with the last five games all finishing as a stalemate.
The reverse fixture between this pair was a lousy 0-0 result.
Bournemouth might be more fearful of their unbeaten run ending, than they are hungry to win.
Draw.
Man United host Liverpool in the Northwest Derby.
On paper this is shaping up to be the most competitive derby between this pair in some time, with the Red Devils sitting 3rd on the league standings, just three points ahead of the Reds in 4th.
Liverpool have won their last three league fixtures, after disappointingly getting thrown out of the UCL by PSG.
Meanwhile, Man United have lost twice in 16 league games, and have accumulated the most competition points across that period (34).
United stole a 2-1 victory in Anfield in the reverse fixture, and I’m expecting both sides to get on the scoresheet again here.
Let’s combine both sides to score, over 2.5 total goals, and 1+ shot(s) on target from Casemiro.
Villa play host to the relegation threatened Spurs, in a game that’s gathering plenty of interest.
Tottenham edged out the Wolves 1-0, claiming their first win in 2026, and keeping their survival chances alive.
Despite that win, the Spurs are still two points adrift of safety, and will be targeting all three points here, the only issue is they’re running out of healthy bodies.
Meanwhile, Villa can all but lock their UCL place in with a victory here, and potentially push towards a top 3 finish.
Villa Park a tough out for any team, let alone Tottenham, who I can’t see finding a result on their travels.
Notts Forest bid for survival in trending in the right direction, unbeaten in six PL fixtures (3W,3D), while also going unbeaten in eight games across all competitions (5W,3D).
They’ll face a Chelsea outfit who have lost seven of their last nine games in all competitions (2W), with their only two results coming in the FA Cup.
The Blues haven’t won a league fixture at home since Feb 1st (2D,3L), while Forest are unbeaten in five games on the road (3W,2D).
$4.50 for the Tricky Trees is incredible.
Game Week 35 comes to a close on Tuesday morning (AEST), when Man City travel to the Hill Dickinson Stadium to take on the Toffees.
The Citizens have won their last nine away fixtures against Everton, while David Moyes has never bettered Pep as a manager across the pairs 17 meetings (15W,2D).
Guardiola’s Man City side is unrivaled in Premier League home stretches, rarely do they slip-up in tight title races.
I have the Sky Blues winning by multiple goals.