I like Atlanta in this one, currently getting 3 points at home to the Magic. Accounting 3 points for home court, this line suggests Orlando would be 6-point favourites on a neutral, which is just too high.

The Magic have been a pretty poor road side all season, going just 10-18 ATS. They’ve not been in great form either, winning just 4 of their last 10 and covering only 3 of those times.

Atlanta have been in better form of late, with their home record now ahead of Orlando’s road record. They have injuries to Dedmon, Hunter, and Bembry here, but the majority of their key players will play.

Realistically, this has all the makings of a coin flip type of game. With an extra 3 points of insurance, I’ll take Atlanta here.

This is a bit of a square play, but I like the Clippers on the road in Phoenix. They are rested and healthy for this one, laying just 5.5 points.

The Suns haven’t had a great home court advantage this season, going just 11-18 straight up and ATS. The Clippers are 15-13 on the road, a number that is probably below their true talent level.

A major weakness that Phoenix has is their inability to guard the best wings on the opposition. This just doesn’t bode well against the likes of Kawhi and PG, who are also well equipped to guard Devin Booker.

The Clippers are also fighting for seeding here, while the Suns are essentially out of the playoff race. LA likely want revenge for their loss in Phoenix earlier this season, and I think they win comfortably here.

The Raptors have been in immense form of late, losing only 1 of their last 18 games. They open as 1.5-point home underdogs to Milwaukee here and I can definitely see some value on them.

They have been at home for the past fortnight, while Milwaukee travels to Canada on a back-to-back. Their injury list also appears to be shortening, with Marc Gasol the only rotation player expected to miss here.

Milwaukee are a very good road side, boasting a 22-5 record this season, but I think this is matched by Toronto’s 23-7 home record. I liken this to the game in Philly on Christmas day, where Milwaukee really struggled in a hostile environment against a good team.

The Raptors are playing their best ball of the season right now and really need this game for seeding purposes. Milwaukee are probably more fatigued and less motivated, which could lead to an outright upset here.

We’ve got another marquee matchup here and I like the Lakers at home against the Pelicans. They’re currently laying just 8 points, which I think overrates the Pelicans in the current market.

Both sides have been very good of late, winning 7 of their last 10 straight up. While this is par for the course for the Lakers, it has really come out of nowhere for New Orleans.

With punters cashing tickets on them regularly, I think their market price has been artificially inflated. They’ve won against a largely pedestrian schedule of late, struggling against quality opponents like Milwaukee and Houston.

The Lakers enter this game rested and motivated, while the Pels are playing their 3^rd straight on the West Coast. This is also an Anthony Davis revenge spot and I’m sure he’ll be raring to go here.

Ultimately, we’re getting the talented and more motivated team at a value price point. I’ll lay 8 with the Lake Show here.

The Rockets are laying a hefty 14 points here, but this game definitely has the potential to be a blowout. Houston have been in some strong form lately, winning 7 and covering 7 of their last 10 games.

They are one of the better home sides in the NBA, going 19-8 straight up, compared to just 9-19 on the road for the Knicks. They also look fairly healthy for this one, with Eric Gordon returning to the lineup last time out.

The Knicks, on the other hand, are dealing with a myriad of injuries in their backcourt. Ntilikina, Payton, and Ellington are all questionable here, which could really impact their ability to guard Westbrook and Harden.

With the Knicks season all but over, they just don’t have the incentive to go all out here. In a day with a real dearth of options, I’ll take my chances with Houston.

Despite a recent dip in form, I like the Jazz at home in this one. Although they’ve won just 4 of their last 10 overall, they’ve got a very strong 20-7 home record this season.

They look to be fully healthy here, with both Mike Conley and Ed Davis returning to the lineup last time out. Phoenix are dealing with a ton of injuries in the backcourt, which could result in a struggle to contain Rudy Gobert.

This is also somewhat of a contrarian play, with only 35% of punters backing Utah so far. That said, the reverse line movement from 7 to 7.5 suggests that this is the sharp side to take here.

Especially against a porous Phoenix defence, this has all the makings of a get right game for Utah. I’d expect solid performances from both Mitchell and Gobert to propel them to the win and cover.

I like the Raptors at home in this one, currently laying a relatively modest 5 points. They’ve got a ton of advantages here, and I’d expect them to comfortably win and cover.

First and foremost, they’ve been one of the best home sides in the NBA this season. They’ve gone 22-7 at the ACC, compared to just 14-13 on the road for Indiana.

Toronto also enter this clash on a very hot streak, winning 9 of their last 10 and covering the spread in 6 of those. Indiana have struggled in comparison, winning just 3 and covering only 4 times over that same period.

The Raptors also look fairly healthy headed into this clash, with only Marc Gasol entering as an injury doubt. Indiana will likely be without Victor Oladipo here, which would really impact their offensive firepower. It’s a great spot for Toronto and I think they’ll take full advantage.

I like the Wolves in this one, currently getting a fairly generous 12.5 points. They’ve been on an atrocious run of form, but I think this has undervalued them in the market.

They’ve only won and covered once out of their last 10 games, compared to a respectable 6-4 mark for Denver. I don’t see how this can get much worse, meaning that they’re likely at their nadir in value.

They look to be a better and faster offensive team of late, which could really pay dividends in the altitude. KAT has performed well against Jokic throughout his career, a trend I can see continuing here.

Denver should win this relatively comfortably, but the 12.5 points gives plenty of room for a backdoor cover. I think Minnesota’s offence does just enough here that they’re good value plus the points.

The Bulls find themselves as 1.5-point home underdogs here and I think they’ve got a good shot to cover. This is a classic case of betting numbers and not teams.

Phoenix are getting all of the action here, receiving 70% of the early money. While they’re probably the better of these two sides, I’m not sure they should be road favourites.

I also like the reverse line movement angle, which has seen the line move in Chicago’s favour despite receiving the minority of the bets. This suggests that the sharps are really on the Bulls here, likely due to the perceived line value.

Both sides are facing a myriad of injuries, but Phoenix appear decimated in the frontcourt right now. Baynes, Saric, and Ayton are all on the injury report and will find it tough to suit up on a back-to-back.

Overall, this is a game where the line should probably be flipped. The Bulls have a solid chance to win and I’ll take them plus the points.

I’m going with another contrarian play here, taking Houston as road underdogs in Utah. They’re getting only 28% of the early action, but I believe they’ve got a few advantages here.

Their injury report is essentially empty, while Utah could very well be without Mike Conley here. They also enter this clash after a back-to-back, while Houston are rested after a blowout win over Golden State.

I also think the Rockets will be motivated for revenge, after suffering a controversial close loss on Feb 10^th. They’ve got the ability to really run in transition, which could upset Utah’s traditional big lineups.

Combine the rest and health advantage with a strong road record and I think Houston has a chance at the upset here. I’ll gladly take them plus the points in this spot.

I like the Magic in this one, currently getting 4 points as home underdogs. This screams like a strong contrarian play, with just 23% of the action on Orlando so far.

They’ve been a respectable home side this season, going 17-15 straight up. They have also really healed up over the All-Star break, which should be of benefit here.

They had been in some pretty poor form before the break, winning just 3 times in their last 10 and covering only twice. As a result, I think the public is undervaluing them here and they could be a good side to back in the coming weeks.

While Dallas have been strong on the road this season, I believe that is built into the number here. Orlando have a few guys they can throw at Doncic, which should help keep this one close. I think this game could go either way and I’ll gladly take Orlando +4.

This looks like a prime example of the Ewing theory. Dame Lillard is expected to be out here, with Portland getting 4.5 points at home against New Orleans.

I expect the team to step up in his absence, something they’ve done well in recent years. CJ McCollum in particular should be able to thrive here, putting the team on his back offensively.

New Orleans are hardly a great side. They’ve looked better of late with Zion in town, but they’re just 23-32 straight up and 12-15 on the road this season.

Portland performs much better at home and I’d expect them to play well here, especially considering the rest. Especially with the hook of 4.5, I like the Blazers plus the points in this one.

I like the Hawks here, getting 5.5 points at home. Both teams are nearly fully healthy after the break, which benefits a thinner team like Atlanta.

They haven’t been great at home this season, compiling a 9-17 straight up record. That said, going 15-10-1 ATS suggests that they’re doing a good job outperforming the market.

Likewise, Miami’s 13-16 road record is nothing to write home about. They are just 12-16-1 ATS on the road, winning only 4 of their last 10 overall.

Atlanta have a few matchup edges here, especially with Trae Young on offense. Clint Capela is also a useful addition on the interior and should help this one close. Especially through the key number of 5, I’ll take Atlanta plus the points here.

The Sixers are currently 9-point favourites and I’m expecting a relatively comfortable win here. They’ve proven themselves to be one of the best home teams in the NBA, going an outstanding 25-2 thus far. This is backed up by a strong 15-10-2 ATS record.

Brooklyn have been pretty poor on the road all season, going just 9-16 straight up and 10-15 ATS. They’ll be without Kyrie Irving here, which should really hurt against a strong defence like Philly.

They were in some good form before the All-Star break, but I think a long layoff got rid of those benefits. Philly enter this clash fully healthy and should look to dominate on the interior.

Given the factors listed above, I only see this line increasing before tip-off. If you also like the Sixers, I suggest getting in soon at the -9 number.

It’s slim pickings today, with only a 2-game slate on the last day before All Star weekend. Boston/LA looks very tough to call, but I like the look of OKC as road underdogs in this one.

They’ve been fairly strong on the road all season, putting up an impressive 15-10 record thus far. Their record against the spread is even better, going an outstanding 20-5. New Orleans don’t tend to have the greatest of home court advantages, evidenced by an early 11-16 record.

OKC have been in some solid recent form, winning 7 and covering 6 of their last 10 games. They didn’t weaken their roster at all before the trade deadline and appear to be firmly eyeing a playoff spot.

This is also a hugely contrarian play, with 86% of the early money coming in on New Orleans. Given the number, this would suggest that the public thinks the Pelicans are the better team, which I don’t agree with.

OKC are a deep team and they’ve been the more consistent of the two all season. Given the early action, this number could move to 2.5 or even 3 points before tip-off. I think they’ve got a good shot at the win here and will gladly take them plus the points.

I like the look of Indiana here, currently getting 1.5 points as home underdogs. Milwaukee will be without both Giannis and George Hill, two absences which I expect to be crucial.

Indiana have slipped a little of late, but they’re still one of the stronger home sides in the NBA. They’ve gone a solid 18-10 at home this season, compared to an average .500 record on the road.

Milwaukee hasn’t had to play too much without Giannis and his absence should really matter here. The Pacers are back to full health here and now look to have the matchup edge on the perimeter.

They’ve been dominated by Milwaukee in recent seasons, so I’d expect them to look for revenge here. This is definitely a contrarian play, but I think the value is on Indiana as underdogs.

While they’ve now got DLo to pair with KAT, I’m not sure the Wolves should be laying 7.5 points against anybody. They’ve completely shaken up their team in the last week and it’ll take time for everything to come together.

Their recent form is nothing short of horrendous, only winning and covering once in their last 10 games. Home court advantage has meant nothing all season, where they’ve compiled a miserable 7-19 record.

The Hornets are far from a strong team, but their road record is better than Minnesota’s at home. Especially with Minnesota’s atrocious defence, I think their backcourt can really get going here.

They’re relatively injury free and fatigue doesn’t appear to be an issue. With this being their last game before the All-Star break, they can really go all out.

For me, these are two relatively evenly matched sides. Especially through the key number of 7, I’ll happily take Charlotte plus the points.

I’m opting for a contrarian play here, taking the Bulls +3 points. 89% of early action has come in on Chicago and I’m simply going in the opposite direction.

Neither of these teams are particularly good and this game looks like a coin flip on paper. The Wizards do have home court here, but I’d assess the Bulls as the slightly better team.

Chicago have received a recent injury boost, with each of LaVine, Satoransky, Gafford, and Arcidiacono expected to play. They are the deeper of these two sides and I think their second unit can push past Washington here.

They’ve also got a few options on the perimeter that should be able to at least contain Brad Beal. In a game that could go either way, I’ll take the contrarian angle and the points with Chicago.

As a fan of small ball, these are two of the more intriguing teams in the NBA. I would mark Houston as the slightly better side and like them laying just 2.5 points at home here.

They’re 18-8 at home this season and will no doubt be motivated after an emotional loss. They suffered a minor injury blow recently, with 6^th man Eric Gordon set to be out until the All-Star break. This pales in comparison to Boston’s injury report, which includes a bunch of starters.

Houston have essentially nothing on the interior right now, but I’m not sure Boston can really punish them. Guys like Enes Kanter are essentially unplayable against a small-ball lineup, favouring Houston here.

I also don’t think Boston have the perimeter defenders to contain Houston’s backcourt. In a game that should be close late on, I’d expect James Harden to be the difference and will his team to a win and cover.