Melbourne vs Richmond: Predictions, Odds & Betting Tips

The Dees have been the surprise story of the 2026 season so far, and they can take another big step to sewing up a finals spot on Sunday. Last week’s 35-point margin over Hawthorn doesn’t do Steven King’s side any justice after a dominant opening half that saw the Hawks trail by 12 goals. Max Gawn was outstanding in the ruck and both Jacob van Rooyen and Bayley Fritsch enjoyed career-best games, slotting five goals each. Richmond, meanwhile, went very close to knocking off old rivals Carlton, kicking three goals in the final term to fall two points short. The Tigers were huge out of the middle, winning the centre clearances and taking more contested marks overall. Finding the chest of Tom Lynch more often would help the Tigers improve even more, and given we’ve seen Melbourne stumble at times this year, there’s a case to be made for them to at least keep this respectable. 

Prediction: Richmond to Cover (+41.5 Points) @ $1.90 

Value: Melbourne 1-39 @ $2.45 

Player Pick: Tom Lynch 2+ Goals @ $1.70