Germany enter the knockout stage as clear favourites against Paraguay, but there’s no doubt the market may have tightened after their shock 2-1 loss to Ecuador last Friday.
Paraguay arrived at the tournament with a bit of dark horse hype and have shown flashes, including a 1-0 win over Turkiye and a gritty scoreless draw with Australia.
Germany, meanwhile, have largely done what was expected against lesser opposition, thrashing Curacao 7-1 before edging past the Ivory Coast 2-1.
This feels like a great opportunity for Julian Nagelsmann’s side to respond and make a statement, although Paraguay are unlikely to roll out the red carpet.
Expect them to sit deep, stay compact, and try to frustrate Germany in a similar fashion to their approach against the Socceroos.
The difference is Germany’s quality in the final third. If they dominate possession and avoid the discipline issues that hurt them against Ecuador, they should be winning this with a bit to spare.
Prediction: Germany to Cover (-1 Goal) @ $1.85
Value: Over 3.5 Goals @ $3.70
Player Pick: Deniz Undav 2+ Shots on Target @ $1.62
Germany vs Paraguay Odds & Popular Betting Markets
Here’s a quick look at the current odds and popular betting markets for the Germany vs Paraguay matchup.
*odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change
World Cup 2026 odds correct as of 29/06/2026 and subject to change.
| Team | Odds | |
|---|---|---|
| Germany/Germany | 1.91 | Bet Now |
| Draw/Germany | 4.20 | Bet Now |
| Draw/Draw | 7.00 | Bet Now |
| Paraguay/Paraguay | 11.00 | Bet Now |
| Draw/Paraguay | 13.00 | Bet Now |
| Germany/Draw | 15.00 | Bet Now |
| Paraguay/Draw | 15.00 | Bet Now |
| Paraguay/Germany | 17.00 | Bet Now |
| Germany/Paraguay | 41.00 | Bet Now |
World Cup 2026 odds correct as of 29/06/2026 and subject to change.