Four weeks of football and far too many crowd shots of Taylor Swift are officially in the books.
After a month of football we have a clear idea of who could be lifting the Lombardi in February as well as what teams have the Caleb Williams highlights on repeat.
There’s only two undefeated teams remaining in the Eagles and 49ers, while the Panthers and Bears are still yet to claim their first W.
Week 5 brings the first byes of the year with the Chargers, Browns, Seahawks and Buccaneers all putting their feet up this week.
I’ve run my eyes over each market, simulated each game in Madden and checked the waiver wire for fantasy studs.
Here is my preview of Week 5 of the NFL.
I don’t want to sound like a sook but whose idea was it to put this game on primetime?
The Chicago Bears have lost their last 14 straight and are $3.05 outsiders to get it done against the 2-2 Washington Commies.
There honestly is not much about this game that excites me.
I’ve just mentioned the Bears’ losing streak, each of the Commanders’ last seven home games have gone under the total match points line.
I think this one will be dismal.
You know who isn’t dismal though? Brian Robinson.
He should see a heap of work in this one, a solo play at him for 90+ rush yards at $4.80 looks value to me and I will be adding him in my SGM as well.
SGM $4.29
- Washington Commanders -5.5 @ $1.87
- Brian Robinson 70+ Rushing Yards @ $2.25
- Brian Robinson Anytime Touchdown @ $1.62
One of the games of the week for me and another game in London so set your fantasy lineups (and put your bets on) early.
Jacksonville have been disappointing so far this season, I had a lot of expectations for this side and while some may call it a tad harsh to be so critical of a team that is sitting at 2-2, they have not looked like a team that could go deep into the post season so far.
This matchup against the Bills will be a serious test because they do once again look every bit a playoff team.
Boasting a 3-1 record, only allowing 13.75 ppg and scoring 34.75 themselves, Jacksonville will need to do the exact opposite that they did against the Chiefs if they want to be in with a chance in this one.
Stefon Diggs has been great so far to start the year he’s averaging 99.75 Yards per game and he has racked up triple digits in three games already.
I’ve stayed away from him so far but I like him for 70+ in this one.
Travis Etienne also continues to be the bell cow for Jacksonville, he is third in the league for running back snap share percentage (77%).
He is currently keeping this team afloat and I will continue to take his rushing totals especially against a team that just let De’Von Achane run for 101 yards on eight carries.
I’m staying away from a result market here however each of the Jaguars’ last five games at neutral venues have gone UNDER the total match points line so under 49 is where I’ll be here.
My Bets
- Under 49 Points @ $1.87
- Stefon Diggs Over 70+ Receiving Yards
- Travis Etienne Over 70+ Rushing Yards
- Dalton Kincaid Anytime Touchdown Scorer
The Ravens will head to Pittsburgh and look to extend their lead on the AFC North in this Week 5 clash.
Lamar Jackson and Co are $1.53 favourites to get it done against a Steelers outfit that are also an early favourite for most disappointing team of the season.
The Ravens don’t have a great record against the Steelers of late.
They’re 1-5 against their divisional rivals since 2020 but from what I saw from the Steelers last week, you cannot honestly back them with any confidence here.
The Steelers allowed 306 air yards to rookie CJ Stroud last week, there’s only been one game so far this season where Zay Flowers has gone under 50 receiving yards and Mark Andrews is coming off an 80 yard, 2 Touchdown game.
I like both of them for 60+ receiving here.
My Bets
- Baltimore H2H @ $1.53
- Mark Andrews 60+ Receiving Yards
- Zay Flowers 60+ Receiving Yards
- Zay Flowers Anytime Touchdown
This is just going to be sad…
The Dolphins have already put 70 points on a team this year and are now up against a team that not only can’t score but cannot stop their opposition either.
Miami 14+ is the play here and I’m expecting to see more of De’Von Achane this week who has a total of 353 total yards and six touchdowns in the last two weeks alone.
Don’t really know what else to say here, things are about to go from bad to worse for New York, Saquon Barkley should be back this week but I don’t think he will be that much of a difference maker.
My Bets
- Dolphins 14+ @ $2.05
- De’Von Achane 70+ Rushing Yards
- Tyreek Hill 80+ Receiving Yards
- De’Von Achane Anytime TD Scorer
I wouldn’t necessarily call it a stinker but I’m certainly not looking forward to this game whatsoever.
The Patriots have lost some key pieces on the defence this week and the return of Alvin Kamara for the Saints has me leaning towards the Bayou here.
The Pats have some big issues at the moment, this is a side that benched their QB last week, lost four of their last five games and are somehow $1.80 favourites to win.
I’m not buying it at all, New Orleans haven’t been impressive either but atleast they have the weapons and some sort of cohesion.
They look the value to me at $2.02
My Bets
- Saints H2H @ $2.02
- Alvin Kamara 60+ Rushing Yards
- Chris Olave 60+ Receiving Yards
- Alvin Kamara Anytime Touchdown
Things are about to go from bad to worse for poor Bryce Young.
The man threw for 200 yards last week with a completion percentage of 80% and could not find a way to win against the Vikings.
Two of his seven incompletions were also dropped touchdowns that literally hit his receivers between the eyes.
The Panthers have some glaring problems and it’s everywhere but at quarterback.
This Lions team is the real deal and I expect them to have their way with Carolina in this one.
David Montgomery also seems to be the guy in this backfield which is bizarre since Detroit spent the 12th overall pick on Jahmyr Gibbs and celebrated like they’d won the Super Bowl when they drafted him.
DMont had 32 carries last week for 121 yards and three tds. I’d take him for 70+ and a td here. (Which means that this will be the Gibbs breakout week)
My Bets
- Lions 14+ @ $2.40
- David Montgomery 70+ Rushing Yards
- Sam LaPorta 50+ Receiving Yards
- David Montgomery Anytime Touchdown Scorer
This is a really forgettable matchup if you ask me, the Colts look pretty good with Anthony Richardson under centre but the whole Jonathan Taylor saga is leaving me with a pounding headache.
The Titans have won each of their last five games against the Colts and Indianapolis are 0-2 at home so far this season.
Titans to win and Derrick Henry to run big I reckon.
My Bets
- Colts H2H @ $1.94
- Derrick Henry 80+ Rushing Yards
- Derrick Henry Anytime Touchdown
Houston are not commanding the respect they reserve just yet, and honestly that’s fine.
CJ Stroud and the Texans are $2.10 underdogs and I really think the bookies have got that wrong.
Stroud is balling out and only getting better every week, meanwhile everyone not named Bijan Robinson is struggling at the Falcons.
The Texans have lost each of their last 11 games against NFC opponents but I think this is where they break that streak.
Houston has won two in a row and I think they could seriously do some damage to this Falcons team.
My Bets
- Texans H2H @ $2.10
- CJ Stroud 275+ Passing Yards
- Nico Collins Anytime Touchdown Scorer
What is going on in Cincinnati?
I had Burrow for MVP and the Bengals for 14-3 this year.
Now a month into the season they could end up with a very early draft pick.
This matchup will truly be the prove it week given the Cardinals aren’t as dismal as we expected this year but the Bengals should definitely win this game.
I’m going to take the Bengals to cover the line this week the Bengals have failed to cover the line in seven of their last eight games but something has to give.
If they lose this week I will fade them very hard.
My Bets
- Bengals -3 @ $1.90
- Ja’Marr Chase 70+ Receiving Yards
- Joe Mixon Anytime Touchdown
Philly will look to make it 5-0 when they take on the LA Rams at home who have been quite an exciting team to watch this year.
Puka Nacua truly has come out of nowhere and is breaking records left, right and centre.
Is it enough to stop the green machine? I don’t think it is.
The Eagles are $1.46 favourites to win and I can’t talk myself into the Rams.
The Eagles have covered the line in each of their last four games in California and have won each of their last 11 games as road favourites, I only have 3 words here.
Fly. Eagles. Fly.
My Bets
- Eagles -4 @ $1.90
- Jalen Hurts 250+ Passing Yards
- D’Andre Swift 60+ Rushing Yards
Bad game alert.
Stinky game.
Poo poo game.
The Jets have lost each of their last six road games, that’ll do me.
My Bets
- Broncos H2H @ $1.80
They got their first win of the season last week against the Panthers but Big Kirko and the Vikings will be up against it when they take on the Chiefs.
Pat Mahomes was outplayed at quarterback for the first time in his career last week vs the Jets and I can guarantee that does not happen two weeks in a row.
The Cousins and Jefferson connection is certainly not broken but Mahomes will have a point to prove in this game.
Chiefs to cover.
My Bets
- Chiefs -5.5 @ $1.90
- Patrick Mahomes 300+ Passing Yards
- Patrick Mahomes 3+ Passing Touchdowns
The two best defences in the league will slug it out on SNF
The Cowboys as $2.50 underdogs doesn’t seem right if you ask me.
Yes the 49ers (mainly CMC) are ripping and tearing but I think this may be closer than the bookies are giving the Cowboys credit for.
Six of the Cowboys’ last eight games have gone UNDER the total match points line, I’ve spent all year hyping these two defences up so I think it’s only fair that this is what I back.
My Bets
- Under 45 Points @ $1.90
- Christian McCaffrey Anytime Touchdown Scorer
- Tony Pollard 60+ Rushing Yards
They were pretty miserable during the prime time game last week but I expect Green Bay to bounce back against the Raiders.
The Lions did a great job of keeping GB quiet last week but I think this week will be a completly different story.
I’m bullish on both Aaron Jones and Christian Watson in this game.
My Bets
- Packers -2 @ $1.90
- Aaron Jones 60+ Rushing Yards
- Christian Watson 60+ Receiving Yards
A quiet game from Tyreek Hill and an injury to Justin Herbert saw us go 3/5 on our fantasy team multi last week.
We’re not here to live in the past though, I’ve studied the match ups fairly closely this week to give you punters another fantasy team
Just to recap in Week 4 we had:
- Quarterback: Justin Herbert Over 275+ Passing Yards X
- Runningback: Christian McCaffrey 60+ Rushing Yards ✓
- Runningback: Bijan Robinson 60+ Rushing Yards ✓
- Wide Receiver: Tyreek Hill 80+ Receiving Yards X
- Wide Receiver: Justin Jefferson 80+ Receiving Yards ✓
- Multi: $6.22
Week 5’s Fantasy team looks like this:
- Quarterback: Patrick Mahomes Over 250+ Passing Yards
- Runningback: David Montgomery 60+ Rushing Yards
- Runningback: Bijan Robinson 60+ Rushing Yards
- Wide Receiver: Ja’Marr Chase 70+ Receiving Yards
- Wide Receiver: Christian Watson 60+ Receiving Yards