Fremantle vs Hawthorn: Predictions, Odds & Betting Tips

A sold out Optus Stadium will greet the Dockers and Hawks for the first game of the finals on Thursday night. 

Hawthorn’s form entering September is questionable to say the least, but they might find some comfort in the fact they just kicked 16 goals against West Coast on this same ground on a fortnight earlier. 

Obviously, this Dockers team poses a much sterner test however, and no one knows that better than Hawthorn coach, Sam Mitchell. 

The Hawks lost by 14 points when they met Freo back in Round 9, a game that swung in the balance across all four quarters with Hawthorn notably leading by three goals at the main break. 

As they did that night (and all season) Fremantle showed they only need one or two good quarters to put opponents away, and with rested legs and the likes of Jye Amiss returning to the forward line, it’s easy to side with the Dockers in this one. 

The battle between the mids will be fascinating with Jack Ginnivan also back for the Hawks, but for a forward line that has sputtered over the last four weeks, the Hawks will need to be almost perfect in front of goal to pull off the upset. 

Freo limited Mitchell’s men to just 42 inside 50 entries in that previous meeting. With Nick Watson running hot and cold week to week, and plenty of pressure around Mabior Chol and Mitch Lewis to lift their game, the Dockers’ back half should have the final say here. 

Prediction: Fremantle 1-39 @ $2.10 

Value: Fremantle to Win & Under 164.5 Total Points @ $2.65 

Player Pick: Karl Amon 20+ Disposals @ $2.10