Week 11 rolls on in this week and what a cracker of a season we’ve had so far.
I can’t tell what’s more exciting, the race to the Super Bowl or the race to Caleb Williams and the first overall pick.
There’s just as many teams in the running on both sides of the ladder we’ve got some red hot teams and some absolute garbage!
Matchup wise we’re in for some great games this week; Ravens v Bengals, Browns v Steelers and a replay of last years Super Bowl are just some of the games we get this week!
I’ve run my eyes over each market, simulated each game in Madden and checked the waiver wire for fantasy studs.
Here is my preview of Week 11 of the NFL.
The NFL script writers were not kind to the Bengals this season.
After the calf injury to Burrow and a poor start to the year, you’d think that a week 10 matchup against the Texans would be a walk in the park for Cincy. It was not.
The Bengals were on the wrong side of a 27-30 thriller last week and will need to dust themselves off quickly for this prime time game. Their divisional rivals Baltimore are one of my favourite teams to make the Super Bowl this year.
The AFC North is easily the toughest division in football, the Ravens have been walking all over teams this year but blew a big lead late and lost to the Browns last week.
Burrow and the Bengals have been very poor against AFC sides of late, they’ve lost five of their last six games against AFC opponents and with injury clouds over Tee Higgins and Ja’Marr Chase, it’s hard to get excited about one of my favourite teams in the league. By all reports, Ja’Marr should play but I’m not sure about Higgins.
Ravens to cover looks like the way to go for me, four point line and the Ravens have covered in each of their last six games following a loss.
Ravens -4 @ $1.90
SGM $5.18
- Joe Burrow 250+ Passing Yards $1.70
- Lamar Jackson Over 45.5 Rushing Yards $1.90
- Zay Flowers 45+ Receiving Yards $1.50
The Cows are rolling into this game after a genuine dismantling of the NY Giants. The Giants were $14 to win that one, this week the 1-8 Panthers are $5.75 to get it done and I’m not sure if that says more about NY or Carolina.
I promised I’d try and stop sooking about Bryce Young but the more I watch, the more I feel sorry for the 1st overall pick. He’s got a heap of expectation because the Panthers sold every asset they had to get him, the number 2 pick CJ Stroud is having the greatest rookie season of all time and what do the Panthers do for Bryce? Absolutley nothing.
They have a poor o-line, running backs that can’t make any yardage and the most dismal and predictable play calling I’ve ever seen.
Run up the guts, checkdown to the tight end because the WRs can’t get separation, failed WR screen pass, punt. That has been every single Carolina drive this season.
It’s not going to get easier against this Cowboys defense, they are about to inflict some serious hurt on an offensive (I mean that in two different ways) playbook that is easier to read than Captain Underpants.
My Bets
- Cowboys 14+ @ $2.15
- CeeDee Lamb 75+ Receiving Yards
- Unders on everything about Carolina
Detroit will host their NFC North rivals early on Monday morning and I can only see this going one way.
Justin Fields is yet to start training due to his dislocated thumb, it looks like we’ll have another week of Machine Gun Kelly Tyson Bagent under centre for Chi Town.
Detroit have been a great team to watch this season and should really run up the score against the Bears.
The Lions have covered the line in each of their last six games as favourites, 9.5 point line – give me 14+ for some extra value.
My Bets
- Lions 14+ @ $2.30
- Amon-Ra St. Brown 60+ Receiving Yards
- Jahmyr Gibbs Anytime Touchdown Scorer
I had the Jags tipped to beat San Fran last week, they were outsiders but no one expected them to lose 3-34
Trevor Lawrence had a stinker 17/29, 185 Yards, 0 TDs (obviously) and 2 INTS. He was also sacked five times and lost a fumble.
Lawrence and the Jags have the opportunity to turn it around and keep their AFC South dreams alive in this game against the 3-6 Titans.
Trev needs to be better, I don’t think anyone’s arguing that. I think that game last week just shows how scary the 49ers team is on both sides of the ball.
Jags will bounce back mark my words.
Titans suck, I don’t even want to talk about them.
My Bets
- Jaguars -6.5 @ $1.90
- Trevor Lawrence 275+ Passing Yards
- Christian Kirk 60+ Receiving Yards
Both these sides have been incredibly disappointing this season.
Justin Herbert can’t do much more for this Chargers team, 323 yards, 4 Tds and 38 points last week and the Chargers still couldn’t get a W.
You’d think they should walk over the Packers who can’t do anything at the moment but this is one of those games that could truly go either way.
I’m sticking with the Chargers, if the Chargers were playing like the team everyone expects them to be, 14+ at $4.60 wouldn’t be safe.
My Bets
- Chargers -3 @ $1.90
- Justin Herbert 300+ Passing Yards
- Austin Ekeler Anytime Touchdown
Washington 14+
My Bets
- Washington 14+ @ $2.35
I get really excited every time AFC North sides clash, I can’t explain it but for as long as I’ve watched football. They’ve been the biggest rivalry games going around.
This one should be no different, I’ve hung shit on the Steelers all year but they’re a team that are winning games. As are the Browns who I’ve also thrown a heap of shit on.
Jaylen Warren has officially been named RB1 for the Steelers, he’s coming off his best ever game as a professional 15 carries for 101 yards and a TD. I will be keeping a close eye on his yardage markets.
Result wise, I’m leaning towards the Steelers to cover, they’ve covered the line in each of their last four games against AFC North opponents and it’s a four point line. This game could very easily be won by a field goal and upsets in AFC North rivalry games are almost more common than favourites winning.
My Bets
- Steelers +4 @ $1.90
- Jaylen Warren 70+ Rushing Yards
- Jaylen Warren Anytime Touchdown Scorer
Miami finally have a game against a team that has a losing record and rookie running back De’Von Achane looks set to return from IR.
To say I have massive expectations for the Dolphins here would be the understatement of the year.
The Phins are $1.11 favourites and have made a habit of beating up teams that are worse than them. Keep an eye on Achane. If he indeed suits up, I like him for a TD and a heap of yards. Tyreek for 100 as well (which is more than likely what his over/under will be set at).
My Bets
- Dolphins -12 @ $1.90
- De’Von Achane 60+ Rushing Yards
- De’Von Achane Anytime Touchdown
- Tyreek Hill 100+ Receiving Yards
- Tyreek Hill Anytime Touchdown
Football is infinitely better when Kyler Murray is on the field.
What a breath of fresh air he was for the Cards last week, returning from the ACL injury – K1 was electric and put Arizona on his back like he always does.
This week they’re $2.70 underdogs against CJ Stroud and the Texans but I think the Cardinals are a real chance here.
We’ve had a year without Kyler Murray and people forget just how good he is. Credit where credit is due though, Stroud and the Texans are cooking and are coming off a win against the Bengals.
The Texans have failed to cover the line in each of their last six games as favourites and the return of Kyler and James Conner make this a very different Cardinals team.
My Bets
- Cardinals +4 @ $1.90
- CJ Stroud 275+ Passing Yards
- Kyler Murray 40+ Rushing Yards
The 49ers have one of the easiest rest of season schedules in the league. Buccs, Seahawks, Eagles (not easy), Seahawks again, Cardinals, Ravens, Commanders and Rams.
If they play like they did against the Jags last week, they’re not dropping a game for the rest of the year.
They’re $1.13 to win in Week 11 against Baker and the Buccs and I don’t see anything else happening here.
11.5 point line, San Fran cover that in their sleep.
My Bets
- 49ers -11.5 @ $1.90
- Christian McCaffrey 70+ Rushing Yards
- Brandon Aiyuk 60+ Receiving Yards
The 3-6 Rams will host the Seahawks during the mid morning slate of games in an NFC West clash that I don’t think the Hawks are getting enough credit for.
They’re $1.87 to win and the line is just one point. That’s where the value is right there.
I don’t really see how they’re such long odds to win this one. Geno threw for 369 Yards last week, Ken Walker had 127 all purpose yards, Lockett had 92 & a TD, DK had 98 yards.
Seattle are going to be hard to stop and backing them on the nose is all we need.
My Bets
- Seahawks H2H @ $1.87
- Geno Smith 275+ Passing Yards
- DK Metcalf Over 60+ Receiving Yards
The Jets pulled off the upset win against Buffalo in week 1 can they do it again? $3.70 says they can.
Buffalo have been one of the most disappointing teams in the league this year. They were almost favourites to win the Super Bowl in pre season and now they are 5-5 with no major injuries and have just sacked their offensive coordinator.
This side should be a lot better than they are and they should’ve won last week if it weren’t for the Bills having 12 men on the field during a field goal attempt.
It might be worth having a unit or two on the Jets. For the last time this year (unless we hit) I’m taking Buffalo to cover.
My Bets
- Bills -7 @ $1.90
- Josh Allen 250+ Passing Yards
- James Cook Anytime Touchdown
I’m sorry but how the f%$& are the Vikings not favourites here?
They’re on a five game winning streak, Josh Dobbs is having a Geno Smith like resurgence and everything that I’ve heard is saying Justin Jefferson is playing this week.
Yes the Broncos beat the Bills last week but they were UGLY. You know who wasn’t ugly, the Alopecia Assassin, Mr Aerospace Engineer Josh Dobbs. The rushing touchdown he scored last week was one of the best I’ve seen in a long time.
I’m smashing the Vikings to win here, I don’t see anything else happening.
My Bets
- Vikings H2H @ $2.10
- Josh Dobbs 40+ Rushing Yards
- Josh Dobbs Anytime Touchdown
Last time these two sides met was Super Bowl LVII and that was one of the best games we’ve had in quite some time.
The Kelce boys will battle for supremacy once again on MNF and I cannot wait!
The Chiefs have opened as $1.68 favourites to the Eagles $2.20. Both these sides are coming off the bye and have had an extra week to scheme which gets me even more excited.
This game could easily be won by a field goal, we’ve seen it happen before and no team has an answer for the brotherly shove. Philly +2.5 looks to be the play for me.
The Eagles have covered the line in four of their last five Monday games as underdogs, that’ll do me!
My Bets
- Eagles +2.5 @ $1.90
- Travis Kelce 80+ Receiving Yards
- AJ Brown 80+ Receiving Yards
We had an interesting fantasy multi last week. Josh Allen put up a stinker for us, Breece Hall did all his work in the pass game and the Cowboys were so good that they benched Pollard 5 yards before he hit for us.
We’re going to hit this week I can feel it in my bones.
As always, I’ve studied the matchups for my Fantasy team multi and let me tell you, there are some serious studs with great matchups this week.
Just to recap in Week 10 we had:
- Quarterback: Josh Allen Over 225+ Passing Yards vs The Broncos X
- Runningback: Breece Hall 60+ Rushing Yards vs The Raiders X
- Runningback: Tony Pollard 60+ Rushing Yards vs The Giants X
- Wide Receiver: Amon-Ra St Brown 60+ Receiving Yards vs The Chargers ✓
- Wide Receiver: Mike Evans 60+ Receiving Yards vs The Titans ✓
- Multi: $8.22
Week 11s Fantasy team looks like this:
- Quarterback: Patrick Mahomes Over 225+ Passing Yards vs The Eagles
- Runningback: Josh Jacobs 60+ Rushing Yards vs The Dolphins
- Runningback: Austin Ekeler 60+ Rushing Yards vs The Packers
- Wide Receiver: Tyreek Hill 70+ Receiving Yards vs The Raiders
- Wide Receiver: CeeDee Lamb 70+ Receiving Yards vs The Panthers