NFL Week 10 Tips & Preview

NFL Week 10 Tips & Preview

Week 10 of the NFL season kicks off with a huge AFC South clash between the Titans and Colts with control of the division on the line.

It also features a back loaded slate of games thanks to The Masters finishing during the very early window Monday morning.

That’s good news for local fans who might have an excuse to sleep in a bit later than normal before the football fill up featuring the Rams-Seahawks, Raiders-Broncos, Dolphins-Cardinals games and a whole lot more.

Read on for our Week 10 NFL tips below.

Tennessee Titans v Indianapolis Colts
Titans to Win @ $1.91

Tennessee got their season back on track with a 24-17 win over the Bears last week and they now host their division rivals, kicking off a huge three game stretch.

After facing the Ravens they will face the Colts again with a chance to take control of the AFC South and extend what is currently a one game lead.

What was once an unstoppable offence has come back to earth a little bit in the last few weeks averaging just under 23 points per game as opposed to topping 30 in their prior four outings.

Working in their favour however is a Colts offence that has made plenty of mistakes and will give Tennessee an extra possession or two.

Between that and the combination of AJ Brown and Derrick Henry I just can’t see the Titans dropping this game, they just have too much to slow down.

Green Bay Packers v Jacksonville Jaguars
Packers to Cover -13 @ $1.91

Green Bay on 10 days rest, as double digit favourites on the frozen tundra against a team from Florida, how can you back against that?

Making things worse for the Jags is the fact it’s meant to be raining and barely above freezing in Green Bay at kickoff time and this side will probably be dreaming of the heated locker room when they are out on the field.

On a neutral field this would be a massive mismatch, Green Bay should win comfortably.

Cleveland Browns v Houston Texans
Browns to Win & Over 49.5 Points @ $3.00

In an alternate reality this could have been a truly excellent name but injuries and poor form have robbed us of a potential playoff preview.

On the plus side we should still see plenty of points with neither team overly competent defensively.

The Browns have given up 30 points five times already this season and Deshaun Watson is starting to head up with eight touchdowns and no interceptions in his last three starts.

That being said, the Texans are a sieve defensively and will have no answer for the Browns whether they choose to run or pass it.

I’ll back the Browns to win a shootout as they just can’t lose to a team that has only beaten Jacksonville this season.

New York Giants v Philadelphia Eagles
Giants to Win @ $2.40

Thanks to the fact the entire NFC East is rubbish this year, two teams that have a combined five wins between them at the midway point of the season are battling for a possible playoff spot.

Admittedly the Eagles have the edge in this race with three wins and a tie, plus a game in hand but New York can still keep their hopes alive with a win at home.

When these teams met back in Week 6, it was a game that went right down to the wire with the Giants coming so close to pulling off an upset.

I’ll back them at their current price in a game I’m expecting to go right down to the wire again.

Carolina Panthers v Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay to Win & Over 50.5 Points @ $2.55

There is no chance that Tampa Bay will be as bad as they were against New Orleans last week, I’m willing to give Brady and company the benefit of the doubt.

They took care of the Panthers at home in Week 2 and the home side this week will once again be without star back Christian McCaffery after picking up another injury against the Chiefs last week.

In an encouraging sign for the Panthers, they have held up well in games without McCaffery this season and have still been able to put together enough offence to give themselves a chance in most games.

I’ll still back the Buccaneers outright but I’ll also take overs on the total points market since this has the makings of a quarterback duel.

Detroit Lions v Washington Football Team
TJ Hockensen Anytime TD Scorer

Some games you have a good feel for, others less so.

Detroit should win this game comfortably but if this season (and every other season) is anything to go by, “should” means diddly squat.

I’ll steer clear of picking a winner and just go with Detroit’s stud tight end TJ Hockensen to score a touchdown.

Miami Dolphins v Los Angeles Chargers
Miami by 1-13 @ $2.35

Say what you will about the Chargers, but they are an entertaining team to watch with an exciting young quarterback.

They can’t close a game and have just about replaced the Falcons as the “finding new ways to blow a lead” team but most of their contests have gone down to the final possession.

Aside from their 10-point win over the Jaguars, every Chargers game has been decided by a touchdown but I can’t back them to win, which makes Miami by 1-13 an excellent value play.

Las Vegas Raiders v Denver Broncos
Raiders to Win & Over 51.5 Points @ $2.80

With three wins in their last four games, the Raiders are well and truly in the AFC playoff hunt and can keep in touch with their fellow wild card contenders by defeating the Broncos at home.

Their new stadium has not been overly profitable for them so far with a 1-2 record straight up and against the spread.

Denver may very well keep it close but I just can’t back them to be able to keep up with Josh Jacobs and company.

Vegas will probably find a way to give up at least 20 points but they should also manage to score at least 30 against a porous Broncos defence.

Arizona Cardinals v Buffalo Bills
Bills to Win @ $2.05

Remarkably, the fact this game is getting played in Arizona is probably more beneficial for the Bills than playing in Buffalo.

They have struggled in their bad weather games so far this season and playing indoors lends itself to turning into a track meet.

When you look up and down the rosters, the overall talent levels are pretty similar and with that in mind, plus home field advantage not mattering too much in 2020, I’ll back the Bills at their price with the caveat that if the market swings to the visitors, I’ll switch to the Cardinals.

Pittsburgh Steelers v Cincinnati Bengals
Bengals to Cover @ $1.91

Generally speaking, when a key player goes on the COVID list and there’s no market, I’ll hold off making a call until we know the status of said player.

When someone as important as Ben Roethlisberger is rubbed out of practice for the week that’s enough to get me to swing to the Bengals.

They may not win this game but they fight hard week after week and the Steelers will not be immune to the struggles other teams have gone through.

Los Angeles Rams v Seattle Seahawks
Seattle to Win @ $2.02

With two losses in their last three games, some are ready to write off the Seahawks as a Super Bowl contender but they have a great opportunity to allay a lot of those fears with a big win over the Rams.

Russell Wilson has had a pair of rough games in those losses committing seven turnovers compared to three in the other six games.

He’s better than he was last week and I like his chances to get his team over the line in what could very well be an arm wrestle.

Like some of the other games, these teams are very even and I like the value on offer for the underdog.

best bet
New Orleans Saints v San Francisco 49ers
Saints by 14+ @ $2.35

There’s no need to overcomplicate this pick once again, the shell of the 49ers team heads to the Superdome to take on the Saints coming off a huge win.

As long as the Saints play a clean game with no turnovers, they should be able to get by the 49ers quite comfortably.

New Orleans might keep a few tricks up their sleeve and play fairly conservatively on offence but they should still be able to move the ball at will and come away with a comfortable victory.

New England Patriots v Baltimore Ravens
Ravens by 14+ @ $2.75

Congratulations Patriots, you picked up your first win since September by beating the lowly Jets.

Even though the Ravens are not their dominant self from 2019, they should have no problems running all over a Patriots front seven that is one more injury away from calling up members of the Neds content team to help out.

Unless John Harbaugh has one of his patented Foxborough brain snaps & spends his time arguing with the officials, the Ravens will come up with a much needed win.

Bill Belichick will find a way to get this team to stumble into a few wins this season just because of his coaching but this won’t be one of them.

Chicago Bears v Minnesota Vikings
SGM: Vikings -2.5, Dalvin Cook 100+ Rushing Yards & Anytime TD Scorer

How can you back against the Vikings at the moment… ok more accurately, how can you back against Dalvin Cook at the moment?

Since coming back from injury he has done everything possible to make up for lost time tallying 369 rushing yards, 109 receiving yards and a measly six touchdowns.

Naturally then, I’m going to go all in on him to bulldoze the Chicago Bears even if the Vikings don’t put up more than 24 points.

Chicago has flopped majorly in their last three games losing all three to find themselves on the outside of the NFC playoff picture.

The Bears have a good rush defence but Cook is just unstoppable at the moment, back the hot hand.