{"id":85907,"date":"2026-05-12T09:28:18","date_gmt":"2026-05-11T23:28:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.neds.com.au\/blog\/?p=85907"},"modified":"2026-05-15T18:26:53","modified_gmt":"2026-05-15T08:26:53","slug":"2026-afl-round-10-tips-preview-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.neds.com.au\/blog\/2026\/05\/2026-afl-round-10-tips-preview-2\/","title":{"rendered":"2026 AFL Round 10 Tips & Preview"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

It\u2019s Sir Doug Nicholls Round this weekend as the AFL celebrates First Nations people. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

A serious finals-like clash kicks off proceedings with the Lions hosting the Cats on Thursday night at the Gabba, followed by another Friday doubleheader with the Swans in action against a Pies team fighting for a spot in the Wild Card picture. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Dees and the Hawks is a must-watch on Saturday, while the wounded Saints take on Richmond on Sunday under the roof at Marvel. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

A serious gap is opening up between the top teams in the competition, and we\u2019ve got you covered with tips ahead of all nine games! <\/p>\n\n\n

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\n <\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n
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Brisbane Lions<\/div>\n
vs<\/div>\n
Geelong Cats<\/div>\n
Thursday 14th May 2026 7:30 PM (Gabba)<\/div>\n
Tip: Lions 1-39 @ $2.20 <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n
\n

Should be one of the better\u00a0<\/span>midfield<\/span>\u00a0battles\u00a0<\/span>you\u2019ll<\/span>\u00a0see all season with Lachie Neale and Bailey Smith in\u00a0<\/span>serious<\/span>\u00a0Brownlow Medal form. The Lions have played with their food at times and shifted back into third gear after establishing healthy leads against the likes of Carlton\u00a0<\/span>and Essendon in recent weeks, while the Cats have won four of their last five on the back of outstanding pressure and their ability to find forward half targets with precision.\u00a0<\/span>Hardly anything separates these two sides statistically, although the Lions have been a better team at winning clearances and limiting turnover. Again, the\u00a0<\/span>batlte<\/span>\u00a0through the middle of the ground is key, but with the Cats showing some questionable form away from Melbourne this year, the edge belongs to Brisbane.<\/span><\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\t\t\t\n Lions vs Cats<\/a>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/section>\n\n\n
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\n <\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n
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Sydney Swans<\/div>\n
vs<\/div>\n
Collingwood Magpies<\/div>\n
Friday 15th May 2026 7:30 PM (SCG)<\/div>\n
Tip: Swans 40+ @ $2.40 <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n
\n

Hardly the primetime game the AFL would have hoped for when they originally\u00a0<\/span>set<\/span>\u00a0the fixture. The ladder-leading Swans are the team to beat with a 4-0 record at the SCG to their name, while the Pies are\u00a0<\/span>seemingly going<\/span>\u00a0backwards\u00a0<\/span>with all four of their losses this year coming against teams sitting above them on the ladder. Even if Scott Pendlebury were to play, he really\u00a0<\/span>wouldn\u2019t<\/span>\u00a0move the needle that much for Craig McRae\u2019s side in what\u00a0<\/span>shapes as<\/span>\u00a0<\/span>a very comfortable<\/span>\u00a0win for a Swans outfit averaging 10 more inside 50 entries a game compared to their opponent.<\/span><\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\t\t\t\n Swans vs Pies<\/a>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/section>\n\n\n
\n
\n
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\n <\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n
\n
Gold Coast Suns<\/div>\n
vs<\/div>\n
Port Adelaide<\/div>\n
Friday 15th May 2026 8:10 PM (TIO Stadium)<\/div>\n
Tip: Suns to Win & Under the Total <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n
\n

No shock to find the Suns at short odds as they\u00a0<\/span>remain<\/span>\u00a0in Darwin for another week. As their name suggests, Gold Coast relished the hot conditions last week in a dominant win over\u00a0<\/span>a Saints side that simply ran out of gas in the second half.\u00a0<\/span>The likes of Zak Butters and Connor Rozee are capable of keeping Port in this contest like they have all season, but whether they have the attacking options to match the Suns is another question entirely.<\/span>\u00a0Question marks\u00a0<\/span>remain<\/span>\u00a0over Gold Coast\u2019s finals credentials with their own attack hit and miss at times, but\u00a0<\/span>after holding their last two opponents to under 70 points each, it feels like the Suns are finding midseason form yet again.<\/span><\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\t\t\t\n Suns vs Power<\/a>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/section>\n\n\n
\n
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\n <\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n
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Adelaide Crows<\/div>\n
vs<\/div>\n
North Melbourne<\/div>\n
Saturday 16th May 2026 1:15 PM (Adelaide Oval)<\/div>\n
Tip: North Melbourne to Cover (+18.5) <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n
\n

Big watch on\u00a0<\/span>North on<\/span>\u00a0Saturday afternoon as they continue to match it with some of the top teams in the competition. Alastair Clarkson would like some\u00a0<\/span>reward for<\/span>\u00a0effort at some point, and it feels like the Crows might be the perfect prey after cutting it close against an equally feisty Richmond outfit last week. Adelaide required the absolute best from Josh Rachele in the second half to get the job done<\/span>\u00a0with Taylor Walker still on the sideline. On the back of a spirited three quarters against Geelong a fortnight ago, and a\u00a0<\/span>a<\/span>\u00a0game they might have won last week if they kicked straight against Sydney, North Melbourne has enough talent on the park to really expose some of Adelaide\u2019s defensive weaknesses.<\/span><\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\t\t\t\n Crows vs Roos<\/a>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/section>\n\n\n
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Melbourne<\/div>\n
vs<\/div>\n
Hawthorn<\/div>\n
Saturday 16th May 2026 4:15 PM (MCG)<\/div>\n
Tip: Hawks 1-39 @ $2.20 <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n
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Potential game of the round contender between\u00a0<\/span>7<\/span><\/span>th<\/span><\/span>\u00a0and 3<\/span><\/span>rd<\/span><\/span>. The Dees are a fast-moving team that could put pressure on the Hawks through the\u00a0<\/span>middle but<\/span>\u00a0given how\u00a0<\/span>quickly Hawthorn can rebound and find targets like Jack Gunston in transition, this has all the makings of a shootout. Sam Mitchell will\u00a0<\/span>have plenty of positives to draw from last week\u2019s blown loss to Fremantle, and you could argue the Hawks will\u00a0<\/span>benefit<\/span>\u00a0from getting back to Melbourne after a big month of travel.\u00a0<\/span>With Mabior Chol and\u00a0<\/span>Calsher<\/span>\u00a0Dear both a chance to play back from injury, the bookies might have this one right.<\/span><\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\t\t\t\n Dees vs Hawks<\/a>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/section>\n\n\n
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\n <\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n
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Carlton<\/div>\n
vs<\/div>\n
Western Bulldogs<\/div>\n
Saturday 16th May 2026 7:35 PM (Marvel)<\/div>\n
Tip: Carlton to Cover (+13.5) <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n
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Surprisingly, Michael Voss made the decision to resign on Tuesday despite the Blues putting up a decent second half fight against the Lions a week ago. Patrick Cripps played <\/span>arguably his<\/span>\u00a0best game of the year, while it was great to s<\/span>ee Jagga Smith with his hands all over the footy. For the Dogs, Marcus Bontempelli is in career-best form and leading the Brownlow market, but\u00a0<\/span>there\u2019s<\/span>\u00a0a case to be made for the Baggers if they can\u00a0<\/span>build on<\/span> last week\u2019s second half\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\t\t\t\n Blues vs Dogs<\/a>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/section>\n\n\n
\n
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\n <\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n
\n
Essendon<\/div>\n
vs<\/div>\n
Fremantle<\/div>\n
Sunday 17th May 2026 1:10 PM (MCG)<\/div>\n
Tip: Fremantle to Win & Under the Total <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n
\n

Tough one to get a feel\u00a0<\/span>for with<\/span>\u00a0the Dockers away from home and the Bombers showing signs of life (again).\u00a0<\/span>The jury is still out on Freo after finding themselves behind against the Hawks last week, but as\u00a0<\/span>they\u2019ve<\/span>\u00a0shown repeatedly, they\u00a0<\/span>are capable of knuckling<\/span>\u00a0down to win the\u00a0<\/span>territory<\/span>\u00a0battle\u00a0<\/span>when it counts. As far as this week goes, the likes of Zach Merrett and Nate Caddy might keep the Bombers in it early, but I think the Dockers have too much talent through the middle of the ground. After winning the fourth quarter last week by 30 points, the Dockers get the job done in another\u00a0<\/span>low-scoring<\/span>\u00a0<\/span>affair.<\/span><\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\t\t\t\n Bombers vs Dockers<\/a>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/section>\n\n\n
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\n <\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n
\n
St Kilda<\/div>\n
vs<\/div>\n
Richmond<\/div>\n
Sunday 17th May 2026 3:15 PM (Marvel)<\/div>\n
Tip: Richmond to Cover (+41.5) <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n
\n

The Tigers have plenty to feel good about after going down swinging to the Crows last week in Adelaide. Sam Cummin<\/span>g and Jack ross shone bright in the eventual\u00a0<\/span>37 point<\/span>\u00a0loss, a margin that\u00a0<\/span>doesn\u2019t<\/span>\u00a0do Richmond justice after leading at half time. The Saints lost by a similar\u00a0<\/span>margin up<\/span>\u00a0in Darwin, a result that was soured further with Jack Higgins suffering a concussion and Dan Butler picking up a hamstring injury. After\u00a0<\/span>playing up<\/span>\u00a0in the heat with a few key chips<\/span>\u00a0now missing, Richmond\u00a0<\/span>is<\/span>\u00a0a definite sniff on Sunday to at least keep this tight with a\u00a0<\/span>monster<\/span>\u00a0head start on offer.<\/span><\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\t\t\t\n Saints vs Tigers<\/a>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/section>\n\n\n
\n
\n
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\n <\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n
\n
West Coast Eagles<\/div>\n
vs<\/div>\n
GWS Giants<\/div>\n
Sunday 17th May 2026 6:15 PM (Optus Stadium)<\/div>\n
Tip: Giants 1-39 @ $2.20 <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n
\n

Tough week on the injury front for West Coast with Jamie Cripps suffering a devastating knee injury in the WAFL and Harry Edwards sustaining a concussion in last week\u2019s loss to Melbourne. Glass half full, the Eagles started well and got the\u00a0<\/span>very be<\/span>st<\/span>\u00a0version of Jake Waterman once again, but this still\u00a0<\/span>shapes as<\/span>\u00a0a tall task against a GWS side looking to improve its Wild Card chances sitting 13<\/span><\/span>th<\/span><\/span>.\u00a0<\/span>While a trip to Perth is\u00a0<\/span>imposing for<\/span>\u00a0some, but the Giants have relished heading west in recent years, winning their last two visits to play West Coast by an average score of 62 points. The Giants\u00a0<\/span>aren\u2019t<\/span>\u00a0quite the same side they were 12 months ago, but<\/span>\u00a0with Jesse Hogan a great chance to return from a hip issue,\u00a0<\/span>it\u2019s<\/span>\u00a0easy\u00a0<\/span>to side with the orange tsunami.<\/span><\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\t\t\t\n Eagles vs Giants<\/a>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/section>\n\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

It\u2019s Sir Doug Nicholls Round this weekend as the AFL celebrates First Nations people.  A serious finals-like clash kicks off proceedings with the Lions hosting the Cats on Thursday night at the Gabba, followed by another Friday doubleheader with the Swans in action against a Pies team fighting for a spot in the Wild Card picture.  The Dees and the Hawks is a must-watch on Saturday, while the wounded Saints take on Richmond on Sunday under the roof at Marvel.  A serious gap is opening up between the top teams in the competition, and we\u2019ve got you covered with tips ahead of all nine games!  Brisbane Lions…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":85908,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7,10157],"tags":[33],"hub_post_cat":[8162],"class_list":["post-85907","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-australian-rules","category-afl-tips","tag-afl-tips"],"acf":{"md_tip_date":"","md_tip_date_end":"","md_market_url":"","tip_date":"12\/05\/2026","event_country":"Australia"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.neds.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85907","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.neds.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.neds.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.neds.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/17"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.neds.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=85907"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.neds.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85907\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.neds.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/85908"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.neds.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=85907"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.neds.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=85907"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.neds.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=85907"},{"taxonomy":"hub_post_cat","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.neds.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/hub_post_cat?post=85907"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}