Yesterday’s downer means we’re back at 1-1 for the multi’s on the tournament. I’m following the exact same criteria today, opting for a 4-legger that pays out $1.84.
All four of these players are priced very similarly, all between $1.15 and $1.18. We did see a couple of upsets yesterday, but favourites have generally done their thing so far, as you’d expect.
Each of these four are top players that have either previously been or currently are in the world top 20. They are all significantly stronger than their opponents and have proven to be reliable hardcourt players. I’m trusting the numbers here for what looks to be a solid $1.84 payout.
The early money has been coming in on Kyrgios here, and I like the $1.85 straight up while you can get it. At 80% of his best, Kyrgios is the better player here and the match ultimately rests on his racket.
Humbert is a solid opponent and has strung a few good years together, earning him the #29 seed here. His performances at grand slam level haven’t been anything special, going just 5-8 straight up and 0-2 at the Australian Open.
The obvious question here is whether Kyrgios is anything close to his best. Despite facing some tough draws over the years, he has a very strong 15-7 straight up record at the Aus Open, his best in any grand slam.
The conditions suit his game perfectly and having at least some fans on his side is a clear advantage. I’m not expecting it to be pretty, but I think he does enough to get the win here.