The pride of Australian tennis has had a great first week at Roland Garros in both the singles and doubles events. As the #8 seed, she is yet to drop a set through her first 3 matches, impressively beating Danielle Collins and Andrea Petkovic. She has had an absolutely outstanding singles year to date, winning 30 of her 35 WTA matches.
Kenin stunned literally everyone last time out with a straight sets win over Serena Williams. She negotiated a difficult 3-setter in round 1, before getting a lucky retirement against #22 seed Andreescu in round 2. At just 20 years of age, her 65% win percentage this year is easily the best of her career.
Prediction: Barty 2-0 $1.65
On current form, Barty is the significantly better player of these two. She has a much more versatile range of groundstrokes and is less prone to silly unforced errors. I expect Ash to take control of this match from start to finish and notch up her 4th straight 2-0 victory.
The #9 seeded Italian has had a very strong start to the French Open this year. He has negotiated some especially tough opponents, beating Seppi, Delbonis, and Bautista Agut all in 4 sets. His excellent 21-10 career record at Roland Garros and is Monte Carlo tournament win earlier this year highlight his immense quality on clay.
While huge things were expected of him this tournament, it hasn’t gone all according to plan for the #5 seed German. He has negotiated two very tough 5-setters so far, one against John Millman and the other against Dusan Lajovic. After making the quarters here last year, he’ll be looking to repeat that feat with an impressive display here.
Prediction: Over 38.5 Games
As the odds would suggest, these two men are relatively evenly matched. Both are strong clay court players with very solid defensive games. I expect a very tight contest here, one that goes at least 4 sets. Should this include a tie-break or two, I think over 38.5 is a pretty comfortable bet.
Known as one of the best clay court players on tour, the #4 seed Austrian has had another stellar campaign. He has registered 3 straight 4-set victories, although none of these have been against seeded opponents. He’s reached at least the Semis in Roland Garros in each of the past 3 years, sporting a strong 21-5 career record.
Through the first week of the tournament, the veteran #14 seeded Frenchman has been one of the standout players. He has 3 straight 3-set victories, admittedly not against any seeded players either. His record in his home slam is easily the best of any grand slam, going 36-12 for a stellar 75% win percentage.
Prediction: Monfils +4.5 Games
In what promises to be another cracker, these are two men who are very strong clay court players. I expect another very hard-fought affair that Thiem likely pulls out late. While there could be value on either Thiem 3-1 or Thiem 3-2, I’ll play it safe here with Monfils +4.5 in front of his home fans.