Houston find themselves laying 11 points at home and I think they’re good value for the cover here. They had a big loss in an emotional game last time out, one I know they’ll be looking to put right.

They’ve been an elite side at home this season, compiling an impressive 13-4 record thus far. They’re likely to be with their full complement of players here, with both Clint Capela and Eric Gordon probable to play.

Minnesota remain without star big man Karl Anthony Towns, who is doubtful for this clash with his knee injury. His absence would be huge in this one, making the Wolves significantly easier to guard.

Friday’s loss to OKC can’t have felt good for Westbrook and Co and I’m expecting them to take it out on Minnesota here. Especially if KAT is out for this one, 11 points is a relatively short spread that they should have no trouble covering.

The Celtics are laying 8.5 points at home in this one and I also think they’re good value for the cover. They came off a high-profile loss to Philly on Friday and I think motivation will be high ahead of this one.

Boston is still one of the toughest places in the NBA to play, with the Celts sporting a 14-3 home record thus far. New Orleans is a pretty abysmal road side, winning just 7 of their first 20 road games.

The Pelicans are also battling through another mini injury crisis. Jrue Holiday missed yesterday’s game with New York with an elbow injury, while Derrick Favors left early with a hamstring injury.

Given that their playoff hopes are relatively slim at this point, I can’t see either player being risked for this one. These injuries make the Pels a significantly worse team on both sides of the court, one that Boston should handle with ease.

The Celts are healthy, motivated, and more rested heading into this one. 8.5 points just isn’t enough here and they should win by double digits.

The 16-20 Nets host the 27-10 Heat here, currently getting 3 points at home. Brooklyn are in the midst of a 7-game losing streak, one which I’d expect to continue here.

They remain without star PG Kyrie Irving and their offense has struggled as a result. Wilson Chandler and Garrett Temple are questionable for this one, while Caris LeVert has just returned from a long-term absence. Miami enter this clash fully healthy, with Justise Winslow returning against Indiana last time out.

The Heat have made their name defensively this season and should be able to stop Brooklyn with relative ease here. We know Butler’s capability as a defender, but Bam Adebayo has emerged as one of the best young bigs in the NBA.

With Brooklyn battling a myriad of injuries on the wing, expect Butler and Co to control the game here. I’d expect this number to go up before tip-off, so get 3 while you can.

The 14-23 Suns host the 18-20 Magic here, currently laying 1 point. I think there’s some line value on Phoenix after some poor performances and that they secure the win here.

Orlando have been very ordinary on the road this season, going just 5-12 thus far. Phoenix admittedly haven’t been much better at home, going just 7-14 on the year.

They do enter this one essentially fully healthy, with no-one currently on the injury report. The same can’t be said for Orlando, who have suffered season ending injuries to Isaac and Aminu.

They’re also facing cluster injuries at Point Guard, with MCW ruled out and DJ Augustin questionable for this one. They were already a relatively thin side and I think Phoenix can definitely hang with this depleted version.

The majority of the action has come in on Orlando, but some big bets on Phoenix could push the line even further. At just 1.5 points, I like the home win and cover for the Suns here.

The 14-24 Pistons host the 10-27 Cavs here, currently laying 7 points. It’s tough to lay this many points with Detroit and I’ll look to fade them here.

These two sides played just a few days ago in Cleveland, with the Pistons coming out 2-point winners. This was a game that Cleveland really should’ve won and I’d expect them to come out motivated in the return fixture.

The Cavs also find themselves quite healthy at this point, with Aussie Dante Exum the only player expected to miss. Detroit are still dealing with several key injuries, with each of Blake Griffin, Markieff Morris, Luke Kennard, and Reggie Jackson likely out for this one.

This leaves a huge burden on Andre Drummond, who likely won’t be as motivated due to recent trade speculation. I can see this one being another relatively close affair and I’ll take the security of 7 points with Cleveland.

At the time of writing there is currently no line for this game. That said, I’ve still got a few thoughts on what promises to be a good one.

Having lost twice to Philadelphia earlier this season, I’d expect a motivated Boston side here. They were blown out by the Spurs yesterday, likely looking ahead to this game.

Joel Embiid has been ruled out for this one, which is a huge advantage for a Boston side that struggles on the interior. Boston have been dealing with a few key injuries of late, but star PG Kemba Walker made his return yesterday.

Philly is a tough place to play, but Boston are a more than capable road side, going 11-7 straight up and ATS. They’re also in some very good form, winning 8 of their last 10 contests.

The Celtics are definitely live underdogs here, but I’d probably only play it if you can get at least 2.5 points at tip off.

I had success fading the Raptors yesterday and plan to continue doing so here. This team is super banged up right now and it appears that Siakam, Gasol, Powell, and Van Vleet are all still out.

They enter this one after an emotional back-to-back, just losing at the death to Portland yesterday. The Hornets are essentially injury free, which should provide a massive boost here.

I also like the reverse line movement on this game. 80% of bettors are choosing Toronto yet the line is moving in Charlotte’s favour?

This is because the money of the other 20% is significantly outweighing money from the majority. The people ITK appear to really like Charlotte here, largely due to Toronto’s huge injury list.

It’d be tough to rebound after a nail-biter yesterday and I’d expect Charlotte to hang here. The security of a full 4 points makes this a worthwhile side to take.

The 17-20 Magic host the 12-24 Wizards here, currently laying 10.5 points. While Washington are without a few key players, 10.5 is just too many points for Orlando to lay.

They are just 16-19 ATS on the season, including a somewhat poor 8-11 at home. Jonathan Isaac is also a key miss for them, making life a bit easier for Washington.

Anyone who watches Orlando play knows that the achilles heel of this team is their ability to score offensively. That’s the primary reason why it is so difficult to back them at this large of a number. The Wizards have a terrible defence, but I’m not sure Orlando have enough firepower to really blow them out here.

Even without Beal and Bertans, the Wizards have been playing some decent ball of late. They managed consecutive home wins against two strong teams in the Nuggets and Celtics.

I can see this being a look-ahead spot for Orlando, with a West Coast trip on the horizon. I don’t see a 3^rd win on the bounce here for Washington, but they’ve got enough to keep this within 11 points.

The 24-12 Raptors host the 15-21 Blazers here, laying just one point. Toronto is absolutely decimated with injuries at the moment and I like Portland in this spot.

The Raptors have five rotation players out injured for this one; Siakam, Gasol, Van Vleet, Powell, and Thomas. Portland are relatively injury free, with CJ McCollum questionable but expected to play.

While the Raptors have looked great this season, I think the injuries will begin to catch up to them here. They’re asking guys like Pat McCaw, OG Anunoby, Rondae Hollis Jefferson and Chris Boucher to play big minutes.

This is also a very important game for Portland as they fight for a playoff spot out West. The absence of VanVleet is especially huge here, as it takes away an option to guard the lethal Portland backcourt.

Portland will have more talent on the floor in this one and I’m predicting a big game from Lillard to give them the road win and cover.

The Suns have opened as 6-point favourites here, which I think is just too high. This was the line against Memphis the other day, a game they lost pretty comfortably.

These are two fairly evenly matched sides for me and the line should be somewhere around 3 points. As such, I think we’re getting a few decent points of value here with Sacramento.

The Kings are coming off a back-to-back, but a lack of travel should reduce their fatigue. They’ll have most of their rotation players on deck here, with Bogdanovic and Bagley the only questionable ones.

Given their poor 7-12 home record, I just can’t trust Phoenix to lay exorbitant spreads like these. I can see both offences having some success here in a game that should go down to the wire.

In what I’m projecting to be a close one, Sacramento with the full 6 points is the logical play. Don’t hesitate to place a bet on the moneyline either.

The 15-23 Hornets host the 22-14 Pacers here, currently getting 5 points. Indiana are far from a great road side and I’ll gladly take Charlotte plus the points.

While Indiana have been outstanding at home this year, they’re a relatively average 7-10 on the road this season. Their recent form has also noticeably dipped, going just .500 over their last 10 contests.

The Hornets haven’t been anything special this season but they do tend to fight every night. They’re in most of their home games and possess a fairly dynamic young backcourt.

I also really like the contrarian angle in this play, with over 75% of the early action coming in on Indiana. They just haven’t been the same team of late and the Brogdon injury is cause for concern. Especially through the key number of 5, I like Charlotte for the cover.

New Orleans are suddenly playing some decent basketball and they find themselves getting 3.5 points here. Utah have been in some good form of late, but I think the value is on New Orleans in this one.

The Jazz have won 9 of their last 10 games, covering in 8 of those. Punters have been backing them left and right, leading to a few inflated lines. 83% of the early money has come in on Utah, meaning this is another great contrarian spot.

The return of Derrick Favors has been huge for New Orleans, making their defence seem somewhat passable. Jrue Holiday is also expected to play here, giving them their full complement minus Zion.

Mike Conley remains out for Utah and I can see them struggling somewhat offensively as a result. New Orleans are definitely live underdogs here, although I’ll happily take the security of an additional 3.5 points.

The Heat are currently 5.5-point favourites here and I expect them to build on their 16-1 home record this season. They match up quite well with this Portland side, especially on the wing.

The Blazers have definitely been a disappointment thus far, going just 15-21 and sitting outside the playoff places. Their road record has been particularly abysmal, only 7-12 on the season.

They’re essentially injury free, with Justise Winslow a decent shot at returning here. Portland should be somewhat fatigued heading into this one, playing their 3^rd game of this East Coast trip.

While Dame and CJ should still be able to get theirs in the backcourt, I can see the rest of the lineup struggling. Miami have one of the more efficient offences in the NBA, one which I’d expect to succeed against a lacklustre Portland defence.

5.5 points is a relatively small line, suggesting that the Blazers would be favoured if this was in Portland. I think the gulf between these two is a bit bigger than that and I’ll gladly take Miami here.

After starting out well this season, Phoenix have won just 3 of their last 10 to sit 14-21. I plan to fade them here, catching 6.5 points with the upstart Grizzlies.

This Phoenix side just isn’t particularly good and they were playing above their heads to start the year. I’d say these teams are relatively even in quality, with the Memphis youngsters improving all the time.

Phoenix has hardly been a fortress either, with the Suns only going 7-11 at home this season. It should be noted that Memphis aren’t that great on the road either, winning just 6 of 16 thus far.

The Grizzlies are also fully healthy for this one, with all of their key players expected to play. Kaminsky has been ruled out for Phoenix, while Rubio is questionable with a hip injury.

Realistically, this has all the makings of a game that is close late. Memphis should have no trouble scoring here, doing enough to keep this within 7 at the bare minimum.

I like the look of Cleveland here as substantial 7-point home underdogs. This aligns strongly with the contrarian angle, with 80% of punters backing OKC early.

Now 19-15 on the season, I think OKC have become somewhat overrated in the current market. They’ve had their share of struggles on the road, going just 7-9 away thus far.

Cleveland has shown some better form of late, going .500 over their last 10. They enter this contest relatively healthy, with Larry Nance their only rotation player expected to miss.

This has the makings of a decent matchup for the Cavs, particularly on the interior. I can see OKC struggling to guard Love from the perimeter, while Thompson is certainly capable of matching up with Adams.

Overall, this is just too many points for OKC to be laying on the road. Cleveland has played hard this season and I’d expect them to keep it within this exorbitant number.

Relatively devoid of options today, so I’ll back the consistent and reliable Bucks here. They’ve been essentially unbeatable at home thus far, compiling an impressive 17-2 record.

Despite facing some gaudy spreads, they’re still a strong 21-15 ATS and a respectable 11-8 ATS at home. In contrast, San Antonio have been dreadful on the road, going just 3-10 straight up thus far.

After dealing with some injury concerns, Milwaukee also appear to be nearing full health here. Bledsoe has played the last few games and I’d also expect Wes Matthews to return for this one, giving them a full compliment. San Antonio are also rather healthy, but the absence of Dejounte Murray will certainly be felt on defence.

One of the best things about this Bucks team is how consistently hard they play. Even when favoured by a large margin, they appear to bring it for all four quarters.

Ultimately, the Spurs just don’t have anyone who can contain Giannis and they could be in for a very long day here. I’d expect Milwaukee to continue their strong season and win comfortably.

After getting a win and cover over Toronto yesterday, I’m going to back Miami on the road here laying just 1.5 points. The Magic are dealing with several key frontcourt injuries here, which I think will be too much to overcome.

Jonathan Isaac has been ruled out for multiple months, while Aaron Gordon is also questionable for this one. This should leave Orlando very short on the wing, which is far from ideal against Jimmy Butler and Co.

Miami are also in very strong form, winning 7 of their last 10, as opposed to just 4 for Orlando. While their road form hasn’t been great this season, I think the matchup for them here is still quite favourable.

Bam Adebayo is a great defensive option to put on Vucevic, while they’ve also got several perimeter defenders to contain Evan ‘Don’t Google Me’ Fournier. They’ve got a fairly clean injury report and I expect their depth to propel them to victory here.

Despite being just 7-11 on the road this season, I continue to see value on Philly as road underdogs. There has been a lot of talk in the media about their offensive struggles of late, which I think will galvanise them going forward.

While Houston are a respectable 12-4 at home this season, they’ve largely struggled against the better teams. Given their size and defensive ability, Philadelphia is just a terrible matchup for them.

I don’t anticipate Westbrook having any success against Embiid at the rim, meaning a lot of the offensive load should fall on James Harden. Richardson, Simmons, and Thybulle are all very capable perimeter defenders that should keep Harden in check.

This Houston side has typically been quite weak on the interior, which bodes very poorly against this Philly side. I think Embiid and Horford will be too much for Capela on the inside, allowing the Sixers to control this one.

Given that they’ve got no key injuries, I think 4.5 points is pretty solid value for Philly here. They’ve got every chance to win outright, but this line is great insurance as long as they keep it close.

The 24-9 Heat welcome the 23-11 Raptors here, currently laying 5.5 points. With Toronto still dealing with a myriad of injuries, I like Miami to win and cover in this one.

Miami continue to be one of the best home sides in the NBA, going 15-1 straight up and 11-4-1 ATS. While Toronto are a decent 9-6 on the road this year, they just aren’t the same of late.

This is predominantly due to injuries, with Siakam, Gasol, and Powell all missing time of late. 3x champion Pat McCaw is also questionable to play in this one, really limiting their wing depth against a strong Miami perimeter.

Jimmy Butler is having a strong first season on South Beach, while Bam Adebayo has been a revelation at Center. A backcourt of Nunn and Robinson has provided quality minutes, supplemented nicely by Dragic and Herro off the bench.

After an inexplicable loss to the Wizards last time out, I think Miami will come out motivated here. They’ve got more talent on the floor here and I’d expect another home win and cover.

The 12-22 Kings host the 13-21 Grizzlies here, currently laying 4 points. Although they’ve struggled mightily of late, I see this as a get right game for the Kings.

Sacramento have been in some abysmal form of late, winning just 1 of their last 10 games. This is somewhat misleading, with some very narrow losses to the Knicks, Suns, Wolves, Nuggets and Grizz in there.

As such, I think they’ve become somewhat underrated in the betting market. They’re more talented than this Grizzlies side, who only have 6 road wins on the year.

De’Aaron Fox appears to be rounding into form after his injury, which should be a huge boon for the offense. They also enter this one almost fully healthy, with Marvin Bagley the only rotation player expected to miss.

The main matchup edge the Kings have here is in their backcourt. Memphis has some pretty poor perimeter defence and I’d expect big days from any of Fox, Hield, or Bogdanovic. Contain Morant on the other end and it should be a relatively routine win and cover here.