I like Detroit here as 4.5-point home underdogs. Despite the majority of early bettors coming in on Toronto, the line has moved in Detroit’s favour. This suggests to me that the sharp bettors love this situational spot for the Pistons.

The Raptors travel to Detroit after a back-to-back, meaning that this is their third game in four nights. Marc Gasol is questionable here, as are bench pieces Rondae Hollis Jefferson, Malcolm Miller, and Patrick McCaw.

Detroit should also be very motivated here, primarily due to head coach Dwayne Casey. Casey won Coach of the Year in 2017-18, before being unceremoniously dumped by this same Raptors side.

Known for being an excellent motivator, I expect his team to play very hard for him here. Combine the reverse line movement, a motivational advantage, and extra rest and I expect Detroit to keep this one close, if not win outright.

This is no doubt going to be an emotional game, the Lakers first game since the passing of Kobe Bryant. This line is set very high as a result and I think Portland are somewhat undervalued here getting 13 points.

While the Lakers will no doubt have a ton of motivation here, that motivation goes both ways. Guys like Dame, CJ, and Melo will all want to put on a show and I think they can keep Portland in this.

The Lakers have been on a bit of a dip lately, especially ATS, where they’ve covered just 5 of their last 10 games. They may be without Anthony Davis here, who is questionable due to a ‘gluteus maximus contusion’. This could really hamper their interior defence, making it easier for Portland to keep up.

Having had such a long lay-off, they may also be a bit out of rhythm for this one. I see a high-scoring game here, but an LA win of 14+ points would surprise me.

I like the Warriors in this spot, getting a very healthy 12-point head start. They’ve performed much better in front of a tv audience this season and this game will be played in primetime on TNT.

This is just the second game of their road trip, so I can’t see fatigue being much of an issue. They’re also much healthier than they’ve been for most of the season, which should hold them in good stead against a deep Celtics rotation.

The main weak point of this Golden State team is their ability to guard on the interior. With Enes Kanter out here for Boston, they don’t really have anyone to capitalize on this.

Jayson Tatum is also questionable here and I could easily see them holding him out in a game they should win anyway. While Boston should win, I think 12 points is just too many for a relatively healthy and motivated Warriors side.

Another marquee tv matchup where I like the underdog’s chances. Denver are still dealing with injuries to Millsap and Murray, which are very problematic against this Utah side.

This puts a lot more pressure on Jokic, who has really struggled against Gobert in past matchups. Utah’s defence has definitely improved of late and I can see a low-scoring night for Denver here. With the injuries to their backcourt, we may also see them struggle to guard the dynamic duo of Mitchell and Conley.

Denver are one of the better home sides in the NBA, going 18-6 so far. However, I think a lot of this is due to the relatively unique altitude. Utah are the only other side in the league that also plays at altitude, so they’ll be well equipped to handle this.

The fact that Utah are on a B2B does somewhat concern me, although they’re a relatively young and deep team. They can easily win this one outright, but the 1.5 points of insurance is decent enough value.

There are no lines available at the time of writing, but I fancy the situational spot for Utah here. They came off a disappointing loss to Houston last time out, while the Spurs are without Aldridge here.

The Jazz have been solid on the road this season, going 14-10, compared to 12-12 at home for San Antonio. Utah are also in much better form, winning 8 of their last 10 outright, in which they covered 7 times.

I like the matchup for Utah here, especially on the interior. Rudy Gobert should be able to patrol the paint in this one and I’d expect San Antonio to struggle to score inside.

The Spurs also lack reliable wing defenders, which isn’t ideal against the trio of Mitchell, Bogdanovic, and Ingles. I’m expecting Utah to be small favourites here, and for this trio to carry them offensively to a win.

Same story here with no lines available at the time of writing. Assuming we get something relatively even, I like the look of OKC here, presuming Chris Paul returns.

Sacramento had one of the luckiest wins in recent memory last time out, a sequence of events that needs to be seen to be believed. That game went into Overtime, with a lot of their key players playing big minutes.

This was also the fifth game of a 5-game cross country road trip, so I anticipate fatigue being a real issue here. Marvin Bagley’s injury is also a bit of a miss, especially with his recent surge in form.

Where OKC can control this game is in the backcourt. CP3 is easily the best player on the floor here, with SGA a very capable side-kick. These guys should get going against a poor perimeter defence, creating enough for a road OKC win.

The Hornets are just 1.5-point favourites over the lowly Knicks here, which I think is a bit too low. I think they’re the better of these two sides and they’ve got home court, so this line should be a few points higher.

They did have a weekend game against Milwaukee in Paris, however that’s the only game they’ve played since 21/1. They’re essentially injury free heading into this one and I don’t see fatigue being an issue.

Not to mention the fact that the Knicks are one of the worst road sides in the NBA. They’re just 6-17 away from MSG this season and road wins have come at a premium.

After beating crosstown rivals Brooklyn last time out, I can also see this being somewhat of a letdown game. I think they struggle to contain Charlotte’s young backcourt here, ultimately losing a close one.

Unless the Cavs are resting a few players on a back-to-back, getting 8 points at home to New Orleans is a bit ridiculous. This means that if the game was being played in New Orleans, the Pelicans would be whopping 14-point favourites.

While they have improved with Zion in the lineup, this spread overrates them a lot. They are an average at best road side, having gone just 9-14 away this season.

They themselves are dealing with a few key injuries, with Kenrich Williams out, and Jrue Holiday, Josh Hart, and JJ Redick all questionable. If any combination of these players are missing, it’ll really impact their offensive creation on the wing.

Most of all, this is purely a line value play. As bad as Cleveland have been, the numbers suggest they should keep this within 8 points.

This is more of a bet against Detroit than it is on Cleveland. The line here moved quickly from +7 to +6.5, suggesting the sharps are in agreement with me.

Detroit have been pedestrian at best of late, winning 4 of their last 10 straight up and covering just 3 times. They’re just 9-15 at home this season, inferring that they shouldn’t get much for home court advantage.

They’re also the more injured of these two sides, battling injuries to several key rotation players. Blake Griffin is already done for the year, while Jackson, Snell, and Brown are all questionable for this one.

This has all the makings of a sloppy game that ends up being relatively close late on. While I don’t expect them to win, it’s hard to ignore 6.5 insurance points with Cleveland here.

With how atrocious Minnesota have been of late, no one is looking to back them here. Yet, that is the primary reason I think they’re decent value in this one.

The Kings are in an awful travel spot, playing the final game of a gruelling 5-game road trip. They managed their first win of the trip last time out, which could lead to somewhat of a letdown here.

Minnesota also appear to be nearing full health, with Jake Layman the only player expected to miss here. Marvin Bagley is questionable here for Sacramento, a side that has already weakened their roster with the Ariza trade.

The Wolves have clearly the best player on the court here, with KAT dropping a cool 37 last time out. I think he puts the team on his back en route to a win here, covering the relatively small 3-point spread.

I’m going with a contrarian play here and taking the Spurs +3 points at home. This is a definite revenge spot for DeMar DeRozan, who isn’t over the trade before last season.

San Antonio have also been much better at home this season, going 12-11 straight up thus far. They enter this clash injury free, with no-one appearing on the injury report before this one.

The early start time is far from ideal for Toronto, who are playing their 4^th game on the road in their last 5. This is the 2^nd straight home game for the Spurs, who should be looking to avenge a loss to Phoenix last time out.

San Antonio has often played up to the level of competition in recent years and I can see that being the case again here. I’d expect a close game late on and the 3 points of insurance is definitely good value.

This is definitely somewhat of a square pick, but I’ll take Brooklyn as 1.5-point underdogs here. The Knicks are rarely favoured and they have an atrocious 6-17 home record thus far.

Their backcourt also appears relatively decimated, with both RJ Barrett and Dennis Smith Junior expected to miss here. Brooklyn enter this clash essentially injury free, with KD the only long-term absence.

The Nets have admittedly also been terrible of late, only winning 2 of their last 10 outright. That said, I think they’ve got a huge matchup advantage in the backcourt here.

Irving and Dinwiddie provide 48 minutes of quality PG play, where the Knicks have struggled to defend dynamic guards. If these two can generate reliable offence, it should be enough to beat an atrocious Knicks side as outright underdogs.

Utah are currently laying 3 points and I’m expecting them to both win and cover here. I think they’re the better of these two sides and also possess one of the best home court advantages in the NBA.

They’ve been in red hot form of late, winning 9 of their last 10 and covering in 8 of those games. They’re an exceptional 17-3 at home, no doubt buoyed by their altitude advantage.

With Dwight Powell done for the year, they also match up very well against the Dallas interior. I expect them to contain Porzingis here, putting much more pressure on Luka to generate offence.

The Mavs have tailed off slightly of late, only covering 4 times in their last 10 games overall. Utah have several solid wing defenders, all of which will work together to make life difficult on Luka.

Given their home record this season, I also think Utah’s home court is worth more than the traditional 3 points. Factor in that they’re healthy and the more talented side and this is a definite value play.

The Hornets are getting 13.5 points and I think there’s decent value on them here. This game is played on a neutral court in Paris, which tends to be a great equalizer in these matchups.

While the Bucks have been on a good run straight up, they’ve only covered in 4 of their last 10 games. Their rotation will be slightly weaker for this one, with Robin Lopez and Frank Mason ruled out and Wes Matthews questionable.

Charlotte enter this clash fully healthy, with no injuries to report. I can’t see fatigue being an issue here either as this game is sandwiched between 6 rest days.

They got destroyed by Milwaukee by over 40 points in their last matchup, so I sense a bit of a revenge factor here. They also suffered a dreadful 20+ point defeat to Orlando last time out, so I’d expect a faster start.

The reverse line movement has also gone in Charlotte’s favour, with the line moving from 14 to 13.5 points despite almost all the money coming in on Milwaukee. I don’t expect an upset here, but they should be able to keep this within 14 points.

Memphis are one of the hotter teams in the NBA right now and I’m a bit surprised they’re catching 2 points here. They’ve gone 7-3 straight up in their last 10 games, covering in 6 of these.

Detroit have been a pretty pedestrian home side this season, going just 9-13 thus far. They’re also dealing with a myriad of injuries, most notably to Blake Griffin, and should be far from full health here.

Memphis, in contrast, enter this clash almost injury free. Ja Morant has had a spectacular rookie season, while Jaren Jackson has also really picked it up of late.

They suffered a 24-point beatdown against Boston last time out and I’d expect them to start fast here as a result. They’re the better team here with a great shot at securing an outright upset.

The Lakers are one of the best road sides in the NBA, currently compiling an 18-4 record. Brooklyn have been just .500 at home this season and are 2-8 in their last 10 overall.

They lack quality and depth on the wing and I think they’ll really struggle to match up with LeBron. Their Center play has also been pretty poor thus far, making it difficult to contain a strong LA interior.

They enter this clash fully healthy, while the Nets are dealing with a few niggling injuries. The travel situation is far from ideal, but I think their deep roster is enough to compensate for this.

Especially with Kyrie’s status for this one in question, I’m not sure how Brooklyn generates reliable offence here. I’ll take the Lakers laying 5 points.

Another injury driven play, I like Dallas laying one point here. McCollum and Whiteside are both questionable here, likely to be limited if they do play.

Portland have only been .500 straight up at home this season, going an even worse 6-12-2 ATS. Their defence on the wing has been terrible all season, which doesn’t bode well going against Luka Doncic.

After Dwight Powell suffered a serious injury last time out, I see Dallas coming out very motivated here. This may lead to more small ball and Porzingis at the 5, which could be a benefit in disguise.

This is only the first game of a road trip for Dallas, so I don’t see fatigue being too much of an issue here. The revenge spot is in Portland’s favour, but they have too many injury concerns to back at this point.

The surging Grizzlies find themselves getting 7 points here and I think they’re good value for the cover. I’m definitely taking a contrarian angle here, with over 70% of the early money coming in on Boston.

Even with all this money on Boston, the line has moved in Memphis’ favour from the 7.5-point opener. This suggests that the sharps who typically bet bigger amounts are on the Grizz, while the general public is on Boston.

Boston are battling a few key injuries here, with the status of both Kemba Walker and Jaylen Brown in question for this one. Memphis enter this one essentially fully healthy, fresh off of 8 wins in their last 10.

The Grizzlies tend to excel on the interior, which is the only real weakness of this Boston side. I think both Valanciunas and Jackson can control the paint, helping keep this one competitive.

Especially through a key number like 7, I’ll look to take the Grizz here.

This is another case where I’m taking the contrarian angle, backing a Houston side laying 7.5 points here. The Rockets only have received 26% of the action thus far, but the line has already moved in their favour.

This again tells me that the sharps are all over this line, seeing value against a decimated Nuggets side. Denver are likely without 4 key rotation players here, with Murray, Harris, Millsap, and Plumlee all expected to miss.

While they’re a relatively deep side, this thins out their rotation and will make it much more difficult to contain Houston. They’ve struggled against elite offensive wings for years now and the Harris injury means it’ll be very tough to defend Harden.

This is also their 3^rd game in 4 nights, making it extra difficult to cope with this plethora of injuries. Houston haven’t been great at home this season, but this is an ideal bounce-back spot after a disappointing loss to OKC.