I like the Sixers here, laying a relatively modest 2 points away at Brooklyn. This is on the 2^nd end of a back-to-back, but I’m expecting all starters to be available here.

After a strong start to the season, Brooklyn have really tailed off of late. They’ve been atrocious defensively and the absences of KD and Dinwiddie make it much tougher to score on offense.

They’re especially weak at defending on the interior, which doesn’t bode well against the duo of Simmons and Embiid. Philly’s defense has also been quite impressive so far and if they can limit Kyrie, they can comfortably contain this offense. Overall, I’ll take the better side with some clear matchup advantages at a relatively small line.

I’m opting for a bit of a different market here, taking Portland in the first half -5.5 points. They’ve been in a poor run of recent form, but are primed to get back on track here.

They’ve had a pretty tough travel schedule of late and now they’ll finally get a few days of rest at home. They had a disappointing home loss to Chicago last time out and should be motivated to start fast here.

Considering Minnesota’s recent form, this is also a very good matchup for Portland. Dame and CJ should be able to rack up the points against a dreadful perimeter defense. Portland do have a tendency to take the foot off the gas, so I prefer the first half line to the full game option.

This is very much a square play, but I’m taking the Pacers -2 against Houston tomorrow. Indiana has quietly had a very strong start to the season, while the Rockets are one of the most disjointed teams in the NBA.

The Pacers have a deep rotation and appear to have really improved under new coach Nate Bjorkgren. Not only do the Rockets have a weak bench, they’re also integrating several new players and dealing with the James Harden chemistry issues.

Indiana has been getting especially good play from it’s backcourt this season, with Brogdon and Oladipo both playing very well. I think they can win the matchup against Harden and Wall here, ultimately winning and covering the game in the process.

I haven’t been impressed by the Celtics at all this season and like Miami as 2.5-point home favourites here. Boston have really laboured on offense all year and are now dealing with several key injuries.

They are really light at Point Guard, with Kemba already out and Smart and Teague both listed as questionable here. This puts a ton of pressure on Tatum and Brown to score against some very good Miami perimeter defenders.

Miami enter this one rested and refreshed, continuing their homestand with no key injuries. They’re the better team here and should be able to cover this relatively modest line.

I like the Wolves here, getting a relatively generous 12 points in Denver. This is 3.5 points more than their game 2 days ago, with no new injury news since then.

The fact that teams are now playing these 2-game series lessens the already small impact of home court advantage during COVID. This is especially true away in Denver, where the altitude and travel still make it a tough place to play.

The revenge factor is also in favour of Minnesota here, as they’ll no doubt be motivated to avoid another drubbing. This is also somewhat of a letdown spot for Denver, one in which they can coast and still likely pull out a win.

Overall, we’re getting an extra 3.5 points of value on Minnesota, when the line should be less than the 8.5 it was last time out. If we get even a decent shooting night from the Wolves, I’d expect them to keep it within 12 here.

Both of these sides have struggled out the gate, but I like the look of Toronto -2.5 at home here. Boston have really taken a step back on offense this season and I think they’ll really struggle to break down this Raptors defense.

We’ve also got the angle of playoff revenge working in our favour, with Toronto losing an epic series to Boston in the most recent playoffs. They’re coming up against a much worse Celtics team here, one without the departed Gordon Hayward and injured Kemba Walker.

Toronto also has the rest advantage here, with the Celtics losing a close one to Detroit yesterday. With neither side having an especially deep rotation, this should prove important. While the Raptors don’t have their typical homecourt advantage this season, I still think there’s value at such a low number.

This looks like the marquee matchup of the day and I’ll take the Clippers -1.5 here. Phoenix have had a ton of hype after their 5-1 start and I think they’re becoming a bit overvalued.

The Clippers have also looked strong to start the season and should be motivated here after losing to Utah last time out. I think they match up well with this Suns side, especially on the wing and with their 2^nd unit.

They’re set to be fully healthy here, meaning they can largely rely on the 8-man rotation that has served them well so far. The Clippers are the best side Phoenix has faced so far and I’m predicting an outright road win at this narrow line.

Sometimes the toughest bets are the ones that are ultimately the best to make. It’s very tough pulling the trigger on GSW right now, but that’s likely why they’re the right side here.

First off, they’ve been shooting unsustainably badly from 3 and also allowing their opponents to make 45% from deep on the season. The Law of averages would dictate that both of these numbers revert to the mean, which should result in a closer game here.

This is also a great revenge spot for the Warriors, after getting blown out by this same Portland side 2 days ago. I’d expect more minutes for Draymond here, as well as a few adjustments from the coaching staff. They should at least keep this one competitive, which bodes well for +5 backers.

This is a prime letdown spot for the Hawks, having pulled off a huge upset in Brooklyn last night. I’d expect the Cavs to hang in this one and I like them if you can get at least 7 points.

Nothing was expected of the Cavs here, but they’ve quietly raced out to a 3-2 start despite their myriad of injuries. They’re still getting no respect in the betting market and this appears to be a prime contrarian spot.

Cleveland’s young backcourt has been particularly impressive so far and they could trouble a leaky Atlanta defense. With all the early action coming in on Atlanta, this is a number that may also rise before tip-off.

I’m taking the Pelicans as home underdogs here, currently getting 1.5 points. Stan Van Gundy appears to have really improved this side, making them much more difficult to play against.

Conversely, Toronto just don’t appear to be the same side that they’ve been for the past few seasons. Their rotation depth has evaporated after some off-season moves and they’re really struggling on offense.

With the way they’ve played so far, you can make a strong case that New Orleans is the better and deeper team, also having home court here. I’m inclined to take the Pels plus the points here, also sprinkling a little on the moneyline for an extra payout.

The Grizzlies are absolutely decimated right now and I think there’s value on Charlotte as 3-point home favourites. Memphis have 8 players set to miss this clash, including key rotation players in Morant, Jackson, Winslow, and Melton.

Charlotte have looked reasonable so far, especially in their recent wins over Brooklyn and Dallas. They’ve got a relatively deep rotation and should be able to really press their advantage with the 2^nd unit.

Memphis’ numbers were dreadful without Morant last time out and I’m not sure how they generate reliable offense going forward. This line has already gone up from the -2 opener and will probably increase further before tip-off.

Based on the opening moneyline price, I’d expect Denver to be favoured by around 4.5 points in this one. If Jamal Murray can go here, I like them in this spot to get the win and cover.

First off, this is a team that has really underperformed expectations so far and should be hungry for a win here. They’ve also got a huge advantage with Phoenix coming off a back-to-back and having to play at altitude.

While the Suns have impressed so far, I also think this Nuggets side matches up relatively well with them. Considering the back-to-back, I also wouldn’t be surprised if CP3 is out here, which would exacerbate Denver’s advantage.

I’m going to take the Kings in this spot, currently getting 4.5 points on the road in Houston. Sacramento have been a real surprise package this season and I think they’ve got a shot at the outright upset here.

Houston have had the early part of their season de-railed due to a Covid scare and will get back some key rotation pieces here. That said, this will lead to a completely different lineup that will take some time to bed in.

The Kings have a deep roster and play at a very fast pace, which should challenge an unconditioned Rockets rotation. Houston have been atrocious defensively and I don’t see how the returns of Cousins and Wall fixes that.

Overall, I get the sense this line should be closer to even money. With 4.5 and even 5-point spreads out there, Sacramento are a good value underdog play.

The Raptors just haven’t looked good this season, stumbling out to an 0-3 start. I think they’ll be very motivated to put things right here and that’s why I’m taking them laying a gaudy 8.5 points.

The Knicks have managed a 2-2 start so far, but they look like a paper tiger. They’re starved for perimeter creation and should really struggle against this Raptors defense.

They’re also set to be without a bunch of rotation players here – Toppin, Ntilikina, Rivers, Burks, and Spellman all appearing on the injury report. The flipside is that Toronto has their full complement available.

We’re getting a very good coach and a desperate team laying single digits against one of the league’s worst sides. If Toronto can’t win and cover here, they could be in for a long season.

This is somewhat of a square pick, but I like Brooklyn laying 6.5 points here at home. Both KD and Kyrie are returning from rest here and I’d expect this team to be motivated after consecutive losses.

Atlanta have done well so far, but they’re still expected to be without several key rotation players. Okongwu, Snell, and Dunn will all miss this one, while Capela and Gallinari are both questionable.

The Hawks are already one of the weaker defensive teams in the league and I think they’ll struggle to contain this high-powered Brooklyn offense. If the Nets can contain the dynamic Atlanta guards, they should win this relatively comfortably. The early action has been on Brooklyn, so this line probably goes up before tip-off.

I’d wait until just before tip-off to make this play to ensure that the Clippers have their full complement here. I’d expect Kawhi to return here, while the rest of the squad hardly broke a sweat in their win over Minnesota yesterday.

This Portland side has historically struggled against teams with dominant wings, which doesn’t bode well here. They bolstered their depth with the additions of Jones and Covington, but they’re heavily outmatched against Kawhi and PG.

The Clippers should be on it here after their disastrous loss to the Mavs, while the Blazers haven’t looked great so far. Given the Lakers were 6.5-point favourites over this Portland side just two days ago, I think there’s solid line value at Clippers -3.5.

I’m going to opt for the playoff revenge angle here, taking Milwaukee -5 points. The majority of bets have come in on Miami so far, yet the line is moving in Milwaukee’s favour.

This reverse line movement tells me that the sharp bettors are all over Milwaukee here. Playoff revenge has been a major factor over the past few seasons and you’d expect the Bucks to be well up for this one.

They just came off a disastrous loss to the Knicks last time out, so I’d expect a much better effort here. Miami are also slated to be without Jimmy Butler, making them significantly weaker on both ends of the floor. If we get a resurgent Milwaukee side and a banged-up Miami side, I like the road favourite here.

Both sides are expected to have a full complement here, so I’ll take Phoenix as 3-point home favourites. New Orleans have really struggled offensively this season, which could prove to be the difference here.

Their rotation is filled with terrible 3-point shooters, which has led to some ordinary offensive displays. Phoenix appear to be improved on both ends this season and have been especially good at defending the rim.

I’d expect their backcourt to control the game offensively here, putting up numbers that New Orleans will struggle to match. This is a line where we’re essentially picking the outright winner, so I’ll opt for the slightly better side at home.