I’m taking Dallas here, currently laying 7 points at home against the Bulls. While they still have a few players on the injury list, the return of Kristaps Porzingis is huge.

They’ve looked like a much better side of late, covering each of their last 5 games and winning 4 of them. The revenge angle is also in play here as they suffered a double-digit loss to this same Bulls side a fortnight ago.

Chicago is also in the midst of a brutal travel schedule, playing their fifth straight road game and the first night of a B2B. I think they’ll really struggle to contain Dallas’ offense here, which should lead to a comfortable win and cover for the Mavs.

The Nuggets look like relatively good value here as only 1-point favourites at home to Utah. They’ve struggled a fair bit this season and gone just 4-8 ATS, which makes me think they’re becoming undervalued in the market.

They enter this contest relatively healthy, with Michael Porter the only key rotation player out. Utah are already a thin side and they’ll be without Joe Ingles and potentially Derrick Favors in this one.

With those absences, I think Denver is the better side and they’ve still got the premier home court advantage in the NBA. Laying just 1 point, I think there’s definite value here, especially considering the favourable schedule spot

I like the Hornets here, currently getting 8.5 points on Toronto’s neutral home court. This is a revenge spot for Charlotte, who narrowly lost to this same Raptors side last time out.

They don’t have the usual disadvantages of a road game, with no additional travel, no fans in attendance, and a neutral home court for their opponent. They’re also likely to have Gordon Hayward back in action here, which makes them much more competitive.

Toronto just haven’t been as good this season and I think the travel situation has really started to take a toll. They aren’t as deep as they’ve been in recent years and they’ve struggled to blow teams out. Especially if Hayward is available, Charlotte should at least keep this close.

The vast majority of money is coming in on Portland here and I still think they’re a good bet -4 points. This is an awful scheduling situation for the Hawks, the 2^nd night of a B2B after playing in Utah last night.

Atlanta also has a myriad of injuries here, with Gallinari, Bogdanovic, and Dunn all out and Rondo and Okongwu on minute restrictions. Portland’s loss of Nurkic is a bit of a blow, but Kanter and Giles are a serviceable backup duo.

Portland had an absolute shocker against Indiana last time out and I think they’ll come out with high energy as a result. With Atlanta coming in on a red-eye flight, I can see Portland getting out to an early lead that they don’t relinquish.

A lot of lines are unavailable for today’s games, but one that I do like is Sacramento +6.5 at home to LA. Some of their poor recent results mean that they’re good value in the current market, especially given LA’s potential injuries.

Lou Williams and Pat Beverley are both questionable, two absences that could really hurt LA in this one. All of Sacramento’s key men are slated to be available here, with no travel fatigue as this is their 6^th consecutive home game.

With the Kings having gone just 5-7 straight up and ATS this season, punters are understandably put off backing them against a marquee side like the Clippers. It’s often these tough bets to make that end up being the most profitable.

They’re rested and playing a divisional rival who could easily have a letdown game here. I’ll take Sacramento plus a relatively generous 6.5 points.

We’ve got an incredibly barren slate today and this looks like the best play on the board. Neither of these sides is particularly good offensively and I think the current total of 222 is probably a bit too high.

The Hornets enter this one on the 2^nd night of a B2B and may play at a slower pace as a result. Gordon Hayward also left yesterday’s game with a hip strain and his potential absence would really limit the Hornets offense.

Toronto is also playing their first game back at home after an extended road trip, where teams tend to score slower than average. Points will likely be at a premium here and all the pre-game signs point to the under.

There isn’t any line for this one after the Harden trade and we may even see more moves from Houston before tip-off. That said, the first game after trading a big-name player, the rest of the team usually steps up.

This is likely to be especially true for this Houston side, after a number of players publicly called out James Harden. Assuming the rest of Houston’s rotation is available here, I think they’ve got a reasonable shot at the upset.

San Antonio certainly aren’t world beaters, as their recent 2-game series with the lowly Wolves showed. I’d expect a big number for Houston here, which I’d be inclined to take.

Assuming this game goes ahead with all of Dallas’ health concerns, I like the Hornets as 4.5-point home underdogs here. They’ve been playing much better of late, while Dallas has been thrown into flux with a covid outbreak.

Charlotte is essentially fully healthy for this one, while Dallas are without Richardson, Finney-Smith, Powell, and Brunson from their usual rotation. This significantly weakens Dallas on the perimeter, creating a favourable matchup for Charlotte’s young backcourt.

This has also really disrupted Dallas’ practice schedule, so I can see them starting this one slowly. Charlotte has a real shot at pulling off the outright win here, but getting 4.5 points is great value.

OKC have opened as 9.5-point home underdogs here and I’m inclined to back them getting this many points.  Both LeBron and AD have been on the injury report lately and this appears to be an ideal game to give one or both of them some rest.

Even if both of them play, this is a likely letdown spot for the Lakers after an emotional win in Houston yesterday. OKC are also on a back-to-back, but the lack of travel makes this a much more favourable scheduling spot for them.

While they haven’t pulled up many trees this season, they’re still a respectable 5-5 straight up and 6-4 ATS. This is a team that plays hard and will be well up for this as a relatively big home game. I like either OKC +9.5 or Lakers 1-10 here.

I like the look of Denver here, either at $1.86 straight up or minus the 1-point handicap. They appear to have found their form recently and have a favourable matchup against the Nets.

With no Kyrie or Dinwiddie, Brooklyn will be starved for perimeter creation here. They really struggled against OKC last time out and this Denver side is considerably better.

I wouldn’t expect too much trouble for the Nuggets on offense here, while they do just enough defensively to grab the win and cover.

From a pure line value perspective, I have to take the Pacers +2 points in this one. Golden State have pulled off some relatively fortunate victories of late and I think they’re overrated in the market as a result.

As a point of reference, only one week ago the Warriors were 3.5-point home underdogs to the Kings. Indiana played Sacramento yesterday where they were 5 point favourites on the road. Them being 2-point underdogs here is far too much of a line adjustment so soon.

Admittedly, they are playing on the 2^nd night of a back-to-back, but yesterday’s starting five are set to suit up again here. They’ve got a real chance at the outright win, but 2 points is good insurance if it’s a close one.

I like the road underdog Pelicans here, currently getting 4 points against Dallas. The Mavericks have several key rotation players missing here, with Richardson, Finney-Smith, and Brunson all ruled out.

This leaves Dallas with a very thin rotation that is light on perimeter defense and weak on the interior. New Orleans haven’t been great this season, going just 4-5 straight up and 3-6 ATS, which is why I think they’re a little undervalued.

They enter this clash with essentially a full bill of health and have a strong matchup advantage inside. I think they’ve got a real chance at pulling off the outright upset here, but 4 points is handy insurance.

While the Raptors have been downright terrible this season, it’s tough to see their value getting much lower than this. Having gone just 2-7 both straight up and ATS, you’re beginning to pay a premium if you want to fade them.

I think Portland have been a bit of a paper tiger this season and they could be vulnerable against a Toronto side that is still talented and well-coached. The Lowry/Van-Vleet backcourt is still one of the best defensive ones in the NBA, which comes in very handy against Portland’s style of play.

All of the action has come in on Portland so far, meaning we’re getting the key number of 5 with the underdog Raptors here. This is another spot where the underdog could win outright, but I’ll take the points for some extra insurance.

I’ll take the underdog Pistons here, currently getting 7.5 points at home to Utah. No-one really wants to back Detroit right now, so I continue to think they’re undervalued in the market.

Utah have been relatively inconsistent this season, picking up wins over the Clippers and Bucks but also losing to the two New York sides. This is the 5^th game of their 7^th game road trip and they came off an emotional win over Milwaukee, meaning they’re primed for a letdown game here.

They’ve also got a few questions surrounding their rotation, with each of Ingles, Favors, and Morgan in doubt to play. This has all the makings of a relatively close rock fight that gets decided late on. Through the key number of 7, the value is on Detroit here.

I like the Clippers to bounce back here, taking them -6 in the first half vs Chicago. They had a dreadful collapse against Golden State last time out and should really be motivated to put things right.

They enter this one full of health, while Chicago are likely to be without key pieces in Markkanen, Satoransky, Hutchinson, and Porter. Chicago’s main weakness is their lack of quality on the wing, which doesn’t bode well against Kawhi and PG.

Given the Clippers propensity to blow leads, I feel more comfortable with the first half line here instead of the full game. This is a fatigued and injured Chicago side who could be out of it quickly at the end of their long road trip.

There are few uglier teams to back right now than the Minnesota Timberwolves, who’ve gone just 2-6 straight up and 3-5 ATS. That’s exactly why it may be time to get on the Wolves train here, backing them +7 at home vs San Antonio.

While the Wolves have almost no value in the betting market, the Spurs have been cashing like crazy for punters lately. They’ve won back-to-back games against the 2 LA sides and gone an impressive 6-2 ATS on the season.

I think they’re starting to get a little overvalued in the market and now could just be the right time to fade them. This has all the makings of a letdown spot for San Antonio in a game where there isn’t a huge talent disparity.

I’m back on the Kings train after a disappointing loss to Toronto yesterday. This is purely a line value play, with the 4.5 points on offer currently way too many.

Just last week, Portland was a 5-point road favourite in Golden State, while the Kings were -3 in the same situation. Factor in 1.5 points for home court and Portland should be around a 1-point favourite here.

Portland haven’t been very impressive this season and they still tend to get a ton of love in the betting market. They’re very vulnerable on defense, especially to fast transition teams, which is what the Kings love to do. I have this as a coinflip type of game, so I’ll take the home dog +4.5 points.

The Knicks have marched out to an impressive 5-3 record so far, winning their last 3 games in the process. They’ve been getting a ton of action in the market for this one, so I’m opting for the contrarian fade and taking OKC +3.

The Thunder have been better than most expected this season, going 3-4 straight up and 4-3 ATS. I think they match up relatively well with the Knicks here and should be able to keep this one competitive.

There has been a large degree of shooting luck in the Knicks wins thus far and they’re due for a reversal some time soon. With all the public money coming in on New York, OKC look like a sharp bet plus the points.

There is some question here over the availability of De’Aaron Fox with his hamstring injury suffered against Chicago. He is currently questionable to play and I only like this +4.5-point line if he is available.

The Kings have gone from 3 point road favourites over Golden State to 4.5 point home underdogs against Toronto in a matter of days. I think this is a huge overreaction for a team that has generally been solid this season.

Toronto certainly aren’t pulling up any trees, stumbling out of the gate to 1-6 straight up and 0-4 on the road. The Raptors just aren’t the same team they used to be and a healthy Kings side should be able to keep this one close, if not win outright.