Thursday, November 11.

Miami Heat (-3.5) $1.90

The Los Angeles Lakers are set to play their ninth home game of the season when the Heat come to town, though this will be the first time they start as underdogs.

The Lakers are 6-5 on the season, despite being handed a favourable schedule, the title favourites have struggled to keep LeBron on the court while integrating Westbrooke has proven to be something of a nightmare.

Alternatively, the Heat have gotten away to a 7-3 start, the addition of Lowry only emphasizing their team-centric ethos of HEAT Culture.

The Lakers have failed to cover the line in 8 of their 11 games this season, while they are 0-4 against the spread following a victory!

Meanwhile, the Heat are 7-3 ATS and are 2-0 following a loss.

LA will still be without LeBron here, and although Melo’s shooting brilliance has covered up a few cracks in the Laker’s DNA, I can’t see them going four quarters against one of, if not the nastiest sides in the league!

I’m taking the Heat at the line here.

Warriors (-7.5) $1.98

League leaders Golden State are out to extend their winning streak to six games when they welcome a struggling Minnesota side to the Chase Centre.

Following a fast start to the season the Timberwolves have hit a wall, losing five games straight including an embarrassing 18-point defeat to Orlando!

The Warriors are currently ranked 1st in offence and 2nd in defence this season and are the only side with a double-figure positive point differential (+13.7)!

Alternatively, the Timberwolves are ranked 23rd in offence and 18th in defence, with a point differential of -4.1.

Minnesota has failed to cover the line in each of their last five matches, while the Dubs hold a 7-2 record against the spread this season.

The Warriors may have been gifted an easy schedule to kick off their campaign, but they can only beat the sides in front of them and they should continue to do so with relative ease here.

Wednesday, November 10.

Jazz (-7.5) $1.90

After getting blown off the court by the Warriors in San Francisco, the Hawks are set to jet off to Utah where they’ll face the formidable Jazz less than 24 hours later!

Hawks are in dire straights at the minute, the young squad has lost five of their last six outings, and are 1-6 on the road this season.

These two sides met in Atlanta last week, the Jazz rinsed them by 18 points on that occasion, with Jordan Clarkson dropping 30 off the bench!

Atlanta has failed to cover the line in all FOUR games as away underdogs this season, and both the games they’ve played coming off the back of zero rest days.

Meanwhile, the Jazz has covered the line 6-4 as the favourite and 2-0 with a rest advantage.

I’m backing another blowout victory for the Jazz here, with the Hawks just looking like a G-League outfit on the road.

Clippers (-3) $1.90

Portland head to LA looking to extend their winning streak to three straight games.

Standing in their way are the Clippers, who are out to extend their own run to five consecutive victories.

These two sides have already met twice across the first ten games of the season (1-1), with the home side winning both contests comfortably.

On that note, the Trail Blazers are yet to claim a win on their travels (0-4), while failing to cover the line on each of those matches.

Until Dame finds his range again, I’m happy to continue to back against Portland at the line, especially while PG13 is posting up monster numbers.

Tuesday, November 9.

Warriors (-3.5) $1.94

The Golden State Warriors have gotten off to their best start in a decade, winning eight of their first nine games.

They welcome an Atlanta to the Chase Center, as the young Hawks look to rediscover the form which took them to the Eastern Conference finals last season.

Following a promising start to the season, the Hawks have gone on to lose four of their last five outings, and are 1-5 on the road.

Alternatively, the Dubs are flying at the moment, winning their last four home games by an average of 24.5 points!

Atlanta has failed to cover the line in all three games as away underdogs this season, I’m backing that trend to continue here.

Monday, November 8.

Warriors to Win & Under 220 Total Points $2.15

The Rockets head to the Bay Area to play their 2nd of back-to-back road games, looking to secure their first away win of the season.

They’ll be facing the Warriors who hold the best record in the league (7-1), even without the services of Thompson and Wiseman!

For a side known for their elite shooting, the Dubs have actually been winning contests on the defensive end this season, they’re currently leading the league in defensive efficiency, holding four of their last five opponents to under 100 points.

This dominance has been reflected in the Total Points market, with seven of the Warriors’ eight games finishing UNDER, the same can be said for seven of the nine games involving the Rockets this season!

The Warriors fierce defence combined with the Rockets blunt offence has me leaning heavily toward the Unders here, multi’d with a straight-up Dubs win to squeeze out maximum value.

Sunday, November 7.

Sunday NBA Multi
Dever to Win & Boston to cover

Denver to Win
This is a pretty straightforward leg.
The Rockets come into this fixture with an atrocious 1-6 record, 0-4 away from home.
While the Nuggets are 2-1 in Denver, with Jokic playing MVP level ball.

Boston to Cover
This is the value play leg of the multi.
Dallas holds an impressive 3-1 record at home this season, though two of those victories have come against sides with a below .250 record.
Alternatively, Boston has done their best work on the road, holding a 4-2 away record, most recently seeing off the red hot Miami Heat!
The Celtics are pushing for their third straight win on the road, I’m backing them to cover at the bare minimum here.

Saturday, November 6.

Timberwolves to Cover $1.90

The Clippers take on the Timberwolves in the second of back-to-back meetings in Minnesota.

LA won the initial meeting 126-115, with Paul George continuing his hot run of form, dropping 32 points to lead the scoring for both teams.

As a team, the Clippers shot at 58% from deep, a clip which is likely to drop in their second meeting.

The Timberwolves have stepped up their games this season, with the likes of KAT and Anthony Edwards locking down on both ends of the court.

I’m expecting a big response from the home side here, and have them covering the spread at the bare minimum.

Warriors (-9.5) $1.90

The Pelicans head to the Bay Area in search of their first win from their last six starts.

They’ll come up against the Dubs unit who are on top of their game, starting the season 6-1, with their lone loss coming in a tight OT contest against the Grizzlies.

The Pels will be without their two best offensive weapons in Zion and Ingram, leaving them heavily reliant on the exploits of Valanciunas.

New Orleans has lost their last two away games by 12+ points against lesser opponents, the -9.5 line should be eclipsed by GSW by the 1st quarter!

Friday, November 5.

Heat (-7.5) $1.90

Going into the season question marks were raised about how Miami would gel and could they be efficient on the offensive end?

Seven games in and everyone’s concerns have been well and truly put to bed, sitting on top of the East with the second-best offensive rating in the league!

Alternatively, Boston has looked disinterested at best, ‘all talent and no heart’ would be the best way to describe their inconsistent start to the season.

The young Celtics squad has found traveling difficult, failing to cover the spread in every game they’ve started as the away underdog, while the Heat has been dominant in Miami covering in all three of their home matches.

The Heat squad don’t look like taking a night off this season, and I am fully expecting them to bully this gutless Boston side out of Miami.

OKC +12.5 $1.90

OKC are 1-6 to start the season, with their young core struggling to string together four quarters of competitive ball.

Though Thunder fans may hold some hope here, with their solitary win coming against none other than the Lakers.

I wouldn’t be holding my breath though, after a poor start to the season, the Lakers have gone on to win five of their last six games, with Westbrooke starting to find his feet alongside LeBron and AD.

OKC has looked electric at times this season, they are just lacking the composure and experience needed to close out contests.

The visitors will take confidence out of their first meeting with the Lakers, as such I’m backing them to keep this contest close.

Thursday, November 4.

Bulls (+1.5) $1.90

Chicago are out to consolidate their position atop the Eastern Conference when they travel to Philly.

The Bulls hold a perfect 3-0 record on the road this season after fighting back from a 19-point third-quarter deficit at Boston last time out.

The visitors are 5-1 against the spread this season, 3-0 on the road, and 2-0 as the underdogs.

Although the Sixers have proven to be a dominant force at home over the past few years, they look vulnerable with Harris, Green, and Simmons all sidelined, while Embiid is yet to find his stride.

The Bulls are playing with a ton of self-belief at the moment and I’m backing them to cover if not win this contest.


Curry 4+ 3PT Field Goals + Warriors to Win $1.82

Charlotte head to the bay area to take on the 5-1 Warriors.

Golden State look like real contenders this season, with role players such as Lee and Poole stepping up their game over the summer.

Curry has carried over his red hot form from last campaign, averaging 28.7 points across the Dubs opening six games, the deadeye point guard will be eyeing off another fill-up against a raw Hornets squad.

Last years’ scoring champ has been as prolific as ever from deep this season, hitting 4+ 3PT field goals on five of his six appearances.

I’m backing Steph to find his range again here while leading the Dubs to another W.

Wednesday, November 3.

Utah (-9) $1.90

Utah looks to go 3-0 at home when they welcome the much improved Sacramento Kings to Vivint Arena.

The Kings are 3-1 on the road this season, though Utah represents their toughest trip to date.

These two met a week back with the Jazz knocking off the Kings by 9 in Sacramento.

Utah has covered the line in five of their six games this season, and are 2-0 when starting as the home favourite.

The Jazz are regular-season specialists and should overwhelm a young Kings core here.

Under 218 $1.90

This is a case of rinse and repeat.

The Lakers and the Rockets faced off two days ago in LA, with the host running out 10-point victors in a low-scoring affair!

The game finished with 180 combined points, coming in 41 points under the line!

All six of Houston’s games this season have gone UNDER the total points line, with the Lakers starting to find their groove on the defensive end I can easily see this one falling shy of the line once again!

Tuesday, November 2.

Bulls to Win

The Celtics play host to the Bulls, as they look to break their duck at TD Garden.

The Bulls have shot out of the blocks to start the 2021/22 season and are sitting equal top of the East with a 5-1 record.

Chicago has their defence to thank for their comanding start, currently 3rd in the league for points allowed 98.8, worlds apart from Boston who are sitting last in that metric allowing their opponents to score a whopping 118.3 points on average!

The Bulls are 2-0 on their travels this season and are playing with enough enthusiams, skill and disipline to take another W on the road here.

UNDER 213 Points $1.90

OKC travels to LA in search of their first win on the road this season.

They have a real chance in doing so against a lacklustre Clippers outfit, who are currently 1-4 and looking lost without Kawhi on the court.

The Clippers have lost their last two games in an embarrassing fashion, managing to score just 79 & 92 points on Cleveland and Portland.

All three games where the Thunder were away underdogs have gone UNDER the total points market, while two of the three games where Clips were Home Favs have also gone UNDER.

OKC are a real chance of snatching their second win of the season and second result over an LA outfit here, though I’ll be taking the Unders in what is set to be a stinker.