I like the Hawks here, getting 5.5 points at home. Both teams are nearly fully healthy after the break, which benefits a thinner team like Atlanta.
They haven’t been great at home this season, compiling a 9-17 straight up record. That said, going 15-10-1 ATS suggests that they’re doing a good job outperforming the market.
Likewise, Miami’s 13-16 road record is nothing to write home about. They are just 12-16-1 ATS on the road, winning only 4 of their last 10 overall.
Atlanta have a few matchup edges here, especially with Trae Young on offense. Clint Capela is also a useful addition on the interior and should help this one close. Especially through the key number of 5, I’ll take Atlanta plus the points here.
The Sixers are currently 9-point favourites and I’m expecting a relatively comfortable win here. They’ve proven themselves to be one of the best home teams in the NBA, going an outstanding 25-2 thus far. This is backed up by a strong 15-10-2 ATS record.
Brooklyn have been pretty poor on the road all season, going just 9-16 straight up and 10-15 ATS. They’ll be without Kyrie Irving here, which should really hurt against a strong defence like Philly.
They were in some good form before the All-Star break, but I think a long layoff got rid of those benefits. Philly enter this clash fully healthy and should look to dominate on the interior.
Given the factors listed above, I only see this line increasing before tip-off. If you also like the Sixers, I suggest getting in soon at the -9 number.