They don’t inspire much confidence, but I’ll take the Wolves getting 6.5 points here. They’ve been in some atrocious recent form, which I think has really undervalued them in the market.
They’ve won just twice and covered only 3 times in their last 10, compared to 5 wins and covers for Dallas. Their home ATS mark is a miserable 6-21-2, which is bound to improve simply by the law of averages.
Dallas are also feeling the injury pinch here. Rotation pieces in Cauley Stein and Brunson are definitely out, while Luka Doncic remains questionable. From the Minnesota side, all of the main players are expected to be available.
These early Sunday starts tend to favour the home side and I can see that case being again here. Dallas enter this one the more injured and fatigued side, which should give Minnesota a leg up with the 6.5-point start.
This is a bit of a borderline play, but I see some value on Sacramento here laying 7.5 points. They’re only 3.5 games back of a playoff spot out West and I see motivation being quite high here.
On the flipside, Detroit have barely anything to play for here. This is the fourth and final game of their West Coast swing and they’ve already picked up their token win.
They’ve been atrocious on the road this season, going just 9-21 straight up and 12-17-1 ATS. While the Kings record for the season isn’t great, winning 7 and covering 8 of their last 10 is indicative of great form.
This play does hinge somewhat on the availability of De’Aaron Fox, but signs would suggest that he plays here. I think the more motivated and talented side has a shot at a route here, making 7.5 a very playable number.