Friday, April 19

Friday, April 19

Brooklyn Nets vs Philadelphia 76ers, 10 am
76ers -2.5

Brooklyn Nets

The Nets were brought back to reality last time out with a crushing loss in Philadelphia. The starting lineup really struggled to get going and were on the end of a 22-1 barrage to start the third quarter. Point Guards D’Angelo Russell and Spencer Dinwiddie did combine for 35 points and will be tasked with a lot of the offensive creation here.

Philadelphia 76ers

The Sixers levelled things up at 1-1 last time out with a convincing 22-point win. Ben Simmons led the way with an efficient triple-double, highlighted by 18 points on 8-12 shooting. Joel Embiid was also a force on the interior, adding 23 points and 10 boards in just 21 minutes.

Prediction: 76ers -2.5

While the Sixers did get back on track in game 2, they’ll be looking to wrestle back home court advantage in this one. They are still the much more talented side and enjoy a huge advantage in their starting lineup. Laying just 2.5 points, I think they get the job done comfortably here.

San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets, 11 am
Under 210.5

San Antonio Spurs

The Spurs missed a golden opportunity to go up 2-0 last time out, ultimately falling by 9 points. This was despite a solid offensive night from DeMar DeRozan, who had 31 points and 7 rebounds. LaMarcus Aldridge and Derrick White combined for an impressive 41, but no other Spur could score in double figures.

Denver Nuggets

The Nuggets saved their season with a huge 4th quarter comeback to level things up. Nikola Jokic continues to impress, leading the way with 21 points, 13 boards, and 8 assists. Jamal Murray was huge with 8 4th quarter field goals, while both Paul Millsap and Gary Harris reached 20 points in the win.

Prediction: Under 210.5

Under in Denver road games has been a profitable trend this season and I can see that continuing here. The two sides have played at a relatively slow pace and found points hard to come by so far. At 210.5, I think there is just enough value on the under in this spot.

Los Angeles Clippers vs Golden State Warriors, 12:30 pm
Warriors -8

Los Angeles Clippers

The Clippers defied all odds last time out with a huge comeback to level the series. Lou Williams was absolutely on fire off the bench, dropping 36 points and 11 assists to lead the way. Montrezl Harrell added 25 points and 10 boards, while Danilo Gallinari led the starters with 24 points and 6 assists.

Golden State Warriors

It was a disastrous game 2 for the Warriors, losing both the game and DeMarcus Cousins for the season. This wasted another solid night from Stephen Curry, who dropped 29 points, 6 assists, and 3 steals. While Kevin Durant did add 21 points and 5 assists, he will absolutely need to cut down on his 9 turnovers.

Prediction: Warriors -8

While everyone has been having a laugh at the Warriors expense, I think they come out firing here. The Clippers have been getting away with a ton on defence and I expect a tighter game from the officials here. Expect a big night from KD in this one as he torches Patrick Beverley en route to a comfortable Dubs road win.

Thursday, April 18

Boston Celtics vs Indiana Pacers, 9 am
Over 203

Boston Celtics

The Celts got things started nicely in game 1, showing off some gritty defence to win 84-74. Kyrie Irving was the leader offensively in this one, dropping a well-rounded 20 points, 7 rebounds, and 5 assists. Al Horford also had a solid double-double on the interior, while Marcus Morris added 20 more points off the bench.

Indiana Pacers

The playoffs couldn’t have started much worse for Indiana, who just couldn’t reliably score in game 1. Their starters combined for just 38 total points, with all 5 of them shooting under 40% from the field. Cory Joseph did offer some relief off the bench, dropping a quick 12 points on 5/9 shooting.

Prediction: Over 203

One trend that has largely held up this season is backing the over when Boston are home favourites. Despite a dreadful offensive showing last time out, I believe these two sides are capable of much more offensively. With a relatively low 203 total here, the value is certainly on the over.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons, 10 am
Pistons Team Total Under 98.5

Milwaukee Bucks

The Bucks absolutely cruised to a dominant 35-point victory in game 1. Giannis Antetokounmpo looked like a man among boys, leading the way with 24 points and 17 rebounds. 6 other Milwaukee players scored in double figures in what was very much a complete team display.

Detroit Pistons

The Pistons look pretty much hopeless at this point without star Forward Blake Griffin. Aussie Thon Maker did get a surprise playoff start in game 1, however he could only manage 4 points on 2/10 shooting. Andre Drummond was the only Piston to offer any resistance, going for 12 points and 12 boards.

Prediction: Pistons total Under 98.5

Especially without Blake Griffin, I just don’t see how this Pistons side can score reliably here. Milwaukee has an excellent smothering defence and were on point in game 1. I think 98.5 is too high for Detroit here and the value is on the under.

Houston Rockets vs Utah Jazz, 11:30 am
Rockets -6.5

Houston Rockets

The Rockets appeared absolutely dominant in game 1, slaughtering the Jazz by 32 points. James Harden again stole the show, dropping 29 points and falling 2 boards short of a triple-double. Clint Capela was also a force on the interior, adding a quick-fire 16 points and 12 boards of his own.

Utah Jazz

Things couldn’t have started much worse for Utah as they looked thoroughly overmatched in game 1. Rudy Gobert led the way as per usual, pouring in 22 points and 12 boards. Utah simply needs more from Aussie Joe Ingles, who managed just 3 points in 32 minutes.

Prediction: Rockets -6.5

I’ve been bullish on Utah all season but I think they’ve been hugely unlucky to run up against this Houston side in round 1. You know Harden will get his here and the Jazz just can’t score reliably enough to compete. It’s tough taking a side right after a blowout win, but I expect the Rockets to extend their lead here.

Wednesday, April 17

Toronto Raptors vs Orlando Magic, 10 am
Raptors -10

Toronto Raptors

It was a trademark poor start to the playoffs for Toronto, narrowly falling to the #7 seed Magic in Game 1. Kyle Lowry was the main storyline in their defeat, going 0/7 from the field and scoring 0 points in 34 minutes. On the positive end, starting forwards Pascal Siakam and Kawhi Leonard did combine for an impressive 49 points and 15 boards.

Orlando Magic

After the infamous Dwight Howard trade in 2012, it turns out Orlando won a playoff game before the Lakers. DJ Augustin was the star man in this one, dropping 25 points and 6 assists, including a nice step back game-winner. 6 other Magic players scored in double figures in what was very much a strong team display.

Prediction: Raptors -10

Laying 10 points here is definitely a premium on the Raptors, that said I still think they’re good value. They’re definitely the better team here and have the motivational edge. As long as Kyle Lowry performs at his normal level, I expect a double-digit home win.

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs, 11 am
Nuggets -6.5

Denver Nuggets

Nuggets doubters enjoyed some early vindication on Sunday afternoon after a surprise opening home loss to the Spurs. This was despite another solid triple-double from Nikola Jokic, who looked like he belonged in the playoffs. Denver will need a better performance from Jamal Murray, who went 8-24 from the field with no assists.

San Antonio Spurs

It was a dream start for San Antonio on Sunday as they’ve now managed to take back home court. Derrick White impressed in the series opener, dropping 16 points, 5 assists, and a mouth-watering dunk. While he was somewhat inefficient, DeMar DeRozan opened the campaign with a solid stat line of 18 points, 12 boards, and 6 assists.

Prediction: Nuggets -6.5

We’re paying a premium on Denver in this spot, but I just can’t see them falling behind 2-0. They have a strong advantage in the starting lineup and should see more assertive performances from Jokic and Murray here. Even with a 6.5-point line, improved effort and execution should be enough to cover.

Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder, 12:30 pm
Under 222

Portland Trail Blazers

The Blazers continued their strong home record this season with a solid game 1 victory. Damian Lillard led the way as per usual, hitting some very deep threes en route to 30 points and 4 assists. Enes Kanter was also strong on the interior, going for 20 points and 18 boards of his own.

Oklahoma City Thunder

It was an unfortunate start to the playoffs for OKC, who’ll feel as though they let one slip away here. Russell Westbrook continues to mess around and notch triple doubles, going for 24 points, 10 boards, and 10 assists. Paul George’s health still remains a question as he shot just 8-24 from the field last time out.

Prediction: Under 222

A strong trend this season has been backing the under in games where OKC are underdogs. With a relative lack of offensive weapons on both sides, I can see this being another low-scoring affair. Although the line has shot up since the opener, I’m confident in the under here.

Tuesday, April 16

Philadelphia 76ers vs Brooklyn Nets, 10 am
76ers -8

Philadelphia 76ers

Game 1 of the 2019 NBA playoffs couldn’t have gone much worse for the heavily favoured Sixers as they lost home court. This was despite a fantastic display from Jimmy Butler, who dropped 36 points and 9 rebounds. Joel Embiid looked solid despite his injury concerns, adding 22 points, 15 boards, and 5 blocks of his own. Aussie Ben Simmons simply has to play better, going for just 9 points and 3 assists.

Brooklyn Nets

The Nets stole game 1 on the road with a very controlled 111-102 win. D’Angelo Russell was the star man, leading the way with 26 points and 4 assists. Ed Davis had a crucial double-double off the bench, patrolling the interior with 12 points and 16 boards. Even Caris LeVert looked fully back from his injury, dropping a quick-fire 23 of his own.

Prediction: 76ers -8

While the Embiid injury concerns do worry me, the situation is very favourable for the Sixers here. Home favourites that lose game 1 tend to perform significantly better in game 2. The Sixers have a ton of room for improvement too, with Simmons, Harris, and Redick all underperforming. Laying just 8 points, I think a fully healthy Sixers side gets the home win and cover here.

Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Clippers, 12:30 pm
Under 230.5

Golden State Warriors

It was business as usual for Golden State in game 1 as they cruised to a 17-point win. Steph Curry was at his scintillating best, going for 38 points, 15 boards, and 7 assists. Kevin Durant was also impressive before his late ejection, adding 23 points, 4 boards, and 3 assists of his own. Reserve big man Kevon Looney highlighted how important he could be to this playoff run, going +30 in his 17 minutes of action.

Los Angeles Clippers

The Clippers fought valiantly in game 1, but they’re ultimately heavily outmatched in this series. Lou Williams again led the way off the bench, this time dropping an impressive 25 points and 9 assists. Running mate Montrezl Harrell was also impressive, pouring in a team-high 26 points and 5 boards. They’ll need much better going forward from a starting lineup where no player hit 50% from the field.

Prediction: Under 230.5

The Warriors have trended towards the under at home this season, going 25-16 for under backers. This trend continued in game 1, with yet another under ticket cashing. A large part of this is the excellent defence of their starting lineup, which the Clippers offence just can’t match. Especially in a slowed down playoff environment, I expect this one to sail under.

Monday, April 15

Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder, 5:30 am
Thunder +3

Portland Trail Blazers

The Blazers managed to take the 3rd seed with a stellar 53-29 record after 5 wins in their last 6. Anfernee Simons was the hero last time out, dropping 37 points, 9 assists, and 6 boards to secure the win. Damian Lillard has had another stellar season averaging 25.8 points and 6.8 assists and will be expected to lead Portland’s charge here.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Wins in each of their final 5 games were enough to take OKC to 49-33 and the #6 seed. Paul George had arguably the best season of his career, averaging 28 points, 8 boards, and 4 assists. Russell Westbrook also averaged a triple-double for the third straight season, going for 23 points a night in the process.

Prediction: Thunder +3

I think the Thunder can definitely win this series and it starts here in game 1. Paul George is a huge matchup advantage for OKC and I expect a big game from him here. After sweeping Portland in the regular season, I’ll take the value with OKC +3.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons, 9 am
Bucks -12.5

Milwaukee Bucks

Even after resting their starters late on, the Bucks secured the best record in the NBA at 60-22. Giannis looks set for a maiden MVP birth after averaging 27.7 points, 12.5 boards, and 5.9 assists. Khris Middleton has also been a capable second option, averaging 18.3 points, 6 boards, and 4.3 assists of his own.

Detroit Pistons

The Pistons limped into the playoffs, winning just 2 of their last 6 to claim the #8 seed on the season’s final day. Blake Griffin has led the way for Detroit all year, averaging 24.5 points, 7.5 boards, and 5.5 assists. Andre Drummond has teamed up with Blake for an excellent frontcourt, averaging 17.3 points and 15.6 boards of his own.

Prediction: Bucks -12.5

With Blake Griffin an injury doubt for this one, I expect Detroit to really struggle. The Bucks stars are well rested here and I expect them to come out firing. 12.5 points just isn’t enough for the best team in the NBA this season.

Houston Rockets vs Utah Jazz, 11:30 am
Jazz +6.5

Houston Rockets

After a loss in OKC in the last game of the season, Houston fell to the #4 seed with a 53-29 record. James Harden has again been the main man all year, averaging 36 points, 7.5 assists, and 6.6 boards per game. Clint Capela has also emerged as a strong second option, averaging 16.6 points and 12.7 boards of his own.

Utah Jazz

Utah had yet another stellar regular season, hitting 50 wins and earning the #5 seed. Rudy Gobert looms as a definite DPOY candidate, averaging 16 points, 13 boards, and 2.3 blocks per game. Donovan Mitchell also came on towards the end of the year, averaging 23.8 points to go along with 4 boards and assists.

Prediction: Jazz +6.5

The Jazz continue to be one of the NBA’s more underrated teams and I think they’ve got a shot at the upset in this series. As long as their offence can get reliable buckets here, I definitely think they keep it close. Getting 6.5 points, I have to take the underdog in this spot.

Sunday, April 14

Toronto Raptors vs Orlando Magic, 7 am
Raptors -8.5

Toronto Raptors

The #2 seed Raptors finished the season at an impressive 58-24, including a strong 32-9 home record. Kawhi Leonard has been their best player this season, averaging over 26 points, 7 boards, and 3 assists per game. Forward Pascal Siakam has also improved immensely, averaging 17 points, 7 boards, and 3 assists of his own.

Orlando Magic

The Magic finally end their long playoff drought with a 42-40 season that earned them the #7 seed. Nikola Vucevic had a breakout season, earning an All-Star spot with averages of 20.8 points and 12 boards per game. Evan ‘Don’t Google Me’ Fournier has been the leader in the backcourt, averaging over 15 points and 3.5 assists of his own.

Prediction: Raptors -8.5

While the Magic have been much better of late, I think this is a really poor matchup for them. They just don’t have the reliable perimeter scoring needed to get regular buckets on this stellar Raptors defence. Laying just 8.5, I expect a comfortable double-digit home win to open the playoffs.

Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Clippers, 10 am
Warriors -12.5

Golden State Warriors

Another stellar regular season earned Golden State the #1 seed with a 57-25 record. Kevin Durant led the way with another very strong year, averaging 26 points, 6 boards, and 6 assists. Stephen Curry also remains the league’s top Point Guard, pouring in over 27 points and 5 assists of his own each night.

Los Angeles Clippers

The Clippers surpassed nearly all expectations this season, winning 48 games and claiming the #8 seed. Lou Williams has been excellent off the bench all season, averaging 20 points and 5.4 assists. Danilo Gallinari has also enjoyed a bounce-back campaign, averaging 19.1 points and 6.8 boards of his own this year.

Prediction: Warriors -12.5

Golden State gets the matchup they want here and I think they can really dominate this series. The Clippers don’t have any reasonable options to put on KD or Boogie and I expect the #1 Golden State offence to thrive. The switch has definitely been flipped and you can expect a strong Warriors outing in game 1.

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs, 12:30 pm
Over 211

Denver Nuggets

Some bizarre late-season results helped the Nuggets earn the #2 seed, backed by a solid 54-28 record. Nikola Jokic emerged as one of the league’s premier big men, averaging over 20 points, 10 boards, and 7 assists a night. Jamal Murray also looks set for a long successful career in this league, averaging over 18 points of his own.

San Antonio Spurs

Despite many predicting them to have a down year, the Spurs again exceeded expectations, winning 48 games and claiming the #7 seed. LaMarcus Aldridge again led the way, anchoring the middle with averages over 21 points and 9 boards. DeMar DeRozan also had a stellar first campaign with the Spurs, averaging over 21 points, 6 boards, and 6 assists a night.

Prediction: Over 211

Although the pace tends to slow down in the playoffs, these two sides have shown their offensive quality all season. Especially in the altitude, I expect Denver to come out running early to push the pace. With a relatively low total, I expect this fast pace to end up pushing it over.

Thursday, April 11

Charlotte Hornets vs Orlando Magic, 10 am
Hornets at the Line

Charlotte Hornets

The Hornets enter this one on an impressive 4 game winning streak, yet still find themselves 1 game behind Detroit for the 8th seed. Kemba Walker continues to lead the way, dropping 23 points and 7 assists against Cleveland last time out. Jeremy Lamb has also been a revelation in a bench role, also adding 23 of his own.

Orlando Magic

The Magic locked up their first playoff appearance in 6 seasons last time out and deserve immense credit for doing so. Nikola Vucevic was again outstanding in the win, dropping 25 points to go with 12 boards. Evan ‘Don’t Google Me’ Fournier added an impressive 24 points and 5 boards, whilst Terrence Ross had a quick 26 off the bench.

Prediction: Hornets at the Line

A win here coupled with a Pistons loss is Charlotte’s only road into the playoffs. With Orlando not having much to play for, I wouldn’t be surprised if they rest some starters here. Expect a comfortable home win in potentially Kemba Walker’s last game.

New York Knicks vs Detroit Pistons, 10 am
Pistons at the Line

New York Knicks

Despite locking up the worst record in basketball, the Knicks actually enter this one off consecutive wins. Mitchell Robinson continues to look like a solid prospect, going for 17 boards and 3 blocks yesterday. Dennis Smith is also playing some of his best basketball of the season, going for 25 points and 5 assists last time out.

Detroit Pistons

With their season on the line, the Pistons finally came up big with a comeback win over Memphis yesterday. Andre Drummond was incredible in this one, dropping 20 points, 17 boards, 5 steals, and 3 blocks. Ish Smith was also huge off the bench, adding a quick-fire 22 points and 4 assists of his own.

Prediction: Pistons at the Line

The equation is very simple for Detroit here, win and they’re in the playoffs. Despite Blake Griffin dealing with injuries, I expect them to come out very motivated here. Andre Drummond is the best player on the floor and should dominate on the interior en route to victory.

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves, 12:30 pm
Nuggets at the Line

Denver Nuggets

Despite consecutive losses, the 53-28 Nuggets have outperformed all expectations this season. Nikola Jokic has emerged as a legitimate star, averaging over 20 points, 10 boards, and 7 assists per game. Jamal Murray is also looking like a very solid PG, averaging 18 points and 5 assists of his own.

Minnesota Timberwolves

The 36-45 Timberwolves appear to have mailed it in, comfortably losing at home to Toronto yesterday. Karl-Anthony Towns didn’t even play, leaving them without a legitimate #1 scorer. Tyus Jones was the only notable contributor, registering a double-double in his audition as the starting Point Guard.

Prediction: Nuggets at the Line

A home win for the Nuggets here would secure the very valuable #2 seed. The last thing Minnesota wants to do is play this road game and I expect a poor effort from them here. Denver are the more talented and motivated side in this one and should cruise to victory.

Wednesday, April 10

Washington Wizards vs Boston Celtics, 9 am
Celtics +6

Washington Wizards

The Wizards enter this one at 32-49 after 9 losses in their last 11 outings. Bradley Beal still looks on pace for an All-NBA spot after his stellar averages of 25 points, 5 rebounds, and 5 assists per night. Thomas Bryant has also looked like a nice find at Center, dropping 17 points, 7 boards, and 2 blocks last time out.

Boston Celtics

The Celtics enter this one at 48-33 after a home loss to the Magic last time out which sealed a playoff berth for Orlando. Kyrie Irving was still at his dynamic best, dropping an impressive 23 points, 6 assists, and 5 rebounds. Al Horford has also stepped up of late, dropping 18 points and 7 assists last time out.

Prediction: Celtics +6

While Boston will certainly rest some guys here, they still have one of the NBA’s deepest rosters. Especially given the Wizards recent form, I don’t see how they’re 6-point favourites here. In what is essentially a meaningless toss-up, I’ll take the value on the large underdog.

Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers, 9:30 am
Heat -0.5

Miami Heat

The Heat enter this one at 38-42 after a heartbreaking overtime loss to Toronto that may have ended their playoff hopes. Dwyane Wade continues to show out as he nears the end, dropping 21 points and 5 assists. Justise Winslow has also been stuffing the stat sheet of late, adding 15 points, 7 boards, and 6 assists of his own.

Philadelphia 76ers

The Sixers clinched the #3 seed with a convincing road win in Chicago last time out. Joel Embiid continues to look stellar in his return from injury, dropping 20 points, 10 boards, and 5 assists. JJ Redick has also been an offensive force, adding 23 points and 5 boards of his own.

Prediction: Heat -0.5

With Philly having nothing to play for, I expect heavy rotation from the Sixers in this one. Miami are still in with a shot at the playoffs and will give it everything they have. Expect a vintage D-Wade performance as the Heat keep their season alive.

Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets, 11 am
Jazz -1.5

Utah Jazz

The Jazz return home at 49-31 after an atrocious uncharacteristic loss to the Lakers last time out. This was despite another strong display from Center Rudy Gobert, who had 21 points and 10 boards on the interior. Utah needs better from Sophomore Donovan Mitchell, who went a poor 5-17 in this one.

Denver Nuggets

The Nuggets opted for some heavy rotation last time out against Portland, narrowly falling late in the 4th. It was definitely a valiant team effort from Denver, who had 6 players score in double figures. Mason Plumlee was probably the pick of the bunch, going for a double-double, 6 assists, and 3 blocks.

Prediction: Jazz -1.5

Utah have been outstanding at home this season, while Denver has been a middling road side. Especially after a poor loss last time out, I expect the Jazz to come out firing to try and lock up the #4 seed. In what should ultimately be a close one, I lean towards the home favourites here.

Monday, April 8

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat, 2 am
Heat +7.5

Toronto Raptors

The Raptors appear to be locked into the East’s #2 seed after a narrow loss in Charlotte last time out. Kawhi Leonard appears to be in good nick, dropping 29 points and 6 boards in that loss. Serge Ibaka also appears to be relishing his new bench role, adding a quick-fire 20 points and 12 boards of his own.

Miami Heat

The Heat enter this one at 38-41, with 3 straight losses leaving them on the outside of the East playoff race. This is despite some recent admirable performances from Dwyane Wade, who dropped 24 points and 3 assists last time out. Dion Waiters is also back to his gunning best, racking up 22 points and 0 assists against Minnesota.

Prediction: Heat +7.5

Toronto don’t really have anything to play for here and could very well rest their starters in this one. Miami, on the other hand, are fighting for their playoff lives and will be very motivated here. The Heat have been fantastic as underdogs this season and I expect them to cover this 7.5 number.

Detroit Pistons vs Charlotte Hornets, 6 am
Hornets +6.5

Detroit Pistons

The Pistons have lost 3 straight to sit 39-40, in real danger of missing the playoffs altogether. Blake Griffin is still putting this team on his back, dropping an impressive 45 points and 7 boards against OKC last time out. Detroit definitely needs more from big man Andre Drummond, who had just 4 points in that loss.

Charlotte Hornets

The Hornets kept their faint playoff hopes alive with a narrow win over Toronto last time out. Kemba Walker had another controlled display in this one, dropping 29 points to go with 8 assists and 6 boards. The Charlotte bench was also very impressive, with both Frank Kaminsky and Jeremy Lamb pouring in 22 points.

Prediction: Hornets +6.5

Both sides have a lot to play for here but the Hornets season is essentially on the line. Detroit have been in horrendous form of late and really shouldn’t be laying 6.5 points in this situation. Expect Charlotte to keep this close, if not win outright.

Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans, 11 am
Kings -8.5

Sacramento Kings

The Kings enter this one at 39-41 after a relatively poor defeat on the road in Utah last time out. It has still been a promising season for Sacramento, with young PG De’Aaron Fox averaging over 17 points and 7 assists. Marvin Bagley has also flashed his immense potential, dropping another double-double last time out.

New Orleans Pelicans

The Pelicans season is all but over as they enter this one at 32-48 after a road loss in Phoenix last time out. Julius Randle has still been putting up big numbers on the interior, dropping 31 points and 14 boards. Former NBA Champion Ian Clark has also stepped up of late, pouring in 24 points, 4 boards, and 4 assists of his own.

Prediction: Kings -8.5

The Kings have been very solid as home favourites this season and I expect them to finish their home slate with a win. New Orleans has been atrocious on the road of late and just doesn’t have the depth to get it done here. Expect Sacramento to get to 40 wins here with a comfortable home win and cover.

Sunday, April 7

Milwaukee Bucks vs Brooklyn Nets, 7 am
Nets at the Line

Milwaukee Bucks

The Bucks clinched the best record in the NBA this season with an impressive road win in Philadelphia last time out. Giannis took over as per usual, dropping an astounding stat line of 45 points, 13 boards, 6 assists, and 5 blocks. Khris Middleton continued his strong supporting role, adding a further 22 points of his own. Even George Hill got into the act off the bench, pouring in a well-rounded 20 points, 5 boards, and 5 assists.

Brooklyn Nets

The Nets enter this one at 39-40 and in real danger of actually missing the playoffs this season. This is despite the strong recent displays of D’Angelo Russell, who dropped 27 points, 7 boards, and 6 assists against Toronto last time out. Jarrett Allen continues to feast on the interior, going 6-6 from the field and adding 9 boards. Spencer Dinwiddie has also been electric as a 6th man, adding 14 points and 5 assists of his own last time out.

Prediction: Nets at the Line

While no line is officially out for this game yet, I’m confident it will be in double digits. At that kind of number, I’ve got to take a Nets side that is still fighting for their playoff lives. Milwaukee could very well be off their game here or even rest some starters, meaning the upset potential is high in this one. I recommend a go on Brooklyn both ATS and on the moneyline.

Chicago Bulls vs Philadelphia 76ers, 10 am
76ers at the Line

Chicago Bulls

The Bulls enter this one at 22-57 after a rare road win in Washington last time out. Walter Lemon Jnr completely balled out, showing his quality at this level with 24 points and 8 assists. Jakarr Sampson is also making the most of his NBA revival attempt, adding 18 points and 9 boards of his own. Even Ryan Arcidiacono is making a claim for the Bulls PG spot, dropping 11 points, 5 boards, and 4 assists.

Philadelphia 76ers

Despite a talented roster, the Sixers have been in atrocious form of late, losing 3 straight games. Joel Embiid put up a monstrous triple-double in his return from injury last time out, however he did shoot an inefficient 12-31 from the field. JJ Redick helped pick up the slack in Jimmy Butler’s absence, dropping an efficient 29 points and 3 assists. The Sixers will need more from Ben Simmons going forward, with the Aussie having just 6 points and 4 boards last time out.

Prediction: 76ers at the Line

After 3 straight disappointing losses, I expect Philly to be healthy and motivated in this one. They still need 2 wins to clinch the #3 seed and it’d be a disaster for them to fall into the 4-5 matchup. They’re obviously a far more talented side than Chicago and should be looking for revenge after a loss to the Bulls last time out. Especially against the porous Bulls defence, expect Simmons and Embiid to go wild in a Sixers rout.