Wednesday December 19, 2018

Wednesday December 19, 2018

Another relatively small NBA Wednesday slate awaits us, with just 4 games on deck today. This is headlined by an exciting affair in Denver as the West-leading Nuggets play host to Dallas. The 20-10 Pacers also play host to the Cavs, whilst the 18-2 Lakers travel to Brooklyn in two other interesting games today. Let’s take a look at our 3 best spread bets and daily multi suggestion on today’s slate.

Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers (11am AEDT)
Pacers (-12)

Indiana Pacers 

The Pacers enter this one at 20-10, looking like one of the NBA’s form teams after winning 7 straight games. Shooting Guard Victor Oladipo looked back to his best against the Knicks, pouring in 26 points, 8 rebounds, 7 assists, and 5 steals. Center Myles Turner has also been very impressive of late, dropping at least 23 points in 3 of his last 4 games. Reserve big man Domantas Sabonis has also had an excellent season off the bench, averaging 14 points and 10 boards on 62% shooting from the field.  

Cleveland Cavaliers 

Cleveland enter this one off a relatively disastrous season so far, winning just 7 of their first 30 games. The team has struggled immensely offensively without the presence of Kevin Love. Small Forward Cedi Osman has been somewhat of a bright spot, averaging 11 points and 5 boards per game. Rookie Guard Collin Sexton has also shown flashes, averaging 15.3 points and 3 rebounds on 40% shooting from 3. Aussie Matthew Dellavedova will look to rejuvenate this Cavs bench, adding 13 points and 7 assists against Philadelphia last time out. 

Prediction: Pacers -12 

These are two teams travelling in opposite directions. Whilst 12 points is a lot to lay, I think the Pacers have a huge talent edge in this one. Their solid defence should shut down the Cavs offence, whilst I expect another big outing from Oladipo. 

Atlanta Hawks vs Washington Wizards (11:30am AEDT)
Wizards 1st Half (-1.5)

Atlanta Hawks 

The Hawks enter this one at a dreadful 6-23, allowing 144 points to the Nets last time out. Power Forward John Collins has been a noticeable bright spot for this team, averaging 23.2 points and 13 boards over his last 5. Center Dewayne Dedmon was also solid offensively, adding in 24 points and 12 boards of his own. Despite being inefficient from the field, Trae Young has shown some promise this season, averaging 15.4 points and 7.2 assists. With little to play for, you have to question Atlanta’s motivation the rest of the way. 

Washington Wizards 

The Wizards enter this one at 12-18, managing a resurgent win against Los Angeles last time out. John Wall was outstanding in this one, adding 40 points, 14 assists, and 6 rebounds.  Bradley Beal was excellent in a complementary role, dropping 25 points and 12 rebounds of his own. Even Reserve Forward Sam Dekker chimed in with a solid stat line, totalling 20 points, 5 rebounds, and 4 assists. With Trevor Ariza set to make his return here, the Wizards get another solid piece as they make their playoff push. 

Prediction: Wizards 1st Half -1.5 

Not only have Atlanta’s performances been poor of late, they’re also playing with a lack of motivation. Their defence has been atrocious lately and I expect John Wall to have another strong performance here. Laying only 1.5 points in the 1st half, the Wiz look like very solid value here. 

Brooklyn Nets vs LA Lakers (11:30am AEDT)
Lakers (-2)

Brooklyn Nets 

The Nets appear to be in much better form of late, winning each of their last 5 to sit 13-18. D’Angelo Russell has performed much better recently, dropping 32 points, 7 assists, and 6 rebounds against Atlanta. Recently extended Point Guard Spencer Dinwiddie has also been excellent, averaging 24.6 points and 6 assists over his last 5. Sophomore Center Jarrett Allen has also shown signs of promise, averaging 12 points and 8 boards per game this season. It’ll be interesting to see if this Nets streak holds up against LeBron and the surging Lakers. 

Los Angeles Lakers 

The Lakers enter this one at 18-12 and in a much better position out West. This is despite a disastrous 18-point loss in Washington last time out. LeBron wasn’t near his best in this one, totalling just 13 points and 3 assists on 5/16 shooting. Power Forward Kyle Kuzma is having an excellent sophomore campaign, averaging 22.2 points and 5.6 boards over his last 5. Shooting Guard Kentavious Caldwell-Pope also had a big one last time out, pouring in 26 points, 6 rebounds, and 5 assists. 

Prediction: Lakers -2 

Despite the Nets strong recent form, I continue to think that they’re overvalued. LeBron is clearly the best player on the floor in this one and will have the Lakers motivated after a poor display in Washington. Laying only 2, I think the Lake Show are very strong value today. 

Pacers, Wizards, Lakers All to Win
Combined Odds of $2.99

A bit of a different theme in today’s multi with less action on the board. Against two of the worst sides in the NBA, both the Pacers and Wizards appear solid value to get the job done today. I’m also expecting a Lakers win, which really helps beef this up to an appealing $2.99 price.

Tuesday December 18, 2018

Another solid day of NBA basketball awaits us on this Tuesday slate. There are 8 games of action in total, highlighted by a clash in Utah as the Rockets play host to the struggling Jazz. Memphis travelling to Golden State and Portland paying the Clippers a visit are two other exciting Western Conference matchups. Let’s take a look at our 3 best spread bets and favourite multi in our daily NBA preview.

New York Knicks vs Phoenix Suns (11:30am AEDT)
Knicks (-1.5)

New York Knicks 

The Knicks enter this one at 9-22 having lost 6 of their last 7 games. Center Enes Kanter has been a bright spot for this Knicks side, pouring in 20 points and 15 rebounds last time out. Shooting Guard Tim Hardaway Junior is also providing solid production in the backcourt, averaging 21 points, 3.2 boards, and 2.9 assists of his own. Even Point Guard Emmanuel Mudiay is thriving this season and looks a strong candidate for the Most Improved Player award. The Congolese Point Guard has been excellent of late, pouring in 34 points and 8 assists against Charlotte on Saturday. 

Phoenix Suns 

The 6-24 Suns enter this one off their longest winning streak of the season; a solid two games. Shooting Guard Devin Booker was excellent in his return, contributing 28 points, 7 assists, and 7 rebounds in Sunday’s win over Minnesota. Center Deandre Ayton continues to have a solid rookie season, averaging 15.6 points and 10.1 boards so far.  Phoenix also made some roster changes over the weekend, trading away Trevor Ariza for Kelly Oubre and Austin Rivers. Against a struggling Knicks side, they have every chance of making it 3 straight here. 

Prediction: Knicks -1.5 

The Suns have been truly dreadful on the road this season, only winning 1 of 14 games. I think the Knicks have a much deeper roster here and should prove too much at home laying such a low number. 

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Chicago Bulls (12pm AEDT)
Under 213.5 Points

Oklahoma City Thunder 

The 18-10 Thunder rebounded from consecutive losses with a home win over the Clippers on Sunday. Paul George led the way in that one, dropping an efficient 33 points, 7 rebounds, and 6 assists. Despite his relative inefficiency, Point Guard Russell Westbrook is still putting up great stats this season. He is averaging a 21-point triple-double, also registering 2.4 steals per contest on defence. Power Forward Jerami Grant should also be commended for his solid start to the season, averaging 11.8 points and 4.7 boards so far. 

Chicago Bulls 

The 7-23 Bulls enter this one off a rare win, defeating the Spurs by 5 points last time out. Point Guard Kris Dunn led the way in this one, totalling 24 points and 7 rebounds. Power Forward Lauri Markannen also looks to be coming into his own, going off for 23 points and 7 boards here. Swingman Justin Holiday deserves some credit for his solid season, averaging 12.5 points and 4.5 boards so far. With Zach LaVine expected to be out here, the Bulls will likely struggle offensively.  

Prediction: Under 213.5 

The Bulls have gone under this total in each of their last 3 games and enter this without playmaker Zach LaVine. Oklahoma City boasts one of the league’s best defences and I expect them to hold Chicago under 100 points in a low-scoring affair.  

Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies (2:30pm AEDT)
Over 210.5 Points

Golden State Warriors 

Golden State enter this one at 20-10 after a high-scoring comeback win in Sacramento on Saturday. Stephen Curry was fantastic in this one, pouring in 35 points, 7 rebounds, and 6 assists. Kevin Durant also had another efficient display, adding 33 points, 8 assists, and 8 boards of his own. Klay Thompson rounded out the splash triplets nicely with 27 points and 9 rebounds, including the dagger 3-pointer. Despite some internal conflict and a relatively slow start to the season, the Dubs look nicely positioned to 3-peat this season. 

Memphis Grizzlies 

The 16-13 Grizzlies appear to have faded of late, falling in 4 of their last 5 games. This can be partly attributed to the recent struggles of Marc Gasol, who is only averaging 11.6 points and 6.2 rebounds over that period. Mike Conley is still having a strong campaign (averaging 20.4 points and 6.5 assists) but could serve to improve his efficiency. Young big man Jaren Jackson Junior has definitely shown future star potential so far. Whilst Memphis has a ton of solid contributors, they really lack that higher-end talent to round out the starting five. 

Prediction: Over 210.5 

This is one of the lower Golden State totals that I can recall seeing. In fact, the Warriors have gone over this points total in 8 of their last 10 games. I don’t see how Memphis contains KD in this one as the Warriors go off for a big offensive night. 

Thunder, Warriors, Rockets All to Win
Combined Odds of $1.77

With a home game against the lowly Bulls, I expect OKC to avenge their earlier loss and claim the win here. Similarly, I expect another home win from Golden State as they welcome the struggling Grizzlies to town. Add in the surging Rockets at $1.45 to really beef up the price of this multi.

Monday December 17, 2018

Usually overshadowed by the NFL action, this strong NBA Monday slate brings us 7 games from across the association. This is headlined by a very intriguing inter-conference affair in Denver, as the Nuggets play host to the Raptors. The Lakers travelling to Washington and the Mavericks hosting the Kings represent two more intriguing matchups. As always, let’s take a look at our 3 best bets and favourite daily multi opportunity on the board. 

Brooklyn Nets vs Atlanta Hawks (7am AEDT)
Hawks (+8)

Brooklyn Nets 

The Nets enter this one of an impressive 4-game winning streak that has taken them to 12-18. Reserve Point Guard Spencer Dinwiddie has been outstanding of late, averaging 25 points and 5.5 assists over his last 5 games. Starting Point Guard D’Angelo Russell is also having a solid season, averaging 17.5 points and 6 assists of his own. Latvian big man Rodion Kurucs has looked solid since joining the starting lineup, averaging 14 points in his previous two starts. Brooklyn will be looking to make it a surprising 5 straight wins when the lowly Hawks come to town. 

Atlanta Hawks 

The Hawks make the trip to Brooklyn at a precarious 6-22, having lost 6 of their last 7 games. Power Forward John Collins has looked very solid since his return from injury, leading the Hawks with impressive averages of 17.7 points and 9.4 boards. Rookie Point Guard Trae Young continues to put up solid counting stats, averaging 15.1 points and 7.7 assists of his own. Based off their poor start, Atlanta look to have a good chance of adding a 3rd player to this solid young core in the 2019 Draft. 

Prediction: Hawks +8 

Having won 4 straight, I believe the bookies are starting to overrate the Nets here. This is still an inconsistent team that is capable of losing to anyone. Getting 8 points, I’m happily taking Atlanta here and will sprinkle some on the moneyline too.

Washington Wizards vs LA Lakers (10am AEDT)
Lakers (+1)

Washington Wizards 

The Wizards enter this one at a precarious 11-18, having just made a trade for Trevor Ariza. This is despite the strong play of Shooting Guard Bradley Beal, who is averaging 29 points, 6 assists, and 4 boards over his last 5. Point Guard John Wall is also having another solid year, averaging 20.8 points and 8.7 assists of his own. After trading away both Kelly Oubre and Austin Rivers, you have to wonder how the Wizards rotation will hold up here. 

Los Angeles Lakers 

The Lakers have had a relatively strong season so far and enter this one after yesterday’s tilt in Charlotte. The PED’s are still clearly working for LeBron, as he enjoys averages of 28.4 points, 7.6 boards, and 7 assists per night. Forward Kyle Kuzma is also looking like the Lakers best sophomore, averaging 18.1 points and 5.7 rebounds per night. Lance ‘Born Ready’ Stephenson is providing a nice spark off the bench, pouring in 17 points against Houston on Friday. 

Prediction: Lakers +1 

Despite the Lakers being on a back-to-back, I think the wrong team is favoured in this one. I don’t anticipate Ariza playing in this one, with the Lakers talent and depth proving too much. Lakeshow by 5+ here.

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings (11am AEDT)
Mavericks (-5)

Dallas Mavericks 

The Mavericks enter this one at an impressive 15-12 despite a surprising loss to Phoenix last time out. Rookie Luka Doncic is having an outstanding campaign, averaging 17.8 points, 6.8 rebounds, and 4.5 assists per contest. Small Forward Harrison Barnes has also been outstanding on the wing, averaging a shade under 18 points and 4.5 boards of his own. Franchise legend Dirk Nowitzki made his debut in that loss to Phoenix and will be looking to get back to winning ways here. 

Sacramento Kings 

The Kings enter this one at 15-13 after suffering a heartbreaking loss to Golden State last time out. This was despite an excellent performance from Shooting Guard Buddy Hield, who poured in an efficient 27 points. Big-man Willie Cauley-Stein won the battle on the interior, totalling 22 points and 11 boards of his own. Point Guard De’Aaron Fox was again outstanding, adding 25 points and 9 assists. After a crushing loss, you have to wonder how motivated Sacramento will be here. 

Prediction: Mavericks -5 

I think the Mavericks have a clear matchup advantage on the wing here. With a very strong homecourt and the rest advantage, expect another big one from Luka Doncic as they cruise past Sacramento here. 

Pacers, Mavericks, Pelicans All to Win
Combined Odds of $2.17

The Pacers have looked very strong since Victor Oladipo’s return and should comfortably take care of the Knicks at home here. At the end of a long road trip, I also expect Miami to struggle against the Pelicans. And, as outlined earlier, I expect the Mavericks to take care of business at home against the Kings. At $2.17, this is a strong value play. 

Sunday December 16, 2018

Another exciting NBA Sunday awaits us, with 7 games taking place across the Association. This is headlined by an exciting contest in OKC as the Thunder play host to the Clippers. The Lakers travelling to Charlotte and Houston paying Memphis a visit represent two more exciting games on the card. Let’s take a look at our 3 best spread bets and favourite daily multi in today’s action. 

Orlando Magic vs Utah Jazz (9am AEDT)
Magic (+5)

A note to all bettors that this is another game taking place on a neutral court in Mexico City. 

Orlando Magic 

Orlando play their second consecutive game in Mexico City here, defeating the Bulls 97-91 on Friday. Center Nikola Vucevic was the main man in this one, pouring in an outstanding 26 points and 10 rebounds. Shooting Guard Evan ‘Don’t Google Me’ Fournier is also having a quietly solid season, averaging 15 points, 4 assists, and 3 rebounds. In Aaron Gordon and Jonathan Isaac, Orlando has a young and versatile pair of Forwards that should be interesting to watch for years to come. 

Utah Jazz 

Utah enter this one at a relatively precarious 14-15, finding themselves 4th in the Northwest division. Center Rudy Gobert is having another very solid campaign, averaging 14.6 points, 12.2 rebounds, and 2 blocks per contest. He has been capably supported by frontcourt mate Derrick Favors, who is averaging a shade under 14 points and 7 boards over his last 5. In Donovan Mitchell, the Jazz also have a future offensive star to build around. The Sophomore Shooting Guard is currently averaging 20 points, 3 rebounds, and 3 assists this season. 

Prediction: Magic +5 

Orlando matches up well with Utah in this game. A shooting Center like Vucevic forces Gobert out of the paint and makes the Jazz defence more vulnerable. Orlando are also more adapted to the Mexico City conditions, having played here on Friday. Through the key number of 5, I expect them to at least keep this one close. 

Charlotte Hornets vs LA Lakers (11am AEDT)
Hornets (-0.5)

Charlotte Hornets 

The Hornets enter this one at 14-13, buoyed by a trio of consecutive wins. Point Guard Kemba Walker was excellent against Detroit last time out, dropping 31 points, 9 assists, and 8 rebounds. Tony Parker is having a resurgent season off the bench for Charlotte, averaging 10.6 points and 4.3 assists per contest. Where the Hornets have struggled is in the frontcourt. Despite their hefty salaries, players like Nic Batum, Marvin Williams, and Cody Zeller just aren’t producing on the court. 

Los Angeles Lakers 

The Lakers enter this one at 17-11, following a relatively embarrassing road loss in Houston on Friday. LeBron and Kyle Kuzma are continuing to carry the offensive load for this side, combining for 53 in that loss to Houston. JaVale McGee has also continued to provide solid minutes at Center, averaging 11.6 points, 6.7 rebounds, and 2.5 blocks. The Lakers defence has struggled of late with no Brandon Ingram in the lineup. They gave up a 50-point triple-double to James Harden on Friday, something that just isn’t acceptable. 

Prediction: Hornets -0.5 

Despite their middling record this season, the Hornets are a very respectable 10-5 at home. They have several capable wing defenders that can do a job containing LeBron here. Similarly, I expect another huge offensive display from Kemba en route to another home victory.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Houston Rockets (12pm AEDT)
Grizzlies (+3)

Memphis Grizzlies 

The Grizzlies enter this one atop the Southwest division after a very solid season so far. Point Guard Mike Conley looks like he could make his debut All-Star appearance, averaging a very respectable 20.3 points, 6.5 assists, and 3.4 rebounds per game. Marc Gasol and rookie Jaren Jackson Junior have also combined to form one of the Association’s premier frontcourts. While the performances from the top 3 have garnered the most attention, the rest of the Grizzlies rotation has been very strong this season. Shelvin Mack, Garrett Temple, JaMychal Green and Marshon Brooks have all been key contributors to this side. 

Houston Rockets 

The Rockets have largely struggled this season and enter this one with a 13-14 record. James Harden has been one of the only bright spots for this team, dropping an incredible 50-point triple-double against LA on Friday. Despite criticism about his weight, Center Clint Capela is also having another solid season. The Swiss big man is currently putting up 17.4 points and 11.7 rebounds per night on 64% shooting. If the Rockets could get better production from their atrocious bench, they’d definitely be in contention out west. 

Prediction: Grizzlies +3 

Despite being on a back-to-back, I believe there is strong line value on Memphis here. They have been the better team this season and have a much deeper rotation than Houston. I’ll happily take the 3 points but wouldn’t be surprised if the Grizz take this outright.

Spurs, Timberwolves, Thunder All to Win
Combined Odds of $1.94

Another day, another promising multi opportunity. Facing the lowly Chicago Bulls at home, I expect the Spurs to continue their recent momentum. Similarly, I expect a huge display from Karl-Anthony Towns as the Wolves take one in Phoenix. Despite being on a back-to-back, OKC also have what it takes to beat the struggling Clippers. At $1.94, this is well worth a play.

Saturday December 15, 2018

Another huge day of NBA action awaits us this Saturday, with 9 games to be played across the Association. This is headlined in Denver, as the West-leading Nuggets play host to the 2nd place Thunder. Indiana travelling to Philadelphia and Toronto making the trip to Portland represent two more very intriguing matchups. As always, let’s take a look at our 3 best spread bets and favourite daily multi on today’s card.

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks (11am AEDT)
Under 224.5 Points

Boston Celtics 

The Celtics enter this one at 17-10 off the back of 7 consecutive wins. This included an outstanding overtime road win in Boston last time out. Kyrie Irving led the way, pouring in 38 points and 7 assists. Marcus Morris has also been fantastic since being thrust into the starting five, adding 27 points and 9 boards of his own. Small Forward Jayson Tatum is also showing promise after a slow start, averaging 17.5 points and 7 rebounds over his last 5 games. With Hayward and Horford both likely out for this one, the Celtics get a brief reprieve against the lowly Hawks. 

Atlanta Hawks 

The Hawks have struggled mightily all season and make the trip to Boston sporting a 6-21 record. Whilst Rookie Point Guard Trae Young has been inefficient, he is still enjoying impressive averages of 15.7 points and 7.3 assists per game. Sophomore Power Forward John Collins has given Atalanta a noticeable boost since his return, averaging 18.3 points and 9 rebounds per game on 60% shooting. Small Forward Taurean Prince is another important piece of the Hawks young core, averaging 15 points of his own. In another long season, the Hawks appear to be playing for draft position. 

Prediction: Under 224.5 points 

I think the smothering Celtics defence will be able to really limit an inefficient Hawks offence here. With Hayward and Horford likely still out, expect more of a slow-paced and methodical offence that takes this under the relatively high total. 

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors (2pm AEDT)
Kings (+8)

Sacramento Kings 

The Kings enter this Pacific division matchup at a very impressive 15-12, winning 5 of their last 6 games. Point Guard De’Aaron Fox has been at the centre of this recent run, averaging 20.4 points and 7.8 assists over his last 5. Power Forward Nemanja Bjelica has also provided Sacramento with a solid stretch four option, pouring in 25 points last time out against Minnesota. Bogdan Bogdanovic looks like a potential 6th Man of the Year contender, averaging 15.4 points, 3.6 assists, and 3.4 rebounds of his own. In front of a raucous home crowd, expect the Kings to be well up for this one. 

Golden State Warriors 

Golden State enter this one at 19-10 after suffering a brutal 20-point home loss to the Kawhi-less Raptors. This was in spite of another strong performance from Small Forward Kevin Durant, who poured in an efficient 30 points, 7 rebounds, and 5 assists. Stephen Curry is also looking like an MVP frontrunner, averaging 29 points, 5.7 assists, and 5.1 rebounds on the campaign. Both Draymond Green and Klay Thompson have had relatively down seasons so far and will be looking to get back on track here. 

Prediction: Kings +8 

With how well the Kings have been playing of late, I think there is definite line value on them here. They are a young and athletic team who will play hard in front of a fantastic home crowd. Getting 8 points, I expect Sacramento to at least keep this one competitive. 

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder (2pm AEDT)
Thunder (-2)

Denver Nuggets 

Despite a host of injuries, the Denver Nuggets currently lead the western conference with an impressive 18-9 record. Center Nikola Jokic has been excellent all season, averaging an impressive 17.1 points, 9.8 rebounds, and 7.6 assists. Point Guard Jamal Murray is also carrying a lot of the offensive load, averaging 17.5 points and 5 assists this season. With Gary Harris and Paul Millsap out for an extended period, a lot is riding on the Nuggets bench players. Forward Juan Hernangomez has answered the call, averaging 13.6 points and 6.8 rebounds over his last 5. 

Oklahoma City Thunder 

The Thunder have bounced back from an 0-4 start to currently sit second in the West with a 17-9 record. Paul George has been OKC’s best player this season, averaging 24.3 points and 8 boards per night. Russell Westbrook has been back to his best since returning from injury, now averaging a triple-double on the campaign. OKC also have one of the NBA’s premier Centers in Steven Adams, who is currently averaging 15.6 points and 9.6 rebounds. Dennis Schroder has provided much-needed offence off the bench, averaging 17 points and 5 assists off the bench. 

Prediction: Thunder -2 

I’ve been fading the Nuggets of late and plan to continue that trend for the foreseeable future. With injuries to Millsap, Harris, and Barton, I think their rotation is too decimated to hang with teams like OKC. I think Steven Adams can contain Jokic here, whilst Westbrook and George dominate offensively. 

Celtics, Hornets, Bucks, Grizzlies All to Win
Combined Odds of $2.09

There are definitely a few options for the daily multi today. Against 3 of the worst teams in the NBA, the Celtics, Hornets, and Bucks should have no trouble getting over the line. The Grizzlies are a somewhat risky play, but I expect their homecourt to prove too much for the visiting Heat. At $2.09, this is a multi I’m very comfortable playing.

Friday December 14, 2018

After a huge NBA Thursday slate, we’ve got a bit of a smaller day of action here. There are four games on this NBA Friday card, highlighted by LeBron and the Lakers travelling to Houston to take on the Rockets. The Clippers also travel to San Antonio, whilst the Mexico City crowd are treated to Orlando vs Chicago. In a daily preview that covers each of today’s games, we’ll look at our 3 best spread bets and favourite daily multi opportunity.

Houston Rockets vs LA Lakers (12pm AEDT)
Lakers (+5.5)

Houston Rockets 

The Rockets enter this one at 12-14, beating Portland at home last time out to end a 3-game skid. Despite going only 2-12 from the field, Chris Paul managed to fill up the stat sheet en route to a triple double. Reigning MVP James Harden is having another solid campaign this year, averaging 30 points, 8 assists, and 5 rebounds per night. What really boosted Houston in their win over Portland was an unusually strong game from the bench. They had 3 double figure scorers that really helped supplement the starting 5. Against a surging Lakers side, things won’t be easy for Houston here. 

Los Angeles Lakers 

The Lakers have been one of the NBA’s form teams of late, winning 6 of their last 7 games to sit 17-10. Power Forward Kyle Kuzma has been fantastic of late, pouring in 33 points and 7 rebounds in Tuesday’s win over the Heat. LeBron has also raised his level recently, averaging 29.5 points, 9.2 assists, and 7.2 rebounds over his last 5. In JaVale McGee and Tyson Chandler, the Lakers are now finally getting 48 solid minutes per night from the center position.  

Prediction: Lakers +5.5 

I’ve had good success fading the Rockets of late and I plan to continue that trend here. The Lakers have been the better team this season and 5.5 points represents immense value in this one. Expect another big night from LeBron as the Lakers keep this one competitive, possibly stealing an outright win. 

San Antonio Spurs vs LA Clippers (12:40pm AEDT)
Under 223 Points

San Antonio Spurs 

After facing a crisis a fortnight ago, the Spurs have rebounded with 3 consecutive double-digit conference wins to sit 14-14. Shooting Guard DeMar DeRozan is having a very solid campaign, putting up season averages of 24.1 points, 6.2 assists, and 5.6 rebounds per night. Power Forward LaMarcus Aldridge has also raised his level of late, enjoying averages of 18.2 points and 9.7 rebounds per game. Point Guard Bryn Forbes provided some much-needed offence against Phoenix last time out, dropping 24 points and 11 boards. 

Los Angeles Clippers 

The Clippers appear to have regressed from their excellent start, losing 4 of their last 6 to sit 17-10. They were embarrassed by a Toronto team missing Kawhi Leonard last time out, losing by 24 points at home. Small Forward Tobias Harris is having a quietly underrated season, averaging 21 points and 8 boards per game. Not only that, he’s also shooting 50% from the field and 40% from 3. The usually strong second unit has taken a hit with the absence of Shooting Guard Lou Williams, who is out for at least another fortnight with a hamstring injury. 

Prediction: Under 223 points 

With no Williams here, I expect the usually strong Clippers offence to struggle. They’ve gone under this number in 3 of their last 4 games, with the Spurs having done the same in both of their last 2. This should be more of a slow-paced and defensive game, making under 223 look very appealing. 

Orlando Magic vs Chicago Bulls (1:30pm AEDT)
Magic (-4.5)

A note to all bettors that this one takes place on a neutral court in Mexico City. 

Orlando Magic 

Orlando appear to have regressed slightly of late, losing 3 straight games to sit 12-15. Center Nikola Vucevic has had the best season of his career, averaging 20.4 points and 11.5 boards whilst shooting 40% from 3. Aaron Gordon is beginning to emerge as a very solid young big, averaging 17.5 points and 8.5 boards over his last 5 games. Jonathan Simmons has looked like a very capable wing player for this Magic rotation, however he’s been ruled out for this one with injury. 

Chicago Bulls 

The Bulls enter this one in probably the worst form of any team in the NBA, losing 9 of their last 10 games to sit 6-22. After a strong start against Sacramento last time out, they had a dreadful second half and ended up losing by 19 points. Shooting Guard Zach LaVine has been one of few bright spots for the Bulls this year, averaging a shade under 24 points, 5 boards, and 5 assists. In Lauri Markannen and Wendell Carter, they also have two promising young bigs that should form a nice partnership for years to come.  

Prediction: Magic -4.5 

This can be a tough game to handicap since it’s on a neutral court. That said, I’ve had success fading the Bulls of late and will continue to do so. Not only are they at a talent disadvantage almost every night, but I think Jim Boylen is one of the worst coaches in the league. Laying less than 5 points, I’m confident in an Orlando win and cover here.  

Magic, Mavericks Both to Win
Combined Odds of $2.03

Pretty simple gameplan for today’s daily multi; fade two of the worst teams in the NBA. Phoenix have been in horrendous form of late and I just don’t see how they stand up to the upstart Mavericks without Devin Booker. As touched on earlier, I just can’t back the Bulls right now. Steve Clifford is a very serviceable coach who should lead Orlando to victory here. At combined odds of $2.03, I think this is excellent value.

Thursday December 13, 2018

After a relatively small night of action last night, the NBA is well and truly back with a bang today. This Thursday slate features 11 games from across the association, highlighted by a potential NBA Finals preview in Oakland as Golden State play host to Toronto. Milwaukee travelling to Indiana and Portland making the trip to Memphis are two other intriguing intra-conference affairs. As always, let’s take a look at our 3 best spread bets and favourite daily multi on the board. 

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks (11am AEDT)
Bucks (-2)

Indiana Pacers 

The Pacers enter this one at an impressive 17-10, having won 4 straight games in Victor Oladipo’s absence. Center Myles Turner picked up the load against Washington last time out, pouring in 26 points, 12 rebounds, and 5 blocks. Point Guard Darren Collison also delivered a very strong performance, registering a double-double that featured 17 assists. I’d be remiss not to mention the stellar contributions of Small Forward Bojan Bogdanovic, who is averaging 21.5 points over his last 5. Currently occupying the 4th spot in a top-heavy Eastern Conference, Indiana definitely has what it takes to make a post-season run. 

Milwaukee Bucks 

The Bucks make the trip to Indiana at an impressive 18-8 after consecutive wins over the Raptors and Cavs. Giannis Antetokounmpo is having another excellent campaign, averaging 26.5 points, 13.3 boards, and 6 assists per game. After missing the game against Cleveland with a sore neck, he’s expected back for this one. Former Rookie of the Year Malcolm Brogdon is having another solid season, averaging 15.5 points, 4.5 rebounds, and 3.4 assists per game. In Khris Middleton and Eric Bledsoe, the Bucks have two other two-way players that make this team a contender out East. 

Prediction: Bucks -2 

With Giannis expected to be back and Oladipo still out, I think this line just undervalues Milwaukee. They are significantly the better team here and their excellent defence should be enough to shut down Indiana’s makeshift offence. 

Washington Wizards vs Boston Celtics (11am AEDT)
Celtics (-3)

Washington Wizards 

The Wizards have continued their disappointing start to the season, losing consecutive games to sit 11-16. John Wall has been an injury doubt of late with a sore left foot and his status for this one is still in question. Shooting Guard Brad Beal more than carried the load against Indiana, pouring in 30 points on his 27 shot attempts. Kelly Oubre Junior also provided some much-needed offence off the bench, adding in 23 points and 5 rebounds of his own. Against a strong Celtics defence, the Wizards offence will need a better display here. 

Boston Celtics 

The Celtics appear to have turned their season around of late, entering this one off the back of 6 straight wins to sit 16-10. Point Guard Kyrie Irving is having another very solid offensive season, averaging a shade under 22 points and 6.5 assists per game. Small Forward Jayson Tatum also looks to be coming into his own of late, averaging 17.6 points on 57% shooting over his last 5. Shooting Guard Jaylen Brown also looks to be thriving in more of a bench role, pouring in 23 points in Sunday’s rout of the Chicago Bulls. 

Prediction: Celtics -3 

Despite a few injury concerns, I think the Celtics are the noticeably better team here. The Wizards are horrible on the defensive boards and have had persistent in-fighting all season. Laying only 3 on the road, I expect Boston to get the job done. 

Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers (12pm AEDT)
Grizzlies (-3)

Memphis Grizzlies 

The Grizzlies have started the season very strongly and currently enjoy a 15-11 record, good enough for first place in the Southwest division. Point Guard Mike Conley is looking like a potential All-Star, averaging 20.2 points, 6.5 assists, and 3.3 rebounds per game. He has been capably supported by veteran Center Marc Gasol, who is putting up 16.7 points and 8.8 boards of his own. Rookie big man Jaren Jackson Junior is looking like one for the future, averaging 13 points and 4.5 boards after being thrust into the starting lineup. 

Portland Trail Blazers 

Portland enter this one off a back-to-back, falling by 8 points in Houston last night. Damian Lillard put up some big offensive numbers despite the loss, pouring in 34 points on 12 made field goals. Shooting Guard C.J. McCollum combines with Dame to form one of the league’s better offensive backcourts, averaging 21 points of his own. Veteran Forward Al-Farouq Aminu also continues to be a solid two-way contributor, adding 10 points and 15 boards of his own. If they want another season in the playoffs, Portland will need to improve on their recent performances. 

Prediction: Grizzlies -3 

I think there is very strong line value on the Grizzlies in this one. Not only are they the better team, they also have the rest advantage and a very strong homecourt. I expect them to avenge their loss to the Nuggets with a comfortable home win and cover here.

76ers, Mavericks, Warriors All to Win
Combined Odds of

Even without Jimmy Butler, I think the 76ers enjoy a significant talent advantage over the struggling Nets. Given their recent form, Dallas look like specials to beat Atlanta at home at $1.22. With their big 4 finally healthy, I expect Golden State to make a statement and defeat Toronto in a nationally-televised game. Enjoying 3 of the better homecourt advantages in the league, each of these 4 teams should prove too much here.

Wednesday December 12, 2018

A relatively quiet NBA Wednesday awaits us here, with only 3 games on the slate today. This is highlighted by an exciting matchup in Los Angeles, as the Clippers play host to the NBA-leading Raptors. San Antonio will look for their 3rd straight win as they play host to Phoenix, whilst Houston will want to avoid a 4th straight loss against Portland. As always, let’s take a look at our 3 best spread bets and favourite multi on the board.

Houston Rockets vs Portland Trail Blazers (12pm AEDT)
Under 219.5 Points

Houston Rockets 

The Rockets enter this one at an incredibly disappointing 11-14, having lost each of their last 3 games. Shooting Guard James Harden definitely isn’t to blame, averaging an impressive 30 points, 8.3 assists, and 5.5 rebounds per game this season. Center Clint Capela also continues to beast on the inside, averaging 17.6 points and 11.8 rebounds on 65% shooting. Chris Paul is unsurprisingly looking like an overpay, shooting only 43% from the field this season. A lot of blame for the Rockets poor start should really be attributed to ownership. Consistently opting for money-saving moves has left this team bereft of NBA rotation players. 

Portland Trail Blazers 

Portland appear to have righted the ship of late, winning consecutive home games to find themselves 15-11. Point Guard Damian Lillard had a strong night last time out against Minnesota, pouring in 28 points, 8 rebounds, and 6 assists. Big man Jusuf Nurkic was also effective on the inside, adding 22 points, 11 rebounds, and 4 blocks. C.J. McCollum is quietly having another solid season, averaging 21 points and 4 boards on the campaign. If the Portland bench can deliver another stellar display, they’ve got every chance of being competitive here. 

Prediction: Under 219.5 Points 

In a game between two teams I’ve loved fading recently, the totals market is the only sensible play. Both Houston and Portland have gone under the total in each of their last 3 and I see no reason why this changes here. A lack of reliable second-unit offence should mean this total goes well under. 

San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns (12:30pm AEDT)
Under 218 Points

San Antonio Spurs 

The Spurs have had a rather middling season so far, winning consecutive games to sit at 13-14. DeMar DeRozan has been in excellent form of late, pouring in 29 points, 6.6 assists, and 6.2 rebounds over his last 5. Rudy Gay was excellent against Utah on Monday, dropping 23 points and 15 rebounds of his own. Aussie Patty Mills is providing serviceable play off the bench, averaging a shade under 10 points, 3 assists, and 3 boards per game. Welcoming the lowly Suns to town, San Antonio has an excellent shot at winning 3 straight here. 

Phoenix Suns 

The Suns have been dismal in Devin Booker’s absence and enter this one with a 4-23 record. Center Deandre Ayton has been a bright spot so far, averaging 16 points and 10 boards per night. Shooting Guard Troy Daniels has provided some much-needed scoring off the bench, scoring 13 or more in 3 of his last 4 whilst shooting 43% from 3. Small Forward Trevor Ariza has had a disappointing campaign and looks set for a mid-season move to a contender. Given their underwhelming start, the Suns will be pinning their hopes on the draft once again. 

Prediction: Under 218 points 

With how much the Suns offence has struggled of late, I’m confident going with the under here. They’ve gone under this total in 4 of their last 5 games and can’t seem to generate reliable offence. In a relatively small card, this is one of the better plays on the board. 

LA Clippers vs Toronto Raptors (2:30pm AEDT)
Raptors (-3)

Los Angeles Clippers 

The Clippers have had a surprisingly strong season so far but appear to be waning of late. They are still getting excellent production from starting Forwards Tobias Harris and Danilo Gallinari, who are combining to average 40 points and 14.5 rebounds per game. Lou Williams and Montrezl Harrell have continued to be two of the league’s best bench players, both of whom are among the frontrunners for 6th man of the year. Rookie Guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is also having a very solid campaign and looks to be a future star. 

Toronto Raptors 

The Raptors have looked like the NBA’s form team so far, however, they do enter this one off consecutive losses. PG Kyle Lowry appears to be struggling with a back injury, being held scoreless in 34 minutes against Milwaukee. Kawhi Leonard is having another excellent campaign, averaging 26.1 points and 8.3 rebounds as a strong competitor for MVP. In Serge Ibaka, Pascal Siakam, and O.G. Anunoby, Toronto also have 3 versatile frontcourt defenders that fit their excellent scheme. With a matchup against Golden State tomorrow, you have to wonder whether Toronto may be looking ahead here. 

Prediction: Raptors -3 

Assuming both Kawhi Leonard and Kyle Lowry play, I think the value is on Toronto at this number. The Clippers have struggled of late and really lack the defensive ability to match up with Kawhi. With the rest advantage in this one, I expect a Toronto road win and cover here. 

Spurs, Raptors Both to Win
Combined Odds of $1.78

In a day with only 3 games, we are a bit limited for the daily multi. Whilst I expect Houston to defeat Portland, they’re overpriced at $1.35. San Antonio should comfortably defeat Phoenix at home, whilst I’m expecting a strong road win for the Raptors.

Tuesday December 11, 2018

After a small Monday slate, the basketball Gods have blessed us with 11 exciting games on this action-packed NBA Tuesday. This is headlined in Oklahoma City, as the Thunder play host to Utah in a 2018 playoff matchup. Boston playing host to New Orleans and Memphis travelling to Denver are two other exciting matchups on today’s card. As always, let’s take a look at our 3 best bets and favourite daily multi on the board.

Indiana Pacers vs Washington Wizards (11am AEDT)
Wizards (+6.5)

Indiana Pacers 

The Pacers have done a solid job of steadying the ship, managing 3 straight victories without Victor Oladipo. Power Forward Thaddeus Young had one of his better performances of the season against Sacramento, registering 20 points and 9 rebounds. Backup big Domantas Sabonis has been exceptional off the bench this season, averaging a double-double with 64% shooting from the field. With the stellar play of both Darren Collison and Cory Joseph, the Pacers are also now getting 48 quality minutes from their Point Guards each night. 

Washington Wizards 

The Wizards have looked somewhat improved of late, winning 3 of their last 4 games to sit 11-15. Shooting Guard Bradley Beal is having a very impressive run, averaging 26 points, 4.5 assists, and 4 rebounds over his last 5. Big man Markieff Morris has continued to provide buckets off the bench, averaging 12.5 points and 5.5 boards over his last 5. With John Wall questionable in this one, a ton of Washington’s offensive load is likely to fall on Beal’s shoulders. 

Prediction: Wizards +6.5 

Getting 6.5 points, I think the value is on Washington whether Wall plays or not. Indiana are still without Victor Oladipo and are struggling to generate reliable offence in his absence. Expect Washington to keep this one close and potentially even cause a late upset.

Chicago Bulls vs Sacramento Kings (12pm AEDT)
Kings (-2.5)

Chicago Bulls 

The Bulls appear to be in turmoil, having a player’s only meeting yesterday after being thumped by 60 against the Celtics last time out. Despite that horrific showing, there are some Bulls that have shown promise this season. Shooting Guard Zach LaVine is averaging an impressive 24 points, 5 boards, and 5 assists since his lucrative off-season contract extension. Rookie Wendell Carter Junior also looks promising, averaging 11 points and 7 rebounds as part of the starting lineup. Reserve Point Guard Shaquille Harrison enters this one off probably the best game of his career, pouring in 20 off the bench against Boston. 

Sacramento Kings 

The Kings have kept up their surprisingly impressive start to the season, winning 3 of their last 4 games to sit 13-12. Point Guard De’Aaron Fox has continued his excellent start to the campaign, averaging 19 points and 8 assists on 46% shooting from 3. Shooting Guard Buddy Hield has also had a strong first quarter of the season, averaging a shade under 19 points and 5.5 boards per game so far. Center Willie Cauley-Stein also looks like a candidate to get paid this off-season. The athletic big man is averaging 14 points and 8 boards per game, still leading the league in 3-point percentage (on his 1 attempt). 

Prediction: Kings -2.5 

After an embarrassing display like the Bulls had against the Celtics, teams either come out with a sense of urgency or deliver another flat performance. Already showing signs they don’t want to play for their new coach, I just don’t see how Chicago gets up for this one. Sacramento have played hard all year and I expect them to come into Chicago and pull out both a win and cover.

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies (1pm AEDT)
Grizzlies (+4)

Denver Nuggets 

The Nuggets return home after consecutive losses to sit 17-9. They haven’t been helped by injuries, with Gary Harris and Paul Millsap joining Will Barton on the long-term injury list. Even Point Guard Jamal Murray is in doubt for this one. Nikola Jokic has picked up the slack of late, averaging a shade under an 18-point triple-double over his last 5 games. Juan Hernangomez has been a revelation as part of the starting lineup, averaging 14 points and 8 boards on excellent outside shooting over his last 5 games. Coming off a ton of injuries, the Grizzlies definitely aren’t the ideal team to face. 

Memphis Grizzlies 

Memphis make the trip to Denver at 15-10 after getting crushed against the Lakers last time out. Point Guard Mike Conley looks to be well in contention for his first All-Star nod. The 31-year-old has played every game this season, averaging 20 points, 6.5 assists, and 3.5 rebounds per game. Center Marc Gasol has also been outstanding this season and looks on pace to make an All-NBA team. Not only is he averaging 17 points and 9 boards per game, he is also shooting a very impressive 40% from 3. Whilst the Grizzlies don’t have too many stars, they have excellent complementary players that work together and play hard on both ends. 

Prediction: Grizzlies +4 

With the Nuggets suffering from a ton of injuries and playing their first game back home after a long road trip, I think the Grizzlies are incredible value here. I expect their defence to prove too much here as they not only cover but register an outright road win.

76ers, Bucks, Clippers, Warriors All to Win
Combined Odds of $1.86

Coming off a road win in Detroit without Joel Embiid, the Sixers should prove too much for the Pistons at home. Similarly, the Bucks beating Cleveland at home and the Clippers beating Phoenix on the road appear all but locks. Buoyed by Draymond Green’s return, I also expect a home win for Golden State over Minnesota. At $1.86, I think this is a very solid value play.

Sunday December 9, 2018

Another huge day of action awaits us in the NBA, with the majority of teams in action in 9 games across the association. This is headlined by an exciting affair out West, as LeBron and the Lakers travel to Memphis to take on the upstart Grizzlies. Dallas also plays host to Houston, whilst Minnesota travels to Portland in two other intriguing matchups on today’s slate. As always, let’s take a look at our 3 best spread bets and favourite multi on the board.

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets (10:00am AEDT)
Mavericks +2.5

Dallas Mavericks

The Mavericks enter this one at 12-11 and currently find themselves second in the Southwest division. Rookie Luca Doncic has been a revelation for Dallas this season, averaging 18 points, 6.5 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game. Big man DeAndre Jordan has provided the Mavs with a much-needed interior presence, averaging 11 points and 13.5 rebounds per game. Small Forward Harrison Barnes is also having a resurgent season, averaging 20 points and 4.5 boards over his last 5. Whilst Point Guard Dennis Smith is likely out for this one, the Mavs have more than enough playmaking to offset this loss.

Houston Rockets

The Rockets have had a bitterly disappointing season so far, losing 6 of their last 8 games to find themselves 11-13. They were crushed by 27 points in Utah last time out, in a game where Rudy Gobert was ejected very early on. This record is more surprising when you consider James Harden’s excellent stats so far. The veteran Shooting Guard is currently averaging 30 points, 8.3 assists, and 5.6 rebounds per game. Center Clint Capela has also built on his fantastic 2017 campaign, averaging a shade under 18 points and 12 boards per contest.

Prediction: Mavericks +2.5

I’ve had strong recent success backing Dallas and fading Houston, including Dallas’ road win over Houston just last week. Right now, the Mavericks are simply the better team in this one and shouldn’t be catching points at home. With Houston’s rotation looking relatively weak, I expect Dallas’ depth and versatility to prove too much here.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Los Angeles Lakers (12:00pm AEDT)
Over 207.5 Points

Memphis Grizzlies

The Grizzlies have had a surprisingly very good season so far and currently find themselves first in the Southwest division. This is in large part due to the consistently excellent play of Point Guard Mike Conley. Conley is averaging 21 points, 6.5 assists, and 3.5 boards per game, looking like a promising bet to make his first All-Star appearance. Center Marc Gasol is capably supporting Conley with his strong play. The 33-year-old Spaniard is currently averaging 17.4 points, 9.3 rebounds, and 4 assists per game on 40% shooting from 3. I’d be remiss not to mention talented Rookie big Jaren Jackson, who has flashed with averages of 14 points and 4.5 boards so far.

Los Angeles Lakers

The Lakers seem to have figured things out of late and enter this one in very strong form. LeBron James is having a stellar first season in Los Angeles, averaging 28.5 points, 7.5 rebounds, and 6.5 assists per game. Sophomore Forward Kyle Kuzma is proving to be an excellent complementary piece, averaging 17 points and 5.5 rebounds this season. Big man Tyson Chandler has given this Lakers team a noticeable boost, providing 23 minutes of energy and rebounding each night. If the Lakers can add to this side at the trade deadline, they are a definite contender out West.

Prediction: Over 207.5 Points

With both of these sides coming off a back-to-back, I feel as though the totals here are artificially too low. The Lakers have had a lot of totals above 230 this season and this line seems very undervalued. I expect at least 210 points here in what should be a competitive affair.

Portland Trail Blazers vs Minnesota Timberwolves (2:00pm AEDT)
Over 218 points

Portland Trail Blazers

The Trail Blazers enter this one at 14-11, breaking off their slide with a dominant recent win over Phoenix. Damian Lillard was outstanding in this one, pouring in 25 points to go along with his 8 assists and 5 rebounds. Jake Layman provided some much-needed offence off the bench, dropping a quick-fire 24 points on 10 made field goals. Bosnian big man Jusuf Nurkic is having another strong campaign, averaging 14.7 points and 10.6 rebounds this season. With C.J. McCollum expected back in this one, expect the Portland offence to find some form here.

Minnesota Timberwolves

The Timberwolves have been on a tear of late, registering wins in 6 of their last 7 games. Center Karl-Anthony Towns has spear-headed this run with his excellent play of late. He was outstanding last time out against Charlotte, dropping 35 points, 12 rebounds, and 6 blocks in a dominant display. Often-maligned Small Forward Andrew Wiggins also got in on the act, putting up 26 points, 6 rebounds, and 5 assists. I’d be remiss not to mention the excellent passing display of Point Guard Jeff Teague in this one, who notched an impressive 18 assists.

Prediction: Over 218 points

With the pace these two teams play at, I think this total is significantly undervalued. Minnesota’s lack of backcourt defence means that Lillard and McCollum should go wild here, whilst Portland won’t be able to handle KAT on the inside. All of this makes for a high scoring affair that goes over this middling total.

Nuggets, Celtics, Clippers All To Win
Combined Odds of $2.52

There are a few very solid options for today’s daily multi. Playing on the road against two of the NBA’s worst teams, I expect very comfortable wins for both the Nuggets and Celtics. At home against a Heat team off a back-to-back, I also think the Clippers are very strong value. With a $2.52 price point, this multi is hard to pass up.