Sunday December 30, 2018

Sunday December 30, 2018

Another day, another exciting slate of NBA basketball. There are 9 intriguing contests on this NBA Sunday card, headlined by an exciting contest between the Spurs and Clippers in Los Angeles. Damian Lillard and the Blazers will be looking to make it consecutive wins as the Golden State Warriors come to town, whilst Boston will look to put things right as they travel to Memphis. Let’s take a look at our 3 best bets on the board today.

best bet
Utah Jazz vs New York Knicks, 12 pm
1st Half Under 110

Utah Jazz

Utah enter this one off the back of a disappointing 17-point home loss to Philadelphia last time out. This was despite a solid performance from Shooting Guard Donovan Mitchell, who poured in 23 points, 4 rebounds, and 3 assists. Center Rudy Gobert had a strong display of his own, adding 17 points, 15 rebounds, and 5 assists. With the hapless Knicks coming to town, Utah will be looking at this as a chance to regroup.

New York Knicks

The Knicks enter this one with a dismal 9-27 record, having lost each of their last 6 games. Shooting Guard Tim Hardaway continues to lead the way offensively, averaging 21 points, 3.5 rebounds, and 3 assists per game. Center Enes Kanter has been solid on the interior, averaging 14.7 points and 10.8 boards per night. Young pieces like Kevin Knox and Allonzo Trier appear to give the Knicks some hope for the future.

Prediction: 1st Half Under 110 points

Utah have defended strongly at home this season and I expect them to shut down the Knicks offence here. With a full game total of 214, this gives us 3.5 points of value. As one of the better edges on the board, I’m happy to take this bet.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Boston Celtics, 12 pm
Grizzlies +3

Memphis Grizzlies

The Grizzlies enter this one at a decent 18-16 off the back of consecutive victories. Marc Gasol was solid in a win over the Cavaliers last time out, contributing 20 points, 9 rebounds, and 6 assists. Despite battling injury, Point Guard Mike Conley also played an important role with 15 points and 8 assists. In a stat that highlights the depth and versatility of this Memphis side, each of their starters scored in double figures last time out.

Boston Celtics

The Celtics make the trip to Memphis at 20-14 after a very disappointing loss in Houston last time out. This was despite a very solid display from PG Kyrie Irving, who dropped 23 points, 11 rebounds, and 5 assists. Power Forward Marcus Morris has excelled in the starting lineup, adding 19 points and 6 rebounds of his own. It was also a solid display from reserve Guard Jaylen Brown, who added 18 points and 5 boards.

Prediction: Grizzlies +3

Given Boston’s inconsistency on the road this season, I’m comfortable taking the Grizz plus the points here. They’ve historically been a very strong home side and they have a rest advantage here. Getting 3 points, I think they’re very solid value.

Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors, 2 pm
Warriors -3.5

Portland Trail Blazers

Portland return home at 20-15 after an overtime victory over these same Warriors. Damian Lillard had a night to remember, adding 21 points and 5 assists, also drilling the game-winner. Center Jusuf Nurkic was a beast on the interior, going for 27 points and 8 rebounds. Shooting Guard C.J. McCollum rounded this out nicely, adding 24 points, 4 rebounds, and 3 assists of his own.

Golden State Warriors

Golden State enters this one at a disappointing 23-13 after an overtime loss to Portland last time out. This was despite an excellent triple-double from Kevin Durant, who had 26 points, 11 assists, and 10 rebounds. Stephen Curry also had a very solid day, adding 29 points, 7 assists, and 5 rebounds of his own. If Draymond Green and Klay Thompson can get back to their All-Star form, expect this Warriors dip to be short-lived.

Prediction: Warriors -3.5

I really like the revenge spot for the Warriors here. They felt they were hard done by against Portland last time out and have the chance to rectify it right away. Laying less than 4 points, I expect the Dubs to cruise to victory in this one.

Saturday December 29, 2018

Another strong slate of NBA Saturday action awaits us, this time featuring 10 games from across the association. This slate is highlighted by another instalment of the Los Angeles rivalry, as the Lakers and Clippers face off. Charlotte also plays host to Brooklyn in a replay of their epic encounter on Thursday, whilst the NBA-leading Raptors are back in action against Orlando. Let’s take a look at our 3 best bets and the return of the daily multi.

Washington Wizards vs Chicago Bulls, 11 am
Bulls +6

Washington Wizards

The Wizards enter this one with a pitiful 13-22 record that puts them miles behind pre-season expectations. Point Guard John Wall was solid in defeat against Detroit last time out, pouring in 21 points, 8 assists, and 7 rebounds. Backcourt mate Bradley Beal continued his strong season with 21 points of his own. With their playoff hopes getting bleaker with each passing game, this is one that Washington desperately need.

Chicago Bulls

Chicago enters this one with a poor 9-26 record that will have them picking high in the upcoming draft. Shooting Guard Zach LaVine has been the star man this season, averaging 24 points, 4.7 rebounds, and 4.7 assists. Lauri Markannen has also looked solid since his return from injury, averaging 17.4 points and 6.8 rebounds per contest. In what could be an off-season of change for Chicago, both the Head Coach and front office look like they may leave.

Prediction: Bulls +6

Washington is the most heavily bet side of the day and I really don’t understand why. With none of their bigs healthy and Otto Porter still out, they just don’t have enough NBA calibre players. The Bulls have been frisky as underdogs this season and I expect them to at least keep this competitive.

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs, 1 pm
1st Half Over 103.5

Denver Nuggets

The Nuggets have battled a host of injuries this season, yet still sit 2nd in the West with a respectable 21-11 record. Center Nikola Jokic has been outstanding all year, averaging 17.7 points, 9.8 rebounds, and 7.3 assists. Point Guard Jamal Murray has also stepped up big time, averaging 17.4 points, 4.9 assists, and 4.5 boards per night. When veterans like Paul Millsap, Gary Harris, and Will Barton get healthy, this is a team to watch.

San Antonio Spurs

The Spurs enter this one off a solid 8-point win against these very Nuggets. Shooting Guard DeMar DeRozan was excellent in this one, going for 30 points, 7 rebounds, and 5 assists. LaMarcus Aldridge was also very solid on the interior, pouring in 27 points on 13/19 from the field. Point Guard Bryn Forbes has also stepped up big time of late, scoring at least 15 points in each of his last 4.

Prediction: 1st Half Over 103.5

With a full game total of 214, this halftime line effectively gives us 3.5 points of value. These two sides just played and easily covered this line, combining for 108 first-half points. The Nuggets particularly love to push the pace at home, and I expect a comfortable over here.

best bet
Los Angeles Lakers vs Los Angeles Clippers, 2:30 pm
Clippers Moneyline ($2.15)

Los Angeles Lakers

The Lakers enter this one off a late finish last night in Sacramento. The Absent LeBron James has had a very solid season so far, averaging 27 points, 8 boards, and 7 assists per night. Sophomore Kyle Kuzma has also stepped up big time, averaging 18.1 points and 5.7 rebounds of his own. Brandon Ingram is looking better of late, the Tyga lookalike averaging over 17 points in his last 3 outings.

Los Angeles Clippers

The Clippers come into the LA derby sporting a 20-14 record after a 9-point win over Sacramento last time out. Lou Williams was excellent off the bench in this one, pouring in an efficient 24 points and 6 assists. He was supported capably by running mate Montrezl Harrel, who added 22 points and 5 blocks of his own off the bench. With LeBron out for this one, you have to think the Clippers have the matchup edge here.

Prediction: Clippers Moneyline $2.15

With the Lakers coming off a back-to-back and LeBron James out injured, I just don’t see how the Clippers are underdogs here. Although it’s technically a home game for the Lakers, this is very much a neutral court. $2.15 is great value for a Clippers side that should be around $1.70.

Daily Multi: Raptors/Timberwolves/Thunder
Combined Odds of $2.20

With a bevy of fixtures to choose from, the daily multi makes a return. As two strong road favourites, I expect both the Raptors and Thunder to get it done against inferior opposition. Similarly, the Wolves should be too good at home for the hapless Suns. At around $2.20, this is very solid value.

Friday December 28, 2018

A very solid 5-game NBA Friday slate awaits us, featuring an always exciting TNT double-header. Boston travel to Houston in our first game, whilst Ben Simmons and the Sixers make the trip to Utah for the second. Golden State will also look to get back to winning ways as they play host to the Blazers. Let’s take a look at our 3 best bets on the board.

best bet
Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics, 12 pm
Celtics -1

Houston Rockets

Houston enters this one off a very impressive victory over OKC on Christmas Day. James Harden was phenomenal in this one, pouring in 41 points, 6 rebounds, and 7 assists. Center Clint Capela also balled out, adding 16 points and a Christmas-record 23 rebounds. Even the much-maligned Austin Rivers played an important role, scoring in double-figures in his 31 minutes off the bench.

Boston Celtics

The Celtics enter this one off an epic Overtime comeback win against Philadelphia last time out. Kyrie Irving was outstanding, pouring in 40 points, 10 rebounds, and 3 assists. Forwards Marcus Morris and Jayson Tatum were both excellent in complementary roles, dropping 23 points each here. With Center Al Horford back in this one, the Celtics full complement should give them the edge here.

Prediction: Celtics -1

The Celtics are clearly the better team in this one and I expect a road win from them in front of a primetime audience. With Chris Paul out, Houston’s backcourt depth is already thin, but news of James Harden being questionable takes this to a whole new level. Even if Harden plays, expect the defence of Marcus Smart to suffocate this Rockets offence.

 

Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers, 2:30 pm
1st Half Over 109.5

Golden State Warriors

Golden State enter this one off a horiffic loss against the Lakers on Christmas Day. Draymond Green came under much criticism for his play, scoring just 4 points and throwing up 3 air balls. Klay Thompson wasn’t much better, totalling just 5 points of his own. Even Stephen Curry continued his Christmas slump, going 5/17 from the field. In what was an uncharacteristically poor display, I expect the Dubs to bounce back here.

Portland Trail Blazers

Portland also enter this one off the back of a Christmas Day defeat, a 21-point loss to the Jazz. Damian Lillard was the only one who did anything offensively, totalling 20 points, 5 rebounds, and 4 assists. C.J. McCollum and Jusuf Nurkic both struggled from the field, going 4/14 and 3/10 respectively. Coming up against a motivated Golden State team here, I don’t like Portland’s chances of improving on their 6-10 road record.

Prediction: 1st Half Over 109.5

With a full-game total of 226, we’re getting 3.5 points of value in this one. Golden State had a terrible offensive showing on Christmas and will look to get back to their obvious best. From the Portland side, Dame Lillard always tends to put up a show in his home town of Oakland and should hang with Steph Curry here.

Utah Jazz vs Philadelphia 76ers, 2:30 pm
76ers 1st Half +3

Utah Jazz

Utah enter this one off a convincing Christmas Day win over Portland. Center Rudy Gobert led the way, going off for 18 points, 14 rebounds, and 7 blocks. Joe Ingles also enjoyed a solid day, with 15 points, 7 rebounds, and 5 assists. After all the debate with Ben Simmons last season over Rookie of the Year, expect Donovan Mitchell to also be extremely motivated for this one.

Philadelphia 76ers

The Sixers enter this one at 22-13 after a heartbreaking overtime loss in Boston on Christmas. Center Joel Embiid was outstanding in defeat, going off for 34 points and 16 rebounds. Jimmy Butler also had a solid day, pouring in 24 points, 5 rebounds, and 4 assists. Aussie Ben Simmons rounded out the big 3 nicely, falling just 2 assists shy of a triple-double.

Prediction: 76ers 1st Quarter +2

With a full game spread of 5 points, I believe we’re getting solid value in this one. Whilst Philly’s depth is nothing special, I think their starting lineup is better than Utah’s. After an agonizing defeat on Christmas, expect a fast start from the Sixers here.

Thursday December 27, 2018

After yesterday’s Christmas extravaganza, regular NBA is back with an exciting 10-game slate. This is headlined by an intriguing affair in San Antonio, as the West-leading Nuggets travel to face the Spurs. Sacramento visit the Clippers in a Pacific division rivalry, whilst Toronto take on Miami in an all Eastern Conference affair. Let’s take a look at our 4 best bets on the board in today’s action.

Detroit Pistons vs Washington Wizards, 11 am
Under 113 1st Half

Detroit Pistons

The Pistons have noticeably faded of late and enter this one with a middling 15-16 record. This is despite a strong season from Power Forward Blake Griffin, who’s averaging 25 points, 9 rebounds, and 5 assists a night. Andre Drummond is providing adequate support in the frontcourt, averaging 17.7 points and 15.5 boards of his own. The absence of reserve Guard Ish Smith appears to have really hurt Detroit, with their second unit noticeably now lacking in creation.

Washington Wizards

One of the most disappointing teams in the association this season, the Wizards enter this contest at 13-21. Shooting Guard Bradley Beal has still been incredible, averaging 23.5 points, 5 assists, and 5 boards per night. Point Guard John Wall isn’t far behind him, averaging 20.7 points and 8.7 assists of his own. The acquisition of Trevor Ariza should really help Washington out on the wing, with the veteran averaging 13.5 points and 6 boards through his first 4 games.

Prediction: Under 113 1st half

With Detroit’s strong advantage on the interior, I expect more of a grinding, slow-paced contest in this one. Neither of these two offences have been all that flash this season and you can expect some lower scores the first day back from the Christmas break. The first half total looks better value here than the full game one of 221.

Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers, 11:30 am
Pacers -8

Atlanta Hawks

Another very disappointing side, the Hawks enter this matchup at a paltry 9-23. They looked solid last time out in Detroit, managing a 3-point road victory. Center Alex Len was the main man here, pouring in 15 points, 17 boards, and 3 blocks. Even veteran Vince Carter had a resurgent effort off the bench, dropping 18 points and 7 boards. Despite 3 straight wins, Atlanta is definitely playing towards 2019 draft position this season.

Indiana Pacers

The Pacers enter this one at a very respectable 22-12, good enough for 3rd in the East. Big man Myles Turner was excellent in Washington last time out, dropping 18 points, 17 boards, and 2 blocks in a W. Reserve big man Domantas Sabonis also had himself a day, dropping a 15-point double-double off the bench. Shooting Guard Victor Oladipo has been the man all season, enjoying averages of 20.2 points, 6.4 boards, and 5.3 assists.

Prediction: Pacers -8

Indiana has tended to make light work of the bottom teams in the NBA in recent years. I expect their defence to shut down Atlanta here, whilst Oladipo goes to work on offence. At 8 points, I think this is reasonable value on Indiana.

Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans, 12:30 pm
Mavericks -2

Dallas Mavericks

The Mavericks enter this one at 15-17 after having lost 6 straight contests. Luka Doncic was excellent in defeat last time out, dropping 23 points, 11 rebounds, and 6 assists. Harrison Barnes also chimed in with an efficient scoring night, adding 27 points on 11/20 from the field. Center DeAndre Jordan continues to provide an interior presence, adding a 14-point double-double of his own.

New Orleans Pelicans

The Pelicans have lost 4 straight themselves to sit at a precarious 15-19. This is despite solid recent performances from Anthony Davis, who had 26 points and 17 boards against Sacramento last time out. Point Guard Jrue Holiday also did his thing, going for 27 points, 7 boards, and 6 assists. New Orleans needs to get right soon to avoid falling out of the Western playoff mix.

Prediction: Mavericks -2

I believe there is strong line value on the Mavericks in this one. They boast a 12-4 ATS home record this season, compared to just 7-11 on the road for New Orleans. Dallas is the better team here and they’ll take care of business at home.

best bet
Los Angeles Clippers vs Sacramento Kings, 2:30 pm
Clippers -5

Los Angeles Clippers

The Clippers enter this one at 19-14 after a narrow loss to Golden State last time out. Tobias Harris was excellent in that one, dropping an efficient 32 points and 9 rebounds. He was supported capably by Danilo Gallinari, who added 25 points and 11 boards of his own. Lou Williams has looked back to his best since returning from injury, adding another 25 points and 9 assists.

Sacramento Kings

The Kings make the trip to LA off the back of consecutive wins to sit 18-15. Buddy Hield was excellent against New Orleans last time out, dropping an efficient 28 points and 6 boards. Willie Cauley Stein provided a solid balance on the interior, adding 22 points and 17 rebounds. De’Aaron Fox continues to make this team go, adding a vital 19 points and 11 assists to seal the win.

Prediction: Clippers -5

Another game where there is strong line value on the home side. The Kings have been very impressive at home of late, but I believe this has made the bookies overvalue them. With their full complement of players back, laying only 5 points looks great value for the Clip show.

Wednesday December 26, 2018

Few regular season days match the NBA Christmas slate and this year is no exception. We have 5 exciting games from across the association today, headlined by the first matchup between LeBron’s Lakers and the defending champion Warriors. Boston playing host to Philly and OKC travelling to Houston also represent battles between contenders come playoff time. In a slight change of pace, let’s look at our 4 best bets in this one.

New York Knicks vs Milwaukee Bucks, 4 am
Knicks +10.5

New York Knicks

The Knicks enter this one at 9-25 after a dreadful run that has seen them win just 1 of their last 10 games. Shooting Guard Tim Hardaway Junior has been the main man this season, averaging an impressive 21 points, 3 rebounds, and 3 assists. Center Enes Kanter is providing a solid interior presence, averaging an efficient 15 points and 11 boards. Even Emmanuel Mudiay has raised his game of late, averaging 14.5 points, 3.5 assists, and 3 boards per night.

Milwaukee Bucks

The Bucks enter this one at an impressive 22-10 despite a loss to Miami last time out. Giannis Antetokounmpo has been phenomenal all season, averaging 26 points, 13 boards, and 6 assists per contest. Khris Middleton provides solid support on the wing, averaging 17.5 points, 6 rebounds, and 4 assists of his own. In Brook Lopez, Milwaukee has an elite shooting Center who complements Giannis perfectly.

Prediction: Bucks -10

This is a spot I expect Milwaukee to be really motivated in. They lost in New York earlier this season and Giannis was stepped over by Mario Hezonja in a sign of disrespect. I can assure you he won’t have forgotten that and will be raring to go for this one.

Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder, 7 am
Under 221.5

Houston Rockets

Houston enters this one with a middling 17-15 record, admittedly having won 6 of their last 7. James Harden is backing up his MVP award with another fantastic campaign, averaging 32 points, 8.4 assists, and 5.7 rebounds a night. Clint Capela is providing solid interior support, averaging 17.1 points and 12.1 rebounds of his own. The recent hamstring injury to Chris Paul leaves the Rockets very thin in the backcourt, which could be exposed here.

Oklahoma City Thunder

OKC enter this one with a very solid 21-11 record, just off 1st place in the West. Small Forward Paul George has been excellent, averaging an efficient 26.2 points, 8.2 rebounds, and 4.4 assists. Russell Westbrook has also come on of late, averaging a 20-point triple-double so far. Kiwi Steven Adams rounds out this big 3 nicely, averaging 16 points and 10 boards of his own.

Prediction: Under 222

With no Chris Paul, I think Houston will really struggle to score on this Oklahoma City defence. Whilst I think OKC can claim the outright upset, a bet on the under represents better value.

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers, 9:30 am
Under 224

Boston Celtics

The Celtics have lost 3 of their last 4 games to find themselves 5th in the East at 19-13. Point Guard Kyrie Irving is having an outstanding campaign, averaging 22.7 points, 6.4 assists, and 4.9 boards per night. Marcus Morris has shined since being thrust into the lineup, averaging 14.8 points and 6.3 rebounds himself. The return of Al Horford will really help out here against a tough matchup in Joel Embiid.

Philadelphia 76ers

The 76ers have had a very solid campaign so far, sitting 22-12 and equal 2nd in the East. Center Joel Embiid has been outstanding all year, averaging 26.2 points, 13.4 boards, and 3.5 assists a night. Jimmy Butler has been a welcomed addition to this side, averaging 18 points, 5 rebounds, and 3 assists per game. Aussie Ben Simmons has rounded out the ‘big 3’ nicely, averaging 16.2 points, 9.2 rebounds, and 7.9 assists a night.

Prediction: Under 224

There is strong line value on the under here. The total when these two played in the first game of the season was a mere 211.5 points. With two very strong defences, I expect a playoff like atmosphere that makes this sail under.

Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers, 12 pm
Warriors Halftime/Fulltime

Golden State Warriors

The Warriors have won 8 of their last 10 games to sit 2nd in the West with a 23-11 record. Kevin Durant is having another phenomenal campaign, averaging 29 points, 7.8 rebounds, and 6.1 assists per contest. Stephen Curry is also looking like an MVP candidate, averaging 29.2 points, 5.2 rebounds, and 5.2 assists of his own. With the impending return of DeMarcus Cousins, this dangerous Golden State side is set to reach a new level.

Los Angeles Lakers

The Lakers enter this one with a respectable 19-14 record, good enough for 2nd in the West. When he’s not making anti-Semitic social media posts, LeBron James is averaging 27.6 points, 8.2 rebounds, and 7.2 assists per night. Sophomore Forward Kyle Kuzma is also enjoying a solid campaign, averaging 18.1 points and 5.7 rebounds per night. Center JaVale McGee has provided a much-needed interior presence, averaging an efficient 11.8 points and 6.7 rebounds.

Prediction: Warriors Halftime/Fulltime

This is a spot where the Warriors will be fully motivated. They made it a point to sweep LeBron in his last season in Cleveland and will be looking to make a statement in their first game against LA. Expect them to cruise from start to finish here.

Monday December 24, 2018

With no NBA on the Australian Christmas Day, the Christmas eve slate always brings a ton of action. This year is no exception, headlined by an exciting affair between Golden State and the Clippers. The Celtics also play host to the Hornets, whilst Mike Conley and the Grizz pay a visit to the Lakers in two other intriguing intra-conference matchups. Let’s take a look at our 3 best bets and favourite daily multi.

best bet
Detroit Pistons vs Atlanta Hawks (8am AEDT)
Pistons Halftime/Fulltime

Detroit Pistons

After a very strong start to the campaign, the Pistons have faded somewhat of late and enter this matchup at 15-15. Power Forward Blake Griffin continues to be their best player, averaging a solid 25.6 points, 9 rebounds, and 5.2 assists. He is supported capably in the frontcourt by Andre Drummond, who is averaging 17.9 points and 15.5 rebounds of his own. Against a Hawks side that lacks an interior presence apart from John Collins, expect Blake and Andre to feast inside.

Atlanta Hawks

The Hawks enter this one at 8-23 after pulling off consecutive wins over the Wizards and Knicks. Power Forward John Collins continues to enjoy a very solid campaign, averaging 18.5 points and 9.9 rebounds so far. Unfortunately for Atlanta, he’s the only Hawk playing with any real efficiency. Rookie Point Guard Trae Young has shown flashes, but his dreadful shooting percentage and defence hold him back. Veterans like Kent Bazemore and Jeremy Lin are solid complementary players that can help this team stay afloat.

Prediction: Pistons Halftime/Fulltime

In a day without too much action, a relatively safe play first up. Detroit are the significantly better team in this one, are playing in front of their home fans, and have the motivational edge. At over $1.50 to lead at halftime and fulltime, I think this is far too much value to pass up.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves, (12pm)
Timberwolves +8

Oklahoma City Thunder

OKC enter this one at 21-10 after an excellent road win in Utah last night. Paul George was outstanding in that one, pouring in 43 points, 14 rebounds, 6 assists, and 5 steals. Center Steven Adams battled on the interior, adding a 15-point double-double of his own. Power Forward Jerami Grant continued his solid start to the campaign, registering 15 points and 7 boards in his 39 minutes of action. Coming off such an intense back-to-back, you wonder where OKC’s energy levels are here.

Minnesota Timberwolves

The Timberwolves enter this one in horrific form, having lost 6 of their last 7 to sit 14-18. They’ve been dreadful on the road all season, winning just 2 of their 15 games. This is despite the very solid play of Karl-Anthony Towns, who is averaging 21 points and 11.6 boards per contest. Derrick Rose has also had a resurgent season, pouring in 18.5 points and 4.6 assists per game on 47% shooting from 3.

Prediction: Timberwolves +8

I really like the spot for Minnesota in this one. They’ve just come off a thumping against San Antonio, whilst OKC is fresh off a huge win in Utah last night. With the rest and motivation advantage here, I think 8 points is definitely too many.

Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Clippers, (12:30 pm AEDT)
Under 233.5

Golden State Warriors

The Warriors enter this one at 22-11 after a nervy win over the Mavericks last night. Kevin Durant was outstanding in that one, pouring in 29 points, 12 rebounds, and 8 assists. Stephen Curry added an efficient 22, 5, and 5 that included 6 made three-pointers. Jonas Jerebko was also huge off the bench in this one, dropping 23 points in just 21 minutes on an efficient 10-12 shooting.

Los Angeles Clippers

The Clippers enter this one at an impressive 19-13 after consecutive home wins over the Mavericks and Nuggets. Small Forward Tobias Harris was very solid against Denver, pouring in 21 points and 7 boards to lead the starters. Reserve big man Montrezl Harrell had another excellent day, adding 20 points and 10 rebounds of his own. Rookie Guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander continues to show flashes, adding an efficient 14 points and 6 boards in this one.

Prediction: Under 233.5 points

With both of these sides coming off back-to-backs, I could see them both being a little leggy in this one. Whilst the Clippers have been scoring like crazy of late, Golden State have gone under this number in their last 3 contests. Expect them to control the pace here as this one sails under.

Daily Multi: Pistons/Pacers/Warriors at $1.84
Combined Odds of $1.84

Another fairly simple multi on a big night of action. These are 3 teams with the significant talent advantage and home court in this one. With each of these 3 sides vying for playoff position, they can’t afford to drop games like these. At $1.84, it is well worth a play.

Sunday December 23, 2018

A very entertaining NBA Sunday card awaits us, with 7 games of action across the association. This is headlined by a spicy affair in Philadelphia, as Ben Simmons and the Sixers play host to a potentially undermanned Toronto side. Denver travelling to face the Clippers and Utah playing host to OKC are two other exciting fixtures on the slate. With no daily multi today, let’s take a look at our 3 best bets on the board.

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks, 12 pm
Bucks -2

Miami Heat

The Heat enter this one off one of their more impressive wins of the season, a home TNT win over the Houston Rockets. Shooting Guard Josh Richardson continued his outstanding start to the season, pouring in 22 points, 7 assists, and 6 rebounds. Hassan Whiteside was also solid on the interior, totalling 17 rebounds and 2 blocks in just 24 minutes. The absence of Goran Dragic means a lot more of the playmaking will be on the shoulders of Dwyane Wade. Despite the solid season he has had so far, he’ll need to improve upon the 4/17 he had last time out.

Milwaukee Bucks

The Bucks make the trip to Miami after a very convincing win in Boston last night. Small Forward Giannis Antetokounmpo continues to emerge as an MVP frontrunner, averaging a shade under 27 points and 13 boards to go with his 6 assists. A huge strength of the Bucks is their two-way ability in the starting five. Each of their starters is averaging in double figures this season and all are capable shooters. Bench contributors like Ersan Ilyasova, Tony Snell, and Pat Connaughton make for an excellent rotation that should compete in the playoffs.

Prediction: Bucks -2

Whilst it does seem like a trap game for Milwaukee, the win in Boston last night was a less-taxing blowout. They have a significant talent advantage on the Heat in this one and I expect their defence to contain a limited Miami offence. With no-one to guard Giannis, expect a road win and cover for Milwaukee here.

best bet
Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs, 12 pm
Spurs +6

Houston Rockets

The Rockets enter this one in rather solid form, winning 5 straight games before Friday’s loss in Miami. Unfortunately, Point Guard Chris Paul suffered another hamstring injury and will be out for this one. Shooting Guard James Harden has been phenomenal of late, averaging 39.8 points, 9.4 rebounds, and 7.4 assists over his last 5. Center Clint Capela has also been solid this season, averaging 17 points and 12 boards of his own. Without Paul, this limited Rockets rotation gets even thinner here and could struggle for a while.

San Antonio Spurs

The Spurs enter this one off an impressive 7th win in their last 8 games, a convincing home victory over Minnesota yesterday. Shooting Guard DeMar DeRozan has led the way for this side, averaging 23.3 points, 6.2 assists, and 5.4 rebounds per contest. Starting Point Guard Bryn Forbes is also in solid form, notching at least 17 in each of his last 2 contests. Finally enjoying a more settled rotation, San Antonio look well in contention for a playoff spot out West.

Prediction: Spurs +6

In my best bet of the day, I have to take the Spurs here. Whilst they’re on a back-to-back, Houston have also had a very difficult travel schedule of late. Given their lack of options, I just don’t see how they overcome the Chris Paul injury. I think 6 points is immense value for the Spurs and see no reason why they can’t claim this outright.

Utah Jazz vs Oklahoma City Thunder, 1 pm
Thunder +1

Utah Jazz

The Jazz enter this one on the second night of a back-to-back, after playing a late one in Portland yesterday. Not many would’ve expected Utah to sport a losing record after their first 33 games, but that’s exactly what has happened. This is despite the relatively impressive seasons of Donovan Mitchell and Ricky Rubio, both of whom have come back where they left off last season. Things don’t get any easier here, as they welcome a hungry OKC team looking for revenge after last season’s playoffs.

Oklahoma City Thunder

OKC enter this one at an impressive 20-10 after winning each of their last 3 games. Small Forward Paul George was excellent last time out in Sacramento, pouring in 43 points, 12 rebounds, and 7 assists. This was complemented nicely by a 20-20 game from Kiwi Center Steven Adams, who added 20 points and 23 boards. Russell Westbrook rounded out the ‘big 3’ with a triple-double, enjoying 19 points, 17 assists, and 11 rebounds. This OKC team appears to be rounding into form nicely and should be a contender come playoff time.

Prediction: Thunder +1

OKC has the significant rest advantage here, having only played once in the past 4 days. This is also their first time back in Utah since their infamous playoff loss earlier this year. I also think OKC is the much more talented team here and will be good for a road win and cover.

Saturday December 22, 2018

After a surprisingly small slate yesterday, the Saturday NBA slate brings us 10 intriguing contests. The marquee matchup takes place in Boston, where the 21-9 Bucks travel to face Boston in a playoff rematch. Indiana travel to Brooklyn, whilst Portland play host to Utah in two other exciting clashes today. As always, let’s take a look at our 3 best bets and favourite daily multi on the board today.

Toronto Raptors vs Cleveland Cavaliers (11am AEDT)
Cavs (+12.5)

Toronto Raptors 

The Raptors enter this at an impressive 24-9, good enough for the best record in the NBA. Kawhi Leonard has been an excellent leader for this team so far, averaging an efficient 26.4 points and 8.5 rebounds per contest. Power Forward Serge Ibaka is having a resurgent season, averaging an impressive 16.7 points and 7.5 rebounds per game. Veteran Point Guard Kyle Lowry has also been a stabilising presence, averaging 14.2 points and 10 assists of his own. Veterans like Fred VanVleet, Danny Green, and Jonas Valanciunas do an excellent job rounding out this rotation.  

Cleveland Cavaliers 

The Cavaliers have struggled so far in the post-LeBron era, winning just 8 of their first 32 contests. That said, there have been a few bright spots with this side of late. Chief among these is Aussie Point Guard Matthew Dellavedova, who is averaging 12 points and 4.8 boards off the bench over his last 5. Despite facing some media criticism, Rookie Guard Collin Sexton has also been solid, averaging 15 points on over 40% shooting from 3. The recent switch to Larry Nance at Center appears to have improved Cleveland, leaving them faster and more versatile on both ends. 

Prediction: Cavaliers +12.5 

With Kyle Lowry likely out for this one, the Raptors offence probably won’t have its usual efficiency. This is also a trap game for Toronto, with a matchup in Philly on deck tomorrow. Facing a lowly Cleveland side, I just don’t see them being motivated, allowing the Cavs to keep it close. 

best bet
Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks (12pm AEDT)
Bucks (+1)

Boston Celtics 

The Celtics enter this one at 18-12, their recent 8-game winning streak snapped by consecutive defeats to the Pistons and Suns. Point Guard Kyrie Irving is having one of the better seasons of his career, averaging a shade under 23 points, 6.5 assists, and 5 boards on very efficient shooting. The move of Marcus Smart to the starting lineup appears to have given Boston some much-needed grit and toughness from the start. Sophomore Forward Jayson Tatum is also delivering some much-improved performances, averaging 18 points and 7.4 boards over his last 5.  

Milwaukee Bucks 

The Bucks make the trip to Boston at 21-9 off the back of 5 wins in their last 6. Giannis Antetokounmpo has emerged as a frontrunner for MVP, sporting impressive averages of 26.7 points, 12.9 points, and 6.1 assists. 3rd year Guard Malcolm Brogdon is also having a solid campaign, averaging an extremely efficient 15.3 points, 4.5 boards, and 3.4 assists per game. In Brook Lopez, Milwaukee appears to have found the perfect shooting Center to complement Giannis. 

Prediction: Bucks +1 (Best Bet) 

This is a game the Bucks desperately want to win. After being knocked out by the Celtics in the 2018 playoffs and falling in Boston earlier this year, revenge will no doubt be on their mind. Injuries to both Al Horford and Aron Baynes leave Boston decimated in the frontcourt, which I expect the Bucks to take full advantage of. 

Portland Trail Blazers vs Utah Jazz (2pm AEDT)
Blazers (-2)

Portland Trail Blazers 

Portland appear to be back on track, winning each of their last 3 to sit 18-13. Point Guard Damian Lillard is having another outstanding campaign, averaging an efficient 27.2 points, 6 assists, and 5 rebounds per game. Shooting Guard C.J. McCollum has also put up some resurgent performances of late, averaging 23 points and 3 boards over his last 5. Center Jusuf Nurkic also provides a solid presence on the interior, averaging 14.4 points and 10.1 boards per game. 

Utah Jazz 

The Jazz make the trip to Portland at a disappointing 15-17, a win against Golden State last time out breaking a streak of 4 losses in 5. Shooting Guard Donovan Mitchell is again leading the way, averaging 21 points, 3 rebounds, and 3 assists per contest. Rudy Gobert provides one of the league’s best interior presences, averaging 14.5 points, 12.5 boards, and 2 blocks per game. Aussie Joe Ingles provides a calming influence to this starting five, averaging a well-rounded 12 points, 4.5 assists, and 4 boards per game. 

Prediction: Trail Blazers -2 

Off an emotional win against Golden State, this appears to be a bit of a trap game for Utah. They have a back-to-back tomorrow where they face the rival Oklahoma City Thunder. Portland is the team in much better form of late and they’ve got the motivational edge here, making them strong value laying just 2 points. 

Hornets, Lakers Both to Win
Combined Odds of $2.34

On such a large slate, there are surprisingly few options for the daily multi. Laying 4 points at home to Detroit, I’m backing a healthy Hornets team to extend their lead in the Southeast here. With Nikola Mirotic out and Anthony Davis questionable, I don’t think New Orleans has the depth to keep up with the Lakers here. At $2.34, this is immensely strong value. 

 

Friday December 21, 2018

In what is our smallest slate of NBA action since opening night, this Friday brings us an exciting TNT Double-Header. The first of these games takes place in Miami, as the Goran Dragic-less Heat take on the surging Houston Rockets. This is followed by an exciting Western Conference affair, as the Dallas Mavericks travel to face the slumping Los Angeles Clippers. As part of a shortened slate, we’ll provide our best spread and total bets for both games tomorrow.

best bet
Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets (12pm AEDT)
Heat (+4)

Miami Heat 

The Heat enter this one at 13-16, off the back of consecutive solid road wins over the Grizzlies and Jazz. News broke yesterday that star Point Guard Goran Dragic will miss 8 weeks after undergoing knee surgery. Whilst this is a huge blow, the Heat have the talent to thrive in his absence. Shooting Guard Josh Richardson is having an outstanding season so far, averaging 18.6 points, 3.8 rebounds, and 3.5 assists per game. He has been capably supported by franchise legend Dwyane Wade, who’s averaging 16.3 points, 5 assists, and 4.5 boards over his last 5.  

Houston Rockets 

The Rockets enter this one on a resurgent winning streak that has seen them finally break .500. James Harden has been phenomenal of late, dropping 47 points, 6 rebounds, 5 assists, and 5 steals against Utah earlier this week. Center Clint Capela is providing a nice frontcourt complement, averaging 17.2 points and 11.7 boards this season. If Chris Paul can return to his 2017/18 level, the Rockets have a real chance to rapidly climb the West standings. After a back-to-back last night, it won’t be easy for Houston here in Miami. 

Predictions: 

Heat +4 (Best Bet) 

With almost all the action on Houston, Captain Contrarian is going the other way again. Miami enjoys a significant rest advantage in this one, playing their last game on Monday. The news of Dragic’s long-term injury will motivate this team in the short-term, starting here in prime time. Moreover, I think Houston’s strong recent form has actually overrated them in the current market. This is still a thin team that could struggle in a back-to-back. With all the action on Houston, I can see this line further moving in Miami’s favour before tip-off. 

Under 208.5 

Backing the underdog and under the points total is a natural complement and this is no exception. When taking a look at the games Miami has won of late, they tend to be rock fights. Without Goran Dragic, they are really devoid of perimeter playmaking in the starting lineup. Similarly, Houston’s offence hasn’t been nearly as good as last season, relying on James Harden brilliance to stay afloat. In front of the TNT cameras, I’m expecting another low-scoring tilt here that ends round 200 points. 

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks (2:30pm AEDT)
Mavericks (+4)

Los Angeles Clippers 

The Clippers enter this in a horrendous run of form, having lost 6 of their last 7 games to sit 17-13 and 3rd in their division. This has been despite the excellent recent play of Tobias Harris, who poured in 39 points and 11 rebounds against Portland last time out. Rookie Guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has also flashed a ton of promise, putting up 24 points and 3 assists in that same game. Despite having one of the deepest rosters in the NBA, the Clippers have struggled immensely in the absence of 6th man Lou Williams. 

Dallas Mavericks 

After a slow start to the season, the Mavericks enter this one at a respectable 15-14. They have one of the largest home-road dichotomies in the NBA, winning only 2 of their 13 road contests. Rookie Luca Doncic has emerged as a future star, averaging 19 points, 8.4 assists, and 7.6 rebounds over his last 5 contests. Forward Harrison Barnes is also having one of the best seasons of his career, pouring in an efficient 30 points against Denver last time out. Center DeAndre Jordan will definitely play the Clippers tough and is averaging a solid 11 points and 14 boards this season. 

Predictions: 

Dallas Mavericks +4 

This is another scenario where all the money is coming in on the favourite and I just can’t see why. On recent form I believe the Mavericks are definitely the better team here. In Doncic, Barnes, and veteran Wesley Matthews, they’ve got a very solid wing rotation that matches up well with LA here. DeAndre Jordan will no doubt want revenge on his former team and I expect a big day on the interior for him. Through the key number of 3, I have to throw my support behind Dallas in this one. 

Under 221.5 

This is another one where I think the total is somewhat inflated. The Clippers have struggled offensively in the absence of Lou Williams and I don’t see them turning it around here against Dallas’ improved defence. The Mavericks have gone comfortably under this total in 4 of their last 6 games, a trend I expect to continue here. Likewise, the Clippers have been held under 100 in 2 of their last 4 games, indicative of their inconsistent shooting. Even in the modern NBA, 221.5 is a lot of points that gives us solid breathing room on the under. 

Thursday December 20, 2018

After a relatively small slate of NBA action yesterday, the NBA is back with an action-packed 12-game slate. This is headlined in Utah by an exciting ESPN clash, as the defending champs take on the Jazz. Toronto play host to Indiana in a matchup between two East titans, whilst OKC travel to Sacramento in an exciting late affair out West. As always let’s take a look at our 3 best spread bets and best daily multi.

Orlando Magic vs San Antonio Spurs, (11 am AEDT)
Magic (-0.5)

Orlando Magic

The Magic enter this one at a respectable 14-15 after consecutive wins in Mexico City. Evan ‘Don’t Google Me’ Fournier was excellent last time out, pouring in 24 points and 7 boards against Utah. Center Nikola Vucevic added another strong performance, dropping 15 points, 19 rebounds, and 5 assists. Shooting Guard Terrence Ross provided a much-needed scoring punch off the bench, totaling 19 points on 8/9 shooting. Despite lowly pre-season expectations, the Magic enter this one well in playoff contention.

San Antonio Spurs

The Spurs make the trip to Orlando in much better form of late, winning 4 of their last 5 to sit at 16-15. Shooting Guard DeMar DeRozan is having a solid first season in San Antonio, averaging 23.5 points, 6.2 assists, and 5.5 rebounds so far. LaMarcus Aldridge has also been much better of late, averaging 23 points and 7.4 boards over his last 5. Small Forward Rudy Gay is providing a nice complementary piece, averaging 18 points and 7.4 rebounds over this recent winning run.

Prediction: Magic -0.5

With over 3-quarters of the action on San Antonio, I actually lean the other way here. Orlando have been much better of late and have played San Antonio strong in recent years. Expect another big night from Vucevic en route to a home Orlando win.

Milwaukee Bucks vs New Orleans Pelicans, (12 pm AEDT)
Pelicans +8

Milwaukee Bucks

The Bucks have been in excellent form of late, winning 4 of their last 5 games to sit at 20-9. Small Forward Giannis Antetokounmpo has been excellent of late, averaging 26.8 points, 13.8 boards, and 6.5 assists over his last 5. Shooting Guard Khris Middleton has been a solid second option, averaging 18 points, 6 rebounds, and 4 assists per game. Point Guard Eric Bledsoe is also having a very solid season, averaging 17.6 points, 6.2 assists, and 4.6 boards over his last 5. The Bucks are definitely a strong contender out East.

New Orleans Pelicans

After a strong start, the 15-16 Pelicans have faded of late and currently sit bottom of the Southwest division. This is despite an excellent season from Anthony Davis, who’s averaging 28 points, 12.7 rebounds, and 4.7 assists per game. Point Guard Jrue Holiday is also having a very solid season, averaging 20.5 points, 8.7 assists, and 4.3 rebounds of his own. Julius Randle and Nikola Mirotic are both excellent frontcourt options that have complemented Davis nicely.

Prediction: Pelicans +8

Getting 8 points, I have to fancy the Pelicans in this one. I think they’ve got the interior presence to trouble Milwaukee. In what should be a great battle between two MVP frontrunners, I lean to the underdog here.

Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder (2 pm AEDT)
Kings +5

Sacramento Kings

The Kings have surprised almost everyone this season en route to 16 wins in their first 30 games. Point Guard De’Aaron Fox has emerged as a future star, averaging an efficient 18 points and 7.3 assists per contest this season. He has been capably supported in the backcourt by Shooting Guard Buddy Hield, who’s averaging 19 points and 5 boards per game himself. Power Forward Nemanja Bjelica has been strong as a stretch four, averaging 11.1 points and 5.7 boards on 48% shooting from 3.

Oklahoma City Thunder

OKC enter this one at a respectable 19-10, good enough for 3rd place in the Western Conference. Small Forward Paul George is having one of the better seasons of his career, averaging a shade under 25 points and 8 boards per game. Russell Westbrook was also solid last time out against Chicago, dropping another triple-double to go along with his 5 steals. I’d be remiss not to mention the excellent performances of reserve Guard Dennis Schroder, who’s averaging 16.6 points, 4.7 assists, and 4 boards per game.

Prediction: Kings +5

After a dreadful outing against Minnesota last time out, I expect a resurgent display from the Kings here. They’ve already covered as a 3-point home underdog earlier this season. Especially with the key number of 5, I’m very happy taking Sacramento here.

Hornets, 76ers, Celtics, Rockets, Timberwolves
Combined Odds of $2.21

In a relatively large slate of games, we’ve got several solid options for today’s daily multi. At home against three of the worst teams in the NBA, each of the Hornets, 76ers, and Celtics look like near locks to emerge victorious. Moreover, I expect the Rockets to continue their strong recent form at home to a Washington side on a back-to-back. To beef this price up to $2.21, Minnesota look solid value to topple Detroit at home.