I’m going to opt for a road favourite here, this time taking Philadelphia at $1.80 away at the Mets.

Philly have quietly rebounded nicely after a poor start to the campaign, currently sitting 6^th in the NL at 19-17.

The Mets are in the midst of another middling campaign, now sitting 10^th at 19-22 after 41 games.

The Mets have largely gotten the better of this series so far, but I think the matchup overall actually favours Philly.

Zack Wheeler returns to pitch for Philly here and he’s looked like one of the better options in the majors this season.

Their struggles in this series have been largely due to poor pitching and I think he remedies that here.

Compare that to Mets pitcher David Peterson, who only has 29 career innings of big-league experience.

I can see him struggling against the strong Philly batting lineup, which should be enough to earn them the win.

It’s not often you see the Yankees as substantial underdogs, yet here they are.

They’re currently $2.25 on the road against a fairly pedestrian Toronto side and I like their chances here.

Their form has admittedly been poor, dropping to 21-19 after a terrible series against Baltimore.

Toronto are hardly world beaters either mind you, sitting in 6^th place just 1 game ahead of the Yankees.

They’re without a home field for this season so this line would suggest that they’re the considerably better side.

I just don’t see how that’s the case and would give the Yankees a fairly even shot at winning this game.

Hyun-jin Ryu always tends to get a lot of love in the betting market, but I think he’s met his match here in a very strong Yankees batting lineup.

If Yankees pitcher Jordan Montgomery can deliver here, I like their chances as road underdogs.

I like Atlanta in this spot, paying $1.77 at home against a pedestrian Washington side.

The Braves have been one of the better sides in the majors this season, sitting 2^nd in the NL at 23-16.

Washington are a far cry from the side that won the World Series last season, now 2^nd last in the conference at 14-24.

Admittedly, their negative 16 run difference suggests they’re not as bad as this record, but they’re way off the plus 34 of Atlanta.

The Braves are only 1-2 in this series so far, but I believe much of that is down to relatively poor pitching.

Josh Tomlin returns to the mound here and he’s been relatively dependable when called upon this season.

Patrick Corbin is a decent enough option for Washington, but I’d expect the strong Atlanta batting lineup to ultimately prove to be too much here.

This is another spot where Oakland are surprise underdogs at home.

I think they’re a better team than San Diego and like they’re matchup, with $2 looking like a great price.

I’m finding San Diego to be vastly overrated by the bookies lately, which I presume is largely to their strong run differential.

It is currently the second best in the majors at plus 51, but I think a lot of that can be attributed to some blowout wins.

Oakland is still in the midst of an excellent season, currently sitting 2^nd in the American League at 23-13.

They’ve split the series 1-1 thus far, but I like their chances here as long as they can pitch well.

Mike Fiers isn’t in the midst of his best season, although I’m willing to trust his career body of work over this small sample size.

I think he’s one par with Garrett Richards of the Padres, meaning Oakland’s batting lineup and homefield edge should win out here.

I’m opting to bet against the train wreck that is the Pirates here, taking Cincy as $1.70 road favourites.

Pittsburgh has been the worst side in all of baseball this season, going an awful 11-25 through 36 games.

They’ve got a terrible negative 50 run difference, which suggests that they’re record is what they deserve.

Cincinnati haven’t been much better, but they’re more of an average bad side.

They’re just 17-21 through their 38 games, with a negative 26 run difference to boot.

That said, they still match up relatively well with this Pittsburgh side and I see no reason why they shouldn’t roll here.

Trevor Williams has struggled all season for the Pirates and the improving Cincy batting lineup should be able to score reliably.

Anthony DeSclafani has admittedly also been poor for the Reds, but he does have a better bullpen backing him up.

I’m also not confident in Pittsburgh’s batting lineup, which looks like one of the worst in the league.

This line kind of surprised me when I first saw it, but I’ll gladly take Cleveland as $1.85 home favourites here.

They’ve had an excellent season to date, going 23-14 through their first 37 games.

They’re run differential is an outstanding plus 53, which suggests they’re probably unlucky to not have an even better record.

Milwaukee haven’t been anywhere near that good, currently sporting a pedestrian 17-19 record.

They also have a negative 36 run difference on the season, which shows that the gap between these two sides is almost 90 runs.

I also really like the pitching matchup for Cleveland here, with Aaron Civale looking steady in his early action this season.

Brandon Woodruff has been inconsistent for Milwaukee and I can see him struggling against a strong Cleveland hitting lineup.

Throw in home field and the talent edge that a 90 run differential would imply and I think the Indians are great value here.

I like the look of Tampa Bay here, decently priced at $1.74 at home against a middling Miami side.

The Rays have had a stunning start to the season, going 26-12 through 38 games with a plus 42 run differential.

They’ve been one of the best sides in the majors so far and appear to have a legitimate shot at a deep post-season run.

Miami have been improved this season over the disaster that was 2019, but they’re still an average side at best.

They’re .500 on the season through 32 games, which is surprisingly currently good enough for a playoff spot in the National League.

They have a negative 11 run differential, which suggests that their results have been fairly lucky thus far.

Tampa has a strong batting lineup and I’m expecting them to get after Pablo Lopez here.

If their pitchers can also deliver, they should win decisively here.

The love the Angels receive in the betting market continues to astound me.

I think Houston are the significantly better side here and will gladly take them at close to even money.

The Angels find themselves 14^th in the American League, currently holding a pedestrian 13-25 record.

They struggled earlier this season against Houston and their matchup disadvantages remain here.

Dylan Bundy is admittedly a decent pitching option, which is likely why the price is so even here.

That said, Lance McCullers has also held his own this season and shouldn’t have much trouble with this Angels batting lineup.

I think there is a negative bias against Houston in the market due to recent events, which leads to good value spots like these.

I’m expecting another strong outing for Houston’s big hitters here, which should ultimately prove decisive.

I’m leaning towards the Cubs in this one, currently listed as $1.65 road favourites against the terrible Pirates.

Chicago have had a very strong start to the campaign, going 22-14 with a plus 20 run difference so far.

This is in stark contrast to Pittsburgh, who currently sit bottom of the National League at 10-24 with a negative 52 run difference.

Pittsburgh is a side that is likely playing out the string at this point, which provides a real edge for motivated teams like the Cubs.

They’ve got a very strong batting lineup, one which I feel can get after a weak Pittsburgh starter and bullpen here.

Alec Mills will start for Chicago here and I don’t think he’s the greatest pitcher, although he should do enough to get the job done.

I’m opting for another Chicago road favourite here, this time taking the White Sox at $1.70 here against KC.

The White Sox are also in the midst of a very stellar campaign, going 22-15 with a strong plus 37 run differential.

Kansas City are another side that just hasn’t lived up to the hype this season, going a poor 14-23 so far. Their negative 32 run differential suggests that this record isn’t due to bad luck either.

They’ve struggled mightily on offense of late, something I don’t see improving against the increasingly consistent Dylan Cease.

I’ve been impressed by Chicago’s batting lineup this season, one which I think has real top-end quality.

Danny Duffy is a decent pitcher for Kansas City, but I think the Sox have the matchup edge here and should score freely.

If their pitching staff can put in a solid outing on the other end, this should be a relatively comfortable win.

I tipped the Cardinals yesterday as big road underdogs and I’m opting for the same approach here.

Cincinnati appear to be getting a ton of love in the betting markets, something I’m not sure is warranted for a 15-21 team.

St Louis have been in some very strong recent form, actually moving into the top 5 in the National League with a 14-13 record.

I think the Cardinals have a real matchup advantage in this series, as they appear to have proved thus far with their 2-0 start.

Their hitters appear to have found a groove against this Cincy pitching lineup, especially Brad Miller with a whopping 7 RBI last time out.

Tyler Mahle hasn’t been anything special for Cincinnati of late and I’m not sure he warrants the huge favourite tag here.

If Oviedo can continue some of his strong form in the minors, I like the Cards as rank outsiders here.

I’m leaning towards another relatively large underdog here, this time taking the Tigers at $2.40 on the road.

I’m no huge believer in this Detroit side, but I’m also not sure Milwaukee should be $1.58 favourites over anyone at the moment.

They’ve been awful this season en route to a poor 16-19 record.

Their run differential is an abysmal negative 39, which actually suggests they’ve outperformed their stats this season.

Detroit are better in both categories, currently above .500 at 17-16 and with a more modest negative 10 run difference.

Spencer Turnbull is probably the slightly better of these two pitchers, which is yet another advantage in Detroit’s favour.

I don’t think either side has a particularly strong batting lineup, so we can essentially call this a wash.

With most matchups favouring the Tigers in this one, I’ll gladly take the $2.40 currently on offer.

The Cardinals are considerable $2.35 road underdogs here, but I don’t mind their chances away at Cincinnati.

They’ve rebounded very well from all the COVID disruption, currently sitting .500 with a positive run differential.

This is significantly better than their opponent here, who are just 15-20 with a negative 15 differential through 35.

St Louis also started this series off well, showing off their matchup advantages in a comfortable 7-5 win last time out.

The Reds just haven’t been consistent all season and I think they’d be hard-pressed to earn a playoff spot at this point.

I’ve also been impressed with the early starts of Kwang-hyun Kim for St Louis, who has been very economical in 3 outings so far.

If he can keep this up against a relatively pedestrian Cincy attack, another road upset is certainly in play here.

I’m opting to go with another underdog here, this time taking Minnesota as slight outsiders at home.

It’d take a brave man to bet against the White Sox at this point, but I’ve also been impressed by what I’ve seen from Minnesota so far.

They now sit 7^th in the American League with a 20-16 record and a plus 24 run differential.

The White Sox sit slightly above them in both categories, but they’ve been getting a lot of love in the betting markets and are becoming a little overvalued.

Michael Pineda is a decent pitching option for Minny overall, going an impressive 11-5 last season.

Dallas Keuchel is also very strong for the White Sox, but I think this deep Minnesota batting lineup is up to the task here.

If their offence is in gear, I think the pitching does enough to get them a win as a home underdog here.

I like the Yankees at home here, currently instilled as $1.67 home favourites over Tampa.

It hasn’t been the best season for New York, who’ve only managed a 17-13 record so far.

Recent form has been rather problematic, with only 3 wins in their last 10 games.

I think this has led to them becoming somewhat undervalued in the market and they’re a better team than what we’ve seen of late.

Compare that to a surging Tampa team who are 23-11 overall and 8-2 in their last 10.

I feel as though we’ve seen the best of what they’ve got to offer and that they’re becoming overvalued.

Gerrit Cole is still one of the best pitchers in the majors and I think his presence here will lead to a home win in a competitive game.

My second pick of the day is essentially a fade of the awful Pittsburgh Pirates.

They are a miserable 9-21 on the season and an even worse 4-12 in road games.

Their form has admittedly lifted slightly in the last 10, where they’ve gone an even 5-5.

That said, I believe they’ve now become a little overvalued and that they’re still one of the worst sides in the majors.

Milwaukee remain middle of the pack at 15-17, with an outside shot at the playoffs as we enter the second half of the season.

While it hasn’t been the case this year, they’ve historically had a very strong home field advantage that should start to pay dividends soon.

I think they’ve got a bevy of capable hitters and should be able to get after Pittsburgh starter Trevor Williams here.

If they can deliver a mistake-free pitching and defensive display, this should be a comfortable home win for the Brewers.

Any time you can get Houston as home underdogs, I think they’re definitely worth considering.

You could make the case that they’re having a down year, but they still occupy a playoff place with their 18-14 record.

Their run differential has also been very good this season, suggesting that they’ve potentially gotten unlucky in some close games.

Oakland are no slouches either at 22-11, but that’s why they’re favoured on the road here.

Frambler Valdez is set to start at pitcher for Houston here and he’s looked very good when called upon this season.

He has an ERA of just 2.35 through 33 innings, which bodes well against the usually strong A’s batting lineup.

Jesus Luzardo has been a bit more inconsistent for Oakland this season and I could see the youngster in for a tough day against this good Houston lineup.

Add in the slight edge in home field for Houston and they look good value at $2.

I’m taking what I consider to be a very strong Cleveland team here, currently at even money on the road against St Louis.

The Indians have had a tremendous start to the season, sitting 3^rd in the American League at 21-12.

Meanwhile, St Louis have had a very disjointed campaign due to COVID and sit 9^th with a pedestrian 11-13 record.

I like what I’ve seen from Cleveland this season, especially on the pitching and defense side of things.

They’ve held their opponent under 10 runs in 12 of their last 13 games, a trend which should continue against a struggling Cardinals attack.

Aaron Civale is in the midst of a decent campaign and I’d expect more of the same from him here.

If the Cleveland offense can get after the ageing Adam Wainwright, I think they can win this comfortably.

The craziness of the past few days appears to have died down and I’d expect the full slate to be played today.

I’m going to continue one of my favourite trends this season, fading the Boston Red Sox.

Boston are just 10-22 with an atrocious minus 56 run differential, good for last in the American League.

Washington have been far from perfect, backing up their World Series title with a poor 12-17 start.

That said, the fact that they maintain a positive run differential suggests to me they’ve been rather unlucky in close games this season.

There’s no better way to get right than to face arguably the worst side in baseball.

Boston are still relying heavily on their bullpen to go for most of the 9 innings, which should really help Washington’s hitters here.

If Anibal Sanchez can put up a reasonable outing for the Nats, I like them at even money here.

Neither of these sides have been impressive this season, both sitting near the bottom of the National League.

Arizona are 14^th in the Conference at just 13-19, with the G-Men a few spots ahead at 15-18.

The stats suggest these two teams are fairly evenly matched, so I think there’s some value on the Giants as $2.25 underdogs.

They’ve rebounded well after a really poor start and their hitters appear to be finally finding their groove.

Veteran Trevor Cahill gets the start here and I think he’s definitely a better option than Leo Weaver for Arizona.

The weakness of this Giants side has typically been their offense, but I think they’ve got the matchup advantage to go after Weaver here.

At $2.25, I’ll take the value on the underdog in what should be a close one.