Daily MLB Tips – Thursday, September 5

Daily MLB Tips – Thursday, September 5

Ryan Cook
Thursday's Home Run Bets

Giancarlo Stanton @ Texas Rangers  

  • Stanton has hit 4 HR against Rangers starter Nathan Eovaldi across 36 plate appearances.  

Aaron Judge @ Texas Rangers  

  • Judge has taken Eovaldi deep twice in 32 plate appearances.  
Bet now: Home Run Bets
St Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers, 9:30am  

The Brewers are surprising outsiders here at home against the Red Birds.  

Sonny Gray is on the mount for St Louis, and I doubt he’ll like the sight of the Brew Crew after giving up six earned runs at Miller Park when these two sides last met back in May.  

Stats-wise, the Brewers have scored the second-most runs only to the Cubs over the last seven days, so they should be able to offer plenty of scoreboard support for Colin Rea.  

  • Tip: Back the Brewers to Win @ $2.05
  • Player Pick: Rhys Hoskins to Hit a Home Run
Bet now: Cardinals vs Brewers
New York Yankees @ Texas Rangers, 10:05am 

There’s some good value on offer for the Yankees this Thursday with Marcus Stroman on the mound.  

The veteran righty has allowed three runs or less in each of his last four starts, giving up only a pair against the Cardinals last week across seven strong frames.  

Rangers starter Nate Eovaldi is coming off a scoreless outing against the White Sox, but he did struggle against this Yankee lineup only a few weeks ago, surrendering three earned runs in as many innings.  

Ranked 20th in runs scored over the last seven days, I’m happy to have a play on a Yankees win and a low-scoring Rangers outing.  

  • Tip: Back the Yankees to Win @ $1.88, Rangers Under 4.5 Runs  
Bet now: Yankees vs Rangers

Daily MLB Tips – Wednesday, September 4

Ryan Cook
Wednesday’s Home Run Bets  

Max Muncy @ Los Angeles Angels  

  • Muncy has recorded 3 hits and 1 HR in 7 plate appearances against Angels starter Reid Detmers.  

Jared Triolo @ Chicago Cubs  

  • Triolo has recorded a double and a HR against Cubs starter Kyle Hendricks this season. 

Nick Castellanos @ Toronto Blue Jays 

  • Castellanos has recorded four extra-base hits and a home run in 29 plate appearances against Blue Jays starter Chris Bassitt.  
Bet now: Wednesday's Home Run Bets
Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals, 9:40am  

The Royals are looking to snap a six-game losing skid against division rivals Cleveland on Wednesday.  

This is a tough pitching matchup to predict with Brady Singer and Tanner Bibee both sporting similar ERAs, but I give the edge to Cleveland despite Bibee’s rough five-run outing against the Guardians only a week ago. 

It’s easy to forget, but Bibee got off to a hot start to begin the month of August, but he quickly cooled off in two average outings against Texas and Kansas City.  

On the road, his numbers have been significantly better, however.  

In 13 starts, he’s compiled a tidy ERA around 2.81, while his number at Progressive Field is almost double.  

  • Tip: Back the Guardians to Win @ $1.78 
  • Player Pick: Tanner Bibee Over 5.5 Strikeouts 
Bet now: Guardians vs Royals
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago Cubs, 9:40am  

The Cubs have been white hot over the last fortnight, but they dropped a game they’d probably like to have back last night after leading by a comfortable three runs heading into the eighth.  

Chicago’s bullpen gave away a three-run homer to surrender the lead, and I think they could be vulnerable again on Wednesday with scheduled starter Justin Steele scratched overnight due to elbow soreness. 

Veteran righty Kyle Hendricks is set to take over, a worrying sign for Cubs fans after giving up a combined 14 earned runs in three starts against the Buccos this season.  

With All-Star Paul Skenes also on the mound, it’s no surprise to find Pittsburgh slightly favoured in betting. 

  • Tip: Back the Pirates to Win @ $1.75 
  • Player Pick: Bryan Reynolds 2+ Hits 
Bet now: Pirates vs Cubs
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Los Angeles Angels, 11:40am 

Big watch on this battle of LA with Shohei Ohtani playing his first game at Angel Stadium since joining the Dodgers during the offseason.  

With Reid Detmers and Walkher Buehler both sporting ERA’s around the 6.00 mark, the pitching matchup suggests we could be in for some runs.  

Having surpassed the 40/40 mark, the Ohtani factor is worth betting on given his knack for answering in a big moment and playing into the narrative.  

With the Angels also sporting a mid 8-8 record following a day off, you can probably multi a Dodgers win with any of the below.  

  • Tip: Over 9.5 Runs  
  • Player Pick: Shohei Ohtani to Hit a Home Run, Shohei Ohtani 2+ Hits  
Bet now: Dodgers vs Angels

Daily MLB Tips – Tuesday, September 3

Ryan Cook
Tuesday's Home Run Bets

Eugenio Suarez vs Los Angeles Dodgers  

  • Suarez has hit 3 HR vs Jack Flaherty.  

Teoscar Hernandez vs Arizona Diamondbacks  

  • Hernandez has recorded 8 hits and 3 HR in 22 plate appearances vs Eduardo Rodriguez. 
Bet now: Tuesday Home Run Bets
Chicago White Sox @ Baltimore Orioles, 5:05am 

Nice spot here to bet on Corbin Burnes’ strikeout total. 

Baltimore’s big offseason acquisition bounced back from a rough outing against the Astros two weeks ago to strike out four across five innings of work against the Dodgers last week.  

The White Sox, on the other hand, are on track to set a new franchise record for the most losses, compounded even further by the fact they are striking out at the fourth-highest rate in the Majors over the last week.  

  • Tip: White Sox Under 2.5 Runs 
  • Player Pick: Corbin Burnes Over 6.5 Strikeouts 
Bet now: White Sox vs Orioles
New York Yankees @ Texas Rangers, 10:05am  

Gerrit Cole is making his 13th start for the Yankees on Tuesday against a Rangers team looking to claim their third straight win.  

Despite their winning streak, runs have proven hard to come by for Texas over the last seven days, while they also meet Cole at the wrong time with the reigning AL Cy Young award winner sporting one of the lowest ERA’s through the month of August.  

The Rangers know the veteran righty well after managing just one earned run against him earlier last month whilst striking out on 10 occasions.  

With his fastball velo ticking up, I’m siding with the Bronx Bombers here and another big day from Cole on the rubber.  

  • Tip: Rangers Under 3.5 Runs 
  • Player Pick: Gerrit Cole Over 5.5 Strikeouts 
Bet now: Yankees vs Rangers

Daily MLB Tips – Friday, August 30

Ryan Cook
San Diego Padres @ St Louis Cardinals, 4:15am  

Surprisingly good value here on the Padres going up against Sonny Gray.  

The veteran righty’s numbers this month make for tough reading, headlined by a 5.10 ERA with eight homers allowed.  

The Padres haven’t found scoring runs easy, but they do rank dead last in the league in strikeout rate over the last week.  

  • Tip: Back the Padres to Win @ $1.87 
  • Player Pick: Manny Machado to Hit a Home Run, Jurickson Profar 2+ Hits 
Bet now: Padres vs Cardinals
Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox, 9:10am 

Big watch here on Blue Jays second-year righty Bowden Francis.  

Among qualified starters, the 28-year-old has posted the lowest ERA through the month of August (1.32), lowering it even further last week when he struck out 12 in eight solid innings against the Angels.  

This is a tougher test against a Red Sox side that has come good over the last two days, but after allowing only five hits over his last three starts, I’m willing to back Francis’ arm to do the talking.  

  • Tip: Back the Blue Jays to Win @ $2.20 
  • Player Pick: Bowden Francis Over 5.5 Strikeouts @ $2.10  
Bet now: Blue Jays vs Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles @ Los Angeles Dodgers, 12:10pm 

Potential World Series preview here between two of the top two teams in baseball.  

The pitching matchup hardly lives up to the billing, but it does look a nice spot overall for the Dodgers given some of Baltimore’s run-scoring woes over the last seven days.  

The O’s have also ranked inside the Top 10 in strikeout percentage during the same time frame, so for once, I think this could be a decent spot for young Bobby Miller to shine.  

Combine all that with the Dodgers’ ability to score against lefties, and the fact they rank 26th in the league in K’s against southpaws, and this suddenly looks a danger spot for Baltimore starter Cade Povich.  

  • Tip: Back the Dodgers to Win  
  • Player Pick: Shohei Ohtani 2+ Hits, Teoscar Hernandez to Hit a Home Run   
Bet now: Orioles vs Dodgers

Daily MLB Tips – Wednesday, August 28

Ryan Cook
Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates, 8:40am  

The Cubs gave the Pirates something to think about yesterday, walking away 18-8 winners thanks in large part to a Grand Slam from Dansby Swanson.  

A win here would put Chicago back above .500 for the first time since May, and they should feel confident with Justin Steele taking the mound coming off a 10 strikeout day against the Tigers last week.  

Steele has been one of the most reliable arms through the month of August, posting a 1.66 ERA across four starts to go with 11.22 K/9 rate.  

He gave up six earned runs against the Buccos earlier in May, but after holding tough lineups like Baltimore scoreless over the last month, I’m willing to bet on his stuff.  

  • Tip: Back the Cubs to Win  
  • Player Pick: Justin Steele Over Strikeout Total 
Bet now: Cubs vs Pirates
Oakland Athletics @ Cincinnati Reds, 8:40am  

The A’s and Reds both enjoyed Tuesday off as they step out at Great American Ball Park on Wednesday to kick off a three-game series.  

Oakland has struggled to find runs over the last week, sitting bottom five in the league with only five home runs hit over their last seven games.  

Fortunately, the ball tends to fly at this ball park, so I think this could be a nice game for the A’s to get back on track and add to their solid 11-7 record overall following an off day.  

For a player pick, you’d be hard-pressed to find a hotter hitter than Reds shortstop Elly De La Cruz.  

The 22-year-old has recorded 10 hits and a homer over the last seven days, so I’m throwing him in to have a nice game at the plate. 

  • Tip: Back the A’s to Win  
  • Player Pick: Elly De La Cruz 2+ Hits 
Bet now: A's vs Reds
New York Yankees @ Washington Nationals, 8:45am  

The Yankees opened this three-game set against the Nats with a 5-2 win yesterday, and they should be well on their way to claiming the series with their ace Gerrit Cole on the mound for Game 2.  

After a rough return to action coming off the IL, Cole has put together two vintage starts, holding both the Tigers and the Guardians scoreless across 12 combined frames.  

Cole’s career 2.79 ERA against the Nats stands out on paper, but he has had some rough outings at Nationals Park, allowing a combined nine earned runs over four starts.  

Interestingly, there are a few home run bets I’m happy to make on this game.  

Joey Gallo has sent four over the fence against Cole in 27 plate appearances, while Yankees DH Giancarlo Stanton has hit a couple off Patrick Corbin. 

  • Player Picks: Joey Gallo to Hit a Home Run, Giancarlo Stanton to Hit a Home Run  
Bet now: Yankees vs Nationals

Daily MLB Tips – Tuesday, August 27

Ryan Cook
Kansas City Royals @ Cleveland Guardians, 3:10am 

Cole Ragans is back on the hill for the Royals on Tuesday in the first of a back to back set against their division rival. 

Normally, Ragans has been money when it comes to betting on strikeouts, but I’m happy to fade him in this spot against a Guardians team that ranks top five in runs scored against left-handed pitching, and towards the bottom of the league in terms of strikeout rate.  

Ragans found this out the hard way when he faced Cleveland earlier in June, surrendering five earned runs in just 4.2 innings of work.  

Coming off back to back wins over the Rangers, I’m happy to back the Guardians here to put up some numbers.  

  • Tip: Back the Guardians to Win  
  • Player Pick: Cole Ragans Under 6.5 Strikeouts 
Bet now: Royals vs Guardians
New York Yankees @ Washington Nationals, 8:45am  

Nestor Cortes was kind to us last week when he cashed his strikeout total, but I think this is a different kettle of fish against a Nats side that hits lefties well.  

Surprisingly, Washington ranks towards the top of the league in hits against southpaws, while they’ve also compiled one of the lowest strikeout totals against.  

Cortes has been hit and miss this year, particularly in inter-league play where he’s posted a sub 4.00 ERA to go with six homers allowed.  

  • Tip: Back the Nationals Over 3.5 Runs 
Bet now: Yankees vs Nationals
Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox, 9:10am  

The Red Sox have been cold over the last seven days, batting a lowly .220 with only 45 hits collectively as a team.  

Fortunately, their numbers against Jays starter Jose Berrios lend themselves to optimism, particularly Jarren Duran, who has slugged two homers against the veteran in just 11 plate appearances.  

On the flip side, the Jays have been much-improved during that same seven-day stretch, leading the league in hits and sitting fourth in runs scored.  

This is a tricky AL East battle to get a feel for, but I like the Jays to win as they look to extend their winning streak to five.  

  • Tip: Back the Blue Jays to Win  
  • Player Pick: Jarren Duran to Hit a Home Run  
Bet now: Blue Jays vs Red Sox

Daily MLB Tips – Saturday, August 24

Ryan Cook
Colorado Rockies @ New York Yankees, 9:05am  

Carlos Rodon takes the mound for the Bronx Bombers looking to bounce back from a rough outing in Detrot last week that saw him give up four earned runs in 3.1 innings of work.  

The veteran left-hander has been a much more reliable bet at home than he has been on the road this year, sporting a 3.39 ERA and an outstanding opponent batting average of just .197.  

The Rockies have lost back to back games heading in and have struggled against southpaws all season, currently ranking second in strikeout percentage.  

With the Yankees sitting only 1.5 games clear of Baltimore in the AL East, Colorado would love nothing more than to make life difficult, but with Aaron Judge and Juan Soto on fire this week, I can’t see it happening.  

  • Tip: Rockies Under 2.5 Runs 
  • Player Picks: Carlos Rodon Over Strikeouts Total  
Bet now: Rockies vs Yankees
Texas Rangers @ Cleveland Guardians, 9:10am  

Tanner Bibee is on the rubber for the Guardians making his 25th start of the year.  

The right-hander has been outstanding through two starts so far this month, holding the Twins to just one run a fortnight ago, and the Brewers to only two in five strong innings to go with seven strikeouts last week.  

The Rangers, meanwhile, have lost six of their last 10, while they also rank middle of the laegue in runs scored and on-base percentage over the last seven days.  

Compare that to the Guardians, who rank third in runs scored during the same time frame, it’s easy to get on board with Cleveland in this game, especially if Bibee continues to deal.  

  • Tip: Back the Guardians to Win 
  • Player Picks: Tanner Bibee Over Strikeout Total 
Bet now: Rangers vs Guardians
Tampa Bay Rays @ Los Angeles Dodgers, 12:10pm  

It’s fair to say Bobby Miller might not be in the Dodgers’ rotation right now if it weren’t for their enormous list of injuries.  

The 25-year-old was recalled from AAA last week in time to face the Cardinals, but things quickly went haywire when he gave up four earned runs in as many innings on his way to a 2-5 loss.  

Miller’s previous start was even worse, surrendering nine earned runs to the Phillies on the road.  

This might be a slightly easier assignment against a Rays team that seemingly doesn’t want to push for an AL Wild Card spot, but at the same time, this is still a club that ranks 11th in runs scored over the last week, not to mention their winning record on the road.  

  • Tip: Back the Rays Over the Run Total  
  • Player Pick: Bobby Miller Under Strikeout Total  
Bet now: Rays vs Dodgers

Daily MLB Tips – Thursday, August 22

Ryan Cook
Cleveland Guardians @ New York Yankees, 9:05am 
Tip: Guardians Over 3.5 Runs, Jose Ramirez to Hit A Home Run  

Yankees left Nestor Cortes won’t be short on confidence after hurling seven shutout innings to go with 9 K’s last week against the White Sox.  

This is a different caliber of AL Central opponent though, one that packs power from the top to the bottom of the lineup and some exceptional numbers against southpaws, in particular. 

The Guardians currently rank third in the league in runs scored against left-handed pitching, while they also rank 10th in slugging and ninth in on-base percentage. 

Cleveland’s most productive hitter against lefties has, not surprisingly, been third baseman Jose Ramirez, who so far is only hitter in the lineup batting over .300 with 12 home runs to his name.  

With all this in mind, I like the Guardians to put up some runs and Ramirez to contribute in the Bronx.  

Bet now: Guardians vs Yankees
Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves, 9:20am 
Tip: Phillies Over 3.5 Runs, Marcell Ozuna to Hit A Home Run  

This is another excellent lefty matchup worth taking advantage of with the Phillies taking on division rival, Max Fried. 

The veteran southpaw hasn’t fared well over the last few weeks, allowing three earned runs or more against the likes of the Marlins, Rockies, and Giants.  

This potent Phillies lineup speaks for itself, but so does the fact they rank second in runs scored against left-handed pitching.  

On the flip side, it’s worth noting that Marcell Ozuna has clubbed four homers during his career against Aaron Nola, so if you fancy something exotic, you could do a lot worse than Atlanta’s leading home run hitter.  

Bet now: Phillies vs Braves

Daily MLB Tips – Wednesday, August 21

Ryan Cook
Milwaukee Brewers @ St Louis Cardinals, 9:45am  
Tip: Back the Brewers to Win, Player Pick: Rhys Hoskins to Hit a Home Run, William Contreras to Hit a Home Run

Good value on offer here for the Brewers after taking yesterday off.  

The Brew Crew have played to a league-best 10-4 record in this spot, while they also face off against Eric Fedde for a second time after smacking him for four runs when he was with the White Sox back in May.  

Rhys Hoskins is the player option worth taking a look at in this same game. 

The Brewers first baseman has gone hitless over his last three starts, but he does own three homers against Fedde, one more than teammate William Contreras, who’s hit two in just 10 plate appearances.  

Player Markets: Rhys Hoskins to Hit a Home Run, William Contreras to Hit a Home Run  

Bet now: Brewers vs Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Texas Rangers, 10:05am  
Tip: Back the Rangers to Cover the Run Line (-1.5) @ $2.30, Player Pick: Cody Bradford Over Strikeout Total

Rangers second-year starter Cody Bradford has been excellent since returning from the IL late last month.  

The left-hander has held some tough teams to low run totals over the last few weeks, most notably the Yankees when he held them to just one run across five solid innings in the Bronx a fortnight ago.  

The Pirates haven’t hit lefties well all season, currently ranking middle of the league in runs scored and fourth in strikeout percentage.  

Currently languishing at the very bottom of the NL Central with just two wins from their last 10 games, the Rangers look a nice play with to win comfortably with Bradford leading the charge. 

Bet now: Pirates vs Rangers
Los Angeles Angels @ Kansas City Royals, 10:10am  
Tip: Angels Under 3.5 Runs @ $1.91, Player Market: Cole Ragans Over Strikeout Total  

Keen to have a play on Cole Ragans’ strikeout total against this struggling Angels lineup.  

Ragans has been a catalyst for the Royals’ winning record this season, compiling a tidy 2.95 ERA to put him firmly in the running for the AL Cy Young award behind Detroit’s Tarik Skubal. 

The star lefty is coming off a strong seven inning outing against Minnesota last week that saw him give up just one run to go with eight strikeouts and zero walks.  

Over the last week, the Angels rank dead last in runs scored and first in strikeout percentage, so all things being equal, this looks a nice matchup for the southpaw to go deep into the game and rack up the K’s.  

Bet now: Angels vs Royals

Daily MLB Tips – Tuesday, August 20

Ryan Cook
Boston Red Sox @ Houston Astros, 10:10am
Tip: Rafael Devers to Hit a Home Run, Tyler O’Neill to Hit a Home Run

It’s been a slightly rough stretch for the Red Sox with only four wins from their last 10 games, and things aren’t about to get any easier with a trip to face an Astros side that has taken a commanding four game lead in the AL West.  

Tanner Houck has been a bright spot in Boston’s rotation, but I think there’s some value to be found on the likes of Raffy Devers and Tyler O’Neill against the Astros’ trade deadline acquisition, Yusei Kikuchi.  

Dever has taken the Japanese right-hander deep twice in only 16 at bats, while O’Neill has accomplished the same number in just two plate appearances.  

Bet now: Red Sox vs Astros
Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Dodgers, 12:10pm  
Tip: Mariners to Win @ $2.20, Gavin Stone Under 5.5 Strikeouts @ $1.92 

The Dodgers’ already depleted rotation received further bad news over the weekend with NL Cy Young front-runner Tyler Glasnow placed on the IL with elbow tendinitis.  

It’s a crushing blow for a team that sits only three games clear of the Padres in the NL West, so they’ll likely need young names like Gavin Stone to step up if the Dodgers hope to claim a third-straight division crown.  

Stone’s strikeout numbers have been up and down, but he is coming off a strong outing against the Brewers last week that saw him surrender just one earned run across five solid frames.  

That said, it’s worth noting that Stone’s numbers in inter-league play have been mixed, the 25-year-old sporting a 3.30 ERA with eight home runs allowed in seven starts.  

The Mariners have struggled at the plate over the last 10 days, ranking somewhere towards the top of the league in strikeout percentage.  

Following yesterday’s 10-3 rout of the Pirates however, I think Seattle is a good bet here on the road mixed with the Under on Stone’s K total.  

Bet now: Mariners vs Dodgers