Wednesday, July 31

Wednesday, July 31

Cleveland Indians vs Houston Astros, 9:10 am
Astros $1.77

Cleveland Indians

The Indians have emerged as strong AL contenders, now sitting at 62-43. 1st Baseman Carlos Santana has been stellar all season, leading the squad with 22 home runs and 57 RBI in 102 appearances. 3rd Baseman Jose Ramirez has been a capable deputy, adding 14 home runs and 55 RBI of his own. Probable pitcher Shane Bieber is having an excellent campaign, going 10-3 with a 3.44 ERA.

Houston Astros

The Astros have a case as the best team in baseball, with recent form taking them to 68-39. Alex Bregman and George Springer have led the way offensively all season, now combining for 50 home runs on the year. Yuri Gurriel has also been huge of late, taking the team lead with 65 RBI. The legendary Justin Verlander will take the mound here, going 13-4 with a 2.86 ERA so far.

Prediction: Astros $1.77

Any time I can get Verlander with this Houston team at this price, I’m inclined to take it. Cleveland’s batting lineup is very top-heavy and I’m not sure they’ve got what it takes against one of the best pitchers in the majors. Despite Bieber’s recent form, Houston has the batting depth and versatility to succeed against him. With both of these factors, I like Houston at strong $1.77 odds.

Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners, 10:05 am
Rangers $1.77

Texas Rangers

The Rangers have been solid yet unspectacular so far, sitting at .500 with a 53-53 record. Joey Gallo has had another strong season when healthy, leading the team with 22 home runs in 70 appearances. 2nd Baseman Rougned Odor has also been a consistent contributor, producing a clubhouse-leading 58 RBI so far. Ariel Jurado is slated to pitch here, going 6-6 with a 4.83 ERA this season.

Seattle Mariners

A recent sweep of Detroit has taken Seattle to a more respectable 46-63. 1st Baseman Dan Vogelbach has emerged as a very solid slugger, putting up 25 home runs and 63 RBI this season. Left Fielder Domingo Santana leads the team with 66 RBI, adding 20 home runs for good measure. Mike Leake will pitch here, going 9-8 with a 4.25 ERA so far.

Prediction: Rangers $1.77

I think Seattle’s recent sweep of Detroit is really just smoke and mirrors, which has inflated their value in the betting market. While these two pitchers are evenly matched, I prefer the Rangers bullpen and batting lineup. Combine this with a stellar home field advantage and they look good value at $1.77.

Tuesday, July 30

Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates, 9:10 am
Pirates $2.50

Cincinnati Reds

The Reds have had an overall disappointing campaign, currently sitting at 48-55. Eugenio Suarez has emerged as their chief offensive contributor, playing in every game and putting up a clubhouse-leading 28 home runs and 69 RBI. Former Dodger Yasiel Puig has also been stellar, adding 22 home runs and 59 RBI of his own. Sonny Gray will pitch in this one, going a mediocre 5-6 with a 3.29 ERA this season.

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates have really tailed off of late, falling all the way to 46-59. Josh Bell has carried them offensively all season with his 27 home runs and 86 RBI, although he remains an injury doubt for this one. CF Starling Marte has also stepped up recently, placing second on the squad with 17 home runs and 60 RBI. Jordan Lyles is slated to pitch here, going 5-7 with a 5.36 ERA this season.

Prediction: Pirates $2.50

While the Reds are deserved favourites, I think their inconsistency means they’re overvalued at current odds. Even if Bell can’t play in this one, the Pirates have enough offensive weapons to keep things competitive. If the improving Lyles can deliver a solid performance, I think the Pirates are definitely overs at $2.50.

Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Dodgers, 10:40 am
Dodgers $1.67

Colorado Rockies

The Rockies continue to fade away from the playoff picture, currently sitting at 49-57. 3rd Baseman Nolan Arenado is having a career year so far, putting up 22 home runs to go with 77 RBI. Blackmon and Story have also been dependable contributors, combining for 43 home runs and 120 RBI. Jon Gray will pitch at home here, going 9-7 with a 4.05 ERA so far.

Los Angeles Dodgers

Baseball’s glamour side continue to impress, now sitting at 69-38. Cody Bellinger has maintained his elite pace, leading the clubhouse with 34 home runs and 79 RBI. 1st Baseman Max Muncy has also really come on of late, adding 26 home runs and 70 RBI of his own. Kenta Maeda is slated to pitch in this one, going 7-7 with a 3.81 ERA on the season.

Prediction: Dodgers $1.67

The Rockies have long been heralded for having an excellent home field advantage, although it just hasn’t been the same of late. Maeda is a better pitcher than his record would indicate and I think he can contain a Rockies offence that is very top heavy. As long as Bellinger, Muncy, and Co can keep this pace up, the Dodgers look like a strong best bet today at $1.67.

Monday, July 29

Philadelphia Phillies vs Atalanta Braves, 3:05 am
Phillies $1.74

Philadelphia Phillies

It has been an up and down season for Philly, who still remain in playoff position at 54-50. Bryce Harper has had a relatively successful season with his new squad, putting up 17 home runs and 71 RBI on a .253 batting average. Rhys Hoskins has also impressed with the bat this season, leading the clubhouse with 21 home runs. Aaron Nola will pitch in this one, sporting a very strong 8-2 record to match his 3.64 ERA.

Atlanta Braves

The Braves have had a very stellar season so far, going 62-43 and looking like very real contenders. Freddie Freeman has been particularly outstanding, putting up 25 home runs and 81 RBI to lead his team. Ronald Acuna Junior has also had an effective campaign, tying Freddy with 25 home runs and adding 64 RBI of his own. Probable pitcher Kevin Gausman has struggled so far, going 3-5 with a 5.71 ERA through 69 innings.

Prediction: Phillies $1.74

Fading Aaron Nola at home has rarely been profitable throughout his career, especially not this season. His opposite number, Kevin Gausman, has flattered to deceive a lot this year and I can see him struggling against the Philly lineup. If Harper, Hoskins, and Co can step up in this one, Philly look like good value at home.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays, 3:05 am
Rays $1.62

Toronto Blue Jays

It has been a bad month for Toronto sports sides, with the Blue Jays falling to just 40-66. Freddie Galvis has been a mainstay in the side this season, leading the squad with 48 RBI in his 101 appearances. Gurriel Junior has also come on the scene of late, putting up a team-leading 18 home runs and a solid .288 batting average. Probable pitcher Aaron Sanchez has been a disaster this campaign, going 3-14 with a 6.06 ERA through 107 innings.

Tampa Bay Rays

The Rays have had a solid yet under the radar season, now sitting at 59-48. Brandon Lowe has been a strong offensive contributor, leading the squad with 16 home runs and 49 RBI. Tommy Pham has also been a mainstay in the side, putting up 16 home runs and 46 RBI of his own. Yonny Chirinos is slated to pitch in this one, going a solid 8-5 with a 3.29 ERA this season.

Prediction: Rays $1.62

The Blue Jays appear to already be playing out the string, while these games are very important for Tampa’s playoff chances. They’ve got a huge edge in the starting pitching battle, with Aaron Sanchez being one of the worst starters in the majors. Assuming Chirinos keeps up his stellar season, I really like the Rays today at $1.62.

Sunday, July 28

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees, 6:05 am
Red Sox $1.67

Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox moved to 58-47 with an impressive 10-5 win over New York last time out. Right Fielder Mookie Betts stole the show, leading the way with 4 hits and 5 RBI. Xander Bogaerts has been their offensive engine all season, going for a team leading 23 home runs to go along with 80 RBI. Eduardo Rodriguez will pitch here, going 12-4 with a 4.10 ERA through 123 innings.

New York Yankees

Despite yesterday’s loss, the Yankees still sit pretty at 66-37. 2nd Baseman DJ LeMahieu continues to anchor the offence, leading the clubhouse with 71 RBI. Big hitting from Gary Sanchez and Gleyber Torres has also been invaluable, both reaching 20 home runs this campaign. C.C. Sabathia will pitch here, going a disappointing 5-5 with a 4.50 ERA so far.

Prediction: Red Sox $1.67

The Red Sox have been improving rapidly of late and are looking like a strong bet to make the playoffs. Rodriguez has been excellent all season, while Sabathia has faded of late in what looks like another mismatch. Assuming the Red Sox offence shows up at home, I’m expecting another win here at solid odds of $1.67.

Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers, 6:10 am
Mariners $1.67

Seattle Mariners

The Mariners have won the first two games of this series, moving to 44-63 in the process. Left Fielder Domingo Santana has been an offensive anchor all season, playing in 100 games and getting a clubhouse leading 65 RBI. Slugger Daniel Vogelbach has also really come on of late, leading the squad with 25 home runs. Marco Gonzales will pitch in this one, going 11-8 with a 4.37 ERA through 127 innings so far.

Detroit Tigers

The Tigers continue their absolutely miserable season, now sitting at just 30-69. They’ve been in particularly atrocious form of late, winning just 1 of their last 11 contests. The offence has been the major problem all season, with the 13 home runs and 39 RBI of Brandon Dixon both leading the squad. Tyler Alexander will pitch in this one, allowing an ERA of 2.25 through a limited sample of 12 innings so far.

Prediction: Mariners $1.67

While they’re no great side, the Mariners are still clearly the more talented of the two teams here. Gonzales has been quite consistent all season and I don’t see how this anaemic Tigers offence challenges him here. Alexander has shown promise in his limited sample, but I think the solid Mariners offence exposes him in this one en route to victory.

Saturday, July 27

St Louis Cardinals vs Houston Astros, 10:15 am
Astros $1.85

St Louis Cardinals

A solid 5-game win streak has brought the Cardinals to an impressive 55-47. Despite some recent injuries, Marcel Ozuna still leads the squad with 62 RBI in his 78 appearances. Veteran Paul Goldschmidt has also really come on of late, taking the clubhouse lead with 22 home runs this season. Jack Flaherty will pitch here, going 4-6 with a 4.24 ERA so far.

Houston Astros

An impressive sweep over Oakland brings Houston to a strong 66-38 record. Alex Bregman has been the key man offensively this season, leading the way with 26 home runs and 63 RBI. George Springer has also been effective when healthy, adding 23 home runs and 58 RBI of his own in just 71 appearances. Jose Urquidy will pitch here, going 1-0 with a 5.54 ERA over 13 innings pitched this season.

Prediction: Astros $1.85

Despite the relatively unproven Urquidy pitching here, I still like the Astros in this spot. Flaherty has also been far from impressive this season and I believe a sweep over a poor Pittsburgh side is inflating St Louis’ value. The Houston batters should be in for a big one on the road here, which should ultimately be enough for the win.

Oakland A’s vs Texas Rangers, 12:05 pm
A's $1.88

Oakland A’s

Despite a recent sweep at the hands of Houston, Oakland still maintain a strong 58-45 record. Matt Chapman continues to have a stellar campaign offensively, leading the team with 22 home runs and 59 RBI. Ramon Laureano has also been a very consistent contributor, registering 20 home runs and 56 RBI of his own. Daniel Mengden is slated to pitch here, going 4-1 with a 5.65 ERA through 50 innings.

Texas Rangers

A win in the series opener brought the Rangers above .500 to 52-51. They’ve gotten very consistent offensive production this season, with 6 men reaching at least 14 home runs and 4 reaching at least 50 RBI. Chief among these is Rougned Odor, who has a clubhouse leading 58 RBI to go with his 18 home runs. The reliable Lance Lynn will pitch here, going 12-6 with a 3.93 ERA this season.

Prediction: A’s $1.88

Although they’ve been in some poor form of late, this is a talented Oakland side that I’d expect to make the playoffs. They have a deep and versatile batting lineup that poses problems for both Lynn and the bullpen. I also like what I’ve seen from Mengden so far, especially on his home field. Especially since they’re the more talented of these sides, $1.88 for Oakland at home represents great value.

Friday, July 26

Washington Nationals vs Colorado Rockies, 6:05 am
Rockies $3.50

Washington Nationals

The Nationals have been on absolute fire of late, moving to 55-46 with an impressive recent run. Anthony Rendon has had another strong campaign, leading his squad with 21 home runs and 70 RBI. The batting lineup is quite deep and versatile, with 7 men reaching double digits in home runs so far. Ace Max Scherzer will pitch here, going 9-5 with a 2.30 ERA this season.

Colorado Rockies

The Rockies have fallen off of late, moving out of the playoff picture at 47-55. Nolan Arenado remains a key contributor, going off for 22 home runs and 76 RBI this campaign. Blackmon and Story also deserve credit, both going over 20 homers for the season. Colorado haven’t announced a probable pitcher here, although their starters have been a mixed bag so far.

Prediction: Rockies $3.50

While this is definitely a bold play, I think there is line value on Colorado here. Washington has been on such a good recent run that their price is just overvalued in the betting market. Despite impressive form of late, Max Scherzer was great fade material early in the campaign and could struggle against a versatile Rockies attack. As long as the pitching keeps them in it, the $3.50 price point is just too good to pass up.

Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Indians, 10:15 am
Indians $1.70

Kansas City Royals

Even after a rare win yesterday, the Royals sit just 39-64 on the campaign. Jorge Soler has really had a strong season, going off for 27 home runs and 71 RBI. Alex Gordon has been a decent secondary option, adding 11 home runs and 60 RBI of his own. Mike Montgomery will pitch here, allowing an ERA of 22.5 in his lone start of the season that lasted only 2 innings.

Cleveland Indians

We were successful backing Cleveland yesterday, who enjoyed a routine 4-0 win over Toronto to move to 59-42. Greg Allen was a solid contributor offensively, leading the team with 3 hits and 1 RBI to seal the win. 3rd Baseman Jose Ramirez has been an underrated contributor so far, second in the clubhouse with 47 RBI. Adam Plutko will pitch in this one, going 3-2 with a 4.81 ERA this season.

Prediction: Indians $1.70

As was the case yesterday, the Indians are comfortably the better side in this matchup. Montgomery’s confidence has to be shaken after his initial start and I can see him really struggling here. If Plutko delivers another routine solid performance, Cleveland look like great value at $1.70.

Thursday, July 25

Toronto Blue Jays vs Cleveland Indians, 9:05 am
Indians $1.70

Toronto Blue Jays

The Blue Jays have had an awful season so far, going 39-64 to start their campaign. Freddy Galvis has been a consistent figure, pouring in 15 home runs and a team-leading 47 RBI. Lourdes Gurriel Junior has also been effective when healthy, hitting a team-leading 18 home runs in just 65 appearances. Marcus Stroman is set to pitch here, going 6-10 this season despite a respectable 3.06 ERA.

Cleveland Indians

Cleveland are well in the playoff mix, winning 58 of their 100 contests this season. Carlos Santana has had a fantastic campaign, leading the clubhouse with 21 home runs and 54 RBI. Lindor and Perez have both played a solid supporting role, each contributing 16 home runs and 40 RBI of their own. Shane ‘no relation to Justin’ Bieber will pitch in this one, delivering a very strong 9-3 record this season.

Prediction: Indians $1.70

The Indians are the more talented and motivated side in this matchup. I think they’ve got a strong pitching edge here and that the Jays will struggle to get after Bieber. As long as the offence can produce, I like them here at decent odds of $1.70.

Chicago White Sox vs Miami Marlins, 10:10 am
White Sox $1.88

Chicago White Sox

The White Sox continue to underwhelm, now sitting at just 45-53 on the campaign. This is despite some excellent production from Jose Abreu, who leads the squad with 22 home runs and 72 RBI. Yoan Moncada has been solid in a supporting role, adding 18 home runs and 56 RBI of his own. Reynaldo Lopez will pitch here, going a poor 5-8 so far with a 5.76 ERA.

Miami Marlins

Miami have had an even worse 2019, going just 37-62 so far. They’ve struggled all year for offensive production, with not a single player over 50 RBI. Anderson and Castro have both come on of late, each going over 40 RBI for the season. Zac Gallen will pitch here, going 0-2 with a 3.63 ERA in limited action so far.

Prediction: White Sox $1.88

While Lopez hasn’t set the world alight this season, I don’t think Gallen has proved that he’s much better. I think the dominant White Sox offence can really get after him here, while Miami will likely still struggle. Combine that with a strong home field advantage and I really like Chicago at near even money.

Wednesday, July 24

Detroit Tigers vs Philadelphia Phillies, 9:10 am
Phillies $1.67

Detroit Tigers

The Tigers continue to sit in the MLB’s basement, managing just their 30th win yesterday from 95 attempts. Offence remains a major problem, with the 38 RBI from Brandon Dixon comfortably leading the way. Nick Castellanos has also been solid, leading the squad with a .284 batting average. Matthew Boyd will pitch in this one, going a pedestrian 6-8 with a 4.13 ERA in his 120 innings this season.

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies have been solid yet unspectacular this season, sitting at 52-48 after their first 100 games. Bryce Harper has had a decent first campaign in Philly, playing in all 100 games and leading the squad with 70 RBI. Rhys Hoskins has also been a major slugger all season, going for 21 home runs and 62 RBI of his own. Aaron Nola is slated to pitch here, leading the team with a strong 8-2 record and 3.77 ERA in his 121 innings so far.

Prediction: Phillies $1.67

The Phillies are right in the thick of the wildcard mix while Detroit are essentially out of playoff contention this season. Aaron Nola has also had an excellent season so far and I just can’t see him struggling against a pedestrian Tigers offence. Combine that with a solid day from Harper, Hoskins, and Co. and Philly look solid value at this $1.67 price.

San Francisco Giants vs Chicago Cubs, 11:45 am
Giants $1.92

San Francisco Giants

The Giants are one of the form teams in baseball, winning 12 of their last 14 to jump above .500 at 51-50. Kevin Pillar has really been effective offensively of late, leading the clubhouse with 12 home runs and 52 RBI. Sandoval and Belt have also upped their slugging of late, both going over double digit home runs this campaign. Ace Madison Bumgarner is set to pitch in this one, going 5-7 with a 3.65 ERA on the season so far.

Chicago Cubs

The Cubs have had a stellar season to date, going 54-46 through their first 100. Javier Baez leads a strong batting lineup with 24 home runs and 67 RBI. Anthony Rizzo has been his partner in crime all season, adding 20 home runs and a team-leading 69 RBI of his own. Yu Darvish is scheduled to pitch here, going a poor 3-4 with a 4.46 ERA so far this season.

Prediction: Giants $1.92

The Giants have been on a tremendous run of late and are right in the thick of the wildcard chase. Bumgarner is still a strong pitcher at this level and I believe he can contain a strong Cubs offence. On the other side, I think an improving Giants offence can really get after Darvish, which ultimately proves the difference here.

Tuesday, July 23

Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees, 10:10 am
Twins $1.96

Minnesota Twins

The Twins continue to look like one of the best sides in baseball, joining the elusive 60-win club last time out. Max Kepler has emerged as their biggest hitter this season, putting up very solid numbers of 24 home runs and 64 RBI. Eddie Rosario has him matched in the RBI department and has also hit 21 home runs, making for a very solid duo. Martin Perez will pitch here, going an impressive 8-3 with a 4.10 ERA in his 101 innings so far.

New York Yankees

The Yankees have an even better record than their opponents, going 64-34 to start the campaign. Gary Sanchez has been their premier slugger this season, hitting 24 home runs to lead the clubhouse. DJ LeMahieu has been very solid from an RBI perspective, comfortably enjoying the team lead with 68 on the season. Big CC Sabathia is slated to pitch here, going a middling 5-4 with a 4.06 ERA so far.

Prediction: Twins $1.96

In a matchup between two evenly matched teams, I thought home field would’ve been enough to make the Twins slight favourites. Instead, we have the exact opposite, with Minnesota getting a very nice $1.96 price at home. Having played 5 games in the past 4 days, the fatigued Yankees travel to Minnesota without much rest. Sabathia has also struggled against strong batting lineups this season and I see that continuing here. Minnesota should be around a $1.80 favourite in this one, providing good line value in this spot.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds, 10:10 am
Brewers $1.77

Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers have steadied things of late, moving to 53-48 with their win last time out. Left Fielder Tyler Saladino delivered a special performance, hitting 4 clutch RBI that ultimately proved to be the difference. This supports star slugger Christian Yelich nicely, who currently leads the squad with an astounding 35 home runs and 76 RBI. Chase Anderson will pitch in this one, going a respectable 5-2 with a sub-4 ERA so far this season.

Cincinnati Reds

The Reds continue to slip away from the playoff pack, sitting at 44-53 after yesterday’s loss. Eugenio Suarez has been a bright light for them this season, leading the squad with 24 home runs and 60 RBI. Even Yasiel Puig has been a stellar #2 option, adding 22 home runs and 59 RBI of his own. Sonny Gray will pitch here, sporting a poor 5-6 record despite a decent 3.4 ERA.

Prediction: Brewers $1.77

In addition to a strong home field, I believe Milwaukee also has advantages with their hitting and pitching lineups. Chase Anderson has been strong all campaign and should contain a relatively anaemic Reds offence at home. With guys like Yelich and Moustakas running riot offensively, they should have no problem against Sonny Gray either. Combine all these factors and Milwaukee look like strong value at $1.77.

Monday, July 22

Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers, 4:10 am
Astros $1.67

Houston Astros

The Astros remain one of the form teams in baseball, moving to 63-37 with an impressive win last time out. Michael Brantley continued his impressive season with 3 hits, while Yuri Gurriel added 3 clutch RBI of his own. Alex Bregman remains their offensive standout, putting up an impressive 26 home runs and 62 RBI throughout the season. Rogelio Armenteros will pitch here, allowing an ERA of just 2.0 through his first start.

Texas Rangers

The Rangers are still well within Wildcard contention, now sitting at 50-48. Joey Gallo has made a big impact when healthy, going for 22 home runs and 49 RBI in 68 appearances. Mazara and Odor have also both impressed of late, each going over 50 RBI for the season. Veteran Lance Lynn will pitch here, going a strong 12-5 with a 3.87 ERA so far.

Prediction: Astros $1.67

The Astros are one of the most dominant home sides in baseball, sporting a 35-14 record so far. They have a deep and versatile batting lineup that I think can really get after Lynn in this one. If Armenteros keeps up the form he showed last time, Houston look like great value at $1.67 at home.

Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals, 9:05 am
Braves $1.74

Atlanta Braves

The Braves have had a very strong campaign so far, going 59-41 through their first 100. Freddie Freeman has been spectacular all season, contributing 25 home runs and 77 RBI. Ronald Acuna Junior has been a capable deputy, adding 23 home runs of his own to sit in second place. Kevin Gausman will pitch here, having struggled en route to a 2-5 record and 6.21 ERA this season so far.

Washington Nationals

The Nationals have improved significantly of late, now looking like a playoff contender at 52-45. Anthony Rendon has been a star slugger when healthy, leading the clubhouse with 20 home runs and 67 RBI in just 83 games. Juan Soto has also been stellar, contributing nicely with a further 17 home runs and 62 RBI. Joe Ross will pitch here, going 0-1 with an 11.05 ERA after his 2 starts this season.

Prediction: Braves $1.74

I think the Braves are the more consistent and talented team here with a huge edge in the pitching department. Ross has been very unimpressive so far and I see him struggling against a strong batting lineup in primetime. As long as Gausman can manage the game effectively, give me the home side at good value.