Saturday, August 10

Saturday, August 10

Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros, 9:05 am
Astros -1.5

Baltimore Orioles

The Orioles have had a disastrous campaign overall, winning just 1 in 3 games to sit 38-76. They’ve not been a good home side at all, going just 17-41 in front of their home fans. Right Fielder Trey Mancini has emerged as their premier offensive threat, totalling 27 home runs and 65 RBI on the campaign. Dylan Bundy will pitch in this one, going a poor 5-11 with a 5.15 ERA this season.

Houston Astros

In stark contrast, the Astros are absolutely soaring at 75-40 on the season. They aren’t as good on the road, although they still maintain a very solid 32-25 road record. 1st Baseman Yuri Gurriel has really come on of late, leading the team with 80 RBI to go along with his 23 home runs. Ace Wade Miley will pitch here, going 10-4 with a 3.05 ERA on the season.

Prediction: Astros -1.5

I don’t typically opt for run line bets, but the gap between these two sides is so large that I’m confident of a big Houston win. Bundy just can’t be trusted against this elite Astros attack, while Miley should comfortably get through this Orioles lineup. The $1.38 moneyline isn’t fantastic value, but the extra odds at -1.5 runs make this +EV.

New York Mets vs Washington Nationals, 9:10 am
Nationals $1.77

New York Mets

The Mets have been good but not great this season, still in the playoff hunt at 59-56. This is in large part due to their strong home record, where they’re 32-20 on the campaign. 1st Basemen Pete Alonso has led the charge all year, putting up epic stats of 37 home runs and 83 RBI. Marcus Stroman will start in this one, having been poor so far since being acquired from Toronto.

Washington Nationals

The Nationals have been in some excellent form of late, looking like likely playoff participants at 61-53. They’ve been very solid on the road this season, managing an impressive 31-28 record away from home. 3rd Baseman Anthony Rendon has been the key man all year, leading the squad with 24 home runs and 87 RBI. Stephen Strasburg will pitch in this one, sporting an outstanding 14-5 record to match his 3.72 ERA.

Prediction: Nationals $1.77

While the Mets have been a strong home side this season, getting Strasburg at this price is tough to ignore. The Mets are heavily reliant on Alonso for offence and if he doesn’t fire, I think they’ll really struggle to score here. Stroman is too inconsistent to be counted on here and I expect a big offensive day from Washington en route to victory.

Friday, August 9

Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Indians, 10:10 am
Twins $1.96

Minnesota Twins

The Twins have had a very strong season to date, looking like legit contenders at 70-44. They’ve got an outstanding home record at 35-22, going 6-4 in their last 10 contests overall. Kepler and Cruz are the two offensive engines of this squad, both going over 30 home runs and 75 RBI this season. Pitcher Kyle Gibson has been stellar all season, managing an 11-4 record with a 4.03 ERA.

Cleveland Indians

The Indians have also been outstanding this season, going 68-46 so far. They’ve been a particularly strong road side, going 31-22 away from home and winning 7 of their last 10 overall. Carlos Santana has been their main man offensively all season, totalling 24 home runs and 64 RBI. Mike Clevinger has been stellar when called upon, going 6-2 with a 3.07 ERA so far.

Prediction: Twins $1.96

While Clevinger is a solid pitcher, I’m not sure his presence warrants Cleveland being favourites on the road. Minnesota are still the better of these two sides and I think their batting lineup is much stronger and deeper. Kyle Gibson is no slouch either and another strong performance from him should result in a Minny win here.

San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies, 12:10 pm
Padres $1.92

San Diego Padres

The Padres have really faded of late, now sitting at just 52-61. They haven’t been a particularly good home side, going just 25-30 in front of their home fans. Manny Machado has had a very good offensive season with 26 home runs and 69 RBI, while Hunter Renfroe has gone for 30 homers and 59 RBI of his own. Eric Lauer will pitch here, going a pedestrian 6-8 with a 4.43 ERA.

Colorado Rockies

The Rockies have been similarly poor of late, now at just 52-62 after a thrashing by Houston. Their road form has been pedestrian all season, going just 23-35 away from Colorado. Nolan Arenado continues to carry an otherwise stagnant offence, going for 25 home runs and 85 RBI on the campaign. Veteran Jon Gray will pitch here, going 10-7 with a 4.03 ERA this season.

Prediction: Padres $1.92

While the Rockies have a slight pitching edge here, they’ve been an atrocious road side all season. Jon Gray’s performances have also tailed off of late and I’m not sure he breaks out of that against the hard-hitting Padres. If Lauer has a solid day at the office, even money for the Padres at home looks like good value.

Thursday, August 8

Los Angeles Dodgers vs St Louis Cardinals, 5:10 am
Dodgers $1.67

Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers have continued their stellar campaign, winning another one over St Louis to move to 76-40. They’ve been an outstanding home side all season, going 45-15 in front of their home fans. Right Fielder Cody Bellinger remains their premier offensive threat, going for 37 home runs and 88 RBI. Dustin May is slated to pitch here, going 0-1 with a 4.76 ERA in his lone start this season.

St Louis Cardinals

The Cardinals have been solid but unspectacular this season, sitting at a decent 58-54. They’ve not been a strong road side this season, with just 27 wins in 58 attempts. The offensive load has been well spread out among this group, with 5 players eclipsing 40 RBI. Jack Flaherty is projected to start here, going an average 5-6 with a 3.93 ERA so far.

Prediction: Dodgers $1.67

The Dodgers have perhaps the best home field advantage in baseball, while the Cards have largely struggled away from home this season. Dustin May is largely unproven at this level, although I believe his poor first start gives us some line value here. Assuming the Dodgers offence continues to roar, $1.67 for a home win is very good value.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies, 11:40 am
Diamondbacks $1.70

Arizona Diamondbacks

The Diamondbacks moved back to .500 yesterday, now sitting at 57-57 after a win over Philly. They do possess a losing record at home this season and have only won 4 of their last 10 contests overall. 3rd Baseman Eduardo Escobar is a strong offensive threat, leading the squad with 25 home runs and 92 RBI. After being acquired from Miami earlier this year, much hyped prospect Zac Gallen will make his debut start as a Diamondback here.

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies still look good for a playoff spot, currently at 59-54. They haven’t been the best road side this season, going 25-28 so far. Harper and Hoskins have formed a solid offensive duo this year, leading the clubhouse in RBI and home runs respectively. Jason Vargas will pitch here, having only pitched 6 innings so far and registering an ERA of 2.84.

Prediction: Diamondbacks $1.70

Zac Gallen has looked solid in flashes this season and I can see him really popping in Arizona. Philly’s lineup hasn’t produced a ton of offence this season and I’m not sure they can rectify their road woes here. I’m not too confident in Vargas either and think that Escobar and Co can make the difference in a Diamondbacks home win.  

Wednesday, August 7

Chicago Cubs vs Oakland A’s, 10:05 am
Cubs $1.67

Chicago Cubs

The Cubs have looked very solid of late, improving to a 61-51 record on the campaign. They’ve been especially good at home, chalking up a 41-18 record in front of their home fans. Short Stop Javier Baez has been their offensive engine this campaign, putting up an outstanding 28 home runs and 76 RBI. Ace Jon Lester is slated to pitch here, going 9-7 with a 3.86 ERA this season.

Oakland A’s

The A’s are also enjoying a stellar campaign, now sitting with a 64-49 record. They haven’t been the best road side this season, sitting at .500 with a 27-27 record. 3rd Baseman Matt Chapman has provided great production so far, leading the squad with 24 home runs and 64 RBI. Brett Anderson is slated to pitch here, also going 9-7 and sporting a 4.04 ERA.

Prediction: Cubs $1.67

While these are two evenly matched sides, home field advantage is huge for Chicago in this one. They’ve been an excellent home side all season, whereas Oakland are just an average side on the road. Especially with ace Jonny Lester on the mound, I like the Cubs to improve their home record here.

Minnesota Twins vs Atlanta Braves, 10:10 am
Braves $1.62

Minnesota Twins

The Twins are enjoying a fantastic campaign so far, already joining the 70-win club in 2019. Interestingly, their home and road records are exactly the same at 35-21 on the season. Right Fielder Max Kepler is having a particularly excellent season, leading his team with 31 home runs and 77 RBI. Jose Berrios will pitch in this one, sporting a strong 10-5 record and 2.80 ERA so far.

Atlanta Braves

The Braves have been nearly as strong as their opponents, currently sitting at 66-48. They’ve been one of the better road sides in baseball this season, going an impressive 34-23. 1st Baseman Freddie Freeman has kept up his elite production, going for 27 home runs and 87 RBI this season. Max Fried will pitch in this one, sporting a fantastic 12-4 record despite an ERA over 4.

Prediction: Twins $1.62

The Twins have been in outstanding form of late, winning 8 of their last 10 contests, compared to an indifferent 5-5 run from Atlanta. Jose Berrios has also been money at home all season and I expect him to contain Atlanta here. If the Twins offence can keep firing, they look decent value at $1.62 in this one.

Tuesday, August 6

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers, 9:05 am
Brewers $1.74

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates have been in an absolute rut of late, winning just 2 of their last 16 contests to sit 48-63. They’ve been slightly better in front of their home fans, going 24-28 at home this season. Josh Bell has been their only offensive player of note, dominating proceedings with 27 home runs and 89 RBI on the campaign. The Pirates haven’t announced a probable pitcher for this clash.

Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers remain in wildcard contention, now just above .500 at 57-56. They do have a relatively poor road record, going just 24-32 on the campaign. Right Fielder Christian Yelich is enjoying an elite campaign, leading the squad with 37 home runs and 82 RBI. Jordan Lyles will pitch here, going 1-0 with a 1.8 ERA in his lone start as a Brewer.

Prediction: Brewers $1.74

Revenge angles are some of the best to bet on and I think Jordan Lyles will want to get one over on his former side here. The Pittsburgh offence is too reliant on Bell and I can see them struggling again here. With a strong and talented batting lineup, I think Milwaukee scores enough here to take the road win at solid value.

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees, 9:05 am
Yankees -1.5

Baltimore Orioles

The Orioles got a rare win last time out, beating Toronto to move to 38-73. They have had an atrocious home record all season, going just 17-38. Nunez and Mancini have formed a decent offensive duo, both eclipsing 25 home runs and 60 RBI. A probable pitcher hasn’t been announced for this one.

New York Yankees

Baseball’s glamour side have been in excellent form, now sitting at an impressive 72-39. They’ve been a solid side outside of Yankee Stadium, going 29-21 in road tilts this season. Short Stop Gleyber Torres has been particularly impressive of late, second on the team with 23 home runs and 62 RBI. The Yankees are yet to announce a probable pitcher for this one.

Prediction: Yankees -1.5

Realistically, this is one of the bigger mismatches you’ll see in the majors all season. The Orioles pitching staff has struggled all year and I don’t think they can contain a well-rounded Yankees offence here. I expect a high-scoring outing and relatively strong pitching for New York here, which means good value on the -1.5 run line.

Monday, August 5

Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago White Sox, 3:05 am
Phillies $1.60

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies have been decent but unspectacular this season, going 58-52 so far. Their home form has been particularly strong, going an impressive 34-25 in games played in Philly. Right Fielder Bryce Harper is the man to watch offensively, leading the team with 73 RBI in his first season in Philly. Drew Smyly will pitch here, going 1-0 with a 0.69 ERA in his 13 innings so far.

Chicago White Sox

The White Sox have had a disappointing campaign to date, sitting well outside the playoff mix at 47-61. Their road form has been disastrous, going just 20-33 on the campaign. 1st Baseman Jose Abreu is still an excellent offensive weapon, leading the club with 23 home runs and 77 RBI. Reynaldo Lopez will pitch in this one, going a poor 5-9 with a 5.43 ERA this season.

Prediction: Phillies $1.60

This appears to be a mismatch in terms of both talent and motivation. Philly have a clear edge in the pitching battle here, with Smyly looking very impressive in limited action so far. Conversely, Lopez likely struggles against a stellar Philly attack, meaning $1.60 is strong value for the playoff contenders at home.

Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants, 5:10 am
Giants $2.15

Colorado Rockies

The Rockies have really tailed off after a bright start, now sitting at just 51-60. They’ve still been a solid outfit at home, sitting just above .500 at 28-27. 3rd Baseman Nolan Arenado has really carried the team offensively, leading the way with 22 home runs and 81 RBI this campaign. Kyle Freeland will pitch in this one, going a dreadful 2-9 with a 7.48 ERA this season.

San Francisco Giants

The G-Men have had a resurgent second half of the campaign, now above .500 at 56-55. They’ve been a particularly strong road side, boasting a solid 31-27 away record this season. Center Fielder Kevin Pillar deserves a lot of credit for this offensive renaissance, leading the way with 56 RBI. Tyler Beede will pitch here, going 3-5 with a 5.01 ERA this season.

Prediction: Giants $2.15

Especially with how the Giants have been playing of late, it’s tough to see why Colorado are such strong favourites here. Freeland has struggled immensely this campaign and I see no relief for him against a stellar Giants offence. I think Beede and the bullpen are capable of a stellar display for SF here, which makes them good value to get another outright road win as underdogs.

Sunday, August 4

Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds, 9:20 am
Braves $1.74

Atlanta Braves

The Braves have quietly flown under the radar, enjoying a very strong 65-46 record to date. Freddie Freeman has been their main man offensively, leading the way with 26 home runs and 85 RBI. Ronald Acuna has also been an immense contributor, adding 26 home runs and 66 RBI of his own. Dallas Keuchel will pitch in this one, going 3-4 with a 3.86 ERA this season.

Cincinnati Reds

The Reds look likely to miss the playoffs this season, sitting just 51-57. This is despite another strong campaign from Eugenio Suarez, who has put up 29 home runs and 71 RBI. Controversial Yasiel Puig has also enjoyed a solid campaign, adding 22 home runs and 61 RBI of his own. Ace Sonny Gray will pitch here, going 6-6 with a 3.45 ERA to date.

Prediction: Braves $1.74

I think the Braves are comfortably the better of these two sides and they’ll be looking to right yesterday’s loss. Gray is a solid but unspectacular pitcher, who I believe the Braves offence will have no trouble dispatching. If we get a decent home display from Keuchel, I really like Atlanta at strong $1.74 odds.

Oakland A’s vs St Louis Cardinals, 11:05 am
A's $1.70

Oakland A’s

The A’s have turned their season around, now well in playoff contention at 62-48. 3rd Baseman Matt Chapman has been the man offensively, leading the squad with 24 home runs and 64 RBI. Ramon Laureano has been a capable deputy, adding 21 home runs and 58 RBI of his own. No probable pitcher has been announced to start this one for Oakland.

St Louis Cardinals

The Cards have had a solid but unspectacular campaign, now sitting at 58-50. They’ve been in particularly good form of late, getting series wins over Cincinnati, Pittsburgh, and the Chicago Cubs. Paul Goldschmidt has been the driving force behind this run, going off for 25 home runs and 58 RBI. Dakota Hudson will pitch in this one, going 10-5 with a decent 3.88 ERA so far.

Prediction: A’s $1.70

With how well they’ve been playing of late, it’s tough to fade the A’s at home at such a solid price. Their pitching staff has been in great form, especially their excellent relief staff. If Chapman, Laureano and Co. can get things going on offence, I like another home win for Oakland here.

Saturday, August 3

Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets, 9:05 am
Mets $1.88

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates enter this one in atrocious form, winning just 1 of their last 11 to sit 47-61. Who knows where they’d be without Josh Bell, who leads the squad with 27 home runs and 88 RBI. Starling Marte is the next best contributor, with 18 home runs and 60 RBI to his name. Trevor Williams will pitch here, going 3-4 with a 4.77 ERA this season.

New York Mets

Despite their inconsistent recent form, the Mets still remain in the wildcard race at 53-55. Pete Alonso has boasted a very stellar campaign so far, leading the squad with 34 home runs and 77 RBI. Right Fielder Michael Conforto has also stepped up, coming in second with 21 home runs and 57 RBI. Steven Matz will pitch in this one, going a pedestrian 6-6 with a 4.32 ERA so far.

Prediction: Mets $1.88

With the form Pittsburgh are in, they’re a very tough side to put your money on at nearly even odds. I think the Mets edge them in both the batting and pitching departments and can really get after Williams in this one. If Matz has another solid display on the road, this $1.88 price looks very appealing indeed.

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox, 9:05 am
Yankees $1.77

New York Yankees

The Yankees enter this historic clash in some solid form, sitting 68-39 for the campaign. The batting lineup has been consistent and versatile, with 4 players eclipsing 50 RBI on the season. DJ LeMahieu leads the side with 71 RBI, while Gary Sanchez has gone for an impressive 24 homers. James Paxton will pitch in this one, going a relatively poor 5-6 with a 4.72 ERA so far this season.

Boston Red Sox

The Sox have rebounded nicely from a poor start to the campaign, looking like a strong playoff contender at 59-51. Xander Bogaerts led this renaissance, going for an impressive 25 home runs and 84 RBI. 3rd Baseman Rafael Devers has also been instrumental, adding 21 home runs and 84 RBI of his own. Eduardo Rodriguez will pitch here, going a strong 13-4 despite a surprisingly high 4.13 ERA.

Prediction: Yankees $1.77

Despite a very good record this season, I believe Rodriguez’ numbers are fools gold and that he’s overrated in the betting market. The star-studded Yankees attack should really get after him here and I’ve got confidence in a strong outing from Paxton at home. Combine that with a very strong bullpen and the Yankees look like strong value to open this series with a win.

Friday, August 2

St Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs, 9:15 am
Cubs $2.15

St Louis Cardinals

The Cardinals appear to be on an upward trend of late, currently sitting at 57-49. Star 1st Baseman Paul Goldschmidt is in very solid form, putting up 25 home runs to go with 58 RBI. Short Stop Paul DeJong has also impressed, adding 18 home runs and 50 RBI of his own. Jack Flaherty is slated to pitch here, going a pedestrian 4-6 with a 4.17 ERA so far.

Chicago Cubs

The Cubs have had a very similar season to their opponents, sitting at 56-50 so far. 1st Baseman Anthony Rizzo remains an elite offensive contributor, going for 21 home runs and 79 RBI on the campaign. He has been complimented nicely by Short Stop Javier Baez, who has 25 home runs and 69 RBI of his own. Ace Jon Lester will pitch in this one, going 9-6 with a 3.63 ERA on the campaign.

Prediction: Cubs $2.15

Even as the road underdog, I really fancy the Cubs in this one. Lester is still one of the best pitchers in the league and I think he can contain a top-heavy St Louis lineup. If Flaherty’s struggles continue against Chicago’s strong hitting, this $2.15 price represents very good value.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres, 12:10 pm
Dodgers $1.50

Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers are looking every bit like world series contenders, going 71-39 to this point. Cody Bellinger keeps making the headlines, dominating opposing pitchers with 34 home runs and 80 RBI this campaign. Max Muncy has also been in incredible form of late, totalling 26 home runs and 70 RBI of his own. Ace Clayton Kershaw will pitch here, going an outstanding 9-2 with a 2.85 ERA this season.

San Diego Padres

The Padres have really fallen out of the playoff mix, now sitting at just 50-57. Left Fielder Hunter Renfroe is still supplying the big hits, putting up a clubhouse-leading 29 home runs to go with 58 RBI. Short Stop Manny Machado has also been stellar, adding 26 home runs and 67 RBI of his own. Joey Lucchesi will pitch in this one, going 7-5 with a 4.12 ERA through 111 innings.

Prediction: Dodgers $1.50

Despite a relatively low price, it’s tough to fade Kershaw with this lineup at home. With the playoffs getting further and further out of reach, I’m not sure we’ll see the same fight from San Diego here. Expect another Kershaw and Bellinger home masterclass as LA comfortably cruise to a home victory.

Thursday, August 1

New York Yankees vs Arizona Diamondbacks, 3:05 am
Yankees $1.74

New York Yankees

Baseball’s glamour side are enjoying an excellent regular season, currently sitting at 67-39. Their form has admittedly dipped somewhat of late, winning just 3 of their last 9 contests. Gary Sanchez leads the side with 24 home runs in just 77 appearances, while DJ LeMahieu has also impressed with 71 RBI and a .332 average. Ace Masahiro Tanaka will pitch here, going 7-6 with a 4.79 ERA through 120 innings this season.

Arizona Diamondbacks

The Diamondbacks have been consistently inconsistent, sitting at 54-54 through 108 games. 3rd Baseman Eduardo Escobar has provided solid offensive production, going for 22 home runs and 80 RBI so far. Ketel Marte has also impressed when called upon, adding 23 home runs and 65 RBI of his own. Zack Greinke continues to look like one of baseball’s best pitchers, going a stellar 10-4 with a 2.79 ERA.

Prediction: Yankees $1.74

Despite coming up against Greinke, I’m confident the Yankees versatile batting lineup has what it takes here. Tanaka is still a very solid pitcher at this level and should be able to contain a top-heavy Arizona lineup. Combine that with an excellent home field and the Yankees look like good value at $1.74.

Philadelphia Phillies vs San Francisco Giants, 9:05 am
Phillies $1.74

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies remain in playoff contention, with some impressive recent play moving them to 56-50. Bryce Harper has missed just 1 game all season, going for 18 home runs and 72 RBI in his first year with Philly. 1st Baseman Rhys Hoskins is also having an elite hitting season, going for 23 home runs and 68 RBI of his own. Vince Velasquez will pitch here, going a poor 3-5 with a 4.46 ERA so far.

San Francisco Giants

The Giants tremendous run of form has them in the wildcard mix at 54-53. Center Fielder Kevin Pillar has been especially impressive, now leading the squad with 54 RBI. 3rd Basemen Longoria and Sandoval have ensured the home runs keep coming, tying for the team lead with 13 each. Jeff ‘The Shark’ Samardzija will pitch in this one, going 7-8 with a 3.95 ERA on the campaign.

Prediction: Phillies $1.74

While the Giants have been fantastic of late, I think this is mainly smoke and mirrors that has overvalued them in the betting market. The Phillies are an excellent home side and I’m not sure Samardzija can contain them here. If we get even an average display from Velasquez, the value is on Philly in this one.