Pittsburgh Pirates
The Pirates continue to struggle, with a poor series against the Cubs moving them to 51-72. They’ve been a terrible home side all season, compiling a record of just 25-34. Starling Marte does deserve some credit, supporting Josh Bell nicely with 20 home runs and 69 RBI. Trevor Williams is slated to pitch here, going 5-5 with a 5.25 ERA so far.
Washington Nationals
The Nats enter this one in strong form, with yesterday’s win moving them to 67-56. They’ve been an above average road side, going 32-30 on their travels this season. Rendon and Soto have carried the offence all season, the two combining for 55 home runs and 180 RBI. Joe Ross is projected to pitch here, going 3-3 with a 5.91 ERA.
Prediction: Nationals $1.77
With the Pirates season all but over, I think Washington loom as good value in this one. This is a relatively even pitching matchup, although their deeper and more versatile batting lineup gives them the edge. Especially with Pittsburgh’s poor home record, a strong day from Joe Ross should get them the win here.
Texas Rangers
The Rangers are falling out of the playoff mix, now sitting at 60-64. They’ve still been a solid home side, going 35-26 in front of their home fans. They lack a real dangerous offensive threat, with Rougned Odor’s 66 RBI still leading the way. Kolby Allard will pitch here, having gone 1-0 with a 4.5 ERA through 10 innings so far.
LA Angels
The Angels are in a similar boat as their opponents, now 62-64 on the season. They’ve been slightly below par on the road overall, going just 29-33 away from home. Mike Trout deserves a ton of credit for his 41 home runs and 96 RBI, while big Albert Pujols comes in second with 70 RBI. Dillon Peters looks set to pitch here, going 3-1 with a 3.38 ERA so far.
Prediction: Under 11 runs $2
With 2 strong pitchers in this matchup, I’m very inclined to go under a relatively high total of 11. The Rangers offence has also been very inconsistent this season, while LA are heavily reliant on Trout. I see a relatively low scoring affair in this one, likely ending in the 7-9 run range. Especially getting strong $2 odds, the under is definitely the value play here.