Detroit Tigers

The Tigers are mired in an atrocious campaign, going just 39-89 so far. They’ve been especially poor at home, compiling a 17-44 record in Detroit. Their recent form hasn’t been any better, managing just 3 wins in their last 11 games. Spencer Turnbull is slated to pitch here, sporting a poor 3-12 record and a 4.05 ERA.

Cleveland Indians

The Indians are in the midst of a much better campaign, going 76-55 so far. They’ve put in solid displays on the road all season, compiling a 35-28 record on their travels. Their recent form has slipped somewhat, winning just 4 of their last 10 matches. Adam Plutko is scheduled to pitch here, going 5-3 with a 4.54 ERA so far.

Prediction: Indians $1.70

The Tigers have been dreadful all season and don’t have any motivation to turn it around here. Plutko hasn’t pulled up any trees so far, yet he is still more than enough against an anaemic Detroit offence. Combine that with another solid hitting day from the Indians and you get excellent value at $1.70.

New York Mets

The midst are in the midst of a mediocre campaign, still in the playoff hunt at 67-63. They’ve been a very solid outfit at home, going 37-24 in front of their home fans. 1^st Baseman Pete Alonso has passed a few more milestones, reaching 40 Home Runs and 100 RBI on the season. Marcus Stroman will pitch here, going 1-0 with a 4.58 ERA in 19 innings since his acquisition.

Chicago Cubs

The Cubs are also enjoying a decent campaign, 2^nd in the NL Central at 69-61. They have had their share of road struggles, compiling a poor 25-39 road record. Their recent form has been indifferent, going .500 over their last 10. Yu Darvish is slated to pitch here, going 4-6 with a 4.43 ERA so far.

Prediction: Mets $1.88

The home/road split between these two sides is astounding and I give the Mets a big home field edge here. Alonso is leading a strong batting lineup that will have their chances to get after Darvish here. Stroman has been inconsistent this season, although I expect a better display in front of his home fans here. I can see something in the vicinity of 5-3 New York, making $1.88 look like great value.

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies find themselves 3^rd in the NL East at 67-62 after a loss to Miami last time out. Their form at home has largely been good this season, compiling a 38-29 record. They had been on a decent run of late, winning 7 of 10 before yesterday’s defeat. Jason Vargas is slated to pitch here, going 0-1 with a 3.91 ERA through 23 innings.

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates are rooted at the bottom of the NL Central, now 55-75 on the season. They’ve largely struggled on the road all year, compiling a record of just 26-38. Their recent form hasn’t been particularly strong either, winning just 4 of their last 10 contests. Joe Musgrove will pitch here, going 8-12 with a 4.74 ERA through 142 innings.

Prediction: Phillies $1.74

On paper, this looks like a very routine win for Philly to me. They’ve got a talent edge almost everywhere on the field and a strong home field advantage. Vargas looks to be undervalued by the market, although his numbers are solid through 23 innings. I expect the Philly offence to get after Musgrove here, which should ultimately be the difference at $1.74.

San Diego Padres

The Padres find themselves 4^th in the NL West at 60-69. Their home form hasn’t been great, going just 30-35 in San Diego this season. They appear quite unlikely to make the playoffs, winning just 4 of their last 10 games. Eric Lauer is slated to pitch here, going 6-8 with a 4.47 ERA through 118 innings.

LA Dodgers

Things have looked up for the Dodgers all year, who sit atop the NL West at 86-46. They’ve been solid but unspectacular on the road, going 34-29 so far. They’ve gone 6-4 in their last 10 games, losing a poor one to the Yankees last time out. They’re yet to announce a starting pitcher for this one, although their starters have generally all had productive seasons.

Prediction: Dodgers $1.60

Although the Dodgers haven’t been dominant on the road this season, San Diego also lack a huge home field advantage. The Dodgers offence has been excellent this year and Bellinger an Co should have a field day against Lauer. San Diego’s offence has generally struggled for RBI this year and likely has difficulty keeping up. Combine all of these factors and LA look like excellent value at $1.60.

Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers are currently 3^rd in the NL Central at a middling 67-62. They’ve been strong at home this season, compiling a 38-26 record so far. Christian Yelich is enjoying an other-worldly campaign, leading the squad with 41 home runs and 89 RBI. Zach Davies will pitch here, going 8-6 with a 3.74 ERA this season.

Arizona Diamondbacks

The Diamondbacks find themselves second in the NL West, below .500 at 64-66. They’ve been a decent road side so far, going .500 at 34-34. Eduardo Escobar has been their main man offensively, putting up 28 home runs and 100 RBI. Robbie Ray will pitch here, going 10-7 with a 3.99 ERA so far.

Prediction: Brewers $1.92

I think the Brewers match up slightly better here than the D-Backs and also have a strong home field advantage. Davies has been a very good pitcher this season and I expect him to contain the Arizona offence. If Yelich and Co can deliver offensively, even money for a win looks very appealing indeed.

St Louis Cardinals

The Cardinals are now atop the NL Central at a solid 70-58. They’ve done the business at home this season, compiling a 39-24 record in St Louis. Marcell Ozuna has been impressive since his return from injury, leading the team with 74 RBI. Michael Wacha will pitch here, going 6-6 with a 5.22 ERA through 98 innings.

Colorado Rockies

The Rockies are now in the NL West cellar at 58-72. Their road form has been abysmal all season, going just 25-43. Nolan Arenado is one of few bright spots, leading the team with 32 home runs and 99 RBI. Antonio Senzatela will pitch here, going 8-7 with a 6.29 ERA so far.

Prediction: Cardinals $1.62

These are two sides travelling in the opposite direction, with St Louis having a huge motivational edge. They’ve also been a stellar home side all season, while Colorado have struggled mightily on the road. Assuming their offence can get after Senzatela here, they look very likely to get a home win at $1.62.

Miami Marlins

The Marlins are in the midst of another poor campaign, going just 46-81 so far. They typically win around 40% of their home games, going 26-39 on the season. They managed an impressive 19 runs in a rare win yesterday, Starlin Castro leading the way with 5 RBI. Jordan Yamamoto is slated to pitch here, going 4-4 with a 4.31 ERA so far.

Philadelphia Phillies

Philly have been solid but unspectacular so far, compiling a 66-61 record. Their road performances have somewhat let them down, going just 28-33. Bryce Harper is enjoying a strong first season in Philly, leading the squad with 24 home runs and 97 RBI. Big Zach Eflin gets the pitching start here, going 7-11 with a 4.57 ERA so far.

Prediction: Phillies $1.80

Philly are still right in the playoff mix, while Miami have nothing to play for at this time. They’ve been a poor home side all season and Yamamoto’s form has definitely slipped of late. If Eflin can deliver even an average performance here, I really like Philly at strong $1.80 odds.

San Diego Padres

The Padres are currently 4^th in the NL West at 59-68. They’ve struggled at home all season, compiling a 29-34 record so far. Eric Hosmer leads the squad with 82 RBI, while Hunter Renfroe has an impressive 31 home runs. Dinelson Lamet will pitch in this one, going 2-2 with a 3.95 ERA on the campaign.

Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox currently sit 3^rd in the AL East with a solid 69-61 record. They’ve been very good on the road, going 35-27 away from Fenway Park. Rafael Devers has really impressed of late, leading the clubhouse with 27 home runs and 102 RBI. Nathan Eovaldi will pitch here, going 1-0 with a 6.69 ERA through 36 innings so far.

Prediction: Red Sox $1.88

Much like with Philadelphia, I think Boston has infinitely more to play for than their opponents here. They’ve showed a ton of recent quality on offence and I expect them to get after Lamet here. Eovaldi hasn’t been great so far, although given the small sample size I’ve got no issue backing him. He can contain a relatively anaemic Padres offence, which should ultimately be enough for the $1.88 win.

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates continue to struggle this season, now sitting at just 52-75. Their home form hasn’t been great either, going 26-37 on the campaign. Josh Bell continues to be their only offensive weapon, going for 31 home runs and 99 RBI so far. Mitch Keller will pitch here, going 1-2 with a dreadful 8.86 ERA so far.

Cincinnati Reds

Despite a disappointing season, the Reds are still a respectable 60-66. Their road form has really killed them, going just 23-35 so far. 3^rd Baseman Eugenio Suarez has really come on of late, leading the clubhouse with 34 home runs and 78 RBI. Anthony DeSclafani will pitch here, going 8-7 with a 4.4 ERA so far.

Prediction: Reds $1.92

I think the Reds are comfortably the better side here and should really be the favourites in this one. Pittsburgh lack a real home field advantage and Mitch Keller has struggled mightily so far. I expect a solid day from DeSclafani and a strong hitting performance from Suarez and co to get the win here.

Minnesota Twins

The Twins are in the midst of an absolutely stellar campaign, currently sitting at 77-50. They’ve done most of their damage on the road but can still boast a strong 37-28 home record. Kepler and Cruz are really forming a dynamic duo offensively, each man eclipsing 33 home runs and 80 RBI on the season. Jose Berrios will pitch here, going 10-6 with a 3.37 ERA.

Detroit Tigers

Perhaps the most miserable side in baseball, the Tigers enter this contest at 36-87. They’ve been slightly better on the road, but still sport a 21-44 record. They finally got an offensive achievement last week with Miguel Cabrera the first player to reach 50 RBI. Matthew Boyd is slated to pitch here, going 6-9 with a 4.24 ERA so far.

Prediction: Twins $1.50

While the Twins are at a very short price here, all the stats indicate they should be even shorter. Berrios is one of the better pitchers in this league and shouldn’t have any difficulty containing this anaemic offense. Conversely, the Twins batting lineup has shown some real quality all season and I’m not sure Boyd can match up with them.

Chicago Cubs

The Cubs have been in strong form of late, now 10 games above .500 at 68-58. They’ve been an excellent home side all season, compiling a 43-19 record. Javier Baez remains their chief offensive contributor, going for 28 home runs and 81 RBI so far. Kyle Hendricks is slated to pitch here, sporting an 8-9 record with a 3.37 ERA.

San Francisco Giants

The Giants have been solid but unspectacular of late, exactly .500 at 63-63. They are generally a better side on the road, going 34-31 so far. Kevin Pillar continues to impress offensively, leading the way with 18 home runs and 68 RBI. Jeff Samardzija will pitch in this one, going 9-9 with a 3.54 ERA this season.

Prediction: Cubs $1.60

Given their outstanding record at home this season, I do really like the Cubs at this solid price point. Hendricks has a very strong ERA despite an average record and I expect him to contain this anaemic Giants offence. If Baez and Co can step up on the other end, $1.60 looks like very good value for the Cubs.

Chicago White Sox

The White Sox are basically playing out the string, now sitting at 57-69. They’re certainly a better side at home, going .500 through 62 games. 1^st Baseman Jose Abreu is having a truly elite campaign, leading the team with 28 home runs and 96 RBI. Ross Detwiler will pitch here, going 1-3 with a 6.1 ERA in 41 innings during his time in Chicago.

Texas Rangers

Texas are in danger of slipping out of the playoff race, now at a precarious 62-65. Their road form is nothing to write home about, just 25-38 on the campaign. They’ve also been in a bit of a recent form slump, winning just 3 of their last 10 contests. Ariel Jurado will pitch here, going 6-9 with a 5.38 ERA this season.

Prediction: Rangers $1.85

This is quite a tough one to predict, but I have to go with the side that is still well in the playoff mix. Despite fading of late, Jurado started the season strongly and could recover that form against a top-heavy batting lineup. Detwiler has been an awful pitcher of late and Texas should also be able to get after him here. The real price should be somewhere around $1.75, so I’ll gladly take the extra 10 cents of value.

Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox have been slumping of late, but still find themselves in a decent position at 67-59. They’ve been a surprisingly weak side at home, going just 33-32 at Fenway Park. Rafael Devers has become the main man offensively, putting up 27 home runs and an impressive 101 RBI. Rick Porcello will pitch in this one, going 11-9 despite a high 5.49 ERA.

Philadelphia Phillies

Not much has changed in Philly, still hanging around the playoffs at 64-60. Their road record has been pretty poor so far, going just 26-32 on the season. Harper and Hoskins continue to form a dynamic offensive duo, combining for 50 home runs and 160 RBI. Drew Smyly will pitch here, going 1-1 with a 4.71 ERA through 28 innings.

Prediction: Red Sox $1.60

Currently 3^rd in the AL East, this is a game the Red Sox need to win for their playoff hopes. I’ve been impressed with their offence of late and think they’ve definitely got the talent to get after Smyly here. Porcello tends to pitch better at home and a strong performance from him here should all but wrap things up at $1.60.

Oakland A’s

The A’s are in the midst of a surprisingly impressive campaign, going 71-53 so far. Their home record is second to none, going 40-24 in the Coliseum this season. 3^rd Baseman Matt Chapman has been outstanding all season, leading the team with 29 home runs and 70 RBI. Mike Fiers will pitch here, going a very strong 11-3 with a 3.46 ERA through 153 innings.

New York Yankees

The Yankees are having a predictably excellent season, finding themselves 83-43 so far. They’ve got no problems doing business on the road, going 34-23 away from Yankee Stadium. Gleyber Torres leads the side with a solid 29 home runs, while 86 RBI from DJ LeMahieu have been invaluable. JA Happ is slated to pitch here, going 10-7 with a high 5.4 ERA so far.

Prediction: A’s $1.88

While the Yankees are undoubtedly a tough opponent, the A’s have been one of the best home sides in baseball this season. Mike Fiers has been an excellent pitcher all year long and I think he can really contain New York in this one. JA Happ has definitely fallen off of late and could struggle in a tough environment against a deep lineup. If Oakland’s hitters are up for this, I really like the juicy $1.88 odds.

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates continue to struggle, with a poor series against the Cubs moving them to 51-72. They’ve been a terrible home side all season, compiling a record of just 25-34. Starling Marte does deserve some credit, supporting Josh Bell nicely with 20 home runs and 69 RBI. Trevor Williams is slated to pitch here, going 5-5 with a 5.25 ERA so far.

Washington Nationals

The Nats enter this one in strong form, with yesterday’s win moving them to 67-56. They’ve been an above average road side, going 32-30 on their travels this season. Rendon and Soto have carried the offence all season, the two combining for 55 home runs and 180 RBI. Joe Ross is projected to pitch here, going 3-3 with a 5.91 ERA.

Prediction: Nationals $1.77

With the Pirates season all but over, I think Washington loom as good value in this one. This is a relatively even pitching matchup, although their deeper and more versatile batting lineup gives them the edge. Especially with Pittsburgh’s poor home record, a strong day from Joe Ross should get them the win here.

Texas Rangers

The Rangers are falling out of the playoff mix, now sitting at 60-64. They’ve still been a solid home side, going 35-26 in front of their home fans. They lack a real dangerous offensive threat, with Rougned Odor’s 66 RBI still leading the way. Kolby Allard will pitch here, having gone 1-0 with a 4.5 ERA through 10 innings so far.

LA Angels

The Angels are in a similar boat as their opponents, now 62-64 on the season. They’ve been slightly below par on the road overall, going just 29-33 away from home. Mike Trout deserves a ton of credit for his 41 home runs and 96 RBI, while big Albert Pujols comes in second with 70 RBI. Dillon Peters looks set to pitch here, going 3-1 with a 3.38 ERA so far.

Prediction: Under 11 runs $2

With 2 strong pitchers in this matchup, I’m very inclined to go under a relatively high total of 11. The Rangers offence has also been very inconsistent this season, while LA are heavily reliant on Trout. I see a relatively low scoring affair in this one, likely ending in the 7-9 run range. Especially getting strong $2 odds, the under is definitely the value play here.