Baltimore Orioles

The Orioles are in the midst of an awful season, going 46-94 and sitting 5^th in the AL East. They’ve gone a very poor 22-47 at home this season, winning 4 of their last 10 overall. 3^rd Baseman Renato Nunez has impressed offensively, going for 29 home runs and 80 RBI on the season. Dylan Bundy is slated to pitch here, going 6-13 with a 4.96 ERA through 138 innings.

Texas Rangers

The Rangers are an average 69-73, currently sitting 3^rd in the AL West. They’ve gone just 29-44 on the road this season and managed 5 wins in their last 10 overall. Rougned Odor has been their main offensive weapon, going for 22 home runs and 71 RBI overall. Brock Burke will pitch in this one, going 0-1 with a 1.5 ERA through his 18 innings.

Prediction: Rangers $2.10

Although Burke is somewhat inexperienced, I struggle to see why Baltimore are favoured here. They’ve been one of the worst home sides in the league all season and Bundy is an average at best pitcher. Their batting lineup also isn’t all that inspiring, with Nunez and Mancini offering the only resistance. If the Texas offence can fire in this one, I really like them as road underdogs.

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates are a relatively poor 61-79, a record that has them in the NL Central cellar. They’ve gone just 30-39 at home on the season, although they do have a positive 6-4 record in their last 10. Josh Bell is the obvious offensive standout, going for 36 home runs and 112 RBI so far. Joe Musgrove looks set to start this one, going 9-12 with a 4.67 ERA through 154 innings.

St Louis Cardinals

The Cardinals have gone 79-61 this season, good for top spot in the NL Central. They’re a somewhat poor 33-35 on the road, although they’ve been in strong form, going 7-3 over their last 10. 1^st Baseman Paul Goldschmidt has excelled of late, going for 29 home runs and 79 RBI on the year. Miles Mikolas will pitch here, going just 8-13 with a 4.32 ERA so far.

Prediction: Cardinals $1.77

While these odds seem relatively fair, I think the situation really favours the Cardinals here. They are the much more motivated side and have huge playoff implications in this one. Pittsburgh have struggled at home all season and Musgrove hasn’t pulled up any trees. If we get even a decent road performance from Mikolas, this is a value play that cashes more often than not.

Kansas City Royals

The Royals are in the midst of another pedestrian campaign, going just 51-89 to sit 4^th in the AL Central. They’re a relatively poor 29-43 at home this year, managing to go .500 over their last 10 overall. Jorge Soler is their main man offensively, putting up 40 home runs and 101 RBI so far. Glenn Sparkman will pitch here, going a poor 3-10 with a 5.86 ERA.

Detroit Tigers

The Tigers have had an even worse campaign, going just 40-97 to sit last in their division. They’ve gone just 22-48 on the road this season and won just 1 of their last 10 matches overall. Miguel Cabrera is one of their few offensive weapons, leading the squad with 53 RBI on the season. Matt Boyd will pitch in this one, going 7-10 with a 4.58 ERA.

Prediction: Royals $2

In a matchup between two awful sides, I’ll take the slightly better one at home at decent $2 odds. The Royals have the significantly better offence of the two sides and should be able to get after Boyd here. Sparkman hasn’t been fantastic although he is usually better at home and comes up against a weak offence in this one. Combine that with Detroit’s dreadful form and road record and I quite like KC as underdogs.

Tampa Bay Rays

The Rays have been impressive this year, going 83-59 to sit 2^nd in the division. They’re a decent 39-32 in home games, winning 6 of their last 10 games overall. Right Fielder Austin Meadows has produced offensively, leading the way with 26 home runs and 73 RBI. Austin Pruitt will pitch here, going 2-0 with a 4.78 ERA through 37 innings.

Toronto Blue Jays

Baseball hasn’t been kind to Toronto this year, a 55-85 record sitting them 4^th in the AL East. They’ve been a pedestrian 28-43 on the road, managing wins in just 3 of their last 10 games. Center Fielder Grichuk has stepped up offensively, leading the squad with 24 home runs and 62 RBI. Trent Thornton is slated to pitch here, going 4-9 with a 5.34 ERA through 129 innings.

Prediction: Rays $1.50

In one of the bigger mismatches of the day, I really like another home win for Tampa. Thornton has been especially poor on the road this season and I see him struggling against an improving Tampa offence. The Jays have been dreadful on the road so far and their struggling offence should get little relief against Pruitt. Tampa hasn’t been the best home side this season, but with all their matchup advantages I just can’t see them losing here.

Cincinnati Reds

A poor campaign sees Cincinnati 4^th in the NL Central with a record of 64-75. They are a solid 37-33 at home this season, although they’ve won just 4 of their last 10 overall. Eugenio Suarez is the man to watch offensively, comfortably leading his side with 40 home runs and 87 RBI. Trevor Bauer is slated to pitch here, going a rather poor 1-4 with an 8.4 ERA through 30 innings this season.

Philadelphia Phillies

A solid but unspectacular campaign from Philly sees them 3^rd in the NL East at 72-65. They’ve been a pedestrian 31-34 on the road this season, still managing to win 6 of their last 10 overall. Right Fielder Bryce Harper has really come good of late, leading the squad with 30 home runs and 100 RBI. Aaron Nola will pitch here, going a strong 12-4 with a 3.45 ERA through a 175-inning sample size.

Prediction: Phillies $1.77

I think the Phillies are the better of these two sides and that they’ve got much more to play for here. I especially like the pitching matchup, with Nola likely to contain a relatively anaemic offence. Bauer hasn’t filled anyone with confidence of late and I can’t see anything but a tough day at the offence for him. Especially with some solid recent form from Philly, I expect a well-rounded performance to lead to another road win here.

St Louis Cardinals

A strong campaign from St Louis sees them atop the NL Central at 78-60 so far. They’ve gone an outstanding 45-25 at home this season, winning 8 of their last 10 matches to boot. Left Fielder Marcell Ozuna has been immense when healthy, putting up 25 home runs and 78 RBI. Michael Wacha is likely to start here, going an average 6-6 with a 5.07 ERA through 110 innings so far.

San Francisco Giants

A recent dip in form has seen the G-Men slip to 66-72 and 3^rd position in the NL West. They’re a decent 36-34 on the road this season, although they’ve managed just 3 wins in their last 10 matches overall. Kevin Pillar has been one of few bright spots offensively, leading the clubhouse with 20 home runs and 75 RBI. Ace Madison Bumgarner will pitch here, having rebounded nicely to enjoy a 9-8 record and 3.62 ERA through his 176 innings this season.

Prediction: Cardinals $1.85

St Louis is comfortably the better of these two sides and has a ton on the line in this matchup in terms of playoff seeding. Wacha has been solid but unspectacular this season, although coming up against an anaemic Giants offence should favour him. Bumgarner has been decent on the campaign, although this Cardinals offence is a different beast at home and should prove tough to contain. Ultimately, there is too much in St Louis’ favour for me to ignore them at home at $1.85.

Arizona Diamondbacks

The Diamondbacks find themselves 2^nd in the NL West, now at 70-67. They’ve been pretty average at home this season, going just 33-32 on the campaign. Eduardo Escobar is their main offensive weapon, going for 32 home runs and 109 RBI so far. Mike Leake is slated to pitch here, going 1-2 with a 6.59 ERA this season.

San Diego Padres

The Padres have had a poor campaign, now sitting 4^th in the NL West at 64-72. Their road form has been somewhat better than their home form, going 33-35 so far. Cal Quantrill is slated to pitch here, going 6-5 with a 3.99 ERA on the campaign.

Prediction: Diamondbacks $1.74

The Diamondbacks are the better of these two sides and the only ones with something left to play for. I like their offensive production of late and can see another successful outing against Quantrill. If Leake can deliver a solid display at home, $1.74 odds look like great value for money.

Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers are somehow still in playoff contention, now 3^rd in the NL Central and 70-66 overall. They’re a particularly solid home side, compiling a 39-29 record in Milwaukee this season. Right Fielder Christian Yelich is having a beastly offensive campaign, going for 42 home runs and 92 RBI so far. Adrian Houser will pitch here, going 6-5 with a 3.52 ERA this season.

Houston Astros

Houston are still atop the AL West with a healthy 89-49 record. They’ve won 38 of 70 road contests this season, emerging victorious in 8 of their last 10 overall matches. The stellar Gerrit Cole will pitch here, putting up an outstanding 15-5 record to match his 2.85 ERA through 170 innings.

Prediction: Astros $1.55

I’ve been high on Houston all season and this looks like another series where they’ve got a matchup advantage. Cole has been one of the best pitchers in the league and I expect him to prove too much for a top-heavy offense here. Houser has been largely inconsistent throughout, and I think a big offensive day from the Astros ultimately decides this one.

Blue Jays

Toronto are in the midst of a very poor campaign, now just 54-82. They’ve performed especially poorly at home, compiling a 26-41 record. Randal Grichuk is their premier offensive weapon, putting up 23 home runs and 59 RBI. Clay Bucholz will pitch here, going 0-3 with a 5.87 ERA as a Blue Jay.

Astros

The Astros are in the middle of one of the best seasons in baseball, currently 88-48. Their road record has been good but not great, going 37-31 so far. Yuri Gurriel continues to tear it up offensively, putting up 27 home runs and 95 RBI. Framber Valdez will pitch here, going 4-6 with a 5.14 ERA so far.

Prediction: Astros $1.56

One of the bigger mismatches in the whole league, I really like Houston in this one. Their offence is firing right now and really should be able to dominate Bucholz in this one. As long as Valdez can deliver a solid pitching performance, I like another Houston win here.

Tigers

The Tigers continue their dreadful campaign, now just 39-93 on the year. They’ve struggled mightily at home, going just 17-47. Cabrera leads the squad in RBI, managing just 50 through 116 games. Matt Boyd will pitch here, going 6-10 with a 4.47 ERA on the season.

Twins

Minnesota remain first in the division, now at 83-51. They’ve been dynamite on the road, going 44-22 outside of Minnesota. Cruz and Kepler have done an outstanding job offensively, combining for 68 home runs and 175 RBI. Martin Perez is slated to pitch here, going 9-5 with a 4.53 ERA so far.

Prediction: Twins $1.67

The Tigers continue to get overvalued in the betting market and I just can’t see why. Minnesota have a lot more to play for here and I can see their offence really getting after it in this one. Perez has been much better of late and shouldn’t have any issues against an anaemic Tigers offence. Combine these factors and $1.67 for one of baseball’s best road sides is great value.

Chicago Cubs

The Cubs find themselves 2^nd in the NL Central, now at 72-61. They’ve been particularly strong at home this season, going 44-22 in front of their home fans. Jose Quintana is slated to pitch here, going 11-8 this season with a 4.05 ERA.

Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers are now 3^rd in the NL Central, 3.5 games back at 68-65. Their road form has been pretty dicey this season, going just 29-36 in those games. Chase Anderson is slated to pitch here, going 6-3 with a 4.34 ERA so far.

Prediction: Cubs $1.67

The Cubs have been an elite home side all year, while Milwaukee have largely struggled on the road. This pitching matchup is relatively even, although I favour the Cubs’ bullpen and batting lineup. Especially in fighting for that wildcard spot, I expect a strong showing and home win for Chicago in this one.

Atlanta Braves

The Braves are comfortably atop the NL Central at 81-54. Their home record is slightly worse than their road one, going 39-27 on the year. Max Fried is slated to pitch here, going 14-4 with a 4.03 ERA so far this season.

Chicago White Sox

The Sox are currently 3^rd in the AL Central, sporting a poor 60-73 record. They’ve been pretty poor on the road all year, going just 27-38. Ivan Nova will pitch in this one, going 9-10 with a 4.37 ERA so far.

Prediction: Braves $1.50

This is another huge mismatch where I have to favour the dominant home side. Chicago have nothing to play for at this point, while Atlanta are keen to lock up a top playoff seed. Max Fried has been outstanding at home all year and should contain a top-heavy offence en route to a comfortable Atlanta win.

Oakland Athletics

The A’s are in the midst of a surprisingly solid campaign, going 76-56 so far. They’ve been in particularly good form of late, winning 9 of their last 13. 3^rd Baseman Matt Chapman has been their major offensive weapon, putting up 30 home runs and 74 RBI. Chris Bassitt is slated to pitch here, going 9-5 with a 3.59 ERA so far.

Kansas City Royals

Despite a rare win yesterday, the Royals still find themselves at 47-87. They’ve struggled mightily of late, managing just 4 wins in their last 14. Jorge Soler is their only offensive weapon of note, totalling 36 home runs and 93 RBI so far. Glenn Sparkman will pitch here, going 3-9 with a 5.52 ERA so far.

Prediction: Athletics $1.50

This is one of the bigger mismatches of the day, with Oakland having huge advantages all over the field. They’ve been excellent at home all season and I expect Bassitt to thrive in the pitcher friendly conditions. Sparkman has faded even further of late and I don’t think he has the juice to contain Oakland. Combine that with terrible recent form and road play from KC and $1.50 looks like strong value for the win.

Colorado Rockies

The Rockies have had a disappointing campaign so far, 5^th in the NL West at 59-75. Their recent form has been especially poor, winning just 3 of their last 11. Nolan Arenado has still enjoyed a decent campaign, putting up 34 home runs and 103 RBI. Chi Chi Gonzales will pitch here, having struggled to an 0-5 record and 6.43 ERA so far.

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates have been similarly disappointing, now at 56-77 on the campaign. They’ve been on a mini uptick of late, winning 4 of their last 6 games. Josh Bell remains their offensive standout, putting up 34 home runs and 106 RBI so far. Trevor Williams is slated to pitch here, going 6-6 with a 5.35 ERA this season.

Prediction: Rockies $1.92

Despite their poor form of late, I’d still say the Rockies are the better of these two sides. They’ve been much better at home this season, with the Pirates also largely struggling on the road. Chi Chi Gonzales has been poor so far, although a 1-man offence in Pittsburgh is a decent remedy for that. I expect the Colorado hitters to fire against Williams, which should prove enough here.

Miami Marlins

The Marlins have continued their awful campaign, sitting at just 47-84 on the season. They’ve been on an especially poor run of late, winning just 2 of their last 10 contests. Brian Anderson has emerged as their premier offensive threat, going for 20 home runs and 66 RBI on the season. Sandy Alcantara will pitch in this one, going 4-11 with a 4.15 ERA so far.

Cincinnati Reds

The Reds find themselves 4^th in the NL Central at 62-69. They’ve been on an average run of form, going .500 through their last 10. Eugenio Suarez has had an excellent offensive season, producing 37 home runs and 82 RBI. Anthony DeSclafani will pitch here, going 8-7 with a 4.27 ERA so far.

Prediction: Reds $1.67

Miami are in some real dreadful form and I’m not sure how they turn it around here. DeSclafani is a solid pitcher at this level who should contain their relatively anaemic offence. Suarez is also leading a much improved offence that I expect to prove too much for the inconsistent Alcantara here.

Houston Astros

The Astros are looking like strong world series contenders at 86-47. They’ve been on a good recent run, winning each of their last 5 contests. Alex Bregman remains their offensive leader, putting up 32 home runs and 90 RBI. Gerrit Cole is slated to pitch here, sporting an outstanding 15-5 record and 2.75 ERA.

Tampa Bay Rays

The Rays have also enjoyed a surprisingly strong campaign, currently sitting at 76-57. They’ve won just 2 of their last 8 games, including an embarrassing 15-1 defeat yesterday. Austin Meadows has been their main offensive threat, going for 23 home runs and 67 RBI on the season. Ryan Yarborough is scheduled to pitch here, having gone 11-3 with a 3.29 record so far.

Prediction: Astros $1.50

Despite Yarborough’s strong pitching record, I think Houston are still comfortably the better of these two sides. They’ve got a deep batting lineup that should still put up runs with relative ease and a pitcher in Cole who has been dynamite all year. Add in their elite home field advantage and you’ve got a squad who should continue their winning ways here.