Tampa Bay Rays
It hasn’t been a great start to the post-season for Tampa, who lost both games in Houston relatively comfortably. Their offence just couldn’t get going, managing just 3 total runs in 18 innings of action. They were a solid but unspectacular home team this year, compiling a 48-33 record. Charlie Morton is slated to pitch here, going 16-6 with a 3.05 ERA through 192 innings.
Houston Astros
Houston continued their excellent season with 2 comfortable home wins to start off. While the main story has been the pitching staff, both Alex Bregman and Jose Altuve have impressed offensively. They will now venture on the road, where they went 47-34 during the regular season. Zack Greinke is slated to pitch here, going an impressive 8-1 with a 3.02 ERA since joining Houston mid-season.
Prediction: Astros $1.65
I’ve rarely strayed from the Astros this season and can see them clinching a sweep in this spot. Greinke is as good as it gets for a #3 pitcher and I expect him to put the clamps on Tampa’s offence here. Morton is also very solid at this level, although Houston’s batters aren’t a great matchup for him. Ultimately, Houston has the talent edge offensively; which should prove enough here.
Minnesota Twins
Despite a ton of optimism coming into this post-season, the Twins are also facing an 0-2 deficit. They haven’t been competitive in either game so far, losing both by 6 runs. Their home record is actually worse than their road record this season, where they’re just 46-35. Jake Odorizzi returns to pitch here, going 15-7 with a 3.51 ERA through 159 innings.
New York Yankees
Baseball’s glamour side have started the post-season very well, earning 2 comfortable home wins. The offence has been particularly impressive, with DJ LeMahieu leading the way to 18 runs this series. They now have to travel away from Yankee Stadium, looking to build on their 46-35 road record. Luis Severino will pitch here, going 1-1 with a 1.5 ERA in just 12 innings this season.
Prediction: Twins $2.30
Getting that 3rd win when up 2-0 is never easy, especially against an opponent like Minnesota. Not only do the Twins have a raucous home crowd, they’ve also got a notable edge in the starting pitcher battle. Odorizzi has been remarkably consistent this season, while Severino has been largely untested. Minnesota has the talent offensively to get after him here and at least push this series to 4 games.