I’m liking the underdog Braves in this one, currently at tasty $2.35 odds.
Philly have had an incredibly disjointed season thus far and are only 4-6 in the games they’ve actually played.
Atlanta have looked far more competent this season, going 11-6 through 17 with a plus 27 run differential.
The Braves pitching staff has looked quite impressive during this series, containing Philly to an average of under 3 runs a game.
I don’t mind the pitching matchup for them here either, with Sean Newcomb returning to the mound.
He hasn’t had the best season so far, which is why I assume they’re such large underdogs, but I’ll trust his career record over this small sample.
I’m also liking what I’m seeing from the Atlanta batting lineup, especially the top 4 in Acuna, Swanson, Freeman, and Ozuna.
In what I think is a coin-flip game, I’ll gladly take 35 cents of value on Atlanta.
I’ve had decent success this season fading the Angels, a trend which I’m hoping will continue here.
They sit dead last in the American League, with a poor 5-11 record from their first 16.
Oakland actually find themselves atop the conference after an impressive start, going 12-4 with a plus 23 run differential.
They enter this clash in red hot form, winning their last 9 games, including a sweep over Houston last time out.
Despite all these factors, the A’s are just $1.77 favourites, which definitely looks like great value.
The market likely doesn’t have too much confidence in Oakland pitcher Sean Manaea, who hasn’t started the season well.
That said, his career numbers indicate that he’s a good pitcher at this level and I’ll back him to turn things around.
Teheran is a decent starter for LA, but the bullpen is nothing special and I can see the Oakland hitters going after him here.