This is a battle between two underachievers out East and I’m leaning towards Tampa here.
The Red Sox have struggled mightily so far, falling to just 3-7 after getting swept by the Yankees.
Their starting pitchers have struggled immensely and they don’t have the same hitting power they once did.
Things admittedly haven’t been much better for Tampa, who are just 4-6 after surprisingly getting swept by Baltimore.
That said, whee I think Tampa have the strong edge here is in the pitching matchup.
Despite a relatively poor season thus far, he has still had an excellent career and had an outstanding 2019.
Nathan Eovaldi doesn’t inspire the same confidence for Boston, having had a disastrous last season.
I also think Tampa has a better overall batting lineup and should enjoy some success here.
Combine that with the advantage of an extra rest day and I like them at this price.
I’m opting for a road underdog here, with the White Sox currently priced at $2.05.
They have looked decent through 10 games, compiling a 6-4 record and plus 7 run differential.
Milwaukee haven’t looked as good, playing only 7 games and emerging victorious in just 3.
Their season has really been disrupted by COVID and I can see the effects of that playing out over the coming games.
They had a 4-game series with St Louis wiped out and looked a little behind in their return to action yesterday.
I also like the pitching matchup for Chicago here, with Lucas Giolito coming in off a very strong 2019.
They possess a strong hitting lineup that has consistently produced thus far.
Their top order is especially strong, with Abreu, Moncada, and Robert effectively leading the way.
Factor in all this and they look like very juicy underdogs.