I’m going to take the Yankees to complete their series sweep of the Red Sox here.

The Yankees have been in excellent form of late, winning each of their last 9 games as they gear up for the playoffs.

They’ve got a great matchup here against a Red Sox side that is all but eliminated from playoff contention.

The Yankees have put up some good numbers overall this season, going 31-21 through 52 games and putting up a +63 run difference.

This has them 12.5 games above Boston in the standings with a run difference that is 144 runs better.

I think the starting pitching battle is a bit of a wash here, with both sides starting relatively inexperienced youngsters.

The Yankees better batting lineup, bullpen, and motivation should prove the difference here.

Fading Pittsburgh has gone off almost without a hitch of late and the plan is to continue doing so here.

This series has actually been rather competitive so far, but St Louis have still won 3 of the 4 games.

Not only do they have 10 more wins than Pittsburgh this season, they’ve also got a run differential that is better by 97 runs.

I think they’re comfortably the better of these two sides and need this win to help consolidate their playoff position.

Jack Flaherty is one of their better starting pitcher options and should be able to bounce back from a loss to this same side in his last start.

I’m not to confident in Joe Musgrove or the Pirates bullpen, who could be in for a big hitting day from St Louis here.

I’ll take Toronto on the road here, currently listed as $1.74 favourites over the Phillies.

The Blue Jays have had a reasonable season so far and look to be in with a good shot at the playoffs.

A good series here will all but confirm their spot in the playoffs, which is why I’d expect strong motivation levels here.

These two sides have been relatively even on the season, both accumulating 26-25 records so far.

Where Toronto has a major edge here is in the pitching matchup.

They’ve got one of the league’s best options in Ryu, going up against the struggling Velasquez.

If their hitting lineup can get after Velasquez, I trust Ryu to keep it tight and get them the win.

Fading the Pirates worked a treat again yesterday, as they lost both matches in their double header to St Louis.

We may be paying a slight premium to bet against them, but I’m not sure the bookies have fully caught up yet.

St Louis should be very motivated here, right on the edge of the playoff race at 9^th in the National League.

Should they string a few good results together here, they’ve got a great chance at getting into that elusive top 8 and playing some post-season ball.

They’ve been significantly better than Pittsburgh over the season, 9.5 games and 95 runs ahead in the standings.

Kwang-hyun Kim has pitched very well of late and shouldn’t have much trouble against an awful Pittsburgh batting lineup.

They’ve got the offensive talent to get after Mitch Keller here, which should ultimately prove decisive.

A lot of teams are playing twice today, making the handicaps that little bit more difficult.

I see some value in Chicago here, at essentially even money on the road against Cincy.

The White Sox have been the best side in the American League this season, sitting atop the Conference with a 33-17 record.

They’ve got a very impressive run differential of +80, which is significantly better than anyone else in the conference.

It’s not that Cincinnati are a bad team, but I view them as more of a middle-of-the-road side.

They’re just 25-26 in the middle of the National League, with a -15 run difference.

This is after they were able to beat up on a lowly Pittsburgh side, which looks to have inflated their numbers.

Overall, I think Chicago has the much better batting lineup and this is a relatively even pitching matchup.

They should be around $1.75 here, so I’ll take the extra line value on offer.

Arizona have had a very disappointing 2020 season and appear to be all but eliminated from the playoffs.

Houston have underwhelmed this season, but they’re still right in the mix and should get the job done here.

Their record is 6.5 games better than the Diamondbacks and they also have a better run difference by 57 runs, which is indicative of the gulf in quality.

I think the pitching matchup is also favourable for them here, with ace Zack Greinke taking on his former side.

Zac Gallen has underwhelmed for Arizona this season and the strong Houston batting lineup should prove too much for him.

A sweep in this series would give the Astros a great chance to make the playoffs in this expanded post-season and I think they start on the right note here.

One of the few good things 2020 has brought us is the opportunity to fade the Pittsburgh Pirates on a nightly basis.

The Pirates have lost each of their last 8 games and appear to have completely checked out of the season.

Their offence has been near non-existent, never managing to eclipse 4 runs in that 8-game period.

They remain at the cellar of the National League at 14-34, with an awful -84 run difference.

St Louis are firmly in the mix at 22-23 ahead of a 5-game series with the worst side in the league.

I expect them to be motivated here and play hard to get back into the playoff picture.

They’ve actually got a positive run differential, which tells me they’ve been slightly unlucky with their record.

Dakota Hudson has been one of their better pitchers this season and should be able to continue limiting the Pittsburgh batting lineup here.

If Pittsburgh are the worst side in baseball, the Dodgers are clearly the best.

They sit atop the National League with a very impressive 35-15 record through 50 games.

They’ve also got a run differential of +102, considerably better than any other side and indicative of their dominance.

Colorado started the season brightly but have really faded since.

They’re now in the bottom 5 in the conference with a 22-26 overall record and -48 run differential.

I think the Dodgers have a big matchup advantage on offense in this series and should enjoy success against Colorado’s pitching staff.

Julio Urias has also given them some good innings at starting pitcher and another strong display from him here would lead to a likely win.

Fading Pittsburgh has been automatic money of late and I’ll keep riding the train until the wheels fall off.

They’re comfortably the worst team in the majors and appear incredibly disinterested out on the field.

This series has led to a resurgence for Cincinnati, who aren’t too far out of the playoffs at 24-26.

They have 10 more wins, 7 less defeats, and a run difference that is 67 better than their Pittsburgh counterparts, indicative of the gulf in quality.

Luis Castillo has probably been their best pitcher this season and he shouldn’t have any trouble against this anaemic Pittsburgh offense.

JT Brubaker has struggled for the Pirates and the lack of a reliable bullpen means Cincy should score comfortably.

Although not quite as bad as Pittsburgh, the Red Sox have also been good fade material all season.

They sit just 18-31 with a -70-run differential, good for 2^nd last in the American League.

Don’t look now but Miami are on track for a playoff berth this season, sitting 5^th in the Conference at 24-22.

Their run differential suggests they’ve been fairly lucky in close games, but I still rate them as a much better side than Boston.

I think home field is a bigger factor than usual here, with Fenway Park still a daunting place to play.

Boston’s pitching has been atrocious this season, largely due to injuries, and I think Miami has the hitting depth to make them pay.

If they can contain the Red Sox on the other end, they should emerge victorious here.

Fading Pittsburgh has worked very well of late and I’m planning to continue that trend here.

I think Cincinnati are a substantially better side and look like good value at the current $1.74 price point.

Pittsburgh remain as the worst side in the National League, now just 14-32 with a -80 run difference.

Cincinnati haven’t been great this season, but they’re in much better shape at 23-26 with a -19 difference.

These two sides played twice yesterday and Cincinnati’s matchup advantages were on full display.

Pittsburgh have struggled mightily in the pitching department of late and I don’t see that changing here with Joe Musgrove on deck.

If Cincinnati get a good pitching outing from Michael Lorenzen, they should win relatively comfortably here.

I like St Louis in this spot, currently instilled as $1.65 road favourites.

They’ve looked decent in a fairly disjointed season, currently sitting .500 with a +26 run differential.

Compare that to Milwaukee, who are 4 games back in the win column with a -33 run differential.

That is 59 runs of difference between these sides, which is a better indicator of their differences than their current records.

I also like the pitching matchup for St Louis, with Flaherty back on deck today. Milwaukee have struggled in the hitting department this season and that should continue here.

The Cardinals also have the offensive firepower to go after Anderson here, which I’d expect to ultimately prove the difference.

I like Atlanta in this spot, currently listed as $1.60 road favourites away in Baltimore.

The Braves continue to be one of the best sides in baseball this season.

They sit 3^rd in the National League with a 28-19 record and also boast a plus 57 run differential.

This is significantly better than their opponents here, with Baltimore at just 26-20 and with a minus 18 differential.

The pitching matchups are relatively even in this one, with Toussaint and Lopez having both had their struggles so far.

Where Atlanta really has the edge here is in their batting lineup, which is deeper and more versatile than Baltimore’s.

I expect a high-powered offensive performance here, which should be the foundation for this win.

Not a huge selection of available markets yet for today’s slate, but I’ll lean towards Minnesota here.

Chicago have put up some great numbers this season and currently sit in the lead in the American League.

I think they’ve become somewhat overvalued in the market and Minnesota are very close in terms of quality.

This is a decent pitching matchup for Minnesota, with Berrios having been one of the best options in the majors for several seasons now.

Cease has had an inconsistent season for Chicago and looked poor in a loss to lowly Pittsburgh last time out.

He’ll face an uphill battle against the strong Minnesota batting lineup, which should ultimately prove the difference here.

Having won with Kansas City yesterday, I continue to think they’re good value in this series.

The Pirates have been the worst side in baseball this season and clearly don’t have anything tangible to play for.

They are a miserable 14-29 with a minus 62 run differential. They are 5 wins and 30 runs behind Kansas City.

I think the KC hitters have a big advantage in this one, with Kuhl and the Pittsburgh bullpen having struggled so far.

Brad Keller has been dependable for KC for the last few seasons and I’d expect him to contain Pittsburgh nicely here.

Throw in an extra advantage for home field and the Royals look to be good value again here.

The Blue Jays have been really impressive this season in some adverse circumstances and I like them to win today against New York.

Toronto currently occupy a playoff spot in the American League, sitting in 6^th place with a 25-20 record and plus 4 run differential.

This is in stark contrast to the Mets, who are 21-25 and find themselves in the bottom 5 of the National League.

The 3-game series is currently tied 1-1, but I think Toronto have enough advantages to secure the decisive win here.

For starters, Hyun-jin Ryu has been one of the best pitchers in baseball this season and appears to match up very well with this Mets lineup.

Toronto’s bullpen has also generally performed well this season and should help keep the score down.

Young David Peterson hasn’t been great for the Mets and I can see Toronto getting after him here.

This pitching mismatch should loom large, with the Blue Jays looking like decent value at $1.65.

I like the look of Atlanta in this one, currently listed as slight $1.85 road favourites against Washington.

I’ve said it a few times this season, but this Washington title defence has to be one of the worst in recent memory.

They’re sitting 13^th out of 15 in the National League with a porous 17-26 record and negative 16 run differential.

Atlanta have been better in all of those metrics and are really looking like they could make a post-season run.

The Braves find themselves 3^rd in the Conference at 26-19 with a plus 52 run differential.

This is 68 runs better than the Nationals over the season and is reflective of the gap between the two sides.

I like both the hitting and pitching matchups for them here and expect them to justify the value on this $1.85 price.

When you’ve got the Pittsburgh Pirates almost favoured on the road, it has to be a fade at this point.

They’ve been the worst side in all of baseball this season, racing out to a 14-28 record and negative 59 run differential.

Kansas City have hardly been world beaters, but they’re still comfortably better in all of those metrics.

They’ve won 4 more games on the season and have a run differential that is 24 runs better despite playing more games.

I think their hitters can really tee off against Trevor Williams here, who’s been out of sync all season.

There is some pressure on young Royals pitcher Carlos Hernandez, but he has a relatively easy assignment here against the anaemic Pirates batting lineup.

Backed up with a solid bullpen, I expect him to contain Pittsburgh en route to a home win.

I’m opting for a few value underdogs today, starting with the Cubs at $2.35 away at Milwaukee.

The Brewers have been nothing special this season, sitting 10^th in the National League with a 19-22 record and negative 20 run differential.

Compare that with Chicago, who are 4^th in the Conference at 25-19 with a plus 13 run difference.

All up, the Cubs have been 4.5 games better than the Brewers this season and have a run differential that is 33 runs better.

The pitching matchup is also in their favour here, with ace Jon Lester having significantly outperformed Brandon Woodruff from Milwaukee.

I’m also a huge fan of Chicago’s hitting lineup, with the likes of Baez, Rizzo, and Bryant giving them the edge here.

This is my second value underdog of the day, taking St Louis at $2 at home against Cincinnati.

Cincinnati have definitely been below average this season, 12^th in the National League at 19-24 with a negative 24 run difference.

St Louis are a few games up in 6^th place, currently 19-18 with a much better plus 27 run differential.

That is 51 runs better than what Cincinnati has amassed, suggesting there’s a huge gap between these two sides.

There is probably a little bias in the market for Reds pitcher Luis Castillo, who has strung a few strong seasons together.

I think Adam Wainwright is an even better pitcher for St Louis and gives them a further advantage.

Add in their better hitters and their home field and I’m not sure why they’re underdogs here.