Monday, September 23

Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners, 3:05 am
Orioles

Baltimore Orioles

The Orioles find themselves 50-104, good for last place in their division. They’re just 24-55 at home this season, winning 4 of their last 10 overall. Mancini and Nunez have impressed the most offensively, combining for 63 home runs and 175 RBI. Ace Jon Means will pitch here, going 10-11 with a 3.65 ERA through 143 innings.

Seattle Mariners

The Mariners haven’t been much better, 5th in the AL West at 65-89. They’re 32-47 on the road but have managed 7 wins in their last 10. Dan Vogelbach is their main man on offence, going for a team-leading 30 home runs and 76 RBI. Justus Sheffield will pitch here, going 0-1 with a 5.4 ERA through 26 innings.

Prediction: Orioles

In a matchup between two sides with no playoff chances, I’ll take the better pitcher at home for near even money. Means has been very effective for Baltimore this season, while Sheffield is an unknown quantity. Baltimore’s offence has been decent of late and likely has just enough to get the job done here.

Cleveland Indians vs Philadelphia Phillies, 10:35 am
Indians

Cleveland Indians

A stellar season sees Cleveland 2nd in their division at 91-64. They are 48-32 at home this season, with 7 wins in their last 10. Carlos Santana continues to dominate offensively, going for 34 home runs and 92 RBI this season. Adam Plutko is slated to pitch here, going 7-4 with a 4.34 ERA through 103 innings.

Philadelphia Phillies

Philly now find themselves 4th in their division at 79-74. They are 35-39 on the road this season, with just 4 wins in their last 10 overall. Bryce Harper has had a solid debut season, leading the way with 32 home runs and 104 RBI. Vince Velasquez will pitch here, going 7-7 with a 4.89 ERA through 108 innings.

Prediction: Indians

Ultimately, the Indians are the much better side here with much more to play for. They’ve got a significant edge in the pitching matchup and I think Plutko can really shut the Philly offence down. Combine that with a strong day from a deep hitting lineup and they should win this handily.

Sunday, September 22

Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals, 6:10 am
Nationals

Miami Marlins

The Marlins enter this one at a very poor 53-100, unsurprisingly last in their division. They’ve gone 29-49 at home, with only 2 wins in their last 10 games. Castro and Anderson have both been respectable offensively, each reaching 20 home runs so far. Elieser Hernandez will pitch in this one, going 3-5 with a 5.03 through 82.

Washington Nationals

The Nats look poised for the playoffs, currently 2nd in the NL East at 84-68. They have a decent 41-37 road record, going .500 over their last 10. Rendon and Soto continue to provide an excellent offensive punch, combining for 68 homers and 225 RBI. Stephen Strasburg will pitch here, going 17-6 with a 3.49 ERA through 196.

Prediction: Nationals

Washington is comfortably the better of these two sides and they’ve got real playoff implications in this one. They’ve been a particularly solid road side of late and have one of the best pitchers in the majors here. I think their strong offence can get after Hernandez in a relatively comfortable road win.

San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks, 10:40 am
Diamondbacks

San Diego Padres

The Padres are now 4th in the NL West at 69-85. They’ve gone 35-40 at home this season and slumped to 3 wins in their last 10. Hunter Renfroe leads the way with 32 home runs, while Eric Hosmer has a tidy 96 RBI. Cal Quantrill will pitch here, going 6-8 with a 5.33 ERA through 98 innings.

Arizona Diamondbacks

The D-Backs are still alive, now 79-75 and second in the NL West. They are .500 on the road this season, although a similar slump has them winning only 3 of their last 10. 3rd Baseman Eduardo Escobar is easily their offensive standout, totalling 35 home runs and 115 RBI on the season. Zac Gallen will pitch in this one, going 2-3 with a decent 2.89 ERA through 43 innings.

Prediction: Diamondbacks

As the 9-0 result last time out shows, I think San Diego has all but given up on this season. Arizona has a ton to play for in this one and have shown decent form on the road, while the Padres aren’t a great home side. Zac Gallen has certainly passed the eye test so far and I expect another solid performance from him en route to victory.

Saturday, September 21

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets, 9:10 am
Mets

Cincinnati Reds

A relatively poor Cincinnati season sees them 4th in their division at 72-81. They’re a decent 40-35 at home this season, winning 6 of their last 10 overall. Eugenio Suarez has continued his stellar offensive season, going for 48 home runs and 102 RBI so far. Luis Castillo has been their best pitcher, going 15-6 with a 3.22 ERA through 178 innings.

New York Mets

The Mets find themselves 3rd in the NL East at a decent 79-73. They’re just 36-42 on the road this season but have managed 7 wins in their last 10. Pete Alonso has carried this team all year, putting up 49 home runs and 113 RBI. Jacob DeGrom will pitch here, going 9-8 with a 2.61 ERA so far.

Prediction: Mets

Despite Castillo’s excellence on the mound this season, I believe he has been more than matched by DeGrom. The Mets should also be the much more motivated side, with clear playoff implications on the line. Their offence is also much deeper and more versatile, which should ultimately prove the difference.

Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White Sox, 9:10 am
White Sox

Detroit Tigers

An awful season from Detroit sees them 45-107 so far. They’re just 21-55 at home, with only 3 wins in their last 11 clashes. No one has topped 15 home runs or 55 RBI so far, indicative of their terrible offensive season. Jordan Zimmerman will pitch here, going 1-11 with a 6.32 ERA through 104 innings.

Chicago White Sox

The White Sox haven’t been great either, sitting 66-86 and 3rd in their division. They are just 31-47 on the road this season, winning only 4 of their last 10. 1st Baseman Jose Abreu has been their offensive standout, going for 33 home runs and 119 RBI. Dylan Cease will pitch here, sporting a relatively poor 3-7 record and 6.18 ERA through 67 innings.

Prediction: White Sox

Fading the Tigers has been a consistent money maker all season and I can see that continuing here. They’re an awful home side and Zimmerman has been one of the worst performing pitchers all season. Assuming Abreu and Co can really get after him offensively, I see Chicago winning this one quite comfortably.

Friday, September 20

Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays, 9:05 am
Blue Jays

Baltimore Orioles

A dreadful season for Baltimore is coming to a close, sitting 49-103 and last in their division. They are only 23-53 at home this season and have won just 3 of their last 10 contests. Trey Mancini has been somewhat of a bright spot offensively, leading the team with 34 home runs and 91 RBI. Chandler Shepherd will pitch here, having allowed a 4.91 ERA through just 11 innings so far.

Toronto Blue Jays

The Blue Jays have been somewhat better than their opponents, sitting 4th in their division at 61-91. They are a pretty miserable 29-47 on the road, although they’ve gone .500 over their last 10. They’ve gotten off to a strong start in this series, winning both matches and scoring 19 combined runs. Anthony Kay will pitch here, allowing a 6.3 ERA through his 10 innings so far.

Prediction: Blue Jays

Baltimore have been an unmitigated disaster of late and Toronto have had their number all series. They’ve clearly got the stronger of the two batting lineups and should get after Shepherd in this one. I also like what I’ve seen from Anthony Kay in limited action, which should prove decisive here.

Chicago Cubs vs St Louis Cardinals, 9:15 am
Cubs

Chicago Cubs

The Cubs are a decent shot to make the playoffs, currently 82-70 and 2nd in the NL Central. Their home field is somewhat of a fortress, going 51-25 so far this season. Kyle Schwarber has really impressed of late, with 37 home runs to go with 91 RBI. They’re yet to announce a starting pitcher for this one, although Kyle Schwarber looks set to get the nod.

St Louis Cardinals

The Cardinals are currently atop the NL Central at 85-67. Their road record is a pedestrian 36-38, with 5 wins in their last 10 contests. Star slugger Paul Goldschmidt is enjoying another strong campaign, going for 31 home runs and 89 RBI. Jack Flaherty will pitch here, going 10-8 with a 3.05 ERA through 174 innings.

Prediction: Cubs

As the even money odds would suggest, this is a very tough contest to call. However, the Cubs incredibly strong home record leads me to believe they’ll get the job done here. I like Hendricks to contain Goldschmidt and Co, while they’ve got enough talent offensively to eke out a very important win.

Thursday, September 19

Boston Red Sox vs SF Giants, 9:10 am
Red Sox

Boston Red Sox

It hasn’t been the best season for the Red Sox, who currently sit 79-71 and 3rd in the AL East. They are just 36-40 at home this season, managing only 4 wins in their last 10 games. J.D. Martinez leads the side with 35 home runs, while Rafael Devers has added 107 RBI of his own. Jhoulys Chacin will pitch here, having largely struggled earlier this season for Milwaukee.

SF Giants

The Giants haven’t been great either, also sitting 3rd in their division with a 73-78 record. They’re a decent 40-36 on the road this season, going .500 over their last 10 overall. They started the series with Boston nicely, managing a 7-6 road win with 3 hits and 2 RBI from Brandon Crawford. Jeff Samardzija will pitch here, going 10-12 with a 3.72 ERA through 169 innings.

Prediction: Red Sox

The Red Sox are the better of these two sides and the only one with any real playoff incentives here. Their batting lineup has been particularly solid of late and I expect them to get after Samardzija here. If Chacin can deliver even a competent performance, a home win looks relatively likely.

Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies, 9:20 am
Braves

Atlanta Braves

The Braves are in the midst of a magical campaign, now 93-59 and 1st in the NL East. They’re a strong 47-29 at home, although they’ve won only 5 of their last 10 overall. Freddie Freeman has been particularly impressive offensively, going off for 38 home runs and 117 RBI. Julio Teheran will pitch in this one, going 10-9 with a 3.5 ERA through 167 innings.

Philadelphia Phillies

Philly are just in the mix, currently 3rd in the NL East at 77-72. They’re a relatively poor 34-37 on the road this season, going below .500 in their last 10. They did start this series impressively, managing a 5-4 road win off 2 Rhys Hoskins RBI’s. Zach Eflin will pitch here, going 8-12 with a 4.2 ERA through 143 innings.

Prediction: Braves

Despite winning yesterday, the Phillies have been just too inconsistent on the road for me to back them here. I like what I’ve seen from Teheran at home and I think he shuts down their top-heavy offence here. Eflin hasn’t impressed me as much and I can see his poor record getting even worse in this one.

Wednesday, September 18

Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres, 9:40 am
Brewers

Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers have had a solid but unspectacular campaign, battling for 2nd in the NL Central at 81-69. They started off this series with San Diego very nicely, managing a 5-1 win in the opener. Cory Spangenberg impressed with 2 hits and 3 RBI, while pitcher Zach Davies delivered another stellar start. Brandon Woodruff will pitch here, going 11-3 with a 3.75 ERA through 117 innings.

San Diego Padres

The Padres are playing out the string at this point, sporting a poor 68-82 record this season. They’re a relatively poor 33-41 on the road this season, only managing 4 wins in their last 10. They couldn’t get anything going offensively yesterday, with Eric Hosmer the only batter to register an RBI. Chris Paddack has been one of their better pitchers so far, going 9-7 with a 3.38 ERA this season.

Prediction: Brewers

Much like in yesterday’s write up, the Brewers are the more talented and motivated team in this spot. I like the way their offence is performing right now, while San Diego just can’t score enough to keep up. Woodruff has been an elite pitcher at home this season and another stellar display from him should be enough to win here.

LA Dodgers vs Tampa Bay Rays, 12:10 pm
Dodgers

LA Dodgers

The Dodgers have been one of the best sides in baseball this season, compiling an impressive 97-54 record. They are an astounding 56-20 at home and have managed 6 wins in their last 10 contests. Cody Bellinger continues to have an elite offensive season, leading the team with 44 home runs and 108 RBI. Ross Stripling will pitch here, going 4-4 with a 3.4 ERA through 84 innings so far.

Tampa Bay Rays

Tampa are no slouches either, going a very respectable 89-62 for the season. They are a particularly solid 46-30 on the road, managing wins in 7 of their last 10. They’ll be well accustomed to the conditions in LA, having just beaten the Angels in a 3-game series. Blake Snell will pitch here, having faded of late to a 6-7 record and 4.28 ERA for the season.

Prediction: Dodgers

While the Dodgers don’t have as much at stake as Tampa here, they’re still playing for playoff seeding. They’ve been an outstanding home team all season, with a very deep and versatile offensive lineup. Snell has also struggled quite a bit of late and I think Stripling outduels him here in another home win.

Tuesday, September 17

Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres, 9:40 am
Brewers

Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers have had a decent campaign to date, sitting 3rd in the NL Central at 80-69. They’ve gone 43-31 at home this season and won an impressive 9 of their last 10. Right Fielder Christian Yelich has had an outstanding season, leading the way with 44 home runs and 97 RBI. Zach Davies will pitch here, going 9-7 with a 3.77 ERA through 145 innings.

San Diego Padres

San Diego’s season is all but done, now sitting 4th in the NL West at 68-81. They’re just 33-41 on the road this season and have only 4 wins in their last 10. Eric Hosmer has been their chief offensive contributor so far, going for an impressive 94 RBI. Garrett Richards is slated to pitch here, making his season debut in the process.

Prediction: Brewers

For me, this is one of the bigger talent and motivational mismatches on the board. Milwaukee simply has to win this game for their playoff chances and they’re up against a pitcher making his season debut. I expect Zach Davies to continue his strong start to the campaign in a relatively comfortable win.

Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds, 10:05 am
Cubs

Chicago Cubs

Chicago currently finds themselves second in the NL Central, sporting an 81-68 record. They’ve been a very strong 50-24 at home this season and have gone .500 over their last 10 overall. Anthony Rizzo is their main man offensively, going off for 26 home runs and 93 RBI so far. Cole Hamels will pitch here, sporting a decent 7-7 record and 3.89 ERA through 131 innings.

Cincinnati Reds

Cincy just haven’t impressed this season, now 4th in the NL Central at 70-80. They’re a poor 30-45 on the road, also going .500 over their last 10. 3rd Baseman Eugenio Suarez has still been hugely impressive, going for 47 home runs and 100 RBI. Kevin Gausman will pitch here, going 0-1 with a 4.02 ERA through 15 innings in Cincy.

Prediction: Cubs

This is another game on today’s slate with a strong talent and motivational edge. Chicago is also one of the better home teams in the league, while Cincinnati has struggled all year on the road. I like what I’ve seen from Cole Hamels and expect him to shut down a top-heavy Cincy offence en route to victory.

Monday, September 16

LA Angels vs Tampa Bay Rays, 6:05 am
Rays $1.60

LA Angels

The Angels are finishing their relatively poor campaign, now 67-82 and 4th in the AL West. They’ve struggled in this series so far, losing the opening two to Tampa by a combined score of 15-5. This means their home record is just 35-39 this season, with only 2 wins in their last 10. Patrick Sandoval will pitch here, going 0-3 with a 5.28 ERA so far.

Tampa Bay Rays

Tampa continue to look impressive, losing just 61 of their 150 games to sit 2nd in the AL East. They’re now 46-29 on the road this campaign, with 7 wins in their last 9 contests. Tommy Pham has been a decent second option this year, second behind Austin Meadows with 20 home runs and 64 RBI. Ryan Yarborough will pitch here, sporting an 11-3 record with a 3.51 ERA this season.

Prediction: Rays $1.60

Much like my rationale for game 1 in this series, Tampa is comfortably the better side and they’ve got much more on the line. Yarborough has been an outstanding pitcher this season and LA just don’t have the hitters outside of Trout. Sandoval hasn’t filled me with confidence so far, and I think Tampa exploit him en route to another routine win.

Seattle Mariners vs Chicago White Sox, 6:10 am
Mariners $1.77

Seattle Mariners

It has been a poor season for Seattle, who now sit 5th in the AL West with a 60-88 record. They are just 31-42 at home this year, managing wins in only 2 of their last 9 overall. Dan Vogelbach is a rare bright spot offensively, leading the way with 30 home runs and 76 RBI. Justus Sheffield is slated to pitch here, going 0-1 with a 4.43 ERA so far.

Chicago White Sox

The White Sox have also been poor, sitting 3rd in the AL Central at 65-82. They are just 30-43 on the road this season, winning 5 of their last 10 overall. 1st Baseman Jose Abreu continues to produce offensively, going for 33 home runs and 116 RBI. Ivan Nova is slated to pitch here, going just 10-12 with a 4.69 ERA through 172 innings.

Prediction: Mariners $1.77

Although this is a rather evenly matched game, I give the Mariners the slight edge at home. I like what their offense has shown of late and think that Sheffield is one to watch going forward. Nova has been especially inconsistent on the road and likely doesn’t have the juice to claim a road win here.

Sunday, September 15

Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves, 6:05 am
Nationals $1.85

Washington Nationals

The Nats have been solid but unspectacular this year, sitting 2nd in the NL East at 81-65. They are 41-29 at home this season, although they’ve won just 4 of their last 10 contests. Rendon and Soto have carried the offence all year, combining for 67 home runs and 222 RBI. Austin Voth will pitch here, going 1-1 with a 4.0 ERA through 27 innings.

Atlanta Braves

The Braves have been even better, dominating the NL East at 92-57. They’re a stellar 44-29 on the road and have won 7 out of their last 10 matches. 1st Baseman Freddie Freeman has been a stud all year, putting up 38 home runs and 117 RBI. Mike Foltynewicz will pitch in this one, going 6-5 with a 5.0 ERA through 99 innings.

Prediction: Nationals $1.85

Despite losing the series opener 5-0, I’ve got faith the Nationals can turn things around in this matchup. They’ve been an excellent home side this year and possess a very solid 2-headed batting lineup. If Voth can build on his early decent starts, I really like them at a value price of $1.85.

Texas Rangers vs Oakland A’s, 10:05 am
A's $1.88

Texas Rangers

The Rangers’ playoff hopes are slipping away, the team sitting 3rd in the AL West at 74-75. They’re a solid 42-30 at home, with recent form allowing them to win 7 of their last 10. Rougned Odor has been their offensive leader so far, going for 26 home runs and 79 RBI. Mike Minor is slated to pitch here, going 13-8 with a 3.08 ERA in extensive action this season.

Oakland A’s

Oakland are sporting an excellent 88-60 record, one that has them 2nd in the AL West. They are 39-33 on the road this season, managing an excellent 8 wins in their last 10. Short Stop Marcus Semien has been a consistent offensive producer, taking the team lead with 83 RBI. Ace Mike Fiers will pitch here, going 14-4 with a 3.97 ERA through 170 innings.

Prediction: A’s $1.88

The A’s have been really consistent of late and have much more on the line here. Both sides have elite starting pitchers, although I think Oakland has the stronger batting lineup and bullpen. If Semien, Chapman, and Co can get going offensively, I think they win this one quite comfortably.

Saturday, September 14

LA Angels vs Tampa Bay Rays, 12:05 pm
Rays $1.70

LA Angels

2019 hasn’t gone to plan for the Angels, sitting 4th in the AL West at 67-80. They’ve gone 35-37 at home this season and won just 2 of their last 10 overall. Mike Trout is comfortably their best offensive player, putting up 45 home runs and 104 RBI so far. Andrew Heaney will pitch here, going 4-4 with a 4.3 ERA through 81 innings.

Tampa Bay Rays

The Rays are looking in good shape, sitting 2nd in the AL East at 87-61. They’ve been a stellar 44-29 on the road, winning 7 of their last 10 overall. Austin Meadows has been very productive, leading the squad with 29 home runs and 82 RBI. Charlie Morton will pitch here, going an excellent 14-6 with a 3.11 ERA so far.

Prediction: Rays $1.70

This is a huge mismatch with one team playing for much higher stakes than the other. LA haven’t been a good home side all season, while Tampa are in excellent form and are an elite road side. Morton is also one of the better pitchers in the majors and I think he shuts down this one-man offence en route to victory.

SF Giants vs Miami Marlins, 12:10 pm
Giants $1.67

SF Giants

The season is all but over for San Fran, who sit 3rd in the NL West at 70-77. They are just 31-41 at home this season, winning 4 of their last 10 overall. Evan Longoria is having a stellar offensive season, second on the team with 19 home runs and 64 RBI. Tyler Beede is slated to pitch here, going a relatively poor 4-9 with a 5.33 ERA so far.

Miami Marlins

Miami have been one of the worst sides in baseball, 5th in the NL East at 51-95. They are 22-46 on the road this season, winning 3 of their last 10 overall. Starlin Castro is enjoying a decent campaign with the bat, putting up 19 home runs and 78 RBI so far. Sandy Alcantara will pitch here, going 5-12 with a 4.04 ERA through 171 innings.

Prediction: Giants $1.67

Both sides are out of playoff contention but I think the Giants have the clear motivational edge, especially playing at home. Miami has been a dreadful road side this season and I can’t see their anaemic offence finding form here. Alcantara hasn’t inspired much confidence either and I think the Giants pick him apart en route to a comfortable win.